Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
10* Washington St / Oregon 133
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under"
Washington State closed out its season on a poor note, losing nine of its last 11 matchups. The poor play down the stretch left the Cougars with a mere 6-12 mark in conference action, which was only good enough for the ninth seed.
Keep in mind that the total has gone "under" the number in four of Washington States last five overall; also in 10 of 18 vs. conference opponents.
The Cougars have also seen the total go "under" the number in both games they played this year after three or more consecutive losses; which of course means that after an extended period of poor play, Washington State picks up its play on the defensive end.
On the other side of the court: The Ducks only finished 7-11 in Pac-10 play this season, but the team did close out its regular season with three wins in its last four games.
Oregon has endured some struggles offensively this season, but for the most part the team has been mediocre, averaging 69.4 ppg, behind a solid 42.9 % shooting effort. However, the team has struggled from behind the arc, netting just 33.3 % of its three-point chances.
Oregon doesn't play to many "unders", but it has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of nine when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games played.
Bottom line: These teams closed out the regular season against each other and the matchup went to the Ducks. Oregon won both meetings this season, pushing its lead in the all-time series against Washington State to 156-122.
Neither team is explosive and I expect each to create offense through its defines; when taking all of the above into account, the sharp money in this one is indeed on the UNDER!