thats what ive been waiting for someone else to say....i hate to say this but there are a lot of people betting these now...pinnys maxs are so small you place a couple max bets and the line moves 30 or 40 cents....there's a lot of day trading on these movies at pinny...people taking stances and then coming back on the other side later locking in free money....im sure there are people on that site that are agenda driven trying to get the masses to bet there way etc....you CANNOT believe everything you read...
proof in point i was told by someone on a site the 3 bodog props...what the winners were...one of the lines moved against me in a big line move...im not sure if i was BSed or not that remains to be seen but it just goes to show, you cannot read everything and say "thats word of god" this is an UNDER....
i will admitt 1 guy on there is very sharp with his info...and i 100% believe everything he posts....but remember he is 1 threatre in the country...those #s on snakes are from 1 theatre...out of 3500...he does not have access to all of the theatres in his company..he does get that box office tallies for the nights and those are useful AFTER THE FACT to gague early where you stand on your bets...it would be completely different if he had every MTC theatre presales #s but he doesnt...
someone already said LA has 7 sellouts for tonights midnight shows...and i would guess more will probably sell out if 7 already have...
no one said how SOAP got BUMPED 200 theatres from 3300+ to 3500+....
proof in point i was told by someone on a site the 3 bodog props...what the winners were...one of the lines moved against me in a big line move...im not sure if i was BSed or not that remains to be seen but it just goes to show, you cannot read everything and say "thats word of god" this is an UNDER....
i will admitt 1 guy on there is very sharp with his info...and i 100% believe everything he posts....but remember he is 1 threatre in the country...those #s on snakes are from 1 theatre...out of 3500...he does not have access to all of the theatres in his company..he does get that box office tallies for the nights and those are useful AFTER THE FACT to gague early where you stand on your bets...it would be completely different if he had every MTC theatre presales #s but he doesnt...
someone already said LA has 7 sellouts for tonights midnight shows...and i would guess more will probably sell out if 7 already have...
no one said how SOAP got BUMPED 200 theatres from 3300+ to 3500+....
For those of you who like the under, the best I found is under 28.5 -120 at sportsbook.com.
Under 29 mill at Greek is -240
Ive never seen this much change in a line at Pinny before, especially crossing the +,- line 3 times already.
From over 27 opening at -170 to getting pounded down to around +140 and then over next day or so getting hit the other way at to about -220.
Now I am looking and its +121 at this second.
So the question is will great news of midnight sellouts coast to coast spur another buy of Snakes or does realization that this thing has been one of the greatest hype jobs of a B movie set in.:ughhh:
On a side note, just for fun, my preditction for WSEX when the lines come out is 26 -115 both ways
Good luck you everyones plays
Under 29 mill at Greek is -240
Ive never seen this much change in a line at Pinny before, especially crossing the +,- line 3 times already.
From over 27 opening at -170 to getting pounded down to around +140 and then over next day or so getting hit the other way at to about -220.
Now I am looking and its +121 at this second.
So the question is will great news of midnight sellouts coast to coast spur another buy of Snakes or does realization that this thing has been one of the greatest hype jobs of a B movie set in.:ughhh:
On a side note, just for fun, my preditction for WSEX when the lines come out is 26 -115 both ways
Good luck you everyones plays
Accepted
ACCEPTED:
Pinny... Over 14 -157
..Under 14 +141
just found a good price on the over at Bet365.com
Over -115.
arty:
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ACCEPTED:
Pinny... Over 14 -157
..Under 14 +141
just found a good price on the over at Bet365.com
Over -115.
arty: <TABLE id=tblPropFut onmouseover="changeto(event, '#F6C88F')" onmouseout="changeback(event, '#EEEEEE')" cellSpacing=3 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR id=ignore_a1><TD colSpan=3>
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Variety
Variety Report: Tracking on "Accepted," which opens at 2,913 playdates, is similar to that of "Snakes," with interest mostly among teen and college-aged guys. Pic, which U moved from last weekend to avoid "Step Up" and the second frame of "Talladega Nights," looks likely to open in the high teens.
Looks like Over 14 is a lock!!!
Variety Report: Tracking on "Accepted," which opens at 2,913 playdates, is similar to that of "Snakes," with interest mostly among teen and college-aged guys. Pic, which U moved from last weekend to avoid "Step Up" and the second frame of "Talladega Nights," looks likely to open in the high teens.
Looks like Over 14 is a lock!!!
First opening weekend projection from notfabio at hsx is mid teens for snakes based on early friday #s, message below.
In response to bigblueduck's post: "How much will SOAP make then?" Thinking rosy, mid teens, it's looking like. Thinking scary. You don't really want to know if you're long. -- nm
-- notfabio, Aug 19, 1:01
Of course, this is the first projection, could be off, but teens is a good start for those on the under.
In response to bigblueduck's post: "How much will SOAP make then?" Thinking rosy, mid teens, it's looking like. Thinking scary. You don't really want to know if you're long. -- nm
-- notfabio, Aug 19, 1:01
Of course, this is the first projection, could be off, but teens is a good start for those on the under.
yup im a square...i got this bet at crissy @ -150 its -450 now (250max) ...i bet greys anatomy to win best drama series at -140 its now -220+ at pinny/wwts/greek and every other book...im a square though....loler...
Ticket #18302578Bet placed by:ONLINE -1on:08/08/2006@08:35 PMRisking:150To Win:100ON:08/22/2006@08:00 AM PARIS HILTONS DEBUT ALBUM TOP POSITION [1001] BETWEEN #1 AND #50 -150 - TNT
Ticket #18302591Bet placed by:ONLINE -1on:08/08/2006@08:41 PMRisking:100To Win:66ON:08/22/2006@08:00 AM PARIS HILTONS DEBUT ALBUM TOP POSITION [1001] BETWEEN #1 AND #50 -150 - TNT
Ticket #18302578Bet placed by:ONLINE -1on:08/08/2006@08:35 PMRisking:150To Win:100ON:08/22/2006@08:00 AM PARIS HILTONS DEBUT ALBUM TOP POSITION [1001] BETWEEN #1 AND #50 -150 - TNT
Ticket #18302591Bet placed by:ONLINE -1on:08/08/2006@08:41 PMRisking:100To Win:66ON:08/22/2006@08:00 AM PARIS HILTONS DEBUT ALBUM TOP POSITION [1001] BETWEEN #1 AND #50 -150 - TNT
Seems like my weekend could be a successful one once more (sorry for the annoying fonts guys)..recapping the picks:
Material Girls over 4 million ($250):When I saw the 4 million for a Duff movie I threw the money right away..Myspace has this movie featured on their homepage for the weekend and we know how well that did for my lock pick of last week Step Up...yes Duff luster has fallen drastically as of late but i still think she has a small following...what you fellows had me do with some of the info i read and researched myself was to cover myself a bit...i put $200 (something i didnt post) on the 4.5 under....If the movie makes anywhere from 4 to 4.5 million I take a nice chunk of change ($424 net)....
Accepted-Under 14 Million ($150):Going against Snakes, Talledega, Step Up, and Material Girls was the reasoning behind this mostly...secondly it didnt have the online exposure/advertising of the Material Girls and Snakes...
Material Girls over 4 million ($250):When I saw the 4 million for a Duff movie I threw the money right away..Myspace has this movie featured on their homepage for the weekend and we know how well that did for my lock pick of last week Step Up...yes Duff luster has fallen drastically as of late but i still think she has a small following...what you fellows had me do with some of the info i read and researched myself was to cover myself a bit...i put $200 (something i didnt post) on the 4.5 under....If the movie makes anywhere from 4 to 4.5 million I take a nice chunk of change ($424 net)....
Accepted-Under 14 Million ($150):Going against Snakes, Talledega, Step Up, and Material Girls was the reasoning behind this mostly...secondly it didnt have the online exposure/advertising of the Material Girls and Snakes...
Box Office Mojo Projections for Friday:
Snakes: "6 to 7 Million" ( I put $50 on the under late)which means its going under the 28 Million unless it has a big recovery Saturday and Sunday
Material Girls: "1.6 Million" which will put it over 4 Million and close to the 4.5 Million which many here got it for...I hope it falls between these two numbers...we'll wait and see how it does today and tomorrow...
Accepted: "3.6 Million" which puts it under the 14 million...
Looking good gentlemen:toast:
Snakes: "6 to 7 Million" ( I put $50 on the under late)which means its going under the 28 Million unless it has a big recovery Saturday and Sunday
Material Girls: "1.6 Million" which will put it over 4 Million and close to the 4.5 Million which many here got it for...I hope it falls between these two numbers...we'll wait and see how it does today and tomorrow...
Accepted: "3.6 Million" which puts it under the 14 million...
Looking good gentlemen:toast:
Huskerfan looks like you got lucky on your Prop bets on Bodog with you being outright lied to. Instead of losing money for being a sucker you came out barely ahead. Good job.
Now about this weeks god awful plays you made. Early numbers are in, and Snakes are gonna leave you -$50 no doubt about that. Your Accepted bets you will be sweating all weekend long with it opening under $4 with early numbers being in. Hopefully your MG bets will leave ya hanging too buddy. Keep up the great work!
Lol at the man who enjoys talking about movies on every forum he can, my best advice to anyone who reads the words of Huskerfan is to fade whatever bets Husker makes. You can take that one to the bank!
-Brendan
Now about this weeks god awful plays you made. Early numbers are in, and Snakes are gonna leave you -$50 no doubt about that. Your Accepted bets you will be sweating all weekend long with it opening under $4 with early numbers being in. Hopefully your MG bets will leave ya hanging too buddy. Keep up the great work!
Lol at the man who enjoys talking about movies on every forum he can, my best advice to anyone who reads the words of Huskerfan is to fade whatever bets Husker makes. You can take that one to the bank!
-Brendan
