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Bengals star-WR A.J. Green out for Wild Card game
Andrew Avery

According to a report from NFL.com, Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver A.J. Green has been ruled out for Sunday's AFC Wild Card game versus the Indianapolis Colts.

After he had suffered a concussion in Week 17, Green was downgraded to doubtful Friday.

The Georgia product finished the regular season with 69 catches for 1,041 yards and six touchdowns.

The Bengals are presently 3.5-point road underdogs for their visit to the Colts. The total is 48.5.
 
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Dalton failing bettors in postseason
Andrew Avery

History is not on the side of the Cincinnati Bengals and their backers in the Andy Dalton era. The former TCU quarterback is 0-3 straight up and against the spread in three playoff games in his career.

Furthermore, Dalton has tossed just one touchdown pass compared to six interceptions in those three starts.

Cincy was a 4-point road dog in 2012 and 2013 versus the Houston Texans before closing as a 6.5-point home favorite against the San Diego Chargers last season.

This time around, the Bengals are 3.5-point road dogs as they visit Andrew Luck and Indianapolis Colts Sunday.
 
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'Let's Get Wild!'

Sharpen pencils, post season games are among the most difficult to handicap. Oddsmakers have only a few games a week to create a line instead of the usual sixteen, so count on point spreads being pretty tight in these WIN-And-Move-On games. That's confirmed by our reliable NFL database that tells us over the past five years during Wild Card Weekend Favorites have covered the point spread 9 times, Underdogs got the money 10 times with 1 Push. Taking a long-term view, much the same. In ten years, Favorites covered the point spread 19 times, Underdogs 20 and 1 push. Totals are a different story and here we begin to uncover some meaningful trends. The most obvious that jumps out is the tendency for Wild Card games to go 'Under' posted totals. The past 10 years there have been 15 'Over', 25 'Under' with short-term trends on the same path with 9 'Over', 11 'Under'. A final few betting nuggets as it applies to Wild Card participants. The Ravens are on a 4-0 ATS streak in these 'Put-Up-Go-Home games including 3-0 ATS when travelling. Bengals enter a cash draining 0-5 ATS in this round. During the past five years, teams heading into the Wild Card Round off a loss (Bengals, Cardinals, Lions) have a 6-9 ATS record including 0-5 ATS when playing in a hostile venue.
 
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NFL Football: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Sunday at 1:05 EST has Colts who have won five of six (3-2-1 ATS) spotting Bengals 5.5 points of offense. Colts are a vig losing 3-3 ATS in Wild Card play while the Bengals come in a cash draining 0-5 ATS in this round. Other trends of note: Colts have a 9-5 ATS mark as chalk of 6.5 or less, Bengals are 8-3 ATS when handed 6.5 or less. Colts were 5-2-1 ATS as home faves this year, Bengals 4-2 ATS taking points on the road.

Sunday's finale features Cowboys on a 6-1 tear (5-2 ATS) handing visiting Detroit Lions 7 points. Cowboys have grabbed the loot in each of the past two Wild Card appearances with Lions 0-1 ATS in it's lone WC action the past ten years. Lions have not been good bets on the road posting a 2-9 ATS record last eleven away from Mo-Town and have a horrendous 0-7-1 ATS road skid during the month of December.
 
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'Wild-Sunday'

The Indianapolis Colts and Cincinnati Bengals line up against each other in an early Sunday Wild Card matchup at Lucas Oil Stadium. The betting market certainly noticing Andrew Luck and Company beating Bengals 27-zip earlier this season at this venue giving Colts seven straight victories vs Cincinnati in front of it's frenzied home crowd (5-2 ATS) have the team 3.5 point favorite in this 'Win-Move-On' game. In addition, the football betting world has a firm grasp on Bengals ineptitude in the playoffs. The Bengals are on a 0-5 SU/ATS skid under coach Marvin Lewis including 0-3 SU/ATS with QB Dalton taking snaps. More football betting ammunition favoring Indy, teams like Bengals heading into the Wild Card Round off a loss have a 6-9 ATS record including 0-5 ATS when playing in a hostile venue. Factor all this data together and the arrow clearly points toward taking the Colts.
 
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NFL

DETROIT (11 - 5) at DALLAS (12 - 4) - 1/4/2015, 4:40 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
DETROIT is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
DETROIT is 56-83 ATS (-35.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
DETROIT is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


CINCINNATI (10 - 5 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 5) - 1/4/2015, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
INDIANAPOLIS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NFL

Trends

CINCINNATI vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Cincinnati is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

DETROIT vs. DALLAS
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
 
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NFL Football Trends

NFL Football Betting Trends for Sunday, Jan. 4

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts, 1:00 ET

Cincinnati
8-20 ATS in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival
0-6 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
6-0 UNDER as a road underdog
17-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points

Indianapolis
19-8 ATS as a favorite
7-0 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points
6-0 ATS in home games after allowing 14 points or less last game
19-8 UNDER in home games against AFC North division opponents

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys, 4:40 ET

Detroit
56-83 ATS in road games against conference opponents
2-10 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
3-12 ATS after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored

Dallas
24-10 ATS in home games after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games
23-9 OVER in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins
 

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