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NFL Prop Shop: Week 5's best player prop picks
By SEAN MURPHY

It’s hard to believe we’ve already reached Week 5 of the NFL season. At this point of the campaign, taking a bit of a contrarian approach can start to pay off.

With that in mind, here are Covers Expert Sean Murphy's five (mostly unpopular) player props to consider Sunday.

Most passing yards

Jay Cutler (Chicago Bears) vs. Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers)

The Panthers are coming off back-to-back dismal performances and there’s been no shortage of blame heaped upon Cam Newton.

I see this as an excellent bounce-back spot for Newton and the Panthers offense, however. Newton has enjoyed plenty of success against the Bears over the course of his career and while Chicago boasts an opportunistic defense, it’s not a shutdown unit by any means.

Jay Cutler is a streaky quarterback and he’s coming off a bad game. Now he faces a Panthers defense that will undoubtedly have a big chip on its shoulder.

Take: Newton

Andy Dalton (Cincinnati Bengals) vs. Tom Brady (New England Patriots)

The Patriots bandwagon has all but emptied and there are plenty out there who believe that Tom Brady’s best days are behind him. While that may be the case, I do expect to see Brady and the New England offense rebound Sunday night.

Yes, the Bengals boast a tremendous defense, but this is a unit that could get caught reading its own press, still undefeated and coming off a bye week.

Andy Dalton has been cruising, but this is a tough challenge going into Gillette Stadium for a Sunday night game against a hungry Patriots defense. New England is a far better defensive team than it showed Monday night. Look for it to make a statement here.

Take: Brady

Most rushing yards

Jamaal Charles (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. Frank Gore (San Francisco 49ers)

The 49ers got things turned around with a come-from-behind win over the Eagles last Sunday, thanks in large part to a big game from veteran Frank Gore. Don’t count on a repeat performance from Gore Sunday.

He’s no longer the focal point of the offense, even if he seemed to resume that role against Philadelphia. The Chiefs are down a couple of key cogs defensively, but are still a physical group, and won’t give Gore much running room.

Kansas City needs to lean heavily on its ground game here, and the reigning AFC Offensive Player of the Week, Jamaal Charles, will play an important role.

Take: Charles

Most pass receptions

Steve Smith Sr. (Baltimore Ravens) vs. Reggie Wayne (Indianapolis Colts)

Steve Smith has been all the rage this season, and for good reason. He’s rejuvenated the Ravens offense and supplanted Torrey Smith as Joe Flacco’s favorite target. With that said, the Colts will undoubtedly be keying on Smith Sunday, knowing that as he goes so does the rest of the offense.

Reggie Wayne has quietly returned to the forefront of the Colts offense, renewing that terrific chemistry we saw him develop with Andrew Luck during the QB’s rookie season. Maybe Wayne doesn’t match Smith’s yardage in this game, but I do expect him to garner a few more targets and more importantly for us, catches.

Take: Wayne

 

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Rams keep cashing Under tickets
Stephen Campbell

The St. Louis Rams have become a boon for bettors banking on low totals.

The Under is a sizzling 7-1 in the Rams' last eight games. St. Louis travels to Philadelphia for a date with the Eagles Sunday.

Philly is currently 6.5-point faves with the total set at 47.5.

 

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History shows faves prevailing in Bucs-Saints games
Stephen Campbell

The dogs haven't had their day in previous meetings between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New Orleans Saints.

The faves are 4-1 ATS in the last five matchups between the two clubs. They'll renew acquaintances in Louisiana Sunday.

The Saints are presently 10.5-point home faves with a total of 48.

 

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Lions-Eagles have history of low-scoring games
Stephen Campbell

If you've been backing the Under when the Detroit Lions and Buffalo Bills have gotten together as of late, you've been collecting some nice profits.

Each of the last four games between the two clubs have gone under the total. Detroit will host the Lions in Week 5 NFL action Sunday.

Detroit is currently 6.5-point favorites with an O/U of 43.5.

 

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Titans proving to be a poor spread bet at home
Stephen Campbell

The Tennessee Titans have been an awful spread bet at LP Field, going 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games.

That's a trend that Titans backers need to be aware of ahead of Tennessee's meeting with Cleveland in Nashville Sunday.

Tennessee is currently 2-point home faves with an Over/Under of 44.

 

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Colts have become a boon for Over bettors
Stephen Campbell

Andrew Luck's high-flying Indianapolis Colts offense has put some cash in the pockets of bettors backing the Over in their recent games.

All six of the Colts' last six games have gone over the total. Indy welcomes Baltimore into Lucas Oil Stadium Sunday.

Indianapolis is presently 3.5-point favorites with the total set at 49.

 

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Under on fire when Panthers play NFC teams
Stephen Campbell

When the Carolina Panthers face off against NFC teams, low-scoring games tend to follow.

The Under is 9-0 in the Panthers' last nine games against NFC clubs. They'll host the NFC North's Chicago Bears Sunday.

Cam Newton's crew is currently 2.5-point faves with a total of 45.5.

 

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Underdog covering with ease in Jags-Steelers clashes
Stephen Campbell

If you're planning on wagering on the spread in Sunday's Jacksonville Jaguars-Pittsburgh Steelers matchup, there's one particular trend you need to be aware of.

In the last eight contests between the two teams, the underdog is a perfect 8-0. The Jags will host the Steelers once again in Week 5 NFL action Sunday.

The Jaguars are currently 6-point home dogs with a total of 47.5 for the game.

 

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Texans posting ugly ATS numbers on turf
Stephen Campbell

The Houston Texans have been a nightmare for spread bettors when playing on turf lately, going 0-8 ATS in their last eight games played on the artificial surface.

The Texans will once again play on fieldturf when they travel to AT&T Stadium for a meeting with the Dallas Cowboys Sunday.

The 'Boys are currently 6.5-point home faves with a total of 47.

 

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Under scorching hot between Giants-Falcons
Stephen Campbell

The Under has been the hot play when the New York Giants and the Atlanta Falcons collide, going 7-1-1 in the last nine matchups between the two clubs.

Atlanta travels to MetLife Stadium Sunday for a date with the G-Men. The Giants are presently 4-point home favorites with a total of 50.

 

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Ari Atari

Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts

Bonus Play Baltimore Ravens

Give me the ravens +3.5 in Indy. The ravens are flying under the radar and are sneaky good. Flacco had weapons, and a solid, opportunistic D. The Colts are overrated and this game will prove it. The moneyline is tempting but it stands good at +3,5 or even at +3, Get on this one early if you want the +3.5 as it is expected to move to +3 very soon.

The Ravens have won 3 in a row allowing only 15 pts. per game on average to give them the second best scoring defense in the league. Look for a close game that could come down to a field goal. Take the slight underdog and root for the outright win

 

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On Sunday in early action the free NFL System Club play is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 453 at 1:00 eastern. Some powerful systems in this game. We play against home favorites of less than 5 off back to back road less like the Titans the last of which was by 30 or more points if they have no rest. These home teams are 2-11 ats A 44-17 system plays on Cleveland here as we again go against home favorites that allowed 35 or more as a road dog and lost to the spread by 10+ points. The Titans are 0-8 ats off a road game. The Browns are 6-0 ats as a dog vs a non division team before a home game. With Tennessee 5-15 ats when the total is more than 42 up to 49. We will see what Brown can do for you today. On Sunday a huge pack is up and posted as NFL is at or near the top of several major leader boards. The 6* Afternoon blowout with systems and angles that combined are 61-0, the 26-0 Sunday night NFL Game of the Month, the 100% Non Division total of the month in early action and MLB Power total in evening action are all up. Message to Jump on and end the week big with the most powerful data in the country. For the Bonus Play take the Cleveland Browns. GC

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Platinum Plays

Free Pick: Atlanta/NY Giants Game Over 50 Points

 

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Totals4U

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Pittsburgh Steelers/Jacksonville Jaguars under 47

 

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Fat Jack

NFL

Chicago Bears +3

Over 45 Cleveland Browns/Tennessee Titans

Baltimore Ravens +3.5

Over 45.5 Seattle Seahawks/Washington Redskins

 

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Ben Burns

Burns' 10* SNF Main Event!

New England Patriots


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New England Patriots
Ben Burns

Burns' 10* NFL Sunday BLUE CHIP SUPER TOTAL!

Under New York Jets/San Diego Chargers


Burns' *ALL EARLY* 3-Game ULTIMATE (includes 10* Breakfast Club!)

Carolina Panthers

St. Louis Rams

Jacksonville Jaguars


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Carolina Panthers

 

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Preview: Angels (98-64) at Royals (89-72)

Game: 3
Venue: Angel Stadium of Anaheim
Date: October 05, 2014 7:37 PM EDT

(AP) - The Kansas City Royals, that scrappy run-run-run team quickly endearing itself to baseball purists, is proving small ball works on the game's biggest stage.

The Royals, who finished last by a wide margin in home runs this season, are just one win away from sweeping the mighty, power-hitting Los Angeles Angels as their best-of-five Divisional Series shifts to Kansas City on Sunday.

Led by a manager who grew up in the National League, where bunting and stolen bases often win the day, the Royals are taking a decidedly old-school approach to the postseason.

'I think that here, especially in the past, everybody got into hitting two- and three-run homers and that kind of abandoned bunting, stealing and playing the game aggressively in that fashion,' said Ned Yost, who learned his craft from longtime Braves manager Bobby Cox.

'Do we have power? Yeah, we have some guys that can hit the ball out,' Yost said. 'But we don't have any 25, 30, 35-home run hitters on our team. So we do other things.'

The Royals led the majors with 153 stolen bases this season, not counting the seven they had in Tuesday's wild-card win over Oakland to match a postseason record.

'It's the way their team is built,' Angels manager Mike Scioscia said. 'One of their best tools is their ability to create on the base paths, and they do it as well as anybody I've seen."

While the Royals hit 95 homers this season, Los Angeles tied for seventh-most with 155. So far, small ball appears to be winning out.

Angels power hitters Mike Trout, Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton are a combined 1 for 25. And the result of that abrupt power-outage? Three runs in two games.

'There are some guys that right now aren't attacking the ball where they can for various reasons,' Scioscia said. 'We haven't done a lot of the things we've done during the season, and we put a lot of pressure on our pitching staff.'

Los Angeles will start left-hander C.J. Wilson (13-10, 4.51 ERA), who is 0-5 with a 5.97 ERA in his last seven postseason starts - all with Texas. Royals right-hander James Shields will pitch on his regular rest after giving up four runs in five innings of the wild-card win.

Kansas City has put the Angels on the brink of elimination with two splendidly pitched games capped by 11th-inning homers over the right-field wall at somber Angel Stadium.

Eric Hosmer hit a two-run shot in the 11th, and Kansas City took a 2-0 series lead with a 4-1 victory Friday night.

Pujols had a tying RBI single in the sixth for the Angels, but they've been mostly helpless against a Kansas City pitching staff that has held their star-studded lineup to three runs in 22 innings. Los Angeles, which led the big leagues with 98 wins, has just 10 hits in the series - none by Trout or Hamilton.

'This series is not over,' said Pujols, who is 1 for 8. 'Obviously, you don't want to go down 0-2 and go to the other place, but anything can happen. Hopefully our bats get going. ... We just need to catch some breaks. If we do, we'll be fine.'

Going back to the regular season, the Angels have lost five straight games for the first time all season. Only eight teams in major league history have rallied to win a playoff series after losing the first two games.

The Royals are the first team in major league history to win three straight extra-inning playoff games. In its first postseason appearance since 1985, Kansas City is on a playoff roll.

'That's what the cool part of this has been - everyone has had their time,' said Hosmer, who had three hits and scored two runs Friday. 'They've had their moment when they've made a big play or stepped up and did something big. A lot of the times, it was with our back against the wall. Most of the time it was with our season on the line.'

 

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Notebook: Nats turn to Fister in Game 3
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

WASHINGTON -- Doug Fister, acquired in a trade with the Detroit Tigers before the season, will start for the Washington Nationals in Game 3 on Monday in San Francisco.

The tall right-hander was 16-6 with an ERA of 2.41 in 25 starts this season.

"I don't know that we are in this situation without Doug," first baseman Adam LaRoche said Saturday. "I think he's helped our starters a ton."

Fister, who began this season on the disabled list, works fast and gets a lot of groundball outs.

"You know, the guy doesn't break 90 miles an hour very often," LaRoche added. “He has a knack for sawing guys off, which is pretty tough to do, with that velocity."

--Tim Hudson, the Game 2 starter for the Giants, is no stranger to the Nationals.

In regular-season play he is 18-5 with an ERA of 2.35 in 31 starts against Washington, with many of those games coming when he played for the Atlanta Braves.

So how does Washington first baseman Adam LaRoche approach Hudson, his teammate in Atlanta in 2005, 2006 and 2009?

"You have to get to him early," LaRoche said before Game 2. "Huddy, throughout his career, he is known for, once he gets past the third, fourth inning and settles in, he gets to be really tough.

"If you can get to him the first two, three innings, ideally, it is huge. Not to say he can't be beat after that, but once he gets rolling, he's good. Really good.

"So, yeah, I mean, I don't know. He's got it figured out. He knows when to make adjustments. He knows how to read hitters well. He has a knack for that again. He pounds the zone, typically. Be read ready to hit early."

The Giants were 2-5 against Washington in regular-season play this year and both wins came in games started by Hudson.

--Nationals Park is about 107 miles north of The Diamond in Richmond, the home of the Double-A affiliate of the Giants.

And while the Giants are some 3,000 miles away from the Virginia capital the team has strong ties to the Old Dominion.

The Richmond Flying Squirrels have been the Double-A Eastern League affiliate of the Giants since 2009. Many of the current contributors of the Giants came through Richmond on their way up the minor league ladder, including Brandon Crawford, Brandon Belt, Joe Panik and Hunter Strickland.

"It seems like here, it doesn't matter who you are, you are treated like one of the team," Belt said before Game 2. "You are treated like everyone else."

Strickland, who pitched in Game 1 for the Giants, was 1-1 with an ERA of 2.02 in 38 games with 11 saves for Richmond earlier this year. He was then promoted to Triple-A Fresno before he got the call to the Giants in early September.

Panik, the second baseman, had five hits in the first two postseason games this year to set a Giants record. He hit .257 in 137 games with 27 doubles, four triples and four home runs while spending all of 2013 in Richmond.

For good measure Giants reliever Javier Lopez is a graduate of Robinson High in Fairfax, Va., about 30 miles from Nationals Park, and manager Bruce Bochy lived in Falls Church, Va., for part of his boyhood.

 

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Umpire trend you need to know for Orioles-Tigers
Stephen Campbell

The Detroit Tigers and the Baltimore Orioles face off at Comerica Park in Game 3 of their AL Divisional Series Sunday, and there's one particular trend bettors who plan on wagering on the game need to be aware of.

Umpire Jeff Kellogg will be behind the plate for the matchup. In Baltimore's last seven games with Kellogg calling balls and strikes, the Over is a sizzling 7-0.

Baltimore sends Bud Norris to the mound, while David Price counters for Detroit.

The Tigers are currently -175 faves on the moneyline with a total of 7.5 for the contest.

 

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Orioles to start Norris in Game 3
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

The Baltimore Orioles decided to start right-hander Bud Norris for Game 3 of the American League Divisional Series on Sunday against the Detroit Tigers instead of righty Miguel Gonzalez.

Baltimore planned to start Gonzalez, but announced Saturday that it will instead go with Norris. It is not clear why the club made the change.

Norris, 29, was 15-8 with a 3.65 ERA in 165 1/3 innings this regular season. He had a 2.08 ERA in five September starts. Sunday will mark Norris' first career postseason start.

Gonzalez, 30, was 10-9 with a 3.23 ERA in 159 innings this season. That includes a 2.09 ERA in his last 13 starts. However, he allowed seven runs in 3 1/3 innings in his only start against the Tigers. He allowed just one run over seven innings in his only career postseason start in 2012.

Manager Buck Showalter is expected to explain the rotation change when he and Norris meet with reporters later on Saturday.

The Orioles lead the best-of-five series 2-0 as it shifts to Detroit.