Sunday 06/14/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JAKE TIMLIN

Take the Rays minus the Run Line as they blast the Nationals.
Going for the sweep I like Tampa Bay in today all thanks to the fact that the Nationals suck. Washington losers now of 25 of their last 31 games are in no position to beat the Rays today. Not when the National have only 16 total wins on the year and now turn to Detwiler who is winless on the year in five starts.
Meanwhile, for the Rays with last night’s win they are doing what is expected and that is to beat the worst team in the league. Thanks to Shields who is 2-1 with a sub 3 ERA in his last three starts I fully expect climbed for a blowout here.
All Tampa Bay at home today.

1♦ Tampa Bay Rays -1 ½ Runs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ROCKY ATKINSON

The Phillies try to salvage one game as they host the Red Sox and a familiar foe in Josh Beckett who has shrugged off a slow start to the season going 3-0 with a 0.44 ERA in his last three outings and giving up just 1 earned run in 20.7 innings pitched. Beckett last saw Philadelphia in 2006 and has gone 8-3 against them with a 3.79 ERA all time. The Over is 11-5 in his 16 outings against the Phillies. Doing well against the righthander are Chase Utley (6-22), Raul Ibanez (3-11), Pedro Feliz (4-9), and Carlos Ruiz (1-3). The Phillies have gone Over in four of their last six and average almost 6 runs per game during the daytime.

Going for the Phillies is J.A. Happ who has been converted to a starter from the bullpen. Happ has made four starts going 2-0 with a 3.42 ERA. He has made one start at home giving up three runs and three hits in 5.3 innings pitched against the Nationals. Happ was touched up for four runs in 5.3 innings pitched in his last outing in New York against the Mets. No Red Sox has seen the lefthander, but they average 5.5 runs per game against lefty starters and 6 runs per game during the daytime this season. Both teams dipped into their bullpen yesterday as well leaving the managers handicapped a bit if their starting pitcher struggles today.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Fina
June 14, 2009

Selection: Florida Marlins (-105)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Cincinnati at Kansas City

The Reds look to bounce back from yesterday's 7-4 loss and build in their 7-0 record in Johnny Cueto's last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cincinnati is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JUNE 14
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Houston at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 15.424; Arizona (Buckner) 14.406
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Under
Game 953-954: St. Louis at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.064; Cleveland (Lee) 16.098
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Under
Game 955-956: Florida at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 15.724; Toronto (Tallet) 14.833
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+110); Over
Game 957-958: Atlanta at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 14.039; Baltimore (Bergesen) 15.181
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+125); Over
Game 959-960: Washington at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 15.257; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.013
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-255); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+235); Over
Game 961-962: Detroit at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Willis) 14.335; Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 15.250
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Under
Game 963-964: Boston at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 16.448; Philadelphia (Happ) 16.593
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Over
Game 965-966: Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 16.313; Milwaukee (Looper) 15.097
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+110); Over
Game 967-968: Cincinnati at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.987; Kansas City (Bannister) 13.721
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Under
Game 969-970: Minnesota at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Lilly) 15.583; Cubs (Lilly) 15.895
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-145); N/A
Game 971-972: LA Dodgers at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.983; Texas (Holland) 16.070
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+155); Under
Game 973-974: Seattle at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 16.570; Colorado (Hammel) 15.871
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Over
Game 975-976: San Diego at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Young) 14.727; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.465
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-205); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+185); Over
Game 977-978: Oakland at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Anderson) 15.080; San Francisco (Cain) 16.052
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-170); Under
Game 979-980: NY Mets at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 16.610; NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.193
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin Bonus Play

969) MINNESOTA TWINS
(970) CHICAGO CUBS
Take "(969) MINNESOTA TWINS"

Believe it or not, the Twins are now a mind boggling 46-13 in their last 59 Interleague games, including a perfect 5-0 this season. I know how tough Ted Lilly has been for the Cubs, especially at Wrigley. But Scott Baker is getting pretty sharp for the Twins. I can't resist taking a real nice price here, particularly with the Cubs losing four straight coming in. Minnesota is the choice.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA

Atlanta at Connecticut

The Sun look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is coming off back-to-back road losses and is just 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games following an ATS loss. Connecticut is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-7 1/2).

Game 651-652: Atlanta at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 104.508; Connecticut 115.042
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 10 1/2; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 7 1/2; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-7 1/2); Under

Game 653-654: Seattle at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 111.082; Chicago 112.541
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 143 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd Bonus Play

MLB | Jun 14

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cleveland Indians:

St. Louis Cardinals -105

1 Unit on St. Louis Cardinals -105

After bouncing back with a win in Game 2 of this series, I give the edge to St. Louis to win the series tonight. Last year's AL Cy Young Award winner, Cliff Lee, is just 3-6 on the season and only 1-4 at home. The team has not given him any run support. In fact, Lee is only 1-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the Indians scoring only 2.8 runs per game in these starts. Lee is also just 1-7 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. Carpenter has been sensational for St. Louis at 4-0 with an ERA of 1.23. The Cardinals are 78-31 in Carpenters last 109 starts, 40-12 in his last 52 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, and 15-4 in his last 19 starts during game 3 of a series. The Indians are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take the Cards.

 

[kjcolby1978]

cork want me to send u 20 bucks to split valentino?

 

[thekeyman]

anyone have THEGOLDSHEET baseball plays for today

thanks

 

[earl]

loser lang?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MTi Sports

Los Angeles Lakers at Orlando Magic
Prediction: Over

An overtime game in the playoffs has been usually followed by another OVER. Indeed, the NBA teams 31-0 OU in the playoffs when they are off an overtime game, as long as the total is at least 190.

 

[cork999]

cork want me to send u 20 bucks to split valentino?

ok,go ahead and send it i will get pick

 

[kjcolby1978]

sent

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tommy Gill

Baltimore and Braves Under 9 for 3 units

The Pitching matchup today is Bradley Bergesen (3-2 4.04 ERA) vs Derrick Lowe (7-3 3.44 ERA). Both of these pitchers today are on big Under runs both being 0-3 to the Under there last 3 games at an with an average of just under 7 runs per game in that stretch. This is a great spot for an Under today with Baltimore always stuggling on Day games being 1-8 SU this year ATS so I would recommend taking the Braves as well but both pitchers have been pitching so well I think the Under has the better value today. Atlanta is on a 7-3 to the Under run and Baltimore is 5-4-1 there last 10.

Under is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 home games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
Under is 8-1-1 in Orioles last 10 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 5-0 in Lowes last 5 starts overall.
Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VEGAS EXPERTS

Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs

Minnesota is a very good team in interleague plays + the aformentioned Cubs are really struggling now, but we cannot believe that the home team will get swept here. The Twins are just 13-30 on the road vs. lefties since the start of the '08 season, including a 2-10 mark this year. They average just 4.5 runs per game vs. southpaws and prior to the start of this series were just 8-20 on the road. Minnesota is also 7-15 in day games this season.

Play on: Chicago Cubs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Winner Line-UNDER St. Louis
OTM-Cleveland
National Consensus Phone-UNDER St. Louis

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game Hunter

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2009 Record: 258-240, +67.4199 Rudis
Saturday: 6-3, +5.155 units

Remember, I had the worst day of the year last Sunday. Tread with caution.


UNDER BOS/PHIL 9 RUNS (-122) (2.25 UNITS)*

UNDER STL/CLE 7.5 RUNS (-122) (1.75 UNITS)**

MILWAUKEE -119 (1.75 UNITS)

CUBS -125 (1.75 UNITS)

SEATTLE +124 (1.5 UNITS)

METS +118 (1.5 UNITS)

OAKLAND +134 (1.5 UNITS)

UNDER HOU/ARIZ 10 RUNS (-110) (1.5 UNITS)

UNDER MINN/CUBS (1.75 UNIT)***

 

[mp5070]

2500* - Orlando Magic
I feel sure Stan Van Gundy has been hearing voices about his loyalty to Jameer Nelson since Thursday night's loss. I also feel sure Dwight Howard has been continuing to hear voices about how he needs to make crucial free-throws.

All that being said, I don't just like the Magic this Sunday night, I LOVE the Magic to send this series back to Los Angeles with the win, and cover!

Orlando was riding a 5-game postseason home court winning streak prior to Thursday night's setback, and I just feel their home court advantage is too strong to be overlooked in this elimination game on Sunday night.

The Lakers are obviously in the driver's seat with a commanding 3-1 series lead, in a series that has been a lot closer than the current tally indicates. 2 tough overtime losses have put the Magic in this 3-1 hole, but I really don't see them losing 2 of 3 at home to this Lakers team, and have the season end on their home floor tonight.

Believe me, there is too much at stake for this series to end tonight. A more appropriate end to this series will come either this Tuesday, or Thursday night on the Lakers home court where Kobe can celebrate in style with his posse.

The Magic are NOT DEAD YET!

Lay the points with Orlando to send this series back to the City of Angels where the NBA can get at least one more night of viewership.

2500♦ - Orlando Magic

Paid & confirmed by me.

GL

got the 500* PICK

thanx

 

[mp5070]

CPAW,

do u have Matt Rivers?

or Anybody have his picks?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CPAW,

do u have Matt Rivers?

or Anybody have his picks?

I don't, sorry.