Sunday 11/16/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Freddy Wills

Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns

1* Bonus Play Houston Texans +3.5

This line does not look right with the Browns fresh off their Thursday night beat down now going back home to face a Texans team starting a QB for the first time. However, I am not confident in this Browns team they have gotten very lucky in games and they did play their best game of the season on Thursday night on the road against the Bengals. However, I see them coming back down to life after being so high from the victory on Thursday. Plus the Texans start Ryan Mallet who I think has much better talent than Ryan Fitzpatrick. Mallet was a stud in college in the pocket and was behind one of the best QB’s in the league for years in Tom Brady. Mallett should not have to do it on his own either as the Browns struggle defending the run. It’s not like the Browns have beaten many good teams with wins vs. the Raiders, Titans, Bucs, Oakland and they got beat by the Jaguars 24-6. I have to look at this team’s season work instead of just 1 big win on the road and I think we have value on the Texans at +3.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chip Chirimbes

Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns

Chip's NFL FREE Winner Houston Texans

Texans (+) over Browns- Doesn't this look strange to you? It does to me. I mean here are the Browns fresh off their Thursday Night Blasting of Cincinnati, they are well rested, they are facing a quarterback making his first start with their top running back on the shelf. Cleveland is favored by 'just' a field goal, three measly points, come-on now. I think the Browns might be in trouble here well at least Vegas thinks so. Take HOUSTON!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bill Biles

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers

Bonus Play Green Bay Packers -5.5

The Packers and Aaron Rodgers are just to good at home. This is a big game in the NFC and the Packers are playing great football at the moment. I dont see how Mark Sanchez can go into lambeau field and score enough points to keep up with the Packers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve Janus

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New Orleans Saints

Sunday''s Free NFL Pick ---New Orleans Saints -7---

This is a perfect spot to jump on the Saints at home. New Orleans suffered a rare home loss under Sean Payton last week to the 49ers. The Saints had won 20 straight home games prior to that loss and if you go back over their last 22 home games under Payton, they are a ridiculous 19-2-1 ATS. The Bengals are the perfect opponent for the Saints to get back on track. Cincinnati is in a complete free fall right now and have largely been overrated all season. As we all witnessed last week against the Browns, Andy Dalton can't be trusted in big games. The Bengals just don't have the offensive fire-power and aren't strong enough defensively to keep it competitive against Drew Brees and this Saints offense in the Superdome.

System - Favorites who are a strong rushing team (125-150 ypg) against a average rushing team (95-125 ypg) are 61-32 (66%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. BET THE SAINTS -7!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony George

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New Orleans Saints

NFL Free Pro Pick Sunday New Orleans Saints

Well you have some interesting stats to work with if you care to swallow these points this week, which I am willing to do in one big gulp. The Saints got a home winning streak of 20 snapped last week in OT, and I can assure you they are none too happy about and should be in foul mood Sunday. Cincy is off an embarrassing Thursday night home drubbing at the hands of Cleveland where QB Andy Dalton looked like a deer caught in the headlights, and his poor play continues.

The Saints despite the OT loss last week still control their playoff chances in a weak division but this is a must win game for them and the Bengals are reeling. They are ranked 31st in defending the run, and the Saints success in the past month has been based on the fact they are pounding the rock with Ingram, and building off that with play action passing with all world Drew Brees, and TE Graham poses match up issues for the Bengals secondary that gives up big plays. The Bengals just have fallen down the ladder here as one of the better teams in the AFC to one of the worst over the past 3 weeks, and their defense just gives up all kinds of yards at 30th in the NFL at yards allowed per game. Not good news against a Saints team coming in this one with their ears pinned back. Who do you want to back in this one, Drew Brees or Andy Dalton? Need a stat - Cincy is 0-14 ATS on the road following a double digit division home loss.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joseph D'Amico

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New Orleans Saints

Sunday's FREE NFL WINNER is New Orleans (Game 462).

After a rare loss at home to San Francisco, New Orleans will come into this matchup motivated and looking to remain atop the NFC South. Cincinnati started the season at 3-0 only to go 2-3-1 their L6. The Bengals have fallen apart, culminating in last week's, 24-3 loss to the Browns. Even worse, Cincy is just 1-5 ATS their L6. The New Orleans offense still ranks among the NFL's best. RB, Mark Ingram grabbed another 100-yard performance a week ago. The Bengals "D" has had a tough time stopping the run. This will be the difference in this game. Lest not forget that the Saints are 20-1 SU and 18-2-1 ATS at the Superdome under Sean Peyton. Take New Orleans. Thank you.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc's Sports

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers

Free NFL Football Prediction From Doc’s Sports: Take OVER 54.5 Philadelphia at Green Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 16)

Philadelphia continued to play at a very high level on offense with Mark Sanchez as their quarterback last week. They are still running an up-tempo offense, and it looked like business as usual for Chip Kelly's team. Simply put: The Eagles can score. Having said that, the Packers will have the best offense on the field this Sunday. Aaron Rodgers has so many weapons, and he is playing as good as he has ever played. The Packers have scored 223 points in their last 6 games. That's amazing. Both of these defenses are solid but not great. This game will be a shootout from start to finish. The Over may hit by halftime. Take the Over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve Williams

New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts

Bonus Play Over

Light 'em Up! Colts and the Patriots will do that to the scoreboard this Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium.. Patriots have smashed the Colts last 2 meetings including 2013 Playoffs.

Tom Brady has led his Patriots to 6 straight overs. Patriots are 51-21 over since 2010 in regular season. No reason to expect anything different Sunday Night. Colts are # 1 in points scored so far this year. Pats are # 3. Colts are 7-2-1 over last 10. Andrew Luck knows he will need to keep pace with Brady to win this game. Both teams are off byes which will allow each team's defense to sharpen their game plan. Won't matter !

This one will cruise over the total. Just a matter if that happens by the end of the third quarter.. Take the over 57.5 as our Free NFL Winner of the Week.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brad Diamond

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers

Free NFL Selection Green Bay Packers over Philadelphia @ 4:25 Eastern

Always difficult to go against Chip Kelly, but he and the Eagles have failed against San Francisco and Arizona on the road. When you craft an analysis on the Philadelphia quarterback position, some might assume that Sanchez is an improvement over slow footed Nick Foles. I have a slightly different view point, one that sees the second game of the Sanchez tenure generating a different opponent, a winning one that has a RED HOT quarterback in Rogers. More important, this is the second game for Sanchez with his start last week against a depressed Carolina defense. The Eagles offense matches up well against the Green Bay defense that has failed only against Seattle and New Orleans this season. But, remember the Eagles are 4-12-1 ATS vs. winning units. When the Packers have the ball they will place more pressure on the Eagles stellar defense than anyone since the Indianapolis game. Philly does have the advantage in special teams, but we know Green Bay is well coached enough to disallow a long score inside the return game. The Packers have some nice techs too as they show 41-20-2 ATS on grass, 4-0-1 ATS at home and 5-1 ATS L6 in Vegas.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Denver Broncos vs. St. Louis Rams

Play - St. Louis Rams

Edges - Rams: 10-1-1 ATS as home dog of 7 or more points; and Fisher 31-19 ATS career home dog, including 11-2 ATS when off a double-digit ATS loss. Broncos: 1-6 ATS after score 40 or more points in last game versus non-division opponent off a non-division game. With Denver in its 3rd straight road game and NFL teams just 28-48-1 ATS during the regular season in this role when off a SU win, we recommend a 1-unit play on St. Louis. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Adams

Denver Broncos vs. St. Louis Rams

Bonus Play Denver Broncos

If you think the Broncos are complacent at 7-2, think again. With the surging Chiefs right on Denver’s heals, we can expect a big effort from this team every week. Running back Ronnie Hillman went down in last Sunday’s blowout of the Raiders. Hillman is a solid RB, but it shouldn’t affect Denver too much with backup C.J. Anderson running wild right now. Former Wisconsin star Montee Ball will also be available if need be. As we know, running the ball isn’t a big part of the Broncos’ offense anyway. Peyton Manning won’t have any trouble tearing up this Rams’ secondary, so they’ll just need to run the ball every once in a while to keep the Rams honest.

St. Louis ranks 27th in the league while allowing 27.9 points per game. That’s bad news for them as Manning brings in an elite offense the likes of which St. Louis hasn’t seen before. Expect a lot of confusion from this Rams’ defense as Peyton changes plays at the line based on the formation shown. The Rams aren’t getting it done on the offensive end either, averaging just 11.3 points in their last 3 games. The Broncos offense get most of the credit, but this stop unit is leaps and bounds better from last year. For some reason Coach Jeff Fisher thinks it’s a good idea to replace Austin Davis with Shaun Hill, who hasn’t made a start since the season opener. This will throw off team chemistry and hinder an already struggling offense. Look for the Broncos D to take advantage and force some turnovers, leading to points the other way. The Broncos are rolling right now so lets lay the chalk and cash in.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kyle Hunter

Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns

*3 Star NFL Free Pick* Cleveland Browns

The Cleveland Browns are sitting in first place in the AFC North. They've earned it by getting an identity under new coach Mike Pettine. This Cleveland team plays hard from the start of the game to the final whistle, and they aren't afraid of anyone. Houston comes in here with a new starting quarterback in Ryan Mallett. Mallett will likely be an upgrade in the long run, but the weather conditions aren't going to be easy for him or the Texans to deal with on Sunday. Current weather reports are calling for snow showers and a temperature around 30 degrees. Houston players aren't used to that, while the Browns have been around this on a consistent basis. Cleveland learned from their mistake of having a letdown game against Jacksonville this year. Lay the three points with the home team. Take Cleveland.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ray Monohan

Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Sunday 5* FREE NFL Play Seattle Seahawks +2.5

Similar to the above the value is too hard to ignore getting the Seahawks at +2.5. The defending champs might not be playing at the same level they did a year ago but against a less than dynamic Kansas City team they should win fairly easily.

Being outside in a hostile environment may actually bring out the best in this team that still wants to thinks of themselves as the underdog climbing the mountain.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Carlo Campanella

Oakland Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers

10* Bonus Play On Oakland Raiders

12th, when walking out of Oakland with a 3 point victory, 31-28. Now they're a struggling team that's lost 3 STRAIGHT games & 4 STRAIGHT games against-the-spread, but somehow they're double digit favorites against one of their AFC West division rivals this Sunday. With these teams meeting for the second time this season, expecting another closely played division game and MUST take the points with the Raiders as San Diego has allowed 23, 28, 35 & 37 points in their last 4 games! The Chargers might turn things around and get the outright home win, but the Raiders are 3-2 ATS during the last five meetings. Don't have any reason to think the Chargers will get that much better after not covering the spread in over a month and Vegas is offering a generous line knowing that most of the public won't back an 0-9 team that hasn't won a game this year!

 

[yurilaio]

Heath Mac Sports??????? TIA!!

 

[PhiloBeddoe]

Good Sunday Morning a buddy of mine said Doc sports was good, so i played him yesterday. OMG I really took it on the ass. lol 0-4 on the games i played

They are. You should get plays for free today. Your capper will give you picks till they win

 

[bigtymer]

anyone have MoneyMavrick today?

 

[sportslover1]

Bondi 7 star NFL anyone?

 

[masterrick]

steve budin

100dime

colts

 

[sportsfeen]

Paul leiner 2000* TIA