Sunday 05/17/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Houston Rockets vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Luis Scola poured in 24 points to go with 12 boards for a double-double on Thursday, as the Rockets defeated the Lakers 95-80 to send the series to a Game 7. The Rockets won the game as 9-point underdogs, while the 175 points went UNDER the posted total of 197.5.

Aaron Brooks chipped in with a team-high 26 points for the Rockets. Kobe Bryant led the Lakers with a game-high 32 points.

Team records:
Houston: 53-29 SU, 40-41-1 ATS
Los Angeles: 65-17 SU, 42-39-1 ATS

Houston most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 5-5
After playing LA Lakers are 6-4
After a win are 5-5

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 3-7
After playing Houston are 7-3
After a loss are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
Houston is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 18 games on the road
LA Lakers are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home
LA Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
LA Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the LA Lakers last 9 games


Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics

The Magic dominated the fourth quarter and forced Game 7 with an 83-75 victory over the Celtics on Thursday. The Magic covered the 7-point spread, while the combined score went UNDER the posted total of 191.l

Dwight Howard netted a double-double with 23 points and 22 rebounds to lead the Magic.

Rajon Rondo had 19 points with 16 rebounds for a double-double in a losing effort.

Team records:
Orlando: 59-23 SU, 49-32-1 ATS
Boston: 62-20 SU, 43-39 ATS

Orlando most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
After playing Boston are 5-5
After a win are 4-6

Boston most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
After playing Orlando are 7-3
After a loss are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Orlando's last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
Orlando is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Boston is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 12 games at home
Boston is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Orlando
Boston is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Orlando

 

[saminsocal]

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Milwaukee (22-14) at St. Louis (21-15)

The surging Brewers send left-hander Manny Parra (2-4, 4.82 ERA) to the mound against the Cardinals’ Todd Wellemeyer (3-3, 5.80) and this weekend series resumes at Busch Stadium, with both squads among a four-team logjam at the top of the N.L. Central Division.

After Friday’s game was postponed by rain, these rivals opened their first series of the season against each other on Saturday and Milwaukee rode a second-inning Corey Hart home run to a 1-0 victory. Four pitchers combined on the shutout for the Brewers, who are on an 18-5 tear in their last 23 games, winning the last four in a row and six of the last seven. Furthermore, Milwaukee, which now sits alone atop the N.L. Central standings, is on a 9-2 run in division play and has won eight of its last 10 road games.

St. Louis has now dropped five of its last seven games and is 1-5 in its last six against winning teams. Still, the Redbirds still sport positive streaks of 21-9 at Busch Stadium, 7-2 against left-handed starters and 5-0 facing southpaws at home.

Milwaukee has owned this rivalry lately, going 8-1 in the last nine clashes overall and 7-1 in its last eight games in St. Louis.

The Brewers came up empty in Parra’s first five starts of the season, with the lefty going 0-4 and posting a 5.33 ERA in the process, but Milwaukee has won in his last two outings –a 15-3 victory at Cincinnati on May 6 and a 6-3 home win over Florida on Tuesday. Parra is 1-3 with a 6.05 ERA in four road starts this season, and the Brew Crew is on slides of 2-9 in his last 11 outings overall and 1-7 in his last eight road appearances.

Wellemeyer got torched for seven runs (all earned) in just 4 1/3 innings in his last outing, Tuesday’s 7-1 setback at Pittsburgh, and he’s allowed four or more in runs in four of his seven starts this season. The 30-year-old is 1-2 with a 6.55 ERA in four home efforts, and St. Louis is 1-7 in the right-hander’s last eight home starts against winning teams and 0-5 in his last five Sunday outings.

In six career appearances (five starts) against St. Louis, Parra has yet to get a decision, going 0-0 with a 3.77 ERA. Wellemeyer is 0-2 with a 5.88 ERA in 10 career appearances (three starts) against Milwaukee.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS

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it's not exactly what i would call a compelling argument for STL is it? :think2:

 

[msmith2179]

SilverKey Bonus Play


CPAW, can you find their Bonus Play for Sunday? I'm not sure who it is or where it comes from but they're on a roll. Thanks

 

[1958]

maddux bb
<hr style="color: rgb(253, 222, 130); background-color: rgb(253, 222, 130);" size="1"><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->906 - MLB - 3 units on San Francisco +161
#907 - MLB - 3 units on LA Dodgers +102
#911 - MLB - 3 units on Colorado -112
#923 - MLB - 3 units on LA Angels +112
#927 - MLB - 3 units on Baltimore +109

Not sure how they are doing?

SOMEONE ASKED LATE Yesterday. 1-4 Sat. Anyone tracking them lately ??
<!-- / message -->

really bad...however the free pick is hitting over 68% since the start of bb. Today it is Celtics-2,5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Drew Gordon

Cleveland at TAMPA BAY -140

Lay this price on Andy Sonnanstine, have I gone crazy?! No, obviously not, and here's why:

I know plenty of bettors are riding that "fade train" on the Sonnanstine, and not entirely without reason, but I'd warn you to reserve judgement until after this game, at the very least. Why? Well two reasons really: A. Sonnanstine has been effective at Tropicana this season, going 1-0 with solid 3.38 ERA and that came against the powerhouse lineups of the Yankees & Red Sox respectively. And B. He's coming off an awful effort on the road at the Orioles, and if ever he's going to bounce back, it'll be today at home.

Another issue for the Indians is their unproven starter, southpaw David Huff, making his Major League debut today on the road. He's got solid numbers coming out of Triple-A Columbus, but let's not get carried away. Also, its no secret the Rays do hit lefties well, batting .295 against them on the season. While its true they haven't had much success record-wise against them at the Trop thus far, they've only seen 3 southpaw starters there thus far. Look for them to notch their first "W" against lefty today against Huff.

Finally, not only do the Rays look a hell of a lot more comfortable at home, but its important to note the Indians' bullpen is struggling mightily, posting an ugly 6.86 ERA over their L3, which is just a shade below their laughable numbers on the season (6.41 ERA). Rays 'pen has been solid, posting a 3.29 ERA over the same 3-game span. In the end, Sonnanstine is a better pitcher than we saw at Baltimore in his last one, and he'll prove me right this afternoon, as he regroups at Tropicana this afternoon!

Take Tampa Bay behind Sonnanstine over Cleveland and Huff in this MLB match up.

2♦ TAMPA BAY

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ROCKETMAN

New York Mets at San Francisco Giants May 17 2009 8:05PM
Play: NY Mets

NY Mets are 20-15 overall this year while San Francisco is 18-17 on the season. NY Mets are 8-0 this year when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. NY Mets are 11-3 overall in May this year. NY Mets are scoring 5.4 runs per game on the road this year. NY Mets bullpen has a 3.10 ERA overall this year and a 3.58 ERA on the road this season. Mike Pelfrey is a perfect 4-0 overall this year. NY Mets are 11-3 overall vs San Francisco the past 3 years. Pelfrey is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA overall vs San Francisco since 1997. Matt Cain is 2-3 with a 5.23 ERA overall vs NY Mets since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on the NY Mets tonight!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy The Moose

Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres
Prediction: Over

The over is 8-1-1 in the Reds last 10 games overall. The over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 vs. a right-handed starter. In their last 5 games as a dog the over is 4-1. The over is 3-1 in Arroyo's last 4 starts. His last 3 starts vs. the Padres have played over the total. The over is 9-3-1 in the Padres last 13 games following a win. The over is 8-2-2 in the last 12 meetings between the clubs. Play the over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Ryan

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
Play: Boston Red Sox

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Boston as they play Seattle. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 80-34 making 37.1 units since 1997. Play against home teams that are very bad AL offensive team scoring <=4.2 runs/game facing a team with a very good bullpen sporting an ERA<=3.33; that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities. Boston is a solid 26-8 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team sporting a win percentage of 46% to 49% over the last 2 seasons; 37-12 (+22.4 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opposition by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Seattle is just 19-41 (-20.9 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. Take Boston

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VEGAS EXPERTS

Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics

The Celtics have never lost a series in which they led three games to two in 32 tries. That will be our starting point. Home teams seem to hold a distinct advantage in these deciding games, so it was no surprise that Boston, along with Atlanta, both covered at home in a Game 7 in the 1st Round. Orlando is just 6-21 ATS in this building since 1996 and simply lacks the fortitude, coaching and cluth players to get it done in this situation. Lay the points.

Play on: Boston

 

[moneyroll]

Looking for ATS lock baseball card?? Lock of month today(<)<

 

[newty81]

Larry's 10* Gm 7 Showdown (4-0 this series)

25-year vet Larry Ness has come on strong this NBA postseason, going 10-4 (71.4%) with his NBA playoff releases in May. He's DOMINATED the Boston/Orlando series, going a PERFECT 4-0 through the first six games. It's Game 7 this Sunday night on TNT, so who better to trust for the ATS winner than Larry? Your move!


Boston Celtics -2.5

Thanks Brady! Any write up on game? GL to All.

 

[bobygaleana]

Any Drew Gordon 200,000 and Crhis Jordan 600,000?
Thanks!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamehunter

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->2009 Record: 147-127, +51.5374 Olivas
Saturday: 4-4, +0.0825 units

My luck is so overdue. Can the gambling gods be this unkind?

I can accept the White Sox losing a one run lead in the bottom of the 8th. That's baseball. However, 13 runs in 5 1/2 innings on my OVER in Washington Game 2 and it gets cancelled due to rain.

Then late night, the Reds, who are 19-0 when leading after 7 innings and led 5-2 in the 7th and 5-3 in the 8th and suddenly the home plate umpire forgets what a strike is and the Reds issue 4 walks to tie the score and lose it in the B16th. Someone get me a miracle win today!



FLORIDA +132 (1.5 UNITS)

WASHINGTON -106 (1.5 UNITS)

OVER ARI/ATL 8 RUNS (-102) (2 UNITS)

MILWAUKEE +106 (2 UNITS)

HOUSTON +222 (1 UNIT)

UNDER COL/PITT 8 RUNS (+110) (1.25 UNITS)

SAN FRANCISCO EVEN (2.25 UNITS)

OAKLAND +147 (1.75 UNITS)

BALTIMORE -107 (1.75 UNITS)

LA ANGELS EVEN (2 UNITS)
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[msmith2179]

SilverKey Bonus Play


CPAW, can you find their Bonus Play for Sunday? I'm not sure who it is or where it comes from but they're on a roll. Thanks

Does anyone know where to get this pick at?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Does anyone know where to get this pick at?

coach, when I see it if it gets posted I'll bring it over. I've only seen one person posting it so far, if he does you'll have it. couldn't even tell you where it's sold.

 

[msmith2179]

Ok thanks CPAW

 

[brewfan]

Silverkey pick

Todays pick is Texas on RunLine. You can find them @ goldkeygames dot com. the handicapper is a guy named rich green.

 

[Fritzz38]

I got a 300 dollar credit at Top Ten cappers...tell me who is the best, or who you want, and I will get it for today. i was thinking IC? Doc? Let me know, will make the pick and post - Shakes

Appreciate if you can get MATT FARGO play...thanks

 

[msmith2179]

Thanks guys for the SilverKey pick

 

[nic]

I got a 300 dollar credit at Top Ten cappers...tell me who is the best, or who you want, and I will get it for today. i was thinking IC? Doc? Let me know, will make the pick and post - Shakes

IMO, Big Al, Wunderdog and Jimmy Boyd are pretty good cappers on that site. IC always gets posted here anyway and someone already posted Doc's for today. Thanks in advance for whatever you get though...