Sunday 07/26/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Dominic Fazzini

Rays rookie Jeff Niemann (9-4, 3.61 ERA) has been getting better as the season has progressed.The 6-foot-9-inch right-hander is 7-1 with a 2.65 ERA over his last 12 starts, and Tampa Bay has won 11 of those games. He has allowed more than three earned runs just once in that stretch.

In his last outing, Niemann gave up two runs and eight hits in eight innings Tuesday against the White Sox.

Niemann was sharp in his only start against Toronto this season, allowing one run and four hits in 7 1/3 innings on June 29.

The Blue Jays have a surging rookie of their own taking the mound today. Left-hander Brett Cecil (3-1, 4.67) has pitched 13 consecutive scoreless innings, including seven against the Indians on Tuesday.

Despite his recent success, Cecil has been inconsistent this year, so I’m thinking he’s due for a setback today. Plus, Tampa Bay is coming off of an amazing 10-9 come-from-behind victory in which it rallied from an 8-0 deficit after four innings before winning in 12.

With that momentum to carry them, plus Niemann on the mound, I like the Rays to complete a three-game sweep of the Blue Jays.

(Based on a 1♦ to 5♦ scale)

5♦ TAMPA BAY
 
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Matt Fargo

Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers Jul 26, 2009 2:05PM

PICK: Milwaukee Brewers

REASON FOR PICK: Derek Lowe has tossed three straight quality outings and now is the time to go against him. He has been up and down and remains an overpriced pitcher in my opinion. After a brilliant start to the season, it has been a struggle of late despite coming off those three quality starts. Before that, he went 1-4 with an 8.61 ERA in his previous five starts. Currently, his ERA, WHIP and BAA are the highest they have been since 2004 which was his final season in Boston. He is doing nothing special on the road with a 4.68 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 10 starts with the Braves going 5-5 in those games. The Braves are 3-5 in Lowe’s last eight starts following a quality outing in his last game. Braden Looper has had his struggles this season as well but he is coming off one of his best starts this season in his last outing. He tossed seven shutout innings against the Pirates and gave up only four hits and it was his longest outing since May 29th. He is 4-1 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.25 WHIP at home compared to a 5-3 record with a 5.06 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the road. He has been getting solid run support all season and that is always a benefit as he is receiving 5.8 rpg overall and 5.7 rpg in his 11 home starts with the Brewers going 7-4 in those games. He faced Atlanta twice last season with Milwaukee winning both games after posting quality outings in both and putting a combined 3.21 ERA in those games. The Braves are 11-25 in their last 36 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150 while the Brewers are 5-1 in Looper’s last six home starts against a team with a winning record.

3* Milwaukee Brewers
 
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Jimmy Boyd

Florida Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers -130

Schmidt battled pretty well in his first start back to pick up a win against the Reds 6 days ago. I expect him to show major improvements today against a team he has owned. Schmidt is 9-0 when starting against Florida in his career with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.169. The Dodgers have won 6 of their last 7 games and are an impressive 45-16 in their last 61 games as a home favorite. The Fish send Volstad to the hill and they are only 3-7 in his last 10 starts. But here's the clincher: the are 0-9 in his last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. It's hard to pass up the best team in baseball at this price.
I'll play the Dodgers for a unit today.

1 Unit on LA Dodgers -130
 

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Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox
Baltimore: (R) HERNANDEZ, D
Boston: (R) SMOLTZ, J
Over 10

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Chicago-A: (L) RICHARD, C
Detroit: (R) PORCELLO, R
Under 9 1/2

GL
 
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Big Al McMordie

One has to question the mindset of the Blue Jays these days, as they have fallen apart after a great start, are dealing with Halladay trade rumors and blew a 9-1 lead yesterday.
What started out as a very promising season for the Toronto Blue Jays now looks almost certainly like a fourth place finish in the American League East division at best.

But what is on most everyone's minds these days is not how the Blue Jays will fare the rest of the way, but rather will they be playing games in August and September with or without the services of their ace Roy Halladay, who has spent all of his career with this club. Even if Halladay departs for a contender, there is reason for optimism north of the border as pitchers like young lefthander Brett Cecil continue to make a positive impression on this franchise.

But after throwing 13 scoreless innings in his last two starts against Baltimore and Cleveland, this game vs. the Tampa Bay Rays is likely to be a much tougher challenge for the former Maryland Terrapin.

While Tampa's Scott Kazmir has been a major disappointment so far, their starter this afternoon, big (6 foot 9 inch, 280 pound) right-hander Jeff Niemann, has been a huge surprise and has helped offset the sub-par season that Kazmir is having. Niemann already has nine wins and he seems to be getting stronger with each start as he's won his last two and is pitching very well on the road, where six of his nine wins have come.

Neimann has already beaten the Jays once this season and that game was one of his best starts so far as he surrendered just one earned run on four hits in seven-plus quality innings.

Take the Rays.

Free Pick: Rays -107
 

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Half Bets

OK so lets finish the week off strong. SSG has a huge package today and here is one of their top plays for today. They are 12-5 on the week. yesterday was a 1-1 day with a loss on that piece of crap Toronto team.

Baltimore v. Boston 1:35pm
PICK: Red Sox RL +110 (7*)



I think we are all familiar with premier right now and they are on a 21-4 run since the all star break. Here is one of the three plays from their package.

Seattle and Cleveland Under 8.5 at –115 for 4 units

I believe we are getting a good spot for an Under today with both the first games going over with Cleveland getting the Over by them selves. The Pitching matchup today is Cliff Lee (6-9 3.17 ERA) vs. Vargas (3-3 3.82 ERA). We Cliff Lee that is 20-7-3 to the under in his last 30 starts on Sunday games. Vargas has never faced the Indians before and I believe that will help him today even though he has not started in 3 weeks. Lee has had very good success vs. the Mariners in the past with an ERA of under 3. Lee has had 9 quality starts out of his last 10 games. Seattle is 6-1 to the under on Sunday games their last 7. The Under is 10-2-1 against the AL Central their last 13 games overall. The Under is 39-16-2 in their last 57 games which is almost 70% rate. Now the Under for the Indians on Sundays are 45-11-3 in their last 59 games overall. I believe we are getting a good spot for a very low scoring game today in Seattle witch games at home only average 7.87 runs this year.
 

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Can Someone Pick up Dominic Fazini?

He will WIN TODAY!

Dominic Fazzini

Rays rookie Jeff Niemann (9-4, 3.61 ERA) has been getting better as the season has progressed.The 6-foot-9-inch right-hander is 7-1 with a 2.65 ERA over his last 12 starts, and Tampa Bay has won 11 of those games. He has allowed more than three earned runs just once in that stretch.

In his last outing, Niemann gave up two runs and eight hits in eight innings Tuesday against the White Sox.

Niemann was sharp in his only start against Toronto this season, allowing one run and four hits in 7 1/3 innings on June 29.

The Blue Jays have a surging rookie of their own taking the mound today. Left-hander Brett Cecil (3-1, 4.67) has pitched 13 consecutive scoreless innings, including seven against the Indians on Tuesday.

Despite his recent success, Cecil has been inconsistent this year, so I’m thinking he’s due for a setback today. Plus, Tampa Bay is coming off of an amazing 10-9 come-from-behind victory in which it rallied from an 8-0 deficit after four innings before winning in 12.

With that momentum to carry them, plus Niemann on the mound, I like the Rays to complete a three-game sweep of the Blue Jays.

(Based on a 1♦ to 5♦ scale)
 

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crestor,

That is the FREE Pick! Can you pick up the 15 DIMER TODAY?
 

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dominic fazzini

rays rookie jeff niemann (9-4, 3.61 era) has been getting better as the season has progressed.the 6-foot-9-inch right-hander is 7-1 with a 2.65 era over his last 12 starts, and tampa bay has won 11 of those games. He has allowed more than three earned runs just once in that stretch.

In his last outing, niemann gave up two runs and eight hits in eight innings tuesday against the white sox.

Niemann was sharp in his only start against toronto this season, allowing one run and four hits in 7 1/3 innings on june 29.

The blue jays have a surging rookie of their own taking the mound today. Left-hander brett cecil (3-1, 4.67) has pitched 13 consecutive scoreless innings, including seven against the indians on tuesday.

Despite his recent success, cecil has been inconsistent this year, so i’m thinking he’s due for a setback today. Plus, tampa bay is coming off of an amazing 10-9 come-from-behind victory in which it rallied from an 8-0 deficit after four innings before winning in 12.

With that momentum to carry them, plus niemann on the mound, i like the rays to complete a three-game sweep of the blue jays.

(based on a 1♦ to 5♦ scale)

dont be a smartass and post free picks u cheapo!
 

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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1> <!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->
Premier Cappers

Boston RL –110 for 4 units

Boston has many advantages over Baltimore and they have been struggling since the all-star break and Baltimore is the team that Boston needed to see at home with them winning their last 10 games at home against them and 7 of 8 this season. On top of all of this we are getting the better pitcher in Lester on this hill whom is 8-7 this season with 3.87 ERA but has been pitching his best all season his last 9 games having 9 quality starts in a row. He is also 2-0 against Baltimore this season going 14 innings giving 0 runs. Guthrie will be on the hill for Baltimore today and he is 7-8 with a 5.12 ERA and is 3-4 with a 6.34 ERA on the road. In his only meeting against Boston this season he gave up 8 runs in 4.2 innings pitched. A couple of trends to consider is Boston is 32-14 at home this season while Baltimore is 15-33 away from home. Baltimore is 6-28 their last 34 games against Boston in Boston dating back a few seasons. With Boston hitting .277 against right handed starters at home and Baltimore is hitting .217 away from home against lefty starters. I think Boston is going to build momentum in this game and they have the better pitching from top to bottom in this game and if Boston can put some runs for support we will win this game with no problem today

Yesterdays post..Good luck and thanks for the hard work CPAW...
 

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