VINCENT CHAN
Wednesday Guaranteed 5-PACK:
Temple vs. Saint Louis (NCAAB) - 8:00 PM EST Temple Premium Pick
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks (NBA) - 8:35 PM EST Minnesota Timberwolves Premium Pick
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Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST Oklahoma State Premium Pick
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Memphis U vs. UAB (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST UAB Premium Pick
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Duke vs. Maryland (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST Duke Premium Pick
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Play Title 2X CONFERENCE DOUBLE PLAY
Play Selected Point Spread: -1/-105
Wednesday Guaranteed 5-PACK:
Temple vs. Saint Louis (NCAAB) - 8:00 PM EST Temple Premium Pick
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Play Title regular play
Play Selected Point Spread: -2.5/-108
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks (NBA) - 8:35 PM EST Minnesota Timberwolves Premium Pick
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Play Title 2X DOUBLE PLAY NBA PLAY OF THE DAY
Play Selected Point Spread: 14/-105
Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST Oklahoma State Premium Pick
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Play Selected Point Spread: 6/-106
Memphis U vs. UAB (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST UAB Premium Pick
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Duke vs. Maryland (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST Duke Premium Pick
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Play Title 2X CONFERENCE DOUBLE PLAY
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
8* Washington / Buffalo Under 6
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under"
The Capitals lost their final three games before the break after a 14-game winning streak, but they’re still 17-2-2 in their last 21.
There are few concerns about Washington’s league-leading offense, which averages nearly four goals per game, but the Capitals may have some doubts defensively after allowing a total of 16 goals in their three losses before the break, all on the road; expect the Caps to create offense through their defense tonight.
It's also very interesting to note that Washington has seen the total go "under" the posted number in all four games this year after 3 or more consecutive losses.
On the other side of the rink: Ryan Miller went 5-1 with a 1.35 goals-against average in Vancouver, earning tournament MVP honors even after Crosby beat him in overtime Sunday to give Canada a 3-2 victory.
The Sabres (33-19-9) also need to get back to winning after going 1-5-2 since the start of February and 3-8-3 in their last 14 games. They’ve slipped one point behind Ottawa for the top spot in the Northeast Division; I expect them to do so behind a concerted effort on the defensive end.
Keep in mind that Buffalo has in fact seen the total go "under" the posted number in 18 of 29 when revenging a loss vs. an opponent.
Bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one; when taking into account these strong "under" trends these teams exhibit in this position, along with these other factors, the sharp money in this one is indeed on the UNDER!
8* Washington / Buffalo Under 6
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under"
The Capitals lost their final three games before the break after a 14-game winning streak, but they’re still 17-2-2 in their last 21.
There are few concerns about Washington’s league-leading offense, which averages nearly four goals per game, but the Capitals may have some doubts defensively after allowing a total of 16 goals in their three losses before the break, all on the road; expect the Caps to create offense through their defense tonight.
It's also very interesting to note that Washington has seen the total go "under" the posted number in all four games this year after 3 or more consecutive losses.
On the other side of the rink: Ryan Miller went 5-1 with a 1.35 goals-against average in Vancouver, earning tournament MVP honors even after Crosby beat him in overtime Sunday to give Canada a 3-2 victory.
The Sabres (33-19-9) also need to get back to winning after going 1-5-2 since the start of February and 3-8-3 in their last 14 games. They’ve slipped one point behind Ottawa for the top spot in the Northeast Division; I expect them to do so behind a concerted effort on the defensive end.
Keep in mind that Buffalo has in fact seen the total go "under" the posted number in 18 of 29 when revenging a loss vs. an opponent.
Bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one; when taking into account these strong "under" trends these teams exhibit in this position, along with these other factors, the sharp money in this one is indeed on the UNDER!
The Duke's Sports
NC State (+8') for 3.5 Units
NC State has a recent history of some late season and conference tourney runs at this standpoint, it appears that the Wolfpack is poised to do it again. NC State, which is coming off a solid win at Miami Florida, should put forth another strong effort here. NC state is a strong 8-1 ATS in its last 9 meetings vs V Tech and looking to avenge its February 10th embarrassing 72-52 defeat at home. This time around, the Wolfpack should deliver after all, they're 10-2-1 ATS as a road dog in this spread range, 13-5-1 ATS vs a team with a home winning % above .600, and 7-3 ATS on Wednesdays. On the other hand, VT is in danger of losing an at-large big and ripe to getting their bubble popped. Tech has dropped 3 straight games overall and has not covered their last 3 ACC home games. Tech struggles as a home favorite at 5-11 ATS and we'll fade them here.
NC State (+8') for 3.5 Units
NC State has a recent history of some late season and conference tourney runs at this standpoint, it appears that the Wolfpack is poised to do it again. NC State, which is coming off a solid win at Miami Florida, should put forth another strong effort here. NC state is a strong 8-1 ATS in its last 9 meetings vs V Tech and looking to avenge its February 10th embarrassing 72-52 defeat at home. This time around, the Wolfpack should deliver after all, they're 10-2-1 ATS as a road dog in this spread range, 13-5-1 ATS vs a team with a home winning % above .600, and 7-3 ATS on Wednesdays. On the other hand, VT is in danger of losing an at-large big and ripe to getting their bubble popped. Tech has dropped 3 straight games overall and has not covered their last 3 ACC home games. Tech struggles as a home favorite at 5-11 ATS and we'll fade them here.
Tony George
Kansas St +9
Way too many points here as one of the best road teams in the Big 12, and a formidable foe for Kansas steps up to knock off might big brother KU in Fog Allen with the nation’s longest winning streak at home in tact. K State plays solid defense, 4 ppg better last 5 games than Kansas and also the stats in the last 5 games are even. Kansas only 6-8 ATS at home while homecourt is a 5 point advantage, K State NOT intimidated and lost a thriller in OT at home against KU earlier this season. K State can knock down shots and at times this season, especially recently, they have played better on the road than at home. K State 6-17 ATS the last 23 in this series, but they have a far better team than in years past, even without Beasley who is a star in the NBA this year. This will be a 4 or 5 point game, I will take the points. Play 1 Unit on K State.
Kansas St +9
Way too many points here as one of the best road teams in the Big 12, and a formidable foe for Kansas steps up to knock off might big brother KU in Fog Allen with the nation’s longest winning streak at home in tact. K State plays solid defense, 4 ppg better last 5 games than Kansas and also the stats in the last 5 games are even. Kansas only 6-8 ATS at home while homecourt is a 5 point advantage, K State NOT intimidated and lost a thriller in OT at home against KU earlier this season. K State can knock down shots and at times this season, especially recently, they have played better on the road than at home. K State 6-17 ATS the last 23 in this series, but they have a far better team than in years past, even without Beasley who is a star in the NBA this year. This will be a 4 or 5 point game, I will take the points. Play 1 Unit on K State.
Mike Lineback
Phoenix -3
Have to bet against the dysfunctional Los Angeles Clippers laying a short number. You never know which team is going to show up, but rest assured, you can count on the Clippers not playing the full 48 minutes. And this will not be good enough vs. a Phoenix team playing at a high level. Phoenix have won all three meetings this season, 7 straight in series, and 6 of last 7 by 6 or more points. In addition, the Suns are on 7-0 & 13-2 ATS runs, and have won 12 of their L15 games overall. And not coincidently, Phoenix's winning ways started when they decided to commit to the defense side of the ball. On the flip-side, the Clippers rarely play defense (seem disinterested). Suns are an impressive 20-10 ATS, 9-1 L10 & 35-15 L3 yrs vs. poor defensive teams' allowing 99+ points. And most important IMO, the Clippers lack heart, direction and motivation. They are a losing franchise, and at this time of year, they are often just going thru the motions, as their playoff aspirations have long since waned. LA are 3-6 ATS, 15-38 ATS L3 yrs when playing vs. a winning team in the second half of season; they are 3-7 ATS, 18-33 ATS L3 yrs when playing against a good offensive team scoring 99+ in the second half of season. Matchups, current level of play & probabilities are definitely on our side tonight. Take the Suns.
Phoenix -3
Have to bet against the dysfunctional Los Angeles Clippers laying a short number. You never know which team is going to show up, but rest assured, you can count on the Clippers not playing the full 48 minutes. And this will not be good enough vs. a Phoenix team playing at a high level. Phoenix have won all three meetings this season, 7 straight in series, and 6 of last 7 by 6 or more points. In addition, the Suns are on 7-0 & 13-2 ATS runs, and have won 12 of their L15 games overall. And not coincidently, Phoenix's winning ways started when they decided to commit to the defense side of the ball. On the flip-side, the Clippers rarely play defense (seem disinterested). Suns are an impressive 20-10 ATS, 9-1 L10 & 35-15 L3 yrs vs. poor defensive teams' allowing 99+ points. And most important IMO, the Clippers lack heart, direction and motivation. They are a losing franchise, and at this time of year, they are often just going thru the motions, as their playoff aspirations have long since waned. LA are 3-6 ATS, 15-38 ATS L3 yrs when playing vs. a winning team in the second half of season; they are 3-7 ATS, 18-33 ATS L3 yrs when playing against a good offensive team scoring 99+ in the second half of season. Matchups, current level of play & probabilities are definitely on our side tonight. Take the Suns.
GMC 25* CBB:Memphis HUGE
gl boys- Malinsky appreciated.-2 6* shooters on tap-TIA
gl boys- Malinsky appreciated.-2 6* shooters on tap-TIA
Roz Juarbe
Santa Barbara is highly motivated, a half-game ahead of Pacific for first place in the Big West. They are 10-2 at home and face an Irvine team that is 2-10 on the road. There is a sense of urgency with the home team, as they just lost a game to Cal Poly and this is the final regular season game. Sophomore Orlando Johnson, who lifted UC Santa Barbara to a pair of road victories last week, has been named Big West Conference Player of the Week. It was the second time in three weeks that Johnson has earned the honor. The 6-5 guard averaged 20.5 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game as the Gauchos knocked off Cal State Fullerton (73-65) and Fresno State (64-60) to extend their road winning streak to four. It's also a revenge game, as Irvine beat UCSB by a basket back in early January. Irvine is on a 2-8-1 ATS run playing no defense, barely beating Cal Davis and the Marist Red Foxes. A great spot for the fired up home team. My Game of the Year, Santa Barbara (772)!
Santa Barbara is highly motivated, a half-game ahead of Pacific for first place in the Big West. They are 10-2 at home and face an Irvine team that is 2-10 on the road. There is a sense of urgency with the home team, as they just lost a game to Cal Poly and this is the final regular season game. Sophomore Orlando Johnson, who lifted UC Santa Barbara to a pair of road victories last week, has been named Big West Conference Player of the Week. It was the second time in three weeks that Johnson has earned the honor. The 6-5 guard averaged 20.5 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game as the Gauchos knocked off Cal State Fullerton (73-65) and Fresno State (64-60) to extend their road winning streak to four. It's also a revenge game, as Irvine beat UCSB by a basket back in early January. Irvine is on a 2-8-1 ATS run playing no defense, barely beating Cal Davis and the Marist Red Foxes. A great spot for the fired up home team. My Game of the Year, Santa Barbara (772)!
Scott Spreitzer
I'm playing Connecticut on Wednesday night. The Irish have been playing much better basketball with Luke Harangody sidelined by a knee injury. But they have also been in favorable spots in their last two games. I had Notre Dame on these pages when they whipped Pittsburgh. The win over Georgetown was made easier due to the fact that Hoya leading scorer Austin Freeman only played 23 minutes due to a case of the flu. Freeman finished with only 5 points and was a liability on the defensive end, also. The Irish couldn't miss, making over 57% of their shots. That's been the biggest difference the last two games...Notre Dame has just been shooting "lights-out." But the public has jumped on the Irish following the two wins, and with UConn losing by a basket last time out to Louisville, we have serious value on the visitor. The Huskies also offer the Irish something their last two opponents couldn't. UConn brings big-time size in the backcourt at both ends with Jerome Dyson, and extreme quickness with Kemba Walker. The Huskies also own too many offensive "outs" for the depth-shy Irish. Four players average between 11 ppg and 18.4 ppg. But most importantly, the Irish jump-shooters will struggle against the two backcourt studs I mentioned above. And when those long distance jumpers carom away from the basket, the Huskies will get their chance to run, and run some more. UConn has won four straight in the series, including an 82-70 win on January 10. The Huskies held the Irish to 40% shooting, and absolutely crushed Notre Dame on the boards. Meanwhile, five players scored between 11 and 22 points for the Huskies. Notre Dame has not been a momentum team from a spread perspective. Despite winning their last two, they're on a 16-34-1 ATS slide the last 51 times following an ATS win. UConn has covered six of their last seven as a dog and they're 10-4 ATS the last 14 times against teams with a winning mark above .600. I firmly believe Notre Dame's hot shooting and fortunate results come to an end tonight. I'm playing Connecticut, my Big East Road Warrior Wipeout Game of the Year. Thanks! GL! Scott.
I'm playing Connecticut on Wednesday night. The Irish have been playing much better basketball with Luke Harangody sidelined by a knee injury. But they have also been in favorable spots in their last two games. I had Notre Dame on these pages when they whipped Pittsburgh. The win over Georgetown was made easier due to the fact that Hoya leading scorer Austin Freeman only played 23 minutes due to a case of the flu. Freeman finished with only 5 points and was a liability on the defensive end, also. The Irish couldn't miss, making over 57% of their shots. That's been the biggest difference the last two games...Notre Dame has just been shooting "lights-out." But the public has jumped on the Irish following the two wins, and with UConn losing by a basket last time out to Louisville, we have serious value on the visitor. The Huskies also offer the Irish something their last two opponents couldn't. UConn brings big-time size in the backcourt at both ends with Jerome Dyson, and extreme quickness with Kemba Walker. The Huskies also own too many offensive "outs" for the depth-shy Irish. Four players average between 11 ppg and 18.4 ppg. But most importantly, the Irish jump-shooters will struggle against the two backcourt studs I mentioned above. And when those long distance jumpers carom away from the basket, the Huskies will get their chance to run, and run some more. UConn has won four straight in the series, including an 82-70 win on January 10. The Huskies held the Irish to 40% shooting, and absolutely crushed Notre Dame on the boards. Meanwhile, five players scored between 11 and 22 points for the Huskies. Notre Dame has not been a momentum team from a spread perspective. Despite winning their last two, they're on a 16-34-1 ATS slide the last 51 times following an ATS win. UConn has covered six of their last seven as a dog and they're 10-4 ATS the last 14 times against teams with a winning mark above .600. I firmly believe Notre Dame's hot shooting and fortunate results come to an end tonight. I'm playing Connecticut, my Big East Road Warrior Wipeout Game of the Year. Thanks! GL! Scott.
