Someone make a case for betting Denver

[HarryCaray]

Disagree.

Both the Steelers and Pats threw for over 300 yards in their games against Denver. The Steelers had several plays where speedy WRs turned shorter catches into much longer ones by racking up YACs...and those are the kinds of WRs the Panthers have.

Agree to disagree I suppose, IMO Carolina doesn't have the type of possession/YAC receivers those teams had (even with Brown out).

 

[Bourn]

Total has been sitting steady at 45. Denver TT is U 20.5 -125 which is crazy. This game is going under. Has all the workings for an under. 5.5 is a lot of points here. Denver and under for me.

 

[Betallsports]

I'm seeing 6's now.

grabbed a 6 today

I'll take my chances with the #1 Defense

on a side note ... How did the Falcons beat the panthers in week #16 ??

Notes from the game.............

Cam Newton was pressured (sack or duress) on 35% of his dropbacks Sunday, his 2nd-highest pressure rate of the season. Newton was 3-of-9 passing for 31 yards when pressured, and lost a fumble on a sack to allow the Falcons to win the game.

This from the Falcons.... just think what Denver will do

 

[Mr_Mark]

grabbed a 6 today

I'll take my chances with the #1 Defense

on a side note ... How did the Falcons beat the panthers in week #16 ??

Notes from the game.............

Cam Newton was pressured (sack or duress) on 35% of his dropbacks Sunday, his 2nd-highest pressure rate of the season. Newton was 3-of-9 passing for 31 yards when pressured, and lost a fumble on a sack to allow the Falcons to win the game.

This from the Falcons.... just think what Denver will do

Great point! I am sold. Plus I think Cruise is on Carolina

 

[halekulani]

if denver can neutralize lateral quickness of pats receivers, i have confidence they can hang with carolina

denver/under is prob the way to go
that being said, i do have prop bets on carolina winning by 10+ pts bc if denver gets behind early, they will suffer like az

 

[Vlad the Impaler]

This is about as much as a white vs black team as there can be.

Carolina because of laptop stealer Cam Newton has made Carolina into a gangster team doing something called a dap. Whatever that is. Then he of course has his Superman thing.

I hope Manning goes out in style but because if anything Carolina defense; maybe tough.

 

[JudgeWapner]

Starting to remind me of Denv/Sea where nobody gave Seattle a shot.

 

[RenoChazz]

6's across the board in Reno. Vegas mostly holding at 5.5.

 

[raiders72]

Cam Newton's QB rating is 53 points lower under pressure. The average is 27. Newton beat up on bad teams and played bad against mediocre defenses.

Newton's average in the game, average team rating against.

Teams with a QB rating over 100:
TB 139.3, average against 102.3
TB 97.5, 102.3
NO 122.1, 116.2
NO 119.7, 116.2
Tenn 114.3, 101.1

Teams with an average QB rating under 93:
Hou 71.3, 83.4
Sea 65.6, 79.6
Phil 59.2, 92.8
Dallas 79.7, 94.2
Indy 76.8, 88

Newton hasn't played the top defenses:
KC 74.2
Den 77.7
Cinc 78.6
Jets 79.0

Newton held to form.

 

[RenoChazz]

I always say sports betting isn't about picking winners, it's about beating the number, that's what handicapping means. The best reason to take Denver is because the line is off by at least a full point, and I even see 5's now which make it a point and a half off to 2 points off. Carolina at home would at best be a 6.5 favorite against Denver probably less. No way they're 8 points or better at home against Denver. If you like the getting odds, and why wouldn't you, then take Denver. Not that it's a lock, it's just a weighted coin flip, that's weighted to land on one side a little more often than the other.

+6 was probably the softest line of the season.

 

[Bourn]

The term handicap derives from hand-in-cap, referring to a system wherein players placed bets or money into the cap of a neutral arbiter to reach an agreement as to the relative values of items sought to be traded.

I never knew that

 

[Bourn]

I always say sports betting isn't about picking winners, it's about beating the number, that's what handicapping means. The best reason to take Denver is because the line is off by at least a full point, and I even see 5's now which make it a point and a half off to 2 points off. Carolina at home would at best be a 6.5 favorite against Denver probably less. No way they're 8 points or better at home against Denver. If you like the getting odds, and why wouldn't you, then take Denver. Not that it's a lock, it's just a weighted coin flip, that's weighted to land on one side a little more often than the other.

I disagree here. I think picking winners is at the root of successful sports betting. I think we can agree the line should have opened Car -2.5, -3.5. So, let's say it came out Car Pk. Does that make Carolina the play since you're getting 2.5, 3.5? That would be beating the line the way I see it. If so, it's still a loser.