Lads...if u like Jax...Intertops has -1.5 -120....
Most shops are up to Minus 3 By Now.....
Just thought I would Chime In
They also have 12% Post up bonus for existing Clients...
If anyone looking to post up link through sporsavant.com & I would greatly appreciate (I apologize in advance if people think this is a filthy spam for me to get referral Bucks...But heck I figure informing the board about a contrarion line & a 12% Bonus is a good thng not a bad thing.)
cheers,
happy holidays...
Most shops are up to Minus 3 By Now.....
Just thought I would Chime In
They also have 12% Post up bonus for existing Clients...
If anyone looking to post up link through sporsavant.com & I would greatly appreciate (I apologize in advance if people think this is a filthy spam for me to get referral Bucks...But heck I figure informing the board about a contrarion line & a 12% Bonus is a good thng not a bad thing.)
cheers,
happy holidays...
OK THESE ARE CONFIRMED..
OC DOOLEY..5*..DETROIT
FRANK MAGLIOSA..1.5*..CINCY
LAS VEGAS SPORTS..20*..TOP PLAY..COLTS
TONY DIAMOND..5*..DETROIT
BIG AL MCMORDIE..5*..GOM..OAKLAND
5*..FAV OF YEAR..JVILLE
If they are listed in this post, disregard the earlier post as it was a "cluster fu*ck"!
DAWG
OC DOOLEY..5*..DETROIT
FRANK MAGLIOSA..1.5*..CINCY
LAS VEGAS SPORTS..20*..TOP PLAY..COLTS
TONY DIAMOND..5*..DETROIT
BIG AL MCMORDIE..5*..GOM..OAKLAND
5*..FAV OF YEAR..JVILLE
If they are listed in this post, disregard the earlier post as it was a "cluster fu*ck"!
DAWG
The Real OC Dooley Plays.......
NFL Football
3 Units on Cincinnati Bengals +7 -110
MONEY LINE ?TRIPLE? PLAY: Yes, I am personally playing the Bengals on the Money-Line at MVP Sportsbook, as this team basically has been given a reprieve from the governor so to speak. Two weeks ago, Cincinnati fell one game behind Baltimore and appeared to be on the verge of losing their bid for the franchise?s first playoff berth since way back in 1990. However, last week the Ravens stunningly lost to the Raiders which opened the door for the Bengals once again. After taking care of San Francisco at home, Cincy once again was tied with the Ravens atop the AFC North. The bottom line is if the Bengals can win their last two games, they are virtually assured of the division title, which would complete one of the most stunning one season turnarounds in recent memory. It all comes down to the coaching of Marvin Lewis who has done a tremendous job if instilling confidence in this young team. I wrote a recent article about Lewis who started turning around this franchise even before the start of training camp, by installing an offeseason ?conditioning? program. Suddenly, the normally ?soft? Bengals have no longer been manhandled at the line of scrimmage anymore. Last week, Rudi Johnson rushed for 174 yards, becoming the first Bengal to rush for 150-or-MORE yards three times in one season. Not even a healthy Corey Dillon was able to achieve that dubious mark. Here is what I feel is the KEY to this selection, and it has to do with the Rams FAILURE to defend the rush. In the past 4 games, the Rams have allowed 652 total yards rushing, for a whopping average of 163 yards per game. Last week, Seattle?s Shaun Alexander rushed for 126 yards on 25 carries (5 yard average). My question is how St. Louis is going to be able to contain both Rudi Johnson and Corey Dillon. Certainly, the Bengals are a dangerous underdog that can also strike through the air with WR Chad Johnson who has 79 catches for 1,211 yards, which is just 63 yards short of a team record. QB Jon Kitna has a career high total of 25 touchdown passes. Just think that Cincinnati is achieving all this while #1 draft pick Carson Palmer is still on the sideline. The Rams may lack some of their normal intensity having clinched the NFC West title last week. In that victory against Seattle where they failed to cover, St. Louis WR Isaac Bruce suffered mild high ankle sprain. That just happens to be the same type of injury that sent San Francisco QB Jeff Garcia to the sidelines recently. Bruce is officially listed as probable, however, he has been held out of practice this week. Head coach Mike Martz says he will not risk further injury if the ankle appears to be a problem. Of cours, today?s price tag is inflated because the Rams have won 13 in a row at home, with the average win margin being 17 points per game. However, that did not help them last week when they defeated Seattle by only 5 points at home. Here is a 72-Percent System from my database that supports Cincinnati (32-12): play ON a road dog of 3?-to-10 points after both scoring and allowing 30+ points in their prior game. Actually, Cincinnati became the first team in the entire NFL this season to allow 500+ yards last week and still win. Cincy can clinch the AFC North with a win today along with another Baltimore loss, as they control their own playoff destiny.
5 Units on Detroit Lions +9 -110
TODAY?S REDZONE BEST BET (2003 NFL UPSET/YEAR PART 2): I expect plenty of INTENSITY from the underdog Lions throughout this contest due to the quarterback situation. Detroit is happy with Joey Harrington, however, they want to get reserve quarterback Mike McMahon some snaps in the final 2 weeks, as head coach Steve Mariucci wants to see him in game action. The key is that McMahon will become a restricted free-agent in March, so it is imperative that he make a positive impression down the stretch as he basically will be AUDITIONING for both the Lions and some other teams in need of a quality reserve signal caller for next year. Basically, I am treating this game as a PRESEASON contest due to the fact that is has absolutely no meaning for Carolina, who clinched the NFC South title last week and can NOT improve their playoff position. Thus, the Panthers are going to be ?resting? many of their regulars today as head coach John Fox has said that he wants to get his team ?fresh? for the postseason. Of course, nobody predicted Carolina would win their division, so they can certainly be excused for ?taking it easy? this week. Actually, Carolina has won only ONE game outright in the past month and that was just barely against lowly Arizona last week on a 49 yard field goal with FOUR seconds left. Despite the lackluster effort, the Panthers as a group are thrilled to be heading for the playoffs for the first time since 1996. With the help of one of my contacts, I have found out that Carolina may sit as many as FIVE regulars, including star running back Stephen Davis (1,387 yards) who is battling knee and ankle problems. That means the tandem of DeShaun Foster and Rod Smart will handle the rushing duties. The bread-and-butter of Carolina is their running game, and the fact of that matter is they have NOT rushed well since week #6 when Davis damaged his ankle. Even if Davis played this afternoon, the Lions would have an edge as Detroit is coming off consecutive games against San Diego?s Ladanian Tomlinson and Kansas City?s Priest Holmes. They just happen to match up better with Davis who relies more on power than speed. The Lions actually have a strong interior rush defense anchored by DT?s Shaun Rogers and Dan Wilkinson. The Panthers do NOT like to lean heavily on their passing game which is great news for Detroit, as their main weakness lies in their secondary. There is some good news for Detroit as Dre? Bly actually practiced earlier this week. Bly, who has been battling hamstring woes, actually leads the Lions with 6 interceptions and has scored twice. Even though the Lions got squashed in Kansas City last week, they actually had their first 100-yard rushing performance of the entire season from Shawn Bryson. Detroit has been one of the worst rushing teams in the league ever since James Stewart was lost right before the beginning of the regular season, but now there seems to be some light at the end of the tunnel. If reserve QB McMahon gets extended action, note that he actually has some athletic ability. Of course, Detroit is seeking to AVOID the embarrassment of setting a new NFL record with their 24th consecutive road loss (they are currently tied for the all-time mark in futility). Today will mark the final road affair for the Lions this season. If they fail to break through, Detroit will have to continue to be bombarded in the offseason with unending questions as to when they will finally win a road affair. Anything is possible as earlier this week, the NBA?s Cleveland Cavaliers finally brought an end to their marathon 34 game road losing streak. I am personally playing the Lions on the MONEY LINE at MVP Sportsbook because of what Carolina?s vaunted defense did NOT due last week. Against an Arizona team ranked #30 in rushing, the Panthers allowed them to gain 170 yards on the ground. Carolina also allowed a rookie quarterback making his first ever NFL start to lead a pair of long TD drives and control the clock for most of the first half. Certainly, taking the generous points is enticing this afternoon as the Panthers tied
an NFL record with 7 games decided by 3-or-LESS points. Carolina is a horrible 1-7 ATS for the season as a favorite. Here are a couple of UNDEFEATED angles from my database. First of all, DETROIT IS 6-0 ATS SINCE 1992 after allowing at least 8 yards per pass attempt in consecutive games. The Lions are also 7-0 ATS following consecutive games permitting the opposition to complete at least 63-percent of their passes (20+ attempts). Once again, I am treating this game as if it were a Preseason affair, which means Detroit actually WANTS this game more, and will have a quarterback ?audition? for next year in the fourth quarter with McMahon. Detroit is 2-3-1 ATS on the road this year which is not great, however, considering their record road losing mark, that spread record is really not all that bad. The reason why Detroit has covered some games on the highway is due to better coaching from Mariucchi.
2 Units on Philadelphia Eagles U 42 -110
100-PERCENT NFL TOTAL: I am going to go right to my database which tells me that PHILADELPHIA IS 7-0 UNDER AT HOME SINCE 1992 after a road game where both teams scored at least 24 points!!! Regular clients know that I had serious egg on my face this past Monday Night when the Eagles/Dolphins soared ?over? the posted total in Miami by halftime, despite the fact that neither team had a ?big play? offense, while both sides had extremely solid defensive secondaries. Of course, I am undefeated in monster 5-UNIT moves even since, but the bottom line is that I have not forgotten how the Eagles burned me a few days ago. I mentioned Monday Night that Philadelphia is ranked way down at #23 in the league defending the rush. Miami?s Ricky Williams became the 6th running back in the last 8 weeks to gain over 100 yards on the ground against the Eagles undersized defensive line, so San Francisco will be enticed to RUN the football this afternoon, as their best shot to win is to have long and sustained drives that take precious time off the clock. Philadelphia DC Jim Johnson is NOT convinced that opponents can score a lot of points off the running game, so he really is not overly concerned about his unit?s low ranking versus the run. I will tell you that during their current team record winning streak, the Philadelphia defense certainly is doing something right as Miami became the FIRST team in TEN weeks to put up more than 20 points on the Eagles defense! On Monday Night, All Pro CB Troy Vincent hurt his ailing hip yet again and probably will not play this afternoon. However, two talented second year CB?s (Sheldon Brown and Lito Sheppard) gained a lot of experience during Taylor?s 9 game absence from the lineup. As I told you earlier, the 49ers are definitely going to RUN the ball today, even though Garrison Hearst is hurting. Kevan Barlow has rushed for 830 yards but has fumbled THREE times the last couple of weeks, including twice inside the 20 yard line, which killed two effective drives. The San Francisco offense appeared to be in better shape with reserve QB Tim Rattay running the show simply because regular Jeff Garica has been hampered with injuries all season. Garcia had a bulging disc in his back in training camp. During the course of the season, Garcia has had to deal with groin woes, a concussion and a broken forearm which affected his wrist and thumb. Garcia eventually was driven to the sidelines with a high ankle sprain. Even though SF put up some serious points and yardage last week (502) in Cincinnati, I am not going to let that sway my opinion on this total. The 49ers defense actually has a decent pass rush that will bother the red hot Donovan McNabb, so I look for the Eagles to RUN the ball offensively as well with the ?3 headed? tandem of Brian Westbrook, Deuce Staley and Correll Buckhalter (1,015 yards the last 5 games collectively). By the way, QB Donovan McNabb has run for 334 yards as well. I will admit that Philly has exceeded the posted total 4 straight weeks (27 ppg average), while the 49ers have pulled the same trick 3 straight times, however, that has only inflated this posted total. According to my database, San Francisco is a rock solid 6-1 UNDER on the road versus good rushing teams like Philadelphia, who average at least 4.5 yards per carry
NFL Football
3 Units on Cincinnati Bengals +7 -110
MONEY LINE ?TRIPLE? PLAY: Yes, I am personally playing the Bengals on the Money-Line at MVP Sportsbook, as this team basically has been given a reprieve from the governor so to speak. Two weeks ago, Cincinnati fell one game behind Baltimore and appeared to be on the verge of losing their bid for the franchise?s first playoff berth since way back in 1990. However, last week the Ravens stunningly lost to the Raiders which opened the door for the Bengals once again. After taking care of San Francisco at home, Cincy once again was tied with the Ravens atop the AFC North. The bottom line is if the Bengals can win their last two games, they are virtually assured of the division title, which would complete one of the most stunning one season turnarounds in recent memory. It all comes down to the coaching of Marvin Lewis who has done a tremendous job if instilling confidence in this young team. I wrote a recent article about Lewis who started turning around this franchise even before the start of training camp, by installing an offeseason ?conditioning? program. Suddenly, the normally ?soft? Bengals have no longer been manhandled at the line of scrimmage anymore. Last week, Rudi Johnson rushed for 174 yards, becoming the first Bengal to rush for 150-or-MORE yards three times in one season. Not even a healthy Corey Dillon was able to achieve that dubious mark. Here is what I feel is the KEY to this selection, and it has to do with the Rams FAILURE to defend the rush. In the past 4 games, the Rams have allowed 652 total yards rushing, for a whopping average of 163 yards per game. Last week, Seattle?s Shaun Alexander rushed for 126 yards on 25 carries (5 yard average). My question is how St. Louis is going to be able to contain both Rudi Johnson and Corey Dillon. Certainly, the Bengals are a dangerous underdog that can also strike through the air with WR Chad Johnson who has 79 catches for 1,211 yards, which is just 63 yards short of a team record. QB Jon Kitna has a career high total of 25 touchdown passes. Just think that Cincinnati is achieving all this while #1 draft pick Carson Palmer is still on the sideline. The Rams may lack some of their normal intensity having clinched the NFC West title last week. In that victory against Seattle where they failed to cover, St. Louis WR Isaac Bruce suffered mild high ankle sprain. That just happens to be the same type of injury that sent San Francisco QB Jeff Garcia to the sidelines recently. Bruce is officially listed as probable, however, he has been held out of practice this week. Head coach Mike Martz says he will not risk further injury if the ankle appears to be a problem. Of cours, today?s price tag is inflated because the Rams have won 13 in a row at home, with the average win margin being 17 points per game. However, that did not help them last week when they defeated Seattle by only 5 points at home. Here is a 72-Percent System from my database that supports Cincinnati (32-12): play ON a road dog of 3?-to-10 points after both scoring and allowing 30+ points in their prior game. Actually, Cincinnati became the first team in the entire NFL this season to allow 500+ yards last week and still win. Cincy can clinch the AFC North with a win today along with another Baltimore loss, as they control their own playoff destiny.
5 Units on Detroit Lions +9 -110
TODAY?S REDZONE BEST BET (2003 NFL UPSET/YEAR PART 2): I expect plenty of INTENSITY from the underdog Lions throughout this contest due to the quarterback situation. Detroit is happy with Joey Harrington, however, they want to get reserve quarterback Mike McMahon some snaps in the final 2 weeks, as head coach Steve Mariucci wants to see him in game action. The key is that McMahon will become a restricted free-agent in March, so it is imperative that he make a positive impression down the stretch as he basically will be AUDITIONING for both the Lions and some other teams in need of a quality reserve signal caller for next year. Basically, I am treating this game as a PRESEASON contest due to the fact that is has absolutely no meaning for Carolina, who clinched the NFC South title last week and can NOT improve their playoff position. Thus, the Panthers are going to be ?resting? many of their regulars today as head coach John Fox has said that he wants to get his team ?fresh? for the postseason. Of course, nobody predicted Carolina would win their division, so they can certainly be excused for ?taking it easy? this week. Actually, Carolina has won only ONE game outright in the past month and that was just barely against lowly Arizona last week on a 49 yard field goal with FOUR seconds left. Despite the lackluster effort, the Panthers as a group are thrilled to be heading for the playoffs for the first time since 1996. With the help of one of my contacts, I have found out that Carolina may sit as many as FIVE regulars, including star running back Stephen Davis (1,387 yards) who is battling knee and ankle problems. That means the tandem of DeShaun Foster and Rod Smart will handle the rushing duties. The bread-and-butter of Carolina is their running game, and the fact of that matter is they have NOT rushed well since week #6 when Davis damaged his ankle. Even if Davis played this afternoon, the Lions would have an edge as Detroit is coming off consecutive games against San Diego?s Ladanian Tomlinson and Kansas City?s Priest Holmes. They just happen to match up better with Davis who relies more on power than speed. The Lions actually have a strong interior rush defense anchored by DT?s Shaun Rogers and Dan Wilkinson. The Panthers do NOT like to lean heavily on their passing game which is great news for Detroit, as their main weakness lies in their secondary. There is some good news for Detroit as Dre? Bly actually practiced earlier this week. Bly, who has been battling hamstring woes, actually leads the Lions with 6 interceptions and has scored twice. Even though the Lions got squashed in Kansas City last week, they actually had their first 100-yard rushing performance of the entire season from Shawn Bryson. Detroit has been one of the worst rushing teams in the league ever since James Stewart was lost right before the beginning of the regular season, but now there seems to be some light at the end of the tunnel. If reserve QB McMahon gets extended action, note that he actually has some athletic ability. Of course, Detroit is seeking to AVOID the embarrassment of setting a new NFL record with their 24th consecutive road loss (they are currently tied for the all-time mark in futility). Today will mark the final road affair for the Lions this season. If they fail to break through, Detroit will have to continue to be bombarded in the offseason with unending questions as to when they will finally win a road affair. Anything is possible as earlier this week, the NBA?s Cleveland Cavaliers finally brought an end to their marathon 34 game road losing streak. I am personally playing the Lions on the MONEY LINE at MVP Sportsbook because of what Carolina?s vaunted defense did NOT due last week. Against an Arizona team ranked #30 in rushing, the Panthers allowed them to gain 170 yards on the ground. Carolina also allowed a rookie quarterback making his first ever NFL start to lead a pair of long TD drives and control the clock for most of the first half. Certainly, taking the generous points is enticing this afternoon as the Panthers tied
an NFL record with 7 games decided by 3-or-LESS points. Carolina is a horrible 1-7 ATS for the season as a favorite. Here are a couple of UNDEFEATED angles from my database. First of all, DETROIT IS 6-0 ATS SINCE 1992 after allowing at least 8 yards per pass attempt in consecutive games. The Lions are also 7-0 ATS following consecutive games permitting the opposition to complete at least 63-percent of their passes (20+ attempts). Once again, I am treating this game as if it were a Preseason affair, which means Detroit actually WANTS this game more, and will have a quarterback ?audition? for next year in the fourth quarter with McMahon. Detroit is 2-3-1 ATS on the road this year which is not great, however, considering their record road losing mark, that spread record is really not all that bad. The reason why Detroit has covered some games on the highway is due to better coaching from Mariucchi.
2 Units on Philadelphia Eagles U 42 -110
100-PERCENT NFL TOTAL: I am going to go right to my database which tells me that PHILADELPHIA IS 7-0 UNDER AT HOME SINCE 1992 after a road game where both teams scored at least 24 points!!! Regular clients know that I had serious egg on my face this past Monday Night when the Eagles/Dolphins soared ?over? the posted total in Miami by halftime, despite the fact that neither team had a ?big play? offense, while both sides had extremely solid defensive secondaries. Of course, I am undefeated in monster 5-UNIT moves even since, but the bottom line is that I have not forgotten how the Eagles burned me a few days ago. I mentioned Monday Night that Philadelphia is ranked way down at #23 in the league defending the rush. Miami?s Ricky Williams became the 6th running back in the last 8 weeks to gain over 100 yards on the ground against the Eagles undersized defensive line, so San Francisco will be enticed to RUN the football this afternoon, as their best shot to win is to have long and sustained drives that take precious time off the clock. Philadelphia DC Jim Johnson is NOT convinced that opponents can score a lot of points off the running game, so he really is not overly concerned about his unit?s low ranking versus the run. I will tell you that during their current team record winning streak, the Philadelphia defense certainly is doing something right as Miami became the FIRST team in TEN weeks to put up more than 20 points on the Eagles defense! On Monday Night, All Pro CB Troy Vincent hurt his ailing hip yet again and probably will not play this afternoon. However, two talented second year CB?s (Sheldon Brown and Lito Sheppard) gained a lot of experience during Taylor?s 9 game absence from the lineup. As I told you earlier, the 49ers are definitely going to RUN the ball today, even though Garrison Hearst is hurting. Kevan Barlow has rushed for 830 yards but has fumbled THREE times the last couple of weeks, including twice inside the 20 yard line, which killed two effective drives. The San Francisco offense appeared to be in better shape with reserve QB Tim Rattay running the show simply because regular Jeff Garica has been hampered with injuries all season. Garcia had a bulging disc in his back in training camp. During the course of the season, Garcia has had to deal with groin woes, a concussion and a broken forearm which affected his wrist and thumb. Garcia eventually was driven to the sidelines with a high ankle sprain. Even though SF put up some serious points and yardage last week (502) in Cincinnati, I am not going to let that sway my opinion on this total. The 49ers defense actually has a decent pass rush that will bother the red hot Donovan McNabb, so I look for the Eagles to RUN the ball offensively as well with the ?3 headed? tandem of Brian Westbrook, Deuce Staley and Correll Buckhalter (1,015 yards the last 5 games collectively). By the way, QB Donovan McNabb has run for 334 yards as well. I will admit that Philly has exceeded the posted total 4 straight weeks (27 ppg average), while the 49ers have pulled the same trick 3 straight times, however, that has only inflated this posted total. According to my database, San Francisco is a rock solid 6-1 UNDER on the road versus good rushing teams like Philadelphia, who average at least 4.5 yards per carry
ADDING..
MONEY MAN..3-0-1 YESTERDAY..CHIC..CAROLINA..BALT..OVER (BUFF)..OVER (SF)..OVER (PITT)
WAYNE ROOT..CHAIRMANS CLUB..PITT
MILLIONAIRE..JVILLE
FORTUNE 5000..TEXANS
JOE GAVAZZI..4*..TEXANS..OAK..PURDUE
ASA..5*..OVER (49ERS)..4*..JVILLE
ALATEX..20*..JAX..BUFF
MTI..5*..BALT..4*..SF..3*..CHIC..GIANTS
NORTHCOAST..4*..BALT..3*..JVILLE..OVER (SF)
Guys, EVERYBODY is on JVILLE..I have not seen one, literally one, play on NO, and you know what that normally means. These are the plays that the majority of the services are on. This doesn't mean they will lose, it's just they are all playin alot of the same plays! Here they are:
JVILLE..OVER (SF)..RAVENS
DAWG
MONEY MAN..3-0-1 YESTERDAY..CHIC..CAROLINA..BALT..OVER (BUFF)..OVER (SF)..OVER (PITT)
WAYNE ROOT..CHAIRMANS CLUB..PITT
MILLIONAIRE..JVILLE
FORTUNE 5000..TEXANS
JOE GAVAZZI..4*..TEXANS..OAK..PURDUE
ASA..5*..OVER (49ERS)..4*..JVILLE
ALATEX..20*..JAX..BUFF
MTI..5*..BALT..4*..SF..3*..CHIC..GIANTS
NORTHCOAST..4*..BALT..3*..JVILLE..OVER (SF)
Guys, EVERYBODY is on JVILLE..I have not seen one, literally one, play on NO, and you know what that normally means. These are the plays that the majority of the services are on. This doesn't mean they will lose, it's just they are all playin alot of the same plays! Here they are:
JVILLE..OVER (SF)..RAVENS
DAWG
Franchise, historically if all the services are playing the same game, it usually goes the other way. What I usually do is for example, if my sources give me Jville today, I may look at it making it a "no play" due to the fact of it being "one-sided". But, I have seen those plays hit as well, so it is more of a "gut feeling" to me if they are all on one side. I will update as info comes in. As far as that teaser, I hate playin teasers, but the 2 teams you listed look good. If I play a teaser I like teasin the big dogs. I will try and post a teaser that I like after I get my plays..
DAWG
DAWG
