5 Unit Play. Take UTEP -9 over Oregon State (Wednesday @ 10pm est). We cashed on a nice Under yesterday in the NIT with Penn State vs. Notre Dame. For today's selection, I think we have an edge in the CBI game today. We rolled with a similar 5* in the total between Richmond/Charleston in the cbi which worked well for us and we look to do the same here. For starters, UTEP is very good at getting revenge against teams they had previously lost to. This is the Game 2 of the CBI Championship of course. Game 1 ended with Oregon State winning 75-69. I've made no secret that I like Oregon State and their coach as I beileve he is incredibly talented and unique. This guy was once a leading financial analyst, turned Brown University Head Coach, then became Oregon State's head coach, and also happens to be the brother in-law for Barack Obama. He is a talented coach and in other fields as well. UTEP will have a decent sized crowd on hand in this game, this is the only game going on in the nation for college basketball as the CBI Championship takes center stage once again and in UTEP's fairness, they were screwed a bit at Oregon State. After all, for a team that lost by 6 points, UTEP only shot 9 free throws (made 8/9 = 88.9%). Oregon State attempted 26 free throws (made 15/26 = 57.7%). UTEP is a 72% FT shooting team and Oregon State is a about 65% on the year. UTEP is the same team that beat UAB at home 70-52 and got revenge from an earlier season loss, this is the same team that beat Texas Tech at home by 18, St. Mary's on neutral floor by 13 and New Mexico on the road by 13. Oregon State struggles against high scoring teams on the road as they are not able to control the pace anymore like they do at home and I think this will hurt them in this contest. The only reason why this team did not break 70 points in Oregon State was the questionable "reffing". This team scored 79 at Nevada when they won outright, 75 against Northeastern and 81 against Richmond. I expect UTEP to have at least 20 free throw attempts in this game (compared to just 9 last game), I expect UTEP to shoot better frome the field and better than 5-18 (27.8%) from 3 point land on their hoem court, while I expect Oregon State to shoot 5-10 less free throws, shoot much worse from the field than the (60.5%) they shot at home and 8-15 (53.3%) fromt 3 point land they shot as well. In short, there are several factors that work in favor of UTEP today including revenge, better FG %, better 3 point %, more free throws at the line, a higher scoring and pace to the game, the home crowd, while Oregon State shoots worse in FG%, 3 point % and has fewer attempts from the line. THere is no guarantee in sports wagering, but this is a solid wager as any as Oregon State lost 69-79 to an Oregon team that plays at a higher pace and who is ranked top 180 - UTEP is ranked top 80. The Beavers are a Road Underdog to a tune of 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as a Dog of 7 to 12 Points and the Miners are 6-2 ATS as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points.
Good luck,
Indian cowboy.