Someone make a case for betting Denver

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Can't really include he "makes" Luke because that is an opinion, but I think he just "completes" him as Luke's stats are better, actually...
 

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51% rushing to 49% passing...Ooh, big difference. lol Balanced attack = #1 scoring team in the NFL. not surprising at all.
 

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Well, to start, Thomas Davis isn't ruled "out"...
I added IF, this was written less than 24 hours after the game...

Can't really include he "makes" Luke because that is an opinion, but I think he just "completes" him as Luke's stats are better, actually...
Definitely opinionated... But yes, I think Completes him is better phrase..


51% rushing to 49% passing...Ooh, big difference. lol Balanced attack = #1 scoring team in the NFL. not surprising at all.


Um..... it is surprising...
They RUN the Ball most in the League
They Pass the Ball LEAST in the League..

How many times you think in the HISTORY of the NFL that has happened thats the number 1 scoring team in the NFL, much less in modern day NFL??
It is definitely surprising and not in an opinionated but, factual
 

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51% rushing to 49% passing...Ooh, big difference. lol Balanced attack = #1 scoring team in the NFL. not surprising at all.

49% passing is dead last in the NFL .. Average is about 60%... You can go back to 2003, before this "modern" NFL and 49% is still one of the bottom in the NFL.

So Here's the #32 Ranked team in Passing % and how they finished in PPG

2014 Texans Ranked 14th ppg
2013 Seattle 8th ppg
2012 Seattle 9th ppg
2011 Denver 25th ppg
2010 KC 12th ppg
2009 NYJ 17th ppg
2008 Baltimore 10th
2007 Tenn 21st ppg
2006 Atlanta 26th ppg
2005 Pittsburgh 9th ppg

So Yes, in the last 10 Years the team that ranks 32nd in passing percentage averages exactly 15th in the NFL. An Average NFL offense. The highest I can see is seattle 8th
 

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I may live to 80 and never see a qb melt down as badly as palmer, so I am not putting all that much stock in last weeks game. Arizona was not ready to block or tackle, they deserved to get embarrassed. Side note, can we get off patrick petersons dick please, like he is some current day deion. He couldn t cover tedd ginn jr, he got a pi penalty, muffed a punt which destroyed what little hope arizona had and got caught from behind on that pick when he should have scored. This guy is a fucking star? Not even the best player in his d backfield.

Sorry, sidetracked, if wade can come up with a plan to f with Brady, I feel he will do the same with cam ( who is playing out of his mind and has to win mvp).. I think Denvers secondary can cover Olsen though Gronk really gave them fits and Miller will have a big game. I will put a play on Von Miller to win mvp.

I think this line is only going up, so i wait and grab a more experienced denver squad with over a fg.
 

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DEFENSE WINS CHAMPIONSHIPS

Offense wins the crowds ...gets good ratings and helps you win you fantasy football league -

This is the superbowl baby
 

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I always say sports betting isn't about picking winners, it's about beating the number, that's what handicapping means. The best reason to take Denver is because the line is off by at least a full point, and I even see 5's now which make it a point and a half off to 2 points off. Carolina at home would at best be a 6.5 favorite against Denver probably less. No way they're 8 points or better at home against Denver. If you like the getting odds, and why wouldn't you, then take Denver. Not that it's a lock, it's just a weighted coin flip, that's weighted to land on one side a little more often than the other.
 

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I always say sports betting isn't about picking winners, it's about beating the number, that's what handicapping means. The best reason to take Denver is because the line is off by at least a full point, and I even see 5's now which make it a point and a half off to 2 points off. Carolina at home would at best be a 6.5 favorite against Denver probably less. No way they're 8 points or better at home against Denver. If you like the getting odds, and why wouldn't you, then take Denver. Not that it's a lock, it's just a weighted coin flip, that's weighted to land on one side a little more often than the other.

Good points

The backdoor cover is a huge possibility at -5 or 6 even in a pretty dominating Carolina win
 

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Take the prop "Pass attempts play different players OVER 2.5" for some nice +Money

With those defenses, and age of a certain QB (4 surgeries in past 20 months), its a good bet that someone other than Newton and Manning are going to throw a pass... throw in the trick plays and fake punts/fg's... a good shot at some nice cashing in.

Also, IF Carolina blows them out like everyone on here is expecting, look for Derek Anderson and/or possibly;y Webb to throw a ball or two.
 

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IF Carolina blows them out like everyone on here is expecting, look for Derek Anderson and/or possibly;y Webb to throw a ball or two.

Carolina could be up 60 and neither of those guys will get one snap behind center as long as Cam is healthy.
 

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the Panthers lead to league in scoring

they played Seattle and AZ in the playoffs, two of the very best defensive teams, their post season offense is ranked # 1

Stewart is the leading rusher in post season

Cam is the leading passer in post season in term of yards per attempt (they pass a lot less then everyone else)

Cam is a matchup nightmare

points scored down the stretch

44
33
41
38
38
13
38

31
49

seriously????????????????, that's crazy good



Carolina's offense is not a handicap, not by any standard of measurement
 

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There's your case right there.

Besides that, analytical reasons include Denver having enough speed and skill on defense to be able to play man coverage on the outside against Carolina's bad WR core and use Miller to spy Newton to neutralize his legs.

Read somewhere today that teams with the #1 defense in the league are 9-2 all time in the SB.

On the other side of the ball, I think they can move the ball against Carolina's middle-of-the-pack pass D, simply based on Manning's guile alone. He looked pretty damn sharp in the 1H yesterday.

I have Carolina in a future and I still like Denver in this game, especially with 4.5 points. Loving all this public drooling over Carolina, going to give me some nice middling opps.


Disagree.

Both the Steelers and Pats threw for over 300 yards in their games against Denver. The Steelers had several plays where speedy WRs turned shorter catches into much longer ones by racking up YACs...and those are the kinds of WRs the Panthers have. If Denver leaves their corners on islands, look for quick slant routes that turn into big gains. If they drop more defenders into coverage, Cam then has huge running lanes to exploit. This is where I think Denver is in a lot of trouble. They've benefited so far from facing two non-mobile QBs. Cam presents an entirely new dimension.

To me, this game ultimately comes down to two things: how well Carolina's tackles can contain Miller/Ware, and how well Carolina will stop Denver's running game. It's hard to judge Carolina's run defense at the moment...the teams they've played so far didn't really have a chance to run against them because the Panthers jumped out to such big leads early on. Someone also mentioned over 2.5 players to attempt a pass...I'll be playing that one for sure, because it wouldn't surprise me if Carolina knocks Peyton Manning out of the game. Just too many factors in Carolina's favor IMO in this one...
 

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I'm seeing 6's now.
 

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Did you misread the thread title Willie?

nope, I was adding to the conversation about Carolina's offense

don't think the OP mentioned offense, did he?
 

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