StatSystemsSports
Rounding The Bases – Wednesday
#969 SEATTLE @ #970 CLEVELAND
TV: 7:05 PM EST, SportsTime Cleveland
Line: Mariners -1.5, +120, Total: 6.5, -110
Seattle ace Felix Hernandez tries to set a major-league record that reflects his consistent excellence when the Mariners visit the Cleveland Indians on Wednesday in the middle contest of their three-game series. Hernandez has recorded an American League-record 13 starts with at least seven innings while yielding two or fewer runs, sharing the all-time standard with Hall-of-Famer Tom Seaver (1971). The All-Star is 7-1 with a 1.36 ERA while striking out 113 and walking 17 during that span.
Hernandez opposes Corey Kluber, who retired the first 19 batters he faced in his last outing while extending his unbeaten streak to four starts with a no-decision. Seattle remained two games behind Toronto for the final wild-card spot in the AL with a 5-2 victory in Tuesday's series opener - snapping a six-game losing streak in Cleveland - while the Indians fell five games off the pace with their fifth loss in six contests. The Mariners have a hot hitter on their hands in Dustin Ackley, who went 3-for-5 with two RBIs on Tuesday and is batting .444 in his last 11 games to raise his season average to .256.
PITCHING MATCHUP
•Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (11-2, 1.99 ERA, WHIP: 0.891) - Hernandez settled for his second straight no-decision after allowing one run and five hits while fanning 10 in seven innings of Seattle's 2-1 loss to Baltimore on Friday - his fifth consecutive game with eight or more strikeouts. The 28-year-old Venezuelan, who leads the AL in ERA and quality starts (20) while second in strikeouts (173), hasn't lost since a 1-0 setback to Texas on June 11. Hernandez is 7-5 with a 2.98 ERA in 15 outings against Cleveland - including a 3-0 victory in Seattle on June 29, when he yielded one hit and struck out nine in eight innings - but is 3-5 with a 4.50 ERA in nine turns at Progressive Field.
•Indians RH Corey Kluber (10-6, 2.77 ERA, WHIP: 1.125) - Kluber received a no-decision after permitting one unearned run and two hits while striking out 10 for the second straight game in the Indians' 2-1 loss at Kansas City in 14 innings. "I wish we'd had some runs so we could sit back and really enjoy it, because that was special," Cleveland manager Terry Francona told reporters about the 24-year-old Alabama native, who went the deepest into a game without allowing a baserunner by a Cleveland pitcher since Len Barker's perfect game on May 15, 1981. "You can use all the adjectives you want. He had dominating stuff." Kluber, who never has faced the Mariners, is 5-2 with a 3.01 ERA in 10 home starts this season.
•PREGAME NOTES: The Mariners' bullpen recorded two scoreless innings Tuesday and has a major league-best 2.38 ERA.... Cleveland is 29-20 while playing a major league-low 49 home games.... Seattle C Mike Zunino homered in his last two contests and has 16 this season, sharing the team lead with All-Star 3B Kyle Seager.
•KEY STATS
--HERNANDEZ is 5-17 against the run line (-16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.5, OPPONENT 4.4.
--KLUBER is 14-5 against the run line (+12.2 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 5.6, OPPONENT 2.9.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: SEATTLE is 10-9 (+2.2 Units) against the run line versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 10-9 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
--Games This Season: SEATTLE is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against the run line versus CLEVELAND this season. SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND this season.
--All Games at CLEVELAND Over The Last 3 Seasons: CLEVELAND is 4-3 (+1.3 Units) against the run line versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 6-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
•RECENT TRENDS
--SEA is 1-5 in their last 6 Wednesday games.
--SEA is 1-5 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
--SEA is 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
--CLE is 5-1 in Klubers last 6 home starts.
--CLE is 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
--CLE is 7-2 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
•UMPIRE TRENDS - Victor Carapazza
--Road team is 4-1 in Carapazzas last 5 games behind home plate.
--Under is 7-2 in Carapazzas last 9 games behind home plate.
--Under is 7-3-1 in Carapazzas last 11 Wednesday games behind home plate.
--Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Carapazza behind home plate.
--Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Carapazza behind home plate.
•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SEATTLE) - poor American League hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts.
(43-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.7%, +36.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (40-20 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2, money line price: +124
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +1.4)
The number of games in which this StatSystemsSports.net system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 27 (45% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2, +2.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-12, +26.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (51-31, +29 units).
**StatSystemsSports.net Prediction: Indians 3, Mariners 2
__________________________________________________
Rounding The Bases – Wednesday
#969 SEATTLE @ #970 CLEVELAND
TV: 7:05 PM EST, SportsTime Cleveland
Line: Mariners -1.5, +120, Total: 6.5, -110
Seattle ace Felix Hernandez tries to set a major-league record that reflects his consistent excellence when the Mariners visit the Cleveland Indians on Wednesday in the middle contest of their three-game series. Hernandez has recorded an American League-record 13 starts with at least seven innings while yielding two or fewer runs, sharing the all-time standard with Hall-of-Famer Tom Seaver (1971). The All-Star is 7-1 with a 1.36 ERA while striking out 113 and walking 17 during that span.
Hernandez opposes Corey Kluber, who retired the first 19 batters he faced in his last outing while extending his unbeaten streak to four starts with a no-decision. Seattle remained two games behind Toronto for the final wild-card spot in the AL with a 5-2 victory in Tuesday's series opener - snapping a six-game losing streak in Cleveland - while the Indians fell five games off the pace with their fifth loss in six contests. The Mariners have a hot hitter on their hands in Dustin Ackley, who went 3-for-5 with two RBIs on Tuesday and is batting .444 in his last 11 games to raise his season average to .256.
PITCHING MATCHUP
•Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (11-2, 1.99 ERA, WHIP: 0.891) - Hernandez settled for his second straight no-decision after allowing one run and five hits while fanning 10 in seven innings of Seattle's 2-1 loss to Baltimore on Friday - his fifth consecutive game with eight or more strikeouts. The 28-year-old Venezuelan, who leads the AL in ERA and quality starts (20) while second in strikeouts (173), hasn't lost since a 1-0 setback to Texas on June 11. Hernandez is 7-5 with a 2.98 ERA in 15 outings against Cleveland - including a 3-0 victory in Seattle on June 29, when he yielded one hit and struck out nine in eight innings - but is 3-5 with a 4.50 ERA in nine turns at Progressive Field.
•Indians RH Corey Kluber (10-6, 2.77 ERA, WHIP: 1.125) - Kluber received a no-decision after permitting one unearned run and two hits while striking out 10 for the second straight game in the Indians' 2-1 loss at Kansas City in 14 innings. "I wish we'd had some runs so we could sit back and really enjoy it, because that was special," Cleveland manager Terry Francona told reporters about the 24-year-old Alabama native, who went the deepest into a game without allowing a baserunner by a Cleveland pitcher since Len Barker's perfect game on May 15, 1981. "You can use all the adjectives you want. He had dominating stuff." Kluber, who never has faced the Mariners, is 5-2 with a 3.01 ERA in 10 home starts this season.
•PREGAME NOTES: The Mariners' bullpen recorded two scoreless innings Tuesday and has a major league-best 2.38 ERA.... Cleveland is 29-20 while playing a major league-low 49 home games.... Seattle C Mike Zunino homered in his last two contests and has 16 this season, sharing the team lead with All-Star 3B Kyle Seager.
•KEY STATS
--HERNANDEZ is 5-17 against the run line (-16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.5, OPPONENT 4.4.
--KLUBER is 14-5 against the run line (+12.2 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 5.6, OPPONENT 2.9.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: SEATTLE is 10-9 (+2.2 Units) against the run line versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 10-9 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
--Games This Season: SEATTLE is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against the run line versus CLEVELAND this season. SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND this season.
--All Games at CLEVELAND Over The Last 3 Seasons: CLEVELAND is 4-3 (+1.3 Units) against the run line versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 6-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
•RECENT TRENDS
--SEA is 1-5 in their last 6 Wednesday games.
--SEA is 1-5 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
--SEA is 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
--CLE is 5-1 in Klubers last 6 home starts.
--CLE is 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
--CLE is 7-2 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
•UMPIRE TRENDS - Victor Carapazza
--Road team is 4-1 in Carapazzas last 5 games behind home plate.
--Under is 7-2 in Carapazzas last 9 games behind home plate.
--Under is 7-3-1 in Carapazzas last 11 Wednesday games behind home plate.
--Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Carapazza behind home plate.
--Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Carapazza behind home plate.
•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SEATTLE) - poor American League hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts.
(43-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.7%, +36.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (40-20 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2, money line price: +124
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +1.4)
The number of games in which this StatSystemsSports.net system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 27 (45% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2, +2.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-12, +26.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (51-31, +29 units).
**StatSystemsSports.net Prediction: Indians 3, Mariners 2
__________________________________________________