Service Plays Wednesday 5/28/14

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Preview: Kings (46-28) at Blackhawks (46-21)

Date: May 28, 2014 8:00 PM EDT

CHICAGO (AP) - The special teams have been awful. The faceoff circle has been a huge problem. Patrick Kane, Marian Hossa and Patrick Sharp have combined for one goal for the Chicago Blackhawks.

The defending Stanley Cup champions are in big trouble in the Western Conference final, down 3-1 to the rolling Los Angeles Kings.

But the Blackhawks are back at home for Game 5 on Wednesday night, and have dug out of similar trouble before.

'Just looking to win Game 5,' coach Joel Quenneville said after the Blackhawks arrived back in Chicago on Tuesday afternoon. 'That's it. Get the momentum back and go from there.'

The previous time this series was in Chicago, the Kings seized the momentum with a five-goal third period in a 6-2 victory in Game 2.

It carried right over to a pair of impressive victories in Los Angeles that moved the Kings to the brink of their second Stanley Cup Final in three seasons.

Los Angeles has shredded Chicago's penalty-kill unit for five goals in its past 10 chances, while holding the Blackhawks to one power-play goal in their past 11 opportunities. Anze Kopitar and the Kings have won 58 percent (106 of 184) of the faceoffs during the win streak, taking the puck-possession Blackhawks out of their game.

'It's one of the things you look at with young centermen is how are they on faceoffs and are they working to improve on it,' Los Angeles coach Darryl Sutter said. 'It's a special skill. It's one of those stats in hockey when you say you're 50 percent, you know, if that was us in school, we'd be going again.'

The Kings' big advantage against the Blackhawks is a far cry from the beginning of the playoffs, when they lost their first three games against San Jose. But they rallied past the Sharks in seven games, and then eliminated Anaheim after falling behind 3-2 in that series.

The twin rallies could help against Chicago. Los Angeles, which won the Stanley Cup in 2012, knows how important it is to quickly close out a team such as the Blackhawks while they are struggling.

'We're expecting their best,' Kings center Trevor Lewis said. 'They're back at home now. We're expecting them to come out hard. I mean, they're defending Cup champions. I don't think they're going to give up by any means.'

A year ago, the Blackhawks were down 3-1 to the Red Wings in the second round when they headed home for Game 5. Andrew Shaw then had two goals in a 4-1 victory that sparked a series-saving winning streak for Chicago.

The Blackhawks also lost their first three games in the first round against Vancouver in 2011, and got all the way back to a 2-1 overtime loss in Game 7. They are drawing on those experiences for this series, while acknowledging the surging Kings are an entirely different problem.

'We're looking forward to getting out there tomorrow night,' defenseman Brent Seabrook said. 'I know the guys were being upbeat on the plane this morning, at breakfast this morning. We're looking forward to getting out there tomorrow and trying to get some momentum back and start feeling good about ourselves again.'

Seabrook and defensive partner Duncan Keith had one of their worst games of the season in Monday night's 5-2 loss. Keith had a turnover that led to a Marian Gaborik goal, and Seabrook struggled on Chicago's penalty-kill unit.

'I (have) got to be better. Doesn't just start with a penalty kill. It's every facet of the game,' Seabrook said. 'We all got to be out there doing the things that are going to make us win the game.

'I think some things happened last game that are uncharacteristic, but at the same time you have to give L.A. credit. They're forcing us into different situations. We (have) got to be better and we will be better.'
 
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NHL playoffs

Kings scored 14 goals in last seven periods, with five power play goals, to take 3-1 lead and can end series here; LA won five of last six games overall, is 6-4 on road in playoffs Chicago . had won ten of last 12 games vs Kings before losing last three games- they're 7-1 at home in playoffs, with only loss in Game 2 of this series. LA is 29-22 on road this season. Chicago was down 2-0 in first round to St Louis; they're 36-13 overall at home this year, they've given up 15 goals in last three games- they need to tighten up here, or season is over. Over is 10-5-4 in Los Angeles playoff games this spring,
 
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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | TULSA at SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more
40-15 since 1997. ( 72.7% | 23.5 units )

WNBA | TULSA at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (TULSA) horrible defensive team from last season - allowed 75 or more points/game, after a loss by 6 points or less
37-16 since 1997. ( 69.8% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | TULSA at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after a game where they covered the spread
701-484 since 1997. ( 59.2% | 168.6 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | NY YANKEES at ST LOUIS
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (NY YANKEES) below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games
66-24 since 1997. ( 73.3% | 33.8 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.9 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | DETROIT at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 80-35 (+41.8 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.4)
 

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Baseball Crusher
Oakland Athletics -115 over Detroit Tigers
(System Record: 32-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 32-25

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Twins -112 over Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners -124 over LA Angels
Houston Astros +150 over KC Royals
 

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Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -136 over LA Kings
(Playoff Record: system 21-2: overall 21-14-1, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 111-88-3

Rest of the Plays
Chicago Blackhawks + Los Angeles Kings OVER 5
 

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Basketball Crusher
Miami Heat -130 over Indiana Pacers
(Playoff Record: 15-16-3, lost last 3 games)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 93-101-8

Rest of the Plays
Miami Heat + Indiana Pacers UNDER 184.5
 

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Soccer Crusher
Sport Recife + Gremio OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 581-21, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 581-484-84
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
WEDNESDAY, MAY 28TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#901 PITTSBURGH @ #902 NY METS - 1:10 PM
•Pirates RH Charlie Morton (1-6, 3.29 ERA, WHIP: 1.270) - Morton finally earned his elusive first victory and halted a 14-start winless drought in the process by holding the Washington Nationals to one run and five hits over 5 2/3 innings. Morton still struggled with his control, allowing four walks and throwing 108 pitches, but the bullpen managed to preserve his first win since Sept. 2. Morton is seeking his first win away from home, going 0-3 with a 4.62 ERA in four road starts.

--KEY STAT: MORTON is 15-36 (-17.8 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MORTON 3.1, OPPONENT 5.1.

--MORTON is 13-3 UNDER (+9.6 Units) after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MORTON 3.1, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Mets LH Bartolo Colon (3-5, 5.34 ERA, WHIP: 1.343) - Rain wiped out Colon's last start after four innings but he went a season-high eight innings in his previous outing, giving up two runs on five hits in a win over the Nationals. That ended a three-start winless stretch in which Colon was knocked around for 16 earned runs and 28 hits in a span of 17 1/3 innings. The 41-year-old Colon will be making only his fourth start of the season at Citi Field and first since April 24.

--KEY STAT: COLON is 12-4 against the run line (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 5.7, OPPONENT 3.2.

#903 CHICAGO CUBS @ #904 SAN FRANCISCO - 3:45 PM
•Cubs RH Edwin Jackson (3-4, 4.94 ERA, WHIP: 1.440) - After posting a 1.80 ERA in his first three starts this month, Jackson allowed eight runs over four innings against San Diego last Friday. The Padres homered twice off the 30-year-old, who had allowed just two home runs in his first 54 innings this season. Sandoval is 7-for-13 with a home run against Jackson, who is 2-2 with a 4.66 ERA in seven career games (six starts) against San Francisco.

--KEY STAT: JACKSON is 15-29 (-14.3 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 4.0, OPPONENT 5.0.

--JACKSON is 18-34 (-15.4 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 3.9, OPPONENT 4.7.

--JACKSON is 15-29 against the run line (-21.5 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 4.0, OPPONENT 5.0.

•Giants RH Tim Lincecum (4-3, 4.55 ERA, WHIP: 1.590) - Lincecum walked a season-high six batters last Friday against Minnesota, but he escaped with the win after throwing 112 pitches and allowing two runs over six innings. “He was bobbing and weaving out there the whole game,” manager Bruce Bochy told reporters. “That’s a lot of pitches, but the kid found a way to make pitches when he had to.” The two-time Cy Young award winner is 4-5 with a 3.59 ERA in 12 career starts against the Cubs.

--KEY STAT: LINCECUM is 17-4 (+13.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 5.3, OPPONENT 3.2.

--LINCECUM is 8-24 against the run line (-16.6 Units) in home games versus an National League team with they batting average of .250 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 3.1, OPPONENT 3.8.

--LINCECUM is 9-25 against the run line (-17.0 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 3.1, OPPONENT 3.9.

#905 COLORADO @ #906 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
•Rockies RH Jordan Lyles (5-1, 3.45 ERA, WHIP: 1.217) - Lyles received a no-decision Friday, allowing two runs and striking out six in six innings of Colorado's 3-2 loss at Atlanta, after yielding six runs, five hits and six walks in 3 1/3 frames of an 8-5 loss to San Diego on May 17. "I just didn't walk everybody in the lineup, I guess," the 23-year-old Florence, S.C., native told the Denver Post. "I put that last game behind me a day or so later." Lyles defeated Philadelphia 3-1 on April 19 when he allowed an unearned run and five hits in seven innings.

--KEY STAT: LYLES is 2-17 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 3.8, OPPONENT 6.6.

--LYLES is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in road games versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 4.3, OPPONENT 6.8.

--LYLES is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 4.3, OPPONENT 5.7.

•Phillies RH Roberto Hernandez (2-2, 3.83 ERA, WHIP: 1.511) - Hernandez allowed two runs, seven hits and walked four in 6 1/3 innings of a 2-0 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday - his first start in two weeks. The 33-year-old Dominican Republic native received a no-decision in the Phillies' 10-9 victory at Colorado on April 20 when he was roughed up for six run and nine hits in four innings. Justin Morneau (10-for-33, three homers, 11 RBIs, six walks) and Michael Cuddyer (11-for-46, nine strikeouts) have the most experience against Hernandez.

--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 14-4 OVER (+10.1 Units) versus teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 7.3, OPPONENT 6.0.

--HERNANDEZ is 17-5 OVER (+12.2 Units) versus good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 5.3, OPPONENT 6.2.

#907 MIAMI @ #908 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Marlins RH Henderson Alvarez (2-3, 3.21 ERA, WHIP: 1.362) - Alvarez breezed through seven scoreless frames his last time out but didn't get a decision in Miami's 4-3 win over Philadelphia. The 24-year-old Venezuelan has struggled on the road this season, going 0-2 with a 4.88 ERA in five starts away from home. He hasn't fared any better against Washington, going 0-3 with a 3.81 ERA in five starts versus the Nationals.

•Nationals RH Jordan Zimmermann (3-2, 3.95 ERA, WHIP: 1.427) - Zimmermann took the loss his last time out, allowing four runs and seven hits over six innings in a 4-3 defeat at Pittsburgh. The 28-year-old has found mixed results against Miami this season — the Marlins shelled him for five runs in 1 2/3 innings on April 9, but he bounced back to beat them with seven innings of two-run ball five days later. He is 5-3 with a 3.84 ERA in 13 starts against Miami.

#909 SAN DIEGO @ #910 ARIZONA - 9:40 PM
•Padres RH Tim Stauffer (2-0, 1.90 ERA, WHIP: 1.224) - Stauffer is making his second straight start while filling the rotation spot of Robbie Erlin (elbow). He struck out five and gave up just two hits in five shutout innings while beating the Chicago Cubs last Friday. Stauffer is 1-2 with a 1.99 ERA in 17 career appearances (five starts) against Arizona.

•Diamondbacks RH Chase Anderson (2-0, 5.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.126) - Anderson has won both his outings – going 5 1/3 innings in each -- since reaching the majors this month. He allowed one run and two hits while beating the Chicago White Sox on May 11 and followed up by beating the Los Angeles Dodgers despite giving up five runs and the seven hits in 5 1/3 innings. Anderson has been touched for three homers.

#911 CINCINNATI @ #912 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM
•Reds RH Homer Bailey (4-3, 5.34 ERA, WHIP: 1.587) - After producing just one quality start in five April outings, Bailey has four in May after allowing three runs in six innings of a win over St. Louis on Friday. He has given up three home runs in 43 innings over his last seven outings after serving up six over just 14 1/3 frames in his first three appearances of the year. Bailey is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA over his last seven starts versus Los Angeles.

--KEY STAT: BAILEY is 7-0 OVER (+7.2 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was BAILEY 5.4, OPPONENT 5.7.

--BAILEY is 10-0 OVER (+10.1 Units) versus good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BAILEY 7.1, OPPONENT 5.5.

•Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (3-1, 3.49 ERA, WHIP: 1.235) - Kershaw rebounded in fine fashion from a dismal start at Arizona on May 17, posting six scoreless frames to defeat Philadelphia on Friday. He struck out nine batters for the third time in his four starts since returning from the disabled list earlier this month. The two-time Cy Young Award winner has a 2.78 ERA in eight career starts against the Reds and a 2.22 mark in 97 outings at Dodger Stadium.

--KEY STAT: KERSHAW is 24-51 against the run line (-27.4 Units) in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 3.7, OPPONENT 3.0.
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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
WEDNESDAY, MAY 28TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#913 HOUSTON @ #914 KANSAS CITY - 2:10 PM
•Astros RH Jarred Cosart (3-4, 4.39 ERA, WHIP: 1.392) - Cosart has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his last six starts but is just 2-2 in that span. The 24-year-old lost for the first time in three outings on Thursday, when he yielded three runs and five hits in 6 1/3 innings at Seattle. Cosart, who is 1-3 with a 4.59 ERA on the road, will be facing Kansas City for the first time in his career.

•Royals LH Danny Duffy (2-4, 2.59 ERA, WHIP: 1.022) - Duffy pitched well in his first three starts after joining the rotation before getting tagged for five runs in six innings at the Los Angeles Angels on Friday. The 25-year-old is 1-3 despite allowing fewer than two runs in three of his four turns, as the Royals have scored a total of four runs in his outings. Duffy picked up a win in relief at Houston on April 16 after striking out four in two scoreless frames.

--KEY STAT: DUFFY is 8-0 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DUFFY 5.3, OPPONENT 2.3.

#915 TAMPA BAY @ #916 TORONTO - 7:05 PM
•Rays RH Chris Archer (3-2, 4.11 ERA, WHIP: 1.438) - Archer has not allowed a run in his last two starts over 11 2/3 innings, but has thrown 223 pitches combined – a career-high 119 in his last. The 25-year-old North Carolina native has struggled with control over the last five outings, walking 19 in 26 1/3 frames. Brett Lawrie is 4-for-10 lifetime against Archer, who is 2-0 with a 2.01 ERA in four career starts versus the Blue Jays.

•Blue Jays RH Liam Hendriks (1-0, 1.59 ERA, WHIP: 1.058) - Hendriks was solid in his first start for the Blue Jays, yielding only one run and three hits in 5 2/3 innings to beat Oakland 3-2. The 25-year-old Australian was 5-0 with a 1.48 ERA in nine appearances (seven starts) at Triple-A Buffalo. Evan Longoria and Matt Joyce have homered against Hendriks, who gave up four runs over 5 2/3 innings in his only outing against the Rays while with Minnesota in 2012.

#917 CLEVELAND @ #918 CHI WHITE SOX - 8:10 PM
•Indians LH T.J. House (0-1, 6.43 ERA, WHIP: 1.857) - House struggled in his major-league debut, surrendering five runs and 11 hits over six innings in a loss at Baltimore on Friday. "Obviously the results didn't end the way I wanted them to, but I had a good time out there and next time I get the chance to do it I hope to be able to perform a little better," House said. The 24-year-old Louisiana native was 1-2 with a 2.40 ERA in seven starts at Triple-A Columbus.

•White Sox RH Hector Noesi (0-4, 6.82 ERA, WHIP: 1.575) - Noesi, who is with his third team this season, actually pitched well in his last outing against the New York Yankees following a rocky first inning in which he gave up three runs. He went six innings for the third straight start but struggled with his control, issuing a season-worst five bases on balls. Noesi is searching for his first victory in more than two years, last winning on May 6, 2012, against Minnesota.

#919 TEXAS @ #920 MINNESOTA - 8:10 PM
•Rangers LH Joe Saunders (0-1, 9.82 ERA, WHIP: 2.452) - Saunders made four rehab starts, yielding one run in seven innings for Triple-A Round Rock on May 20 in his last outing. “Everything is more in sync,” the 32-year-old Springfield, Va., native told the Dallas Morning News about a mechanical adjustment he made which prevents him from rushing toward the plate. “I’m still the same guy, the same schmo, but I feel more prepared. I think the mechanical adjustments helped.'' Saunders is 3-2 with a 4.88 ERA in five starts against Minnesota.

--KEY STAT: SAUNDERS is 20-8 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAUNDERS 4.5, OPPONENT 3.8.

--SAUNDERS is 29-18 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAUNDERS 4.6, OPPONENT 4.1.

•Twins RH Kyle Gibson (4-4, 4.68 ERA, WHIP: 1.420) - Gibson allowed five runs and five hits in five innings of a 6-2 loss at San Francisco on Friday while yielding two of the three home runs he has permitted in 50 frames this season. The 26-year-old Greenfield, Ind., native, who has never faced Texas, hopes a return home will help him get back on track as he is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA in four starts at Target Field this season. His last start there was a beauty as he allowed one run and six hits over seven innings of a 5-4 victory over Seattle on May 16.

--KEY STAT: GIBSON is 11-3 OVER (+8.1 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GIBSON 6.4, OPPONENT 4.1.

--GIBSON is 9-1 OVER (+8.1 Units) after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GIBSON 4.8, OPPONENT 4.9.

#921 DETROIT @ #922 OAKLAND - 10:05 PM
•Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (2-2, 2.83 ERA, WHIP: 1.114) - After going winless in his first five outings, Sanchez won his second consecutive start since coming off the disabled list May 18. The AL ERA champion from a season ago held the Texas Rangers to two runs and five hits over a season-high seven frames in Friday’s 7-2 victory and has yielded two or fewer earned runs in six of his seven turns. Sanchez gave up four runs over five innings in his last start versus the Athletics in a no-decision Aug. 26 and is 1-1 with a 5.09 ERA against them in three career outings.

--KEY STAT: SANCHEZ is 3-16 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANCHEZ 2.7, OPPONENT 4.2.

--SANCHEZ is 22-5 UNDER (+16.6 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANCHEZ 2.7, OPPONENT 3.1.

•Athletics LH Scott Kazmir (5-2, 2.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.006) - Kazmir turned in his seventh quality start in 10 tries Friday, but suffered his first road loss of the season in a 3-2 defeat to the Toronto Blue Jays. The two-time All-Star yielded three runs and five hits over seven innings, but managed only two strikeouts. Kazmir, who is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA through four home starts, posted an 0-1 record and 5.06 ERA in two starts versus the Tigers last year and is 4-5 with a 3.99 ERA in 13 all-time starts against them.

--KEY STAT: KAZMIR is 39-19 UNDER (+17.6 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 3.9, OPPONENT 4.2.

--KAZMIR is 42-19 UNDER (+20.5 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 4.1, OPPONENT 3.9.

#923 LA ANGELS @ #924 SEATTLE - 10:10 PM
•Angels LH C.J. Wilson (6-3, 3.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.130) - Wilson looks to extend his winning streak to three starts after allowing a total of one run over 15 1/3 innings in his previous two outings. The 33-year-old has won four of his last five decisions, yielding fewer than two runs in each triumph. Wilson fell to 14-7 lifetime against the Mariners when he was tagged for six runs in 5 2/3 frames in his season debut April 1.

--KEY STAT: WILSON is 26-8 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 5.2, OPPONENT 3.3.

--WILSON is 33-15 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 5.3, OPPONENT 3.5.

--WILSON is 16-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 6.1, OPPONENT 3.2.

--WILSON is 10-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 7.9, OPPONENT 4.1.

--WILSON is 13-2 OVER (+11.1 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 6.6, OPPONENT 3.4.

•Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (6-1, 2.75 ERA, WHIP: 1.062) - Hernandez has won three straight starts after going 0-1 in his previous five. The 28-year-old Venezuelan worked eight innings in each of his last two outings, allowing two runs at Minnesota on May 18 and one against Houston five days later. Hernandez has struggled against the Angels over his career but improved to 9-13 in the season opener March 31, when he surrendered three runs - two earned - and struck out 11 in six frames.

--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 19-27 (-17.3 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.9, OPPONENT 4.1.

--HERNANDEZ is 26-11 (+14.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.9, OPPONENT 3.3.
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Wednesday's MLB betting cheat sheet: C.J., Felix do battle

Boston O Party

The Boston Red Sox are one of the hottest Over bets going, improving to 7-1 O/U in their last eight games following a 6-3 triumph over the host Atlanta Braves. The Red Sox, who were 3-10-1 O/U prior to the streak, are +126 underdogs with the total set at 8 for Wednesday's rematch.

Making His Mark

Toronto Blue Jays lefty Mark Buehrle continued his red-hot start to the season, improving to 9-1 with 6 2/3 solid innings in a 9-6 victory over Tampa Bay. Buehrle leads all pitchers in money earned with $971, already surpassing his total of $731 from last season.

C.J.'s New Low

C.J. Wilson and the Los Angeles Angels face a total of 6.5 as they face Felix Hernandez and the Seattle Mariners (-123) on Wednesday. The Angels are 4-0 in Wilson's four career starts as an Angel with the total below 7, though that hasn't happened since Oct. 1, 2012 - coincidentally against Hernandez.

Pitching Notes

* Los Angeles Dodgers lefty Clayton Kershaw hasn't been getting much help from his teammates against the Central Division. The Dodgers - listed at -194 Wednesday against visiting Cincinnati - have lost Kershaw's last five starts against the Central while scoring just five runs over that span.

* Being an underdog hasn't exactly agreed with New York Yankees right-hander Hiroki Kuroda, who is 0-5 against the moneyline in his last five starts as a 'dog. Kuroda and the Yankees (+124, 7.5) continue their series in St. Louis on Wednesday.

Hitting Notes

* The Kansas City Royals won't miss May, having batted .244 with a paltry nine home runs in 25 games so far this month. The Royals, who are 10-15 S/U and 12-11-2 O/U in May, renew acquaintances with the visiting Houston Astros (+145, 8).

* St. Louis outfielder Matt Holliday had three hits, including a homer, to lead the Cardinals (-149) past the New York Yankees 6-0 Tuesday night. Holliday has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight games, during which the Cardinals have gone 6-2 S/U and 3-5 O/U.

Totals Streak

Tampa Bay Rays (4-0 O/U): Scoring has come fast and furious over the Rays' last four contests, as they and their opponents have combined to score an average of 13 1/2 runs per game. Tampa Bay is 29-21-3 O/U for the season, including 14-12-1 away from Tropicana Field.

Prop of the Day

The Pittsburgh Pirates enter Wednesday's game against the host New York Mets (-107, 7) as a +650 longshot to win by exactly one run. Fourteen of the Pirates' 23 victories this season have come by a run, the most in the majors.

Injury Notes

* Atlanta Braves catcher Evan Gattis was scratched from Tuesday's lineup with a wrist injury he suffered during batting practice. Gattis - who had a two-homer game Monday against Colorado - isn't expected to return for Wednesday's game against Boston.

* Seattle Mariners left-hander pitcher James Paxton has been shut down after suffering a setback in his return from a left shoulder injury. Paxton won his only two starts of the season, and the Mariners are 5-1 S/U in his six career outings.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Citi Field should expect wind to blow in from right field at 7 mph for Wednesday's game between the host Mets and the Pirates. Teams combined to average a scant 5.67 runs in six games under similar wind conditions in 2013.

Umpire Note of the Day

Under is 10-1 in umpire Jim Reynolds' last 11 Wednesday games calling balls and strikes. Reynolds will be behind home plate for the game between the host Washington Nationals (-155) and the Miami Marlins.
 
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MLB betting Top 5: Baseball's best Under pitchers

With roughly a third of the major league season in the books, a handful of marquee pitchers have rewarded Under bettors handsomely.

Whether it's a long string of solid performances, a major lack of run support or both, these starters have consistently returned the best Under value since the start of the season. Some appear to be strong bets to continue the trend, while others will likely regress to the mean before long.

Here are five of the top Under pitchers heading into the final days of May:

Alfredo Simon, Cincinnati Reds (1-8 O/U)

Simon has amazed in his first stint as a full-time starter since 2011, posting quality starts in eight of his nine outings to post the best Under mark of any pitcher with at least five starts. It has helped that the Reds haven't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard in his appearances, scoring more than four runs just once. Simon has posted a sub-3.00 ERA in each of his previous two seasons, but as the innings pile up - and the Reds offense wakes up - he should see fewer Under results.

Wily Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers (2-8 O/U)

Like Simon, Peralta has been a revelation, allowing no more than three earned runs in any of his first 10 starts while holding teams to two earned runs or fewer in nine of them. But he has just one win in his previous six starts thanks to a Brewers offense that has managed a combined nine runs in those outings. Peralta's career home/road splits are close to even and he's a strong second-half pitcher, suggesting his Under streak could continue for a while.

Garrett Richards, Los Angeles Angels (2-7-1 O/U)

Richards has catapulted himself from fringe-average starter to pivotal piece of the Angels' run at a playoff spot, posting seven quality starts in his first 10 outings - during which the Angels have gone 7-3. He has been particularly stingy on the road, going 3-0 with a 1.38 ERA and a 1-5 O/U record in six starts away from Angel Stadium. Richards has allowed just one homer in his first 66 innings this season. That number should rise, which will lead to more Over results.

Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves (3-8 O/U)

Teheran has been one of the top starters in baseball so far, posting a tidy 1.77 ERA with two complete-game shutouts already on his resume. The hard-throwing right-hander has been fortunate on the home-run front - five of the last six homers he has surrendered have been solo shots - and the Braves have scored just one run in three of his previous eight outings. Teheran should continue to be solid, but Atlanta's offense should improve, which will likely mean fewer Unders.

Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers (3-7 O/U)

Scherzer opened his season with four straight Unders but has leveled off recently, registering Overs in three of his previous six appearances. The 29 year old could easily be 5-5 O/U at this point in the campaign, with back-to-back starts in mid-April falling Under the total by only half a run apiece. Scherzer has traditionally been a much stronger pitcher from June forward, but with the Tigers' offense always capable of racking up big totals, approach the Under here with caution.
 
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CHASE DIAMOND

10* NHL PERFECT PLAY
Chicago Blackhawks -141

The Kings lead this series 3-1 but it’s far from over in my opinion. Chicago will be desperate tonight and these games have been tight the Blackhawks will exert their home ice advantage and at this nice line thanks to the Kings prevoius wins we are getting a gift wrapped winner tonight. Take the Kings to win straight for a 10* play.
 
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ACCUSCORE - MLB

AL EAST DIV GAME ML STREAK 6-1, 85.7% +536 -
TB 915 vs TOR 916 -- Over 50% on Toronto Blue Jays +105
AL WEST DIV GAME O/U STREAK 6-1, 85.7% +490 -
LAA 923 vs SEA 924 -- Under 6.5

ML-Home Line is -150 to -169 STREAK 9-3, 75% +270
HOU 913 vs KC 914 -- Over 50% on Kansas City Royals -155
CHC 903 vs SF 904 -- Over 50% on San Francisco Giants -160
MIA 907 vs WAS 908 -- Over 50% on Washington Nationals -155
 

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Hondo’s usual gloom and doom took a back seat to his broom Tuesday night as he swept with the Tigers and White Sox to reduce the IOUs to 1,085 hutchinsons.

Wednesday: Mr. Aitch, aka The Road Worrier, is counting on Fish to flog the Nats, Stauffer (San Diego) to cook the D’backs, and Bailey and the Reds to get their Irish up and cream the Dodgers. Ten units apiece.
Marlins
SD
REDS
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS INTERLEAGUE PITCHING REPORT
WEDNESDAY, MAY 28TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#925 ATLANTA @ #926 BOSTON - 7:10 PM
•Braves RH Gavin Floyd (0-1, 2.49 ERA, WHIP: 1.263) - Floyd put together a strong start against Colorado on Friday, allowing two runs and seven hits in 6 2/3 innings, but was held out of the decision. The 31-year-old owns 24 strikeouts and just five walks in 25 1/3 innings since coming off the disabled list. Floyd, who spent most of his career in the American League with the Chicago White Sox, has a successful history against Boston with a 7-0 record and 3.21 ERA in nine career games - eight starts.

--KEY STAT: FLOYD is 31-51 (-25.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FLOYD 3.8, OPPONENT 4.5.

--FLOYD is 41-21 UNDER (+17.6 Units) in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FLOYD 3.6, OPPONENT 4.0.

•Red Sox RH John Lackey (5-3, 3.58 ERA, WHIP: 1.240) - Lackey scattered five hits over seven scoreless innings on Friday at Tampa Bay but was held out of the decision as the Red Sox suffered a 1-0 walk-off loss. The veteran has surrendered two runs or fewer in five of his last six starts. Lackey has made just one start against Atlanta in the past and allowed two runs in six innings without earning a decision.

--KEY STAT: LACKEY is 17-3 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 5.1, OPPONENT 2.5.

--LACKEY is 19-5 UNDER (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.0, OPPONENT 3.5.

--LACKEY is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 2.5, OPPONENT 2.2.

--LACKEY is 18-6 UNDER (+11.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 3.9, OPPONENT 3.9.

#927 BALTIMORE @ #928 MILWAUKEE - 8:10 PM
•Orioles RH Bud Norris (3-4, 3.83 ERA, WHIP: 1.172) - Norris allowed four runs and six hits in six innings against Cleveland on Friday but got enough support to snap a three-start winless streak. The 29-year-old pitched well in his only previous start against a National League opponent this season, allowing one run in 5 1/3 innings against Pittsburgh to pick up a win. Norris has made 11 career starts against Milwaukee, going 4-3 with a 4.30 ERA.

--KEY STAT: NORRIS is 15-9 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NORRIS 4.4, OPPONENT 3.2.

--NORRIS is 18-7 UNDER (+9.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NORRIS 4.0, OPPONENT 3.6.

•Brewers RH Yovani Gallardo (2-3, 3.51 ERA, WHIP: 1.254) - Gallardo had his start pushed back a few days due to an ankle injury but proved the health of that joint while turning on a pitch and legging out the double on Tuesday. He is making his first start since going 3 1/3 innings at Atlanta on May 20 and has not won since April 6 while owning only one quality start in his last four turns. Gallardo is making his first ever start against Baltimore and is 5-6 with a 3.48 ERA in 16 career interleague outings.

#929 NY YANKEES @ #930 ST LOUIS - 8:15 PM
•Yankees RH Hiroki Kuroda (3-3, 4.55 ERA, WHIP: 1.298) - Kuroda has won just once in his last seven outings – that coming May 18 against Pittsburgh. He lasted just 4 2/3 innings in his last turn and gave up four runs (two earned) and eight hits in a no-decision against the Chicago White Sox. Kuroda is 1-2 with a 3.19 ERA in five career starts against the Cardinals, all coming when he was with the Los Angeles Dodgers from 2008-11.

--KEY STAT: KURODA is 24-8 (+14.9 Units) against the money line against National League Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 5.2, OPPONENT 2.9.

--KURODA is 15-2 UNDER (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 2.4, OPPONENT 3.4.

--KURODA is 14-2 UNDER (+11.6 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 2.3, OPPONENT 3.3.

--KURODA is 17-5 UNDER (+11.1 Units) after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 3.3, OPPONENT 3.4.

•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (6-3, 3.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.394) - Miller will try to lead the Cardinals to another victory, though he may need help from the bullpen for that to happen. He's 6-1 with a 2.38 ERA in his last eight starts, but the right-hander has failed to last at least six innings in five of his past seven outings. He had his five-start winning streak snapped Friday, when he pitched five innings and gave up four runs in a 5-3 loss to Cincinnati. Miller has gone 3-1 with a 2.19 ERA in four home starts this year and will be facing the Yankees for the first time. He's 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA in five career interleague starts.

--KEY STAT: MILLER is 12-6 against the run line (+8.8 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 4.4, OPPONENT 3.3.

--MILLER is 13-6 against the run line (+10.3 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 4.7, OPPONENT 3.1.
____________________________________________________
 

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DAVE AQUINO/ERIC HENDERSON

MLB is back




Today's Selections


MLB: Kansas City (ML -145), Kansas City (RL +140), rays/jays under 9.5, padres/dbacks under 9


NHL: none


NBA: none


WNBA: none

I am playing KC, probably fade other plays.

 

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