BIG AL
3* PLAYS Our 3 selections include the Mariners, Nationals and Cardinals.
3* 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Nationals over the Cincinnati Reds.
5* At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Rockies and Florida Marlins 'under' the total. <!-- / message --> <!-- controls -->
3* PLAYS Our 3 selections include the Mariners, Nationals and Cardinals.
3* 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Nationals over the Cincinnati Reds.
5* At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Rockies and Florida Marlins 'under' the total. <!-- / message --> <!-- controls -->
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Dave Cokin
LA Angels
Brewers Solid Gold play
Matchup: L.A. Angels at N.Y. Yankees
Time: 1:05 PM EDT (Wed)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) PINEIRO, J vs. (R) VAZQUEZ, J
Play: L.A. Angels (ML +170)
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Matchup: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Wed)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) WOLF, R vs. (L) DUKE, Z
Play: Milwaukee (ML -125) SOLID GOLD
LA Angels
Brewers Solid Gold play
Matchup: L.A. Angels at N.Y. Yankees
Time: 1:05 PM EDT (Wed)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) PINEIRO, J vs. (R) VAZQUEZ, J
Play: L.A. Angels (ML +170)
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Matchup: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Wed)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) WOLF, R vs. (L) DUKE, Z
Play: Milwaukee (ML -125) SOLID GOLD
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SPORTS WAGERS
ST. LOUIS –1½ +1.42 over Philadelphia
The Phillies were whacked again last night for the second straight time here and there’s no reason to believe it won’t happen again. The Phillies have now lost three in a row and five of six and its bullpen is running on fumes after the team allowed 26 runs over the last three games and worked eight innings last night. They’re not scoring either and in fact, they’ve scored one run or less in three of its last seven games. Two of its last three wins were by scores of 1-0 so they’re fortunate their losing funk isn’t worse. To make matters worse, Joe Blanton’s chances of going deep into this game is slim to none. Blanton has three wins in 15 starts, a 6.21 ERA, a 7.01 ERA on the road and a BAA of .300. At least he’s consistent, as he’s posted a 5.50+ ERA in each month so far this year and a 1.50+ WHIP in both June and July. Meanwhile the Cards continue to pound out hits and runs. They’ve now won seven straight and scored 41 times over that span and have hit a combined .307. Jamie Garcia is 3-1 at home with an ERA of 1.49. In 48 innings pitched at home he’s allowed just one jack. He has an outstanding groundball rate of 53% and while his strand rate is high also, which reveals some fortune; it’s not a concern here because the Phillies are not stringing any hits together these days and look completely out of sync. Trade rumors are swirling around the Phillies and that leaves an uneasy feeling. Red-hot v ice-cold gets the call. Play: St. Louis –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).
ATLANTA –1½ +1.42 over San Diego
Tommy Hanson has had a rough few outings recently and that includes getting rocked by the South Side and the Tigers in back-to-back games June 22 and June 27. He only has one win in his last five starts and that has his stock lower than it’s been all season. Still, Hanson shows elite control with just 35 walks all season and 109 K’s. He’s issued two or fewer walks in every start since May 31 and last season he was outstanding in the second half. This guy has elite potential and wicked stuff and he’ll be up against the league’s biggest imposter, Jon Garland. Garland’s ERA is 3.45, which is a complete mirage. His ERA on the road is even flattering at 4.53. Garland remains an overvalued pitcher with no upside and he’s been regressing for six weeks now. In three July starts covering 17 frames, Garland has walked 10 and struck out 12. Now for the best news, current Braves hitters have 129 AB’s against Garland and their OPS is an off the charts 1.012. They also have a slugging percentage of .628 and a BA of .349. His ERA against the Braves in his career is 14.04 and once again we should see some batting practice out there against this stiff. Play: Atlanta –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).
Texas –1.03 over DETROIT
Sign me up baby! The Tigers have done a complete 180 and each loss is uglier than the last. The Tigers losing streak has hit seven and over that stretch they’ve scored three runs or less six times. They made a rookie pitcher for the Tribe named Jeanmar Gomez look like C.C Sabathia and they’ve done the same against Carmona, Westbrook, Hunter and Mitch Talbot. Now they’ll face a real pitcher is Colby Lewis. Lewis has allowed just 90 hits in 115 frames for a BAA of .209. Keep in mind that he pitches half his games at that landmine in Arlington. He has 112 K’s and just 39 walks. In 10 road starts his BAA is .171 and now he’ll face a reeling team in a pitcher’s park. Meanwhile the Rangers have won five of six and they just keep beating up on folks. They’ve scored seven runs or more in four of those six wins and they also won in Boston against Lester this past Sunday. They’ll face Max Scherzer here, a guy with lots of upside but also a guy that has never performed well under pressure. With a seven game losing streak and counting, this is not the ideal spot for Max. He can be awfully wild and can be counted on to walk some batters. You simply can’t expect to fall behind these Ranger hitters and get by. Once again, Hot v ice–cold and ugly gets the call. Play: Texas –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
ST. LOUIS –1½ +1.42 over Philadelphia
The Phillies were whacked again last night for the second straight time here and there’s no reason to believe it won’t happen again. The Phillies have now lost three in a row and five of six and its bullpen is running on fumes after the team allowed 26 runs over the last three games and worked eight innings last night. They’re not scoring either and in fact, they’ve scored one run or less in three of its last seven games. Two of its last three wins were by scores of 1-0 so they’re fortunate their losing funk isn’t worse. To make matters worse, Joe Blanton’s chances of going deep into this game is slim to none. Blanton has three wins in 15 starts, a 6.21 ERA, a 7.01 ERA on the road and a BAA of .300. At least he’s consistent, as he’s posted a 5.50+ ERA in each month so far this year and a 1.50+ WHIP in both June and July. Meanwhile the Cards continue to pound out hits and runs. They’ve now won seven straight and scored 41 times over that span and have hit a combined .307. Jamie Garcia is 3-1 at home with an ERA of 1.49. In 48 innings pitched at home he’s allowed just one jack. He has an outstanding groundball rate of 53% and while his strand rate is high also, which reveals some fortune; it’s not a concern here because the Phillies are not stringing any hits together these days and look completely out of sync. Trade rumors are swirling around the Phillies and that leaves an uneasy feeling. Red-hot v ice-cold gets the call. Play: St. Louis –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).
ATLANTA –1½ +1.42 over San Diego
Tommy Hanson has had a rough few outings recently and that includes getting rocked by the South Side and the Tigers in back-to-back games June 22 and June 27. He only has one win in his last five starts and that has his stock lower than it’s been all season. Still, Hanson shows elite control with just 35 walks all season and 109 K’s. He’s issued two or fewer walks in every start since May 31 and last season he was outstanding in the second half. This guy has elite potential and wicked stuff and he’ll be up against the league’s biggest imposter, Jon Garland. Garland’s ERA is 3.45, which is a complete mirage. His ERA on the road is even flattering at 4.53. Garland remains an overvalued pitcher with no upside and he’s been regressing for six weeks now. In three July starts covering 17 frames, Garland has walked 10 and struck out 12. Now for the best news, current Braves hitters have 129 AB’s against Garland and their OPS is an off the charts 1.012. They also have a slugging percentage of .628 and a BA of .349. His ERA against the Braves in his career is 14.04 and once again we should see some batting practice out there against this stiff. Play: Atlanta –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).
Texas –1.03 over DETROIT
Sign me up baby! The Tigers have done a complete 180 and each loss is uglier than the last. The Tigers losing streak has hit seven and over that stretch they’ve scored three runs or less six times. They made a rookie pitcher for the Tribe named Jeanmar Gomez look like C.C Sabathia and they’ve done the same against Carmona, Westbrook, Hunter and Mitch Talbot. Now they’ll face a real pitcher is Colby Lewis. Lewis has allowed just 90 hits in 115 frames for a BAA of .209. Keep in mind that he pitches half his games at that landmine in Arlington. He has 112 K’s and just 39 walks. In 10 road starts his BAA is .171 and now he’ll face a reeling team in a pitcher’s park. Meanwhile the Rangers have won five of six and they just keep beating up on folks. They’ve scored seven runs or more in four of those six wins and they also won in Boston against Lester this past Sunday. They’ll face Max Scherzer here, a guy with lots of upside but also a guy that has never performed well under pressure. With a seven game losing streak and counting, this is not the ideal spot for Max. He can be awfully wild and can be counted on to walk some batters. You simply can’t expect to fall behind these Ranger hitters and get by. Once again, Hot v ice–cold and ugly gets the call. Play: Texas –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
LOGICAL PICK
Pick Today is Arizona Diamondbacks.
The game is on at 9:00 PM EST.
64.1 % Win Probability
Our sim shows this line should favor Arizona at -185... The D'backs are 4 games above .500 when they are home favorites and the Mets are 11 games under .500 as road dogs... The mixture of this makes this a very strong play
Over/Under:
Spread:
Moneyline: -120
Pick Today is Arizona Diamondbacks.
The game is on at 9:00 PM EST.
64.1 % Win Probability
Our sim shows this line should favor Arizona at -185... The D'backs are 4 games above .500 when they are home favorites and the Mets are 11 games under .500 as road dogs... The mixture of this makes this a very strong play
Over/Under:
Spread:
Moneyline: -120
BEATYOURBOOKIE
PLAY OF THE DAY
10* Play St. Louis (-150) over Philadelphia
8:15 P.M. EST
Philadelphia is 3-8 in road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs
Joe Blanton is 2-14 in road games when pitching on a Wednesday
Joe Blanton is 1-3 in road games this season with an ERA of 7.06
PLAY OF THE DAY
10* Play St. Louis (-150) over Philadelphia
8:15 P.M. EST
Philadelphia is 3-8 in road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs
Joe Blanton is 2-14 in road games when pitching on a Wednesday
Joe Blanton is 1-3 in road games this season with an ERA of 7.06
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Oakland vs Boston @ 3:35 ET: Gonzalez vs Buchholz – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *10* Top Play selection.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER in Baltimore vs Tampa Bay @ 12:35 ET: Bergesen vs Shields – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Play OVER the total in Baltimore as an *8* Regular Play selection
Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *10* Top Play selection.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER in Baltimore vs Tampa Bay @ 12:35 ET: Bergesen vs Shields – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Play OVER the total in Baltimore as an *8* Regular Play selection
ryan bennet
wednesdays plays:
milwaukee brewers (-135) 7:05pm est - 3 units
boston redsoxs - 1st 5 innings (-110) 3:35pm est - 3 units
yesterdays plays:
texas rangers 1st 5 innings (-125) 10 unit max release - winner
boston redsox @ oakland a's - over 8 (-110) 4 units - winner
2 - 0 +14 units
wednesdays plays:
milwaukee brewers (-135) 7:05pm est - 3 units
boston redsoxs - 1st 5 innings (-110) 3:35pm est - 3 units
yesterdays plays:
texas rangers 1st 5 innings (-125) 10 unit max release - winner
boston redsox @ oakland a's - over 8 (-110) 4 units - winner
2 - 0 +14 units
Wednesday MLB Play- GC
On Wednesday the Free MLB play is on the Seattle Mariners. Game 930 at 10:10 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play against road dogs off a road favored win by 2 or more runs, if they scored 4 or less runs and had 10+ hits, vs an opponent off a home dog loss that scored 2 or less runs and had 5 or more men left on base. These road teams have lost 13 of 16 times. If the posted total is 8 or less they have lost every time. The Whitesox will have a tough time here tonight against F. Hernandez. In fact Hernandez has a 2.56 home era and has held Chicago scoreless over his last 15 innings against them. Chicago starter G. Floyd has a 1-4 record with an era over 8 vs Seattle. In his road starts this season Chicago is 3-6 and he has a 4.12 era. Look for Seattle to get the win tonight. Both games go at night as we remain 30 games over .500 in bases without heavy favorites. For the Bonus Play take Seattle. GC
On Wednesday the Free MLB play is on the Seattle Mariners. Game 930 at 10:10 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play against road dogs off a road favored win by 2 or more runs, if they scored 4 or less runs and had 10+ hits, vs an opponent off a home dog loss that scored 2 or less runs and had 5 or more men left on base. These road teams have lost 13 of 16 times. If the posted total is 8 or less they have lost every time. The Whitesox will have a tough time here tonight against F. Hernandez. In fact Hernandez has a 2.56 home era and has held Chicago scoreless over his last 15 innings against them. Chicago starter G. Floyd has a 1-4 record with an era over 8 vs Seattle. In his road starts this season Chicago is 3-6 and he has a 4.12 era. Look for Seattle to get the win tonight. Both games go at night as we remain 30 games over .500 in bases without heavy favorites. For the Bonus Play take Seattle. GC
