Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
PHILADELPHIA RL (-130) over Atlanta
Brett MyersComes in off his roughest outing iin a while after allowing 10 ER to the Marlins in 4 innings of work. Prior to that start Brett was 6-2 with a 1.59 ERA in his previous 9 starts. He is also 7-4 with a 2.77 ERA at home. He was hit hard in his only meeting with the Braves this year, but that was in May when he was horrible. Jo Jo Reyes has been bad on the road his year with a 1-6 mark and a 4.80 ERA, plus he is 0-7 with a 7.28 ERA in his last 11 starts overall and 0-2 with a 5.69 ERA in 2 starts vs the Phils this year. The Braves have been outscored by 4 rpg in his last 11 starts. The Phils have won 10 of their last 12 and they won 7 of those 10 games by 2 runs or more, while the Braves have been outscored by 2 runs or more in 12 of their last 16 losses. The Brave has scored just 3.6 rpg in their last 7 games, while the Phils have scored a healthy 5.4 rpg vs lefty starters on the year. The Phils have the clear pitching advantage in this one, plus they will be motivated to get back last night's loss and move one step closer to the Division crown. Phils roll here.
Houston/ Cincinnati Under 8.5
The Under is 14-3-2 in Reds last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 6-0-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter, while the Under is 14-5 in Astros last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter and 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record, plus the Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Houston and 11-2 in Millers last 13 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Ramon Ramirez has just 3 career starts and he has a 2.84 ERA in those starts. He could have a good outing tonight vs a houston offense that comes in hitting just .229 and scoring just 2.9 rpg in their last 7 games. Randy Wolf has pitched good at home this year with a 3.19 ERA, while he owns a 3.39 in 14 career starts vs the Reds. Cincy Comes in scoring just 4.1 rpg in their las 12 games and they are hitting just .240 and scoring 4 rpg on the road this year. Minute Maid Park is a hitting park, but not tonight as pitching will rule.
2 UNIT PLAYS
LA Angels +123 over SEATTLE
The Angels are 21-7 in their last 28 during game 3 of a series and 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss, while the Mariners are 10-27 in their last 37 vs. American League West and 2-10 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series. The Angels have really dominated thios series, going 33-13 in the last 46 meetings, including 5-1 in their last 6 played here. I know the Angels have the West all wrapped up, but they don't really want to head into the post season on a losing note. The Angels come in winners in 12 of their last 16 games and would like to get the taste ofg last nights bad loss out of their mouths. Jon Garland does have a high 5.73 ERA on the road, but with a solid 7-3 record. Jon is also 8-3 with a 3.40 ERA in his career vs the M's. Felix Hernandez has been struggling for Seattle of late going 0-3 with a 4.05 ERA in his last 4 starts. He will face a hot Angels offense that is scoring 6.4 rpg in their last 7 games, while the Mariners have put up just 2.8 rpg in their last 13 games. Seattle broke a long losing streak last night, but the celebration will be short lived as they will find themselves with their 13th loss in their last 14 games after this one is over.
I ALSO LIKE
Cleveland +149 over BOSTON: Sox are still partying after securing a playoff berth last night, so it's a perfect spot for the Tribe to steal one. Go with the dog here.
1 UNIT PLAYS
MINNESOTA -125 over ChiSox
Gotta go against the Cheat Sheet on this one. Sorry guys. The Sox rea just 4-14 on artificial Turf this year and they are just 1-7 in teir last 8 meetings in Minnesota, plus they are 0-7 in Buehrles last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Twins are 17-4 in their last 21 home games vs. a left-handed starter and 21-6 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Minnesota has played very well at home this year, going 50-26 overall, including 9-4 in Nick Blackburn's home starts. Nick has pitched well at home going 7-3 with a 2.92 ERA and he is 7-4 with a 3.45 ERA on artificial surfaces this year. Mark Buehrle has been hot in his last 4 starts, with a 3-0 mark and a 2.13 ERA in his last 4 starts, but he has struggled on the road this year, going 4-8 with a 5.14 ERA. Mark is 21-12 in his career vs the Twins, I see the twins taking this one from a Sox team that should be a bit tired as this is the 9 game of a 10 game road trip. Go Twins.
LA Angels/ Seattle Over 8
The Over is 7-1 in Garlands last 8 starts overall and 7-0 in his last 7 road starts, while the Over is 13-5-1 in Mariners last 19 games following a win and 6-1 in Hernandezs last 7 starts vs. Angels, plus the Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Seattle. Seattle's last 7 games have average 8.8 rpg, while the Angels last 7 games have averaged 11.5 rpg. Jon Garlands road starts have averaged 12.1 rpg, including 15.7 rpg in his last 7 starts away from home, while his night starts have averaged 10.4 rpg this year. The teams have combined for 10.1 rpg in the 8 games played here this season and with both starters struggling with their ERA's of late, I see another game between these two finishing in double digits.