PARSONS DIVISIONAL GOY (17-3 RUN!) **DBL GUARANTEE
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Game: Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Aug 13 2008 9:05PM
Prediction: Colorado Rockies
Reason: COLORADO – Yes, with last night’s 4-2 win the Diamondbacks have now won four straight over the Rockies. However, the key to a Colorado victory tonight is the pitching match-up. Jeff Francis of the Rockies should hold the upper hand, in a big way, over Doug Davis of the Diamondbacks! Overall, Arizona’s win yesterday was their second straight but let’s not forget that they had previously lost four straight games! The Diamondbacks are now 9-1 against the Rockies this season and this includes a perfect 4-0 at Coors Field. However, removing that from the records note that the Dbacks are 24-32 in all their other road games this season and Colorado is 33-24 in all their other home games this season. As you can see, the Diamondbacks success at Coors Field is a bit of a fluke and we don’t foresee it continuing tonight! Francis has struggled against Arizona this season in his three starts against them. However, last season the Rockies southpaw excelled against the Diamondbacks with a 2.84 ERA in his three starts against them. Francis did struggle in his most recent start, which came against Washington, but that was his first outing after a five week stint on the disabled list. He will be much stronger in his second start since coming off of the DL. That is often how it works for most pitchers and we expect the case with Francis to be no different! Note that Francis certainly should be the beneficiary of plenty of run support today as he’s opposed by Davis of the Dbacks! The Arizona southpaw has been struggling badly and is unlikely to fare well in this spot! Davis has lasted a total of just six innings in his two August starts and he’s been pounded for 12 runs and 15 hits in those two short outings! Davis is 2-3 with a 3.00 ERA in his career against the Rockies but the low ERA is certainly deceiving! Davis has a 1.73 WHIP against Colorado and the Rockies have hit .322 against him in his career so you can see that the damage certainly could have been much worse for Davis against Colorado. Davis stats versus Colorado were also impacted by an outing at Coors Field where he allowed three runs (but none were earned) in five innings of work. He walked five and allowed eight hits in that start (his only career appearance at Coors Field) and he easily could have given up a lot more damage in that poor effort at Coors. We look for another rough outing from Davis on Wednesday night in Colorado. That’s why this one, behind a strong start from Francis, will be all Rockies!