Steve Merril
(3% play) ORLANDO +11.5 (at Oklahoma City) - 8:05 pm ET #509
Orlando is just 2-13 SU over their last 15 games played, but the Magic have been a competitive team recently. The Magic were routinely losing games by 15 to 20 points at the beginning of their downswing, but over their last few games, Orlando has lost close games; four of their last six losses have come by single digits. The Magic got their confidence back with an important home win over the Celtics two games back. Orlando’s loss in San Antonio can easily be forgiven as the Spurs went into that game off an embarrassing effort against Cleveland. Now the Magic will play in Oklahoma City against a team they match-up with extremely well. Orlando is 6-1 ATS versus the Thunder in their last seven meetings, including a 139-136 defeat earlier this season. The Magic led that game by 16 points in the fourth quarter before the Thunder forced overtime.
Oklahoma City comes into this game from the opposite end of the spectrum. The Thunder have won four straight games, and they are 11-1 SU over their last 12 games overall. However, Oklahoma City has not won many of those games by big margins. In fact, five of their last seven wins have come by single digits. Oklahoma City’s defense comes into this game in terrible current form. The Thunder have allowed 113.4 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field and 33.6% shooting from three-point land over their last five games. Orlando’s offense has averaged 101.4 points per game on 44.4% shooting from the field and 39.8% shooting from three-point land over their last five games. Orlando matches-up well with Oklahoma City, so we’ll take the Magic plus the points in this game on Wednesday night.
Play MAGIC (+) as a 3% play.
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NCAA Basketball
(3% play) NEBRASKA +5.5/+6 (vs. Maryland) - 8:30 pm ET (BTN) #554
Maryland is having a fantastic season as they come into tonight’s game at Nebraska with a 19-3 SU record. The Terrapins have been terrific on both ends of the court, but tonight’s game against the Cornhuskers is simply a terrible situational spot and a bad matchup for Maryland. The Terrapins will be playing a back-to-back road set with this also being their third road game over their last four games overall. Maryland hasn’t been as dominant in true road games either where they are just 3-3 SU this season; they won by 5 points at Oklahoma State, and they only won by 3 points at Wisconsin. Overall, the Terrapins’ defense is giving up 68.8 points per game on the road this season.
Nebraska comes into this game with a 12-10 SU record. The Cornhuskers have played three of their last four games on the road with their last being a loss at Purdue. Nebraska also lost their previous home game, so we expect a peak performance in this game, especially since they gave Maryland fits in both games last season. Maryland only beat Nebraska by 4 points on their home court, and by just 3 points on Nebraska’s home court. The Cornhuskers’ offense is averaging 75.2 points per game on 46.3% shooting from the field and 36.2% shooting from three-point land at home this season. Nebraska’s defense is only allowing 65.1 points per game on 42.4% shooting from the field and 33.3% shooting from three-point land at home. We expect a peak performance by Nebraska here, so we’ll take the Cornhuskers plus the points in this game on Wednesday night.
Play NEBRASKA (+) as a 3% play