Dominic Fazzini
Sunday's winners
30 Dime -- TEXANS (minus points vs. Seahawks)
TEXANS
Houston has really had a tough time of it lately, losing its last four games (1-3 ATS) to fall out of the playoff picture.
But those losses were by three, three, eight and five points, respectively, against tough division opponents in Indianapolis (twice), Tennessee and Jacksonville. While so many close losses had to have hurt, the Texans are going to want to unleash some pain on someone else today, and Seattle looks like a good team to do it against.
While the Seahawks have won their last two games, the victories came against a horrible St. Louis team and at home against a struggling San Francisco squad. And the 49ers actually outgained Seattle 356 to 292 in last week's game.
The Seahawks have been awful on the road this year, going 1-5 straight up and ATS. And outside of the victory over the Rams, they have lost by margins of 13, 17, 21, 11 and 26 points away from Seattle.
With quarterback Matt Schaub and star receiver Andre Johnson leading the way, the Texans possess the NFL's fourth-best passing attack with 278.9 ypg. And defending the pass is not exactly the Seahawks' strong suit, as they allow 243.5 ypg through the air to rank 26th in the league.
Houston has been a strong second-half team in its existence and is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games in December. And Seattle is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games as an underdog, 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games and 0-7 ATS in its last seven as a road underdog. Load up and take the Texans to win in a rout today.
10 Dime -- Bengals (plus points vs. VIKINGS)
BENGALS
Cincinnati is getting absolutely no respect this season despite a 9-3 record, but this team is for real.
And while the Bengals possess some real weapons on offense with Carson Palmer, Cedric Benson and Chad Ochocinco, it is the defense that have really sparked the team this year. Cincinnati is allowing a league-low 15.6 ppg this season, including an average of 11.5 over its past six games.
Brett Favre and Adrian Peterson are going to provide a tough test for the Bengals today, but if rookie receiver Percy Harvin, who has been suffering from severe migraines this week, has to miss the game or is limited, that could really hurt Minnesota's offense.
The Vikings are without standout linebacker E.J. Henderson, who was placed on injured reserve after breaking his left thigh bone last weekend, and that should help open some things up for Benson and the Bengals' running game today.
Cincinnati is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games as an underdog, including 6-0 this year, and the underdog has covered the spread in every one of the Bengals' games this season.
Minnesota is 2-7 ATS against teams with a winning record, while Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS against teams with a winning record. I like the Bengals to cover the points today, and they might even win this game outright.