Service Plays Wednesday 2/8/12

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Detroit won its last 17 home games; their last home loss? Nov 1.
-- Sabres won three of their last four games.
-- Ducks won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Sharks won five of their last six home games.

Cold teams
-- Oilers lost their last seven road games.
-- Bruins are 4-5 in last nine games, 0-5 in game following last five wins.
-- Carolina lost nine of its last eleven road games.
-- Calgary lost seven of its last nine road games.


Totals
-- Last three Edmonton games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Boston road games.
-- Seven of last eight Carolina games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Calgary games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Red Wings won seven of last eight games against Edmonton.
-- Bruins won eight of last eleven games against Buffalo.
-- Ducks lost two of last three games against Carolina.
-- Sharks won seven of last eight games against Calgary.

Back-to-Back
-- None.
 
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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Miami won eight of its last nine games. Magic won three of four.
-- Philly won six of its last seven games. Spurs won last five games, covered last six.
-- Clippers won six of their last seven games.
-- Pacers won five of their last six games.
-- Bulls covered 11 of their last 15 road games.
-- Minnesota won four of its last five games.
-- Portland won/covered five of its last six home games.

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost six of their last seven road games; they're 5-0 vs spread in last five games overall. Wizards lost four of their last five games.
-- Toronto lost four of its last five home games. Bucks lost their last three games, scoring 91.7 ppg.
-- Cavaliers lost eight of last eleven games (2-1-1 as home dog).
-- Hawks lost last three games, all at home, scoring 84.7 ppg.
-- Pistons are 2-10-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Nets lost four of last five games (2-2 as home favorite).
-- New Orleans hasn't won/covered any of its last six games.
-- Grizzlies lost last three games, scoring 86 ppg.
-- Denver lost five of its last six games. Mavericks lost last three games, scoring 87 ppg.
-- Rockets are 3-7 against spread as a road underdog.

Wear and Tear
-- Heat: 3rd game/4 nites. Magic: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Knicks: 5th game/7 nites. Wizards: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Bucks: 4th game/6 nites. Raptors: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Spurs: 3rd game/5 nites. 76ers: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Clippers: 3rd game/5 nites. Cavaliers: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Pacers: 6th game/9 nites. Hawks: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Pistons: Had last three nites off. Nets: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Bulls: 3rd game/5 nites. Hornets: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Wolves: 4th game/6 nites. Grizzlies: 7th game/10 nites.
-- Mavericks: Had last three nites off. Nuggets: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Rockets: 4th game/6 nites. Blazers: 3rd game/5 nites.

Totals
-- Over is 8-3 in Miami's road games this season.
-- Under is 11-1 in New York's road games.
-- Eight of last nine Milwaukee games went over.
-- Four of last five San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Clipper road games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Indiana games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games went over total.
-- Last four Chicago games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in Minnesota's last eleven games. Under is 10-2 in last 12 Memphis games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Dallas road games.
-- Six of last eight Houston road games stayed under.
 
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Paul Leiner

1000* CBB Over 126 Notre Dame/West Virginia
100* NBA Over 185.5 Nets/Pistons
50* CBB Pittsburgh -1.5
 

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SPORTS WAGERS

Indiana +140 over ATLANTA

The Hawks previous 16-5 record has now turned into a 16-8 record after they dropped three straight at home to Memphis, Philly and Phoenix. The Pacers are superior to any of those three teams and they catch the Hawks at the perfect time. As lame as this may sound, losing is different than winning. When a team is winning, they're loose and having fun. The coach is working on less things because if it ain't broke, why fix it? That's the difference between a veteran coach and a neophyte. Hawks coach Larry Drew spent years with the Pistons, Wizards and Nets before heading to Atlanta. Losing was the norm and Drew didn’t acquire the experience to turn a drought around. Now, he’s being asked to. With this group, we’re not sure he can do it. As mentioned numerous times this season, Atlanta is an imposter. It's no mystery as to why they're suddenly losing at home to teams like Phoenix. Atlanta's bench is awful. Its strength of schedule is ranked 23rd in the league and they've developed a false sense of security when defeating weak teams. They're an average rebounding team that is likely going to be dominated on the boards tonight by the Pacers. Indiana can beat you in so many ways. Unlike the Hawks, who rely heavily on Joe Johnson and Josh Smith for scoring, the Pacers have five guys averaging double figures per game and two others right on the verge of 10 per game. The Pacers are 17-7 and they have every edge tonight, outside of home court. Play: Indiana +140 (Risking 2 units).

Detroit +153 over NEW JERSEY

The Pistons are widely regarded as one of the three worst teams in the NBA and they've lived up to that with six wins in 26 games. That said, respectability is not that far off. They've had many close games in which they were in a position to win. Closing out games is a lesson that they're slowly learning and have done so in two straight games with wins over Milwaukee and New Orleans. They have recent three-point losses to the Heat, Trail Blazers and these same Nets in New Jersey exactly one week ago. The Pistons also have a recent OT loss to Atlanta in a game they led by six with 34 seconds remaining. In reality, the Pistons could easily have six wins in their last 10 games. New Jersey is banged up and they've dropped three in a row and five of six. They're considered to be the better team, playing at home, but there's a reason the odds makers made them such a enticingly short price. With Brook Lopez, MarShon Brooks and Deshawn Stevenson on the rack, this Nets teams that lacks strength in all aspects of the game is nowhere close to being better than they were two weeks ago. The Pistons are. Play: Detroit +153 (Risking 2 units).

CLEVELAND +6½ over L.A. Clippers

Chauncey Billups value vastly exceeded the 14.9 points, 4.0 assists and 2.5 rebounds he averaged per game. The Clippers can replace his numbers but they can't replace his experience and steadying presense on the court. Billups is out for the season after he ruptured his left Achilles' tendon in his last game. Losing a player is no big deal, as it happens every day. Losing an impact player for the season is another story, as adjustments that have to take place are permanent. The Clippers have won six of seven and are coming off an OT win in Orlando. They'll play their third straight on the road here and will continue their six-game trip in Philadelphia on Friday. The Clip Joint are sure to have a hiccup on this trip and cahnces are good it occurs here. The Cavaliers are coming off a misleading 16-point loss in Miami last night. They were down by just six going to the fourth and hung around all game until late in the fourth. The Cavs last five games have come against Boston twice, Orlando, Dallas and Miami. They went 2-3 in that set and didn't look a bit out of place in any of them. Fatigue should not be an issue, as Cleveland was off for two days prior to last night's game and they're 3-3 against the spread on zero days rest. Upset possibility. Play: Cleveland +6½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
 

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Sj55 2/8

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Heat -3.5
 
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David Banks

Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
All eyes will be on Tobacco Road Hump Day night when the 9th ranked Duke Blue Devils (19-4, 9-14 ATS) storm the Dean Dome to battle the 5th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels (20-3, 11-11 ATS); tune to ESPN at 9:00 ET to take this one in live from Chapel Hill!
Already with two losses in ACC play, Duke will attempt to avoid its first two-game losing streak of the season when it takes on its most hated rival Wednesday night. The Blue Devils return to the hardwood off their fourth outright defeat of the season after falling 78-74 to Miami in overtime on Super Bowl Sunday. The Dookies showed their resolve by battling back from a 14-point deficit at the break, but ran out of steam in the extra session to allow the Hurricanes to pull out a road win that will most definitely benefit them come selection Sunday. The loss snapped Coach Ks squads three-game win streak that came against the likes of Maryland, St. Johns, and Virginia Tech; the win at the Hokies marked the third straight game in which the Blue Devils won and covered on the road. As it is, Duke checks in 9-2 SU but just 3-3 ATS in its nine road/neutral court battles on the year.

That 90-57 beatdown incurred in Tallahassee against the Florida State Seminoles in the middle of January has long been forgotten, as the Tar Heels enter tonights grudge match winners in each of their last five games (2-3 ATS) and sit tied with the Noles atop the ACC standings. Unfortunately, the only way those teams will meet again is if they cross paths in the ACC Tournament. Regardless, Head Coach Roy Williams will have his kids ready to go against its most hated rival in this one considering the last time they took the court to battle the Dookies, it was the Blue Devils that went on to win the ACC Tourney in the championship game. UNC has shown the ability to dominate its opponents when firing on all cylinders, but it will host the Blue Devils having dropped each of its last three against the closing number. North Carolina stands a perfect 14-0 SU but just 7-6 ATS in its 13 lined games as a host.

Duke won two of the three meetings a year ago with all three of the contests combining to go under the closing number. The home team has won each of the last three regular season meetings, but the road team has beaten the oddsmakers in seven of the L/9 overall. Duke has gone 8-3 ATS the L/11 times it played following a straight up defeat, but the favorite has covered four of the L/5 in this rivalry. North Carolina checks in just 3-7-1 ATS its L/11 within the ACC, but has also covered six of its L/8 versus +.600 opposition. The under has cashed in each of the L/6 as well as each of the L/4 times these teams went at one another in Chapel Hill.


PICK: UNDER
 

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11th hr. sports
6 g.wash +8 1st half
4 g.wash +14
5 penn st +8.5 1st half
3 penn st. +15 gm
4 penn st. over 124.5
6 s.a. under 181.5
3 n.o. +9
 

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SPORTS WAGERS

Indiana +140 over ATLANTA

The Hawks previous 16-5 record has now turned into a 16-8 record after they dropped three straight at home to Memphis, Philly and Phoenix. The Pacers are superior to any of those three teams and they catch the Hawks at the perfect time. As lame as this may sound, losing is different than winning. When a team is winning, they're loose and having fun. The coach is working on less things because if it ain't broke, why fix it? That's the difference between a veteran coach and a neophyte. Hawks coach Larry Drew spent years with the Pistons, Wizards and Nets before heading to Atlanta. Losing was the norm and Drew didn’t acquire the experience to turn a drought around. Now, he’s being asked to. With this group, we’re not sure he can do it. As mentioned numerous times this season, Atlanta is an imposter. It's no mystery as to why they're suddenly losing at home to teams like Phoenix. Atlanta's bench is awful. Its strength of schedule is ranked 23rd in the league and they've developed a false sense of security when defeating weak teams. They're an average rebounding team that is likely going to be dominated on the boards tonight by the Pacers. Indiana can beat you in so many ways. Unlike the Hawks, who rely heavily on Joe Johnson and Josh Smith for scoring, the Pacers have five guys averaging double figures per game and two others right on the verge of 10 per game. The Pacers are 17-7 and they have every edge tonight, outside of home court. Play: Indiana +140 (Risking 2 units).

Detroit +153 over NEW JERSEY

The Pistons are widely regarded as one of the three worst teams in the NBA and they've lived up to that with six wins in 26 games. That said, respectability is not that far off. They've had many close games in which they were in a position to win. Closing out games is a lesson that they're slowly learning and have done so in two straight games with wins over Milwaukee and New Orleans. They have recent three-point losses to the Heat, Trail Blazers and these same Nets in New Jersey exactly one week ago. The Pistons also have a recent OT loss to Atlanta in a game they led by six with 34 seconds remaining. In reality, the Pistons could easily have six wins in their last 10 games. New Jersey is banged up and they've dropped three in a row and five of six. They're considered to be the better team, playing at home, but there's a reason the odds makers made them such a enticingly short price. With Brook Lopez, MarShon Brooks and Deshawn Stevenson on the rack, this Nets teams that lacks strength in all aspects of the game is nowhere close to being better than they were two weeks ago. The Pistons are. Play: Detroit +153 (Risking 2 units).

CLEVELAND +6½ over L.A. Clippers

Chauncey Billups value vastly exceeded the 14.9 points, 4.0 assists and 2.5 rebounds he averaged per game. The Clippers can replace his numbers but they can't replace his experience and steadying presense on the court. Billups is out for the season after he ruptured his left Achilles' tendon in his last game. Losing a player is no big deal, as it happens every day. Losing an impact player for the season is another story, as adjustments that have to take place are permanent. The Clippers have won six of seven and are coming off an OT win in Orlando. They'll play their third straight on the road here and will continue their six-game trip in Philadelphia on Friday. The Clip Joint are sure to have a hiccup on this trip and cahnces are good it occurs here. The Cavaliers are coming off a misleading 16-point loss in Miami last night. They were down by just six going to the fourth and hung around all game until late in the fourth. The Cavs last five games have come against Boston twice, Orlando, Dallas and Miami. They went 2-3 in that set and didn't look a bit out of place in any of them. Fatigue should not be an issue, as Cleveland was off for two days prior to last night's game and they're 3-3 against the spread on zero days rest. Upset possibility. Play: Cleveland +6½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
 

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Brandon Lang


20 Dime Play

Massachusetts -4 over St. Bonaventure


Free Pick

Michigan State minus the points over Penn State
 

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Rich Sports

Sport: NHL Hockey
Game: Boston Bruins @ Buffalo Sabres - Wednesday February 8, 2012 7:35 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 5.5 (+105)


Sport: College Basketball
Game: Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ West Virginia Mountaineers - Wednesday February 8, 2012 9:00 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) ATS: West Virginia Mountaineers -6 (-110)


Sport: College Basketball
Game: Wake Forest Deamon Deacons @ Virginia Cavaliers - Wednesday February 8, 2012 7:30 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 117.5 (-110)


Sport: College Basketball
Game: Marshall Thundering Herd @ Central Florida Knights - Wednesday February 8, 2012 7:00 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) ATS: Central Florida Knights -4.5 (-110)


Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Minnesota Timberwolves @ Memphis Grizzlies - Wednesday February 8, 2012 8:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 189 (-105)


Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Indiana Pacers @ Atlanta Hawks - Wednesday February 8, 2012 7:35 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 185.5 (-110)
 
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Today's NBA Picks

Houston at Portland

The Rockets look to take advantage of a Portland team that is coming off a 111-107 loss to Oklahoma City and is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games after scoring 100 or more points in the previous game. Houston is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blazers favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height:12.75pt;width:564" height="17">WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 8
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 501-502: Miami at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.524; Orlando 120.914
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 503-504: New York at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 113.650; Washington 114.657
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 505-506: Milwaukee at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.433; Toronto 112.582
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-1 1/2); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 507-508: San Antonio at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.254; Philadelphia 125.623
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+4); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 509-510: LA Clippers at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.790; Cleveland 113.429
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 9 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5 1/2); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 511-512: Indiana at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 120.859; Atlanta 119.556
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3 1/2); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 513-514: Detroit at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 109.180; New Jersey 114.736
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 5 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 4; 186
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-4); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 515-516: Chicago at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 122.546; New Orleans 115.939
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 182
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+9); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 517-518: Minnesota at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 115.710; Memphis 125.026
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 9 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 7 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-7 1/2); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 519-520: Dallas at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.486; Denver 122.612
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1; 196
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:12.75pt" height="17" width="564">Game 521-522: Houston at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.190; Portland 125.105
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7 1/2); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
 
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GC: NBA totals play

Wednesday card has 30-2 SEC Game of the Year, a Power totals play with 7 totals Angles and a 22-2 Double system NBA Blowout play + College Dog with Bite Power play that wins outright. Tuesday card Cashes 2 of 3 including the Big dog play on Providence. Free NBA Totals system play below.

On Wednesday the free NBA Power system totals play is on the under in the Chicago at New Orleans game. Rotation numbers 515/516 at 8:05 eastern. This game fits the solid totals system below that plays to the under 10 of 11 times for road favorites like Chicago that are -5 or more with 1 day of rest and scored 100 or more as a road favorite of 5 or more in their last game, vs an opponent like the Hornets that scored 90 or more as a home favorite of -4 or less. These games tend to be lower scoring. New Orleans has gone under the only 2 times they have faced an opponent that allows 91 or less points per game and 8 of 11 this season vs winning teams. The Bulls have gone under in 4 of 5 games vs teams who allow 91 or less. Look for this game to go under the total tonight. Wednesday we have the 30-2 SEC Game of the Year, a College totals play from 7 Totals angles and an NBA 22-2 Double system Blowout Side and a Dog with Bite that wins outright and has several Key angles. Tuesday card cashed 2 of the 3 plays including the Solid dog side on Providence. Jump on tonight and get on the giving end of Hump day. For the Bonus Play take the Under in the Chicago at New Orleans game. GC

O/U: 1-10-0 (-13.1) avg total: 194.9

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team: 25.3 21.3 21.7 24.5 92.8
Opp: 22.3 22.5 20.3 23.8 88.9

Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
19970115 ORL DAL A 78-66 1&1 44-38 -5 +196 12 7.0 -52.0 -22.5 -29.5 W W U
19980221 CHI WAS A 94-88 1&2 42-36 -10 +194 6 -4.0 -12.0 -8.0 -4.0 W L U
20030120 SAC GSW A 102-80 1&2 51-31 -5' +209 22 16.5 -27.0 -5.2 -21.8 W W U
20040306 SAC MIA A 96-102 1&1 39-41 -6 +200 -6 -12.0 -2.0 -7.0 5.0 L L U
20051109 SAS CBC A 94-86 1&1 49-41 -8 +181 8 0.0 -1.0 -0.5 -0.5 W P U
20060311 DAL UTH A 90-87 1&2 47-45 -5 +186' 3 -2.0 -9.5 -5.8 -3.8 W L U
20060317 DET NYK A 103-105 1&1 47-56 -9 +193 -2 -11.0 15.0 2.0 13.0 L L O
20070213 DAL MIL A 99-93 1&2 48-41 -9 +198' 6 -3.0 -6.5 -4.8 -1.8 W L U
20071110 DAL POR A 82-91 1&0 35-50 -7' +200' -9 -16.5 -27.5 -22.0 -5.5 L L U
20090313 NOR MIL A 95-86 1&2 46-43 -5 +198 9 4.0 -17.0 -6.5 -10.5 W W U
20091129 ATL DET A 88-94 1&1 50-43 -6' +187 -6 -12.5 -5.0 -8.8 3.8 L L U
20120208 CHI NOR A 1&1 -9 +183
 

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indian cowboy

4 unit jacksonville st. +4.5

anybody see docsports or strike point? thanks
 
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NHL Predictions

Carolina / Anaheim Ducks Under 5.5

Carolina enters this game winners of two straight and 4 of their last 6. The Hurricanes victories haven't been coming with a lot of goals though, as it is more Cam Ward carrying the team on his back. The Hurricanes have allowed just 17 goals over their last 10 games (1.70 goals against per game) - and one of those games the Canes had 5 goals against. Take that out and that is just 12 goals against in 9 games. Over their last 8 games the Hurricanes have only scored 15 goals (less than 2 per game). Carolina is just 6-13-6 on the road this season. The Ducks are coming off a 3-2 shootout victory against the Flames on Monday night. They have averaged just 2 goals per game over their last 5. Anaheim has allowed just 20 goals against over their last 10 games, and that includes a game where they allowed 6 goals against versus Dallas - take that out and it equals 14 goals against in 9 games. Cam Ward is playing sensational right now, and Jonas Hiller has been really good at times lately as well. The UNDER is 7-1 in the Hurricanes last 8 games overall and 4-0 in their last 4 road games. The UNDER is 6-1 in the Ducks last 7 games overall, and 4-1 in their last 5 games. Carolina is coming off 3 days rest, and the UNDER is 7-3-1 in their last 11 times playing on 3+ days rest. The UNDER is also 13-6-1 in the Ducks last 20 vs a team with a winning % below .400. Also take note that the Ducks have held opponents to 26 shots or less in their last 5 games, while the Hurricanes have put just 23 shots on net per game over their last 4. Looking at this from all angles I don't see it being a high scoring game. Take the UNDER tonight.
 

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