MLBPredictions
Kevin
After 6 straight winners we finally had a loser yesterday…..
1*Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins – OVER 8 RUNS (-105)*1:10 PM EST START*
De La Rose vs Baker on the mound today. The OVER is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 interleague road games, and 11-5-2 in their last 18 games overall. The OVER is also 20-4-2 in their last 26 games as a road underdog, and 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs a team with a losing home record. THe OVER is 2-0-2 in De La Rosa’s last 4 starts overall. Note the OVER is 3-0-1 in the Twins last 4, and 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The OVER is also 8-1 in their last 9 games as a small -110 to -150 favorite. The OVER is 7-3 in Bakers last 10 starts overall, and 5-2 in his last 7 home starts. The OVER has hit in the first two games of this series, and is 4-0-1 in these two teams last 5 meetings.
Take the OVER this afternoon with a low total.
Kevin
After 6 straight winners we finally had a loser yesterday…..
1*Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins – OVER 8 RUNS (-105)*1:10 PM EST START*
De La Rose vs Baker on the mound today. The OVER is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 interleague road games, and 11-5-2 in their last 18 games overall. The OVER is also 20-4-2 in their last 26 games as a road underdog, and 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs a team with a losing home record. THe OVER is 2-0-2 in De La Rosa’s last 4 starts overall. Note the OVER is 3-0-1 in the Twins last 4, and 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The OVER is also 8-1 in their last 9 games as a small -110 to -150 favorite. The OVER is 7-3 in Bakers last 10 starts overall, and 5-2 in his last 7 home starts. The OVER has hit in the first two games of this series, and is 4-0-1 in these two teams last 5 meetings.
Take the OVER this afternoon with a low total.
DAVID BANKS (comp)
Fail yesterday Under Mets / Tigers
Florida Marlins vs. Oakland Athletics
A pair of struggling teams match up in the second game of their Interleague series at Overstock.com Coliseum where the Oakland A’s Graham Godfrey will look to get the best of Ricky Nolasco and the Florida Marlins; first pitch is set for 10:05 ET.
The month of June has been everything but Marlins brass would’ve wanted to see transpire. They opened the month up just two-games in back of the Philadelphia Phillies within the NL East standings, but entering Tuesday night’s series opener, the Fish now find themselves 14.5-games out and in last place in the division. Jack McKeon took over the managerial duties, and since then, the ball club has gone 2-3. The Marlins were one of the best road teams over the course of the first two months of the season, but now stand just 17-18 ($212) overall.
The A’s have been a very tough team for MLB bettors to figure out all season long. The pitching staff led the league at one point in unit ERA, but after suffering a multitude of injuries to starting pitchers, the unit now ranks 3rd with a combined 3.17 ERA; still not too shabby. That said, the offense is flat out rancid scoring an average of just 3.54 runs per game (#27) and launching just 41 overall long balls into the bleachers (#30). They have however been at their best as a host going 19-16 overall, but have still cost their betting backers upwards of $280 in those contests.
These teams last met back in 2008 and have only matched wits in six games this past decade. The series is split at three games a piece with the ‘over’ going 4-1-1 overall. Tuesday night pending, Florida is 1-10 its L/11 as a visitor and a putrid 2-8 against American League opposition. In the other dugout, the A’s are riding a five-game home winning streak and sport a dominating 75-36 record the L/111 times they welcome a National League opponent into the Coliseum.
PICK: FLORIDA/OAKLAND UNDER
Fail yesterday Under Mets / Tigers
Florida Marlins vs. Oakland Athletics
A pair of struggling teams match up in the second game of their Interleague series at Overstock.com Coliseum where the Oakland A’s Graham Godfrey will look to get the best of Ricky Nolasco and the Florida Marlins; first pitch is set for 10:05 ET.
The month of June has been everything but Marlins brass would’ve wanted to see transpire. They opened the month up just two-games in back of the Philadelphia Phillies within the NL East standings, but entering Tuesday night’s series opener, the Fish now find themselves 14.5-games out and in last place in the division. Jack McKeon took over the managerial duties, and since then, the ball club has gone 2-3. The Marlins were one of the best road teams over the course of the first two months of the season, but now stand just 17-18 ($212) overall.
The A’s have been a very tough team for MLB bettors to figure out all season long. The pitching staff led the league at one point in unit ERA, but after suffering a multitude of injuries to starting pitchers, the unit now ranks 3rd with a combined 3.17 ERA; still not too shabby. That said, the offense is flat out rancid scoring an average of just 3.54 runs per game (#27) and launching just 41 overall long balls into the bleachers (#30). They have however been at their best as a host going 19-16 overall, but have still cost their betting backers upwards of $280 in those contests.
These teams last met back in 2008 and have only matched wits in six games this past decade. The series is split at three games a piece with the ‘over’ going 4-1-1 overall. Tuesday night pending, Florida is 1-10 its L/11 as a visitor and a putrid 2-8 against American League opposition. In the other dugout, the A’s are riding a five-game home winning streak and sport a dominating 75-36 record the L/111 times they welcome a National League opponent into the Coliseum.
PICK: FLORIDA/OAKLAND UNDER
WUNDERDOG (MLB)
MLB 8-6 last 14 picks +$390
1 OF 4
Game: Kansas City at San Diego (3:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 6.5 -105
The San Diego Padres have a Heinz-like 57 games, where they have held their opponent to four runs or less. That is impressive, but it exceeds the number of times their offense has scored four or less by just one, as the bats have come up short in 56 games as well. The Royals anemic offense has produced four or less runs in nine of their last ten games. Playing on the road has seen them produce a 9-1-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 11 vs. a losing team. The Padres offense has been bad, but at home vs. a lefthander the result has been 16-4-1 to the UNDER in their last 21. Stauffer has been a big part of that as San Diego is now 12-3 to the UNDER when he pitches in rotation on four days rest.
I like the UNDER here.
MLB 8-6 last 14 picks +$390
1 OF 4
Game: Kansas City at San Diego (3:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 6.5 -105
The San Diego Padres have a Heinz-like 57 games, where they have held their opponent to four runs or less. That is impressive, but it exceeds the number of times their offense has scored four or less by just one, as the bats have come up short in 56 games as well. The Royals anemic offense has produced four or less runs in nine of their last ten games. Playing on the road has seen them produce a 9-1-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 11 vs. a losing team. The Padres offense has been bad, but at home vs. a lefthander the result has been 16-4-1 to the UNDER in their last 21. Stauffer has been a big part of that as San Diego is now 12-3 to the UNDER when he pitches in rotation on four days rest.
I like the UNDER here.
Wednesday Triple Pack has MLB Game of the Month from a system that wins by an average 5 runs Per game. I also have a 90% dog system and a 20-4 Day time Dominator. MLB Sweeps on Tuesday and is now on a 35-15 run. MLB Free System Play below
On Wednesday the Free MLB System Play is on the under in the Red Sox at Phillies game. Rotation numbers 919/920. This game falls into a nice totals system that has cashed 11 of 15 times and is displayed below. What we want to do is play the under for certain road teams that scored 2 or less runs on 2 or less hits if the total in that game was 8 or less and the opponent scored 5 or more runs. These games average around 7 runs per game. The Sox were stymied last night by C. Lee and may be cooling off some at the plate after their torrid 2 week stretch. The Phillies have played under in 10 straight inter league games and have Worley pitching with 6 days rest. Worley has been solid here at home with a 1.57 ERA. Boston counter with old reliable J. Lackey. This season has not fared well for Lackey as his ERA is elevated from years past. However he will catch a Philly team that is hitting a paltry .205 and barely scoring 2 runs per game vs American League teams. The Phillies have played under 7 of 10 times off a shut out win as well this year. Look for another under here tonight. On Wednesday its the MLB Game of the Month from a Blowout system that Wins By 5 Runs per game, I also have a 90% dog system and an afternoon 20-4 Dominator Side. MLB Swept the board on Tuesday and is now on a 35-15 run. Jump on and cash big on Hump day. For the Bonus Play take The Under 9.5 runs in the Boston at Philly game. GC
O/U: 4-11-0 (-1.3 rpg) average total: 8.3
Runs
Team: 2.9
Opp: 4.0
Recap Date Site Team Starter Opp Starter Score SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
view 05-08-2004 away Rockies Jennings - R Cubs Maddux - R 4-3 1 W -2.5 U 7-5 1-0 1-2 200 9.5 9
view 07-15-2005 away Rangers Wasdin - R Athletics Zito - L 2-7 -5 L 1.0 O 4-8 3-0 0-7 140 8.0 9
view 09-03-2006 away Reds Milton - L Padres Wells - L 1-2 -1 L -6.0 U 7-7 1-0 1-1 120 9.0 9
view 04-03-2007 away Dodgers Wolf - L Brewers Capuano - L 3-4 -1 L -1.0 U 7-8 0-0 1-1 125 8.0 9
view 07-27-2008 away Nationals Bergmann - R Dodgers Kershaw - L 0-2 -2 L -6.0 U 5-7 1-2 0-2 140 8.0 9
view 09-06-2008 away Diamondbacks Webb - R Dodgers Billingsley - R 2-7 -5 L 2.0 O 6-6 0-0 0-7 110 7.0 9
view 07-07-2009 away Orioles Guthrie - R Mariners Bedard - L 12-4 8 W 8.0 O 11-7 0-1 9-1 130 8.0 9
view 05-29-2010 away Diamondbacks Buckner - R Giants Sanchez - L 1-12 -11 L 4.5 O 2-16 0-0 0-11 145 8.5 9
view 06-05-2010 away Brewers Narveson - L Cardinals Ottavino - R 4-5 -1 L -0.5 U 7-9 0-2 1-3 140 9.5 10+
view 06-27-2010 away Pirates Ohlendorf - R Athletics Gonzalez - L 2-3 -1 L -3.5 U 8-3 4-1 0-2 200 8.5 9
view 07-27-2010 away Tigers Verlander - R Rays Shields - R 2-3 -1 L -3.0 U 12-5 0-1 0-2 125 8.0 9
view 08-05-2010 away Padres Correia - R Dodgers Billingsley - R 5-0 5 W -2.0 U 9-9 0-0 5-0 150 7.0 9
view 04-20-2011 away Pirates Morton - R Marlins Nolasco - R 0-6 -6 L -2.0 U 5-11 1-0 0-6 145 8.0 9
view 05-05-2011 away Brewers Marcum - R Braves Beachy - R 1-2 -1 L -4.5 U 6-7 1-2 0-1 112 7.5 9
view 05-07-2011 away Brewers Gallardo - R Cardinals Lohse - R 4-0 4 W -4.5 U 9-1 0-0 4-0 113 8.5 9
06-29-2011 away Red Sox Lackey - R Phillies Worley - R 110 9.5
On Wednesday the Free MLB System Play is on the under in the Red Sox at Phillies game. Rotation numbers 919/920. This game falls into a nice totals system that has cashed 11 of 15 times and is displayed below. What we want to do is play the under for certain road teams that scored 2 or less runs on 2 or less hits if the total in that game was 8 or less and the opponent scored 5 or more runs. These games average around 7 runs per game. The Sox were stymied last night by C. Lee and may be cooling off some at the plate after their torrid 2 week stretch. The Phillies have played under in 10 straight inter league games and have Worley pitching with 6 days rest. Worley has been solid here at home with a 1.57 ERA. Boston counter with old reliable J. Lackey. This season has not fared well for Lackey as his ERA is elevated from years past. However he will catch a Philly team that is hitting a paltry .205 and barely scoring 2 runs per game vs American League teams. The Phillies have played under 7 of 10 times off a shut out win as well this year. Look for another under here tonight. On Wednesday its the MLB Game of the Month from a Blowout system that Wins By 5 Runs per game, I also have a 90% dog system and an afternoon 20-4 Dominator Side. MLB Swept the board on Tuesday and is now on a 35-15 run. Jump on and cash big on Hump day. For the Bonus Play take The Under 9.5 runs in the Boston at Philly game. GC
O/U: 4-11-0 (-1.3 rpg) average total: 8.3
Runs
Team: 2.9
Opp: 4.0
Recap Date Site Team Starter Opp Starter Score SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
view 05-08-2004 away Rockies Jennings - R Cubs Maddux - R 4-3 1 W -2.5 U 7-5 1-0 1-2 200 9.5 9
view 07-15-2005 away Rangers Wasdin - R Athletics Zito - L 2-7 -5 L 1.0 O 4-8 3-0 0-7 140 8.0 9
view 09-03-2006 away Reds Milton - L Padres Wells - L 1-2 -1 L -6.0 U 7-7 1-0 1-1 120 9.0 9
view 04-03-2007 away Dodgers Wolf - L Brewers Capuano - L 3-4 -1 L -1.0 U 7-8 0-0 1-1 125 8.0 9
view 07-27-2008 away Nationals Bergmann - R Dodgers Kershaw - L 0-2 -2 L -6.0 U 5-7 1-2 0-2 140 8.0 9
view 09-06-2008 away Diamondbacks Webb - R Dodgers Billingsley - R 2-7 -5 L 2.0 O 6-6 0-0 0-7 110 7.0 9
view 07-07-2009 away Orioles Guthrie - R Mariners Bedard - L 12-4 8 W 8.0 O 11-7 0-1 9-1 130 8.0 9
view 05-29-2010 away Diamondbacks Buckner - R Giants Sanchez - L 1-12 -11 L 4.5 O 2-16 0-0 0-11 145 8.5 9
view 06-05-2010 away Brewers Narveson - L Cardinals Ottavino - R 4-5 -1 L -0.5 U 7-9 0-2 1-3 140 9.5 10+
view 06-27-2010 away Pirates Ohlendorf - R Athletics Gonzalez - L 2-3 -1 L -3.5 U 8-3 4-1 0-2 200 8.5 9
view 07-27-2010 away Tigers Verlander - R Rays Shields - R 2-3 -1 L -3.0 U 12-5 0-1 0-2 125 8.0 9
view 08-05-2010 away Padres Correia - R Dodgers Billingsley - R 5-0 5 W -2.0 U 9-9 0-0 5-0 150 7.0 9
view 04-20-2011 away Pirates Morton - R Marlins Nolasco - R 0-6 -6 L -2.0 U 5-11 1-0 0-6 145 8.0 9
view 05-05-2011 away Brewers Marcum - R Braves Beachy - R 1-2 -1 L -4.5 U 6-7 1-2 0-1 112 7.5 9
view 05-07-2011 away Brewers Gallardo - R Cardinals Lohse - R 4-0 4 W -4.5 U 9-1 0-0 4-0 113 8.5 9
06-29-2011 away Red Sox Lackey - R Phillies Worley - R 110 9.5
Sports Wagers
N.Y. Mets +122 over DETROIT Pinnacle
No reason whatsoever to get off the Mets now. They’ve won five of six and they’ve scored 36 runs over their last three games. They’re hitting everything right now and Phil Coke isn’t likely to slow them down. Coke has five quality starts in 13 attempts. In the past 31 days his ERA is 5.57 and his xERA is 6.31. In 73 IP he’s walked 28 and struck out 36 for a lousy BB/K ratio. He rarely last past five innings and the Tigers rarely win when he does start. At Comerica, Coke is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.33. Overall he’s 1-7 with a 4.33 but his xERA is 5.24. When he’s producing quality starts, which isn’t often, he’s doing with mediocre skills and as the chalk he offers up nothing but grief. The Tigers offense is always dangerous and gives them a chance but they’re not as hot as the Mets offense right now, not even close. Chris Capuano left Thursday's outing with abdominal discomfort and was still feeling the affects on Friday. His scheduled bullpen session was pushed back a day, though he's not expected to miss a start. Capuano has quietly held together nicely for the Mets, with a 3.99 ERA, good control (24 BB in 86 IP) and a solid strikeout rate (71 K’s), though throughout his career, injuries have frequently derailed his best work. Over his last five starts, covering 31 frames, Capuano has posted an ERA of 2.32, struck out 24 and walked eight. Lastly, the Tigers have won just four interleague games in 12 tries and cannot wait to get back to AL competition. The Mets can’t wait to get to the park. Play: N.Y. Mets +122 (Risking 2 units).
COLORADO –1½ +140 over Chicago Pinnacle
Are the White Sox not the sickest team in the majors to wager on? Here’s a team that will get you base hits with two out and none on. They’ll also get a hit when trailing by nine runs but when they’re up a run, tied, or down a run it’s like pulling teeth to ask them to deliver a sacrifice fly, let alone a base hit. The South Side has scored three runs or less in four of their past six games. That’s after facing guys like Livan Hernandez, Doug Davis, Tom Gorzelanny, Carlos Zambrano. Matt Garza and Jason Hammel last night. Over their last 10 games they’ve faced two top-tier pitchers in Jordan Zimmerman and Daniel Hudson and against that duo they scored one run in 16 innings and they’re going toi have to face another top-tier pitcher here. Ubaldo Jiminez got off to a very shaky start but is rounding into form. Over his last five starts he’s his old dominating self again, throwing 33 innings over five starts and posting a 2.43 ERA while striking out 29 and walking seven. Dominance and GB% keep him in the upper echelon of starting pitchers. By contrast, Mark Buehrle’s 80% strand rate over his past five starts has kept him in games. In his last start he had runners on first and third with one out and then the rains came. He did not return after the lengthy delay and Jesse Crain came on and promptly induced a double play to make Buehrle’s pitching line look pretty again. The guy has a genie following him around but with marginal skills (4.84 xERA, 49 K’s in 99 IP), it cannot last much longer and this is the park where an implosion is likely. Play: Colorado –1½ +140 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y. Mets +122 over DETROIT Pinnacle
No reason whatsoever to get off the Mets now. They’ve won five of six and they’ve scored 36 runs over their last three games. They’re hitting everything right now and Phil Coke isn’t likely to slow them down. Coke has five quality starts in 13 attempts. In the past 31 days his ERA is 5.57 and his xERA is 6.31. In 73 IP he’s walked 28 and struck out 36 for a lousy BB/K ratio. He rarely last past five innings and the Tigers rarely win when he does start. At Comerica, Coke is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.33. Overall he’s 1-7 with a 4.33 but his xERA is 5.24. When he’s producing quality starts, which isn’t often, he’s doing with mediocre skills and as the chalk he offers up nothing but grief. The Tigers offense is always dangerous and gives them a chance but they’re not as hot as the Mets offense right now, not even close. Chris Capuano left Thursday's outing with abdominal discomfort and was still feeling the affects on Friday. His scheduled bullpen session was pushed back a day, though he's not expected to miss a start. Capuano has quietly held together nicely for the Mets, with a 3.99 ERA, good control (24 BB in 86 IP) and a solid strikeout rate (71 K’s), though throughout his career, injuries have frequently derailed his best work. Over his last five starts, covering 31 frames, Capuano has posted an ERA of 2.32, struck out 24 and walked eight. Lastly, the Tigers have won just four interleague games in 12 tries and cannot wait to get back to AL competition. The Mets can’t wait to get to the park. Play: N.Y. Mets +122 (Risking 2 units).
COLORADO –1½ +140 over Chicago Pinnacle
Are the White Sox not the sickest team in the majors to wager on? Here’s a team that will get you base hits with two out and none on. They’ll also get a hit when trailing by nine runs but when they’re up a run, tied, or down a run it’s like pulling teeth to ask them to deliver a sacrifice fly, let alone a base hit. The South Side has scored three runs or less in four of their past six games. That’s after facing guys like Livan Hernandez, Doug Davis, Tom Gorzelanny, Carlos Zambrano. Matt Garza and Jason Hammel last night. Over their last 10 games they’ve faced two top-tier pitchers in Jordan Zimmerman and Daniel Hudson and against that duo they scored one run in 16 innings and they’re going toi have to face another top-tier pitcher here. Ubaldo Jiminez got off to a very shaky start but is rounding into form. Over his last five starts he’s his old dominating self again, throwing 33 innings over five starts and posting a 2.43 ERA while striking out 29 and walking seven. Dominance and GB% keep him in the upper echelon of starting pitchers. By contrast, Mark Buehrle’s 80% strand rate over his past five starts has kept him in games. In his last start he had runners on first and third with one out and then the rains came. He did not return after the lengthy delay and Jesse Crain came on and promptly induced a double play to make Buehrle’s pitching line look pretty again. The guy has a genie following him around but with marginal skills (4.84 xERA, 49 K’s in 99 IP), it cannot last much longer and this is the park where an implosion is likely. Play: Colorado –1½ +140 (Risking 2 units).
