Sunday 11/8/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Colts WR Hilton expected to be game-day decision

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver T.Y. Hilton is expected to be a game-day decision against the Denver Broncos as he deals with a foot sprain.

Hilton missed his second consecutive day of practice on Thursday and was seen wearing a boot. He reportedly sprained his left foot in Monday night's loss against the Carolina Panthers.

NFL Media reported Friday morning that Hilton will be a game-time decision when the Colts face the NFL's No. 1 defense on Sunday.

The Colts' top receiver has 38 receptions for 621 yards and three touchdowns.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WFN Hosts:
Mike Francessa (16-6-2): Jets -7, Pitt -4.5, Atl -7
Joe Benigno (13-10-1): Dallas +2.5, Indy +4, NE -14
Evan Roberts (13-10-1) GB -2.5, SF +7, Jets -6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHIP CHIRIMBES

Jaguars (+) over Jets

The Jets were truly embarrassed last week in Oakland as they just laid-down after the Raiders jumped out to an early lead and dominated for 60 minutes. Ryan Fitzpatrick suffered torn ligaments in his left thumb and was replaced by Geno Smith. After seeing what Smith can do Coach Bowles is going back to Fitzpatrick. New York ranks No. 1 in run defense but Blake Bortles is improving game-by-game and with rookie T.J. Yeldon back the Jaguars have more balance. Take JACKSONVILLE!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PURE LOCK

FREE NFL play Sunday 11-8-15

Buffalo -3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SAM MARTIN

5* Bonus Play on Carolina (+2.5).

Everyone keeps waiting for the Carolina Panthers to lose, but they just keep winning. While teams like the Patriots and Bengals are now having to lay huge numbers (both teams are double-digit favorites this week), Carolina lines up as a home underdog this Sunday against a Green Bay team that was completely shut down last week on the road in Denver. Packers suffered their first defeat of the season last week, losing by 19 points while amassing just 140 yards of total offense.
It would be foolish to believe Green Bay will have a similar type of offensive effort this week, but it's equally foolish to list an unbeaten team at this point of the season as an underdog on their home field. Panthers running game has put up at least 100 yards in every single one of their games this season, and while they aren't built to win via the blowout, they are built to control the clock, field position, and do just enough to win the game outright. Packers are 0-6 on the road after allowing 400+ yards of total offense in their previous game (allowed 500 total yards last week vs. the Broncos), and we expect the Panthers to remain unbeaten after this Sunday

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony George

All things being equal, I do not expect the Dallas Cowboys to win a game until Romo gets back. The offense is totally dysfunctional, and last week’s thriller against Seattle has had to taken its toll on the Dallas team overall, a brutally physical game and another disappointing game for the QB play for Dallas. It gets no better this week on the NBC game, on national TV Sunday Night as the rejuvenated Eagles come to town with revenge on their mind.
One thing is for sure, this game will feature the RB’s of both teams and McFadden looks to be in prime form for Dallas and no doubt DeMarco Murray returning home to his old team after the Dallas defense shut him down for 2 yards on 13 carries in game 1 has him motivated. . I do not expect a lot of fireworks in this game as both QB’s are not all that good, but it is Philly with the better balance and offensive attack, as Matt Cassel is not the answer and if it goes way far south for Dallas in this game, a Brandon Weeden sighting would not surprise me because Cassel is listed as questionable with a knee problem, Dez Bryant is doubtful, and Dunbar is gone, not a good setup for the Cowboys. Even with a QB change very possible for Sunday Night, it does not instill confidence in my assessment of Dallas right now.
Take into account Philly is playing with revenge after a 10 point loss to Dallas at home and they have had a bye week to get over the loss to Carolina, and I feel the right team is favored and Philly wins by a TD in this game, so I am willing to lay the 3 points. I did check with my source in Vegas at CG Technology and Philly is the biggest public bet on the board along with Denver, but the public can be right from time to time and think they are here.
PICK: The Eagles -3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MARC LAWRENCE

Play - St. Louis Rams.

Edges - Rams: 9-2 ATS as road dogs with triple revenge; and 6-1 ATS as road dogs between home games. Vikings: 1-7 ATS as home favorites after defeating Chicago; and 1-3 ATS as a host in this series. With the Vikes off a pair of division wins and with a cushy 3-0 mark in the NFC North, we recommend a 1* play on St. Louis. Thank you and good luck as always

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JIMMY BOYD

Free Pick on Broncos -5

While you don’t want to be on the obvious side of NFL games very often, I don’t know how you back the Colts as a only a 5-point dog at home. Indianapolis has lost 3 straight and two of those game at home by more than this spread against the Patriots (27-34) and Saints (21-27). The Colts were fortunate to be that close in both of those games, as they scored a garbage touchdown late against New England and trailed 27-0 against New Orleans. Even last week's game against Carolina was more lopsided than the final score would indicate.
If the Colts didn’t play in the awful AFC East, they might not have a win. All 3 of their victories have come against division opponents and they didn’t dominate any of those games. They beat the Titans (35-33), Jaguars (16-13 OT) and Texans (27-20). The only reason this line isn’t more is because the Colts have Andrew Luck at quarterback, but he’s playing the worst football of his career.
The situation also isn’t great for Indianapolis. After their loss to the Panthers, the Colts fired offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton. Trying to instal a new offense in a short week will be a challenge, especially when going up against a defense as good as the Broncos.
I know Denver is coming off a huge game against the Packers, in the first big battle of undefeated teams, but they aren’t going to be overlooking the Colts after losing at home in the playoffs last year and 2 of the last 3 overall. There's also extra incentive here with Manning going up against his former team.
I also think we saw a different Broncos team offensively last week than we had in their first 6 games, as they appeared to work out some kinks on that side of the ball during their bye week. With the way the Colts are struggling defensively, I just don’t see how Indianapolis keeps this game close.
Colts are just 6-17 ATS in their last 23 home games off a loss by 6 points or less, while the Broncos are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 against a team with a losing record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Denver!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BRANDON LEE

10* FREE NFL PICK (Titans +8)

I believe we are seeing the Saints way overvalued here off 3 straight wins, which included a 52-point performance last week against the Giants. At the same time, I think we are seeing the Titans way undervalued here after losing 6 straight. Two big factors here favoring Tennessee. First, the Titans are coming off a bye an catching over a touchdown. Second, Tennessee made a head coaching change which tends to lead to a team's best performance the next couple times out. Just look at what it did for the Dolphins. This is also a big number to catch with how poorly the Saints are playing defensively and the fact that New Orleans relies so much on their passing game. Tennessee hasn't allowed an opposing quarterback to throw for more than 254 yards against them all season. Give me the Titans +8!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FREDDY WILLS

Rams +1

I like how the Rams have played this year far better than the Vikings. The Vikings have had a very easy schedule along the way with opponents having a combined 8-23 record. The Vikings are 6-1 ATS this season, and that just simply can not continue. It's a better match up for the Rams who have a better rushing attack and defense. The Rams are #1 with 5 yards per carry on the year 5.6 on the road and go up against the Vikings who rank 25th vs. the run. The Vikings rank 9th at 4.5 ypc, but 4.1 at home, and the Rams rank 6th vs. the run and have played in two big games on the road already against the Packers and the Cardinals two NFC Championship favorites and played exceptionally well. The biggest mismatch of the day is the red zone. The Vikings will have to score far out, and I don't think that happens with the Rams pass rush, because the Vikings are 30th in red zone TD% with 38% success, and the Rams are #1 allowing just 31.25%.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

R&R TOTALS

FREE NFL Over-Under Sunday 11-8-15

UNDER 46 1/2 Green Bay/Carolina

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JEFF BENTON

Your Sunday freebie is the Redskins-Patriots to play Over the total.

Washington has at least had an extra week to prepare - not that it is going to matter that much against the undefeated Patriots - and they do hit New England having played Over the total in their last pair of games, and 2 of their 3 road games overall this season.

New England continues to rack up the points, as Tom Brady and company have scored at least 28 points or more in ALL 7 of their wins this season. The Patriots have eclipsed the total in 2 of their last 3, and 4 of their last 6 overall.

I can easily see the Pats scoring 5 touchdowns which means the Redskins need to chip in for some of the "lighter lifting" in this affair.

Over? Book it!

3* WASHINGTON-NEW ENGLAND OVER