NCAAB
Wednesday, February 26
Michigan (-11) beat Purdue 75-66 Jan 30, making 7-13 from arc; they've won four of last five series games, winning by 2-5 in last two visits here. Wolverines split their last six games; underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in their road games. Michigan is 0-2 as a road favorite. Purdue lost seven of last nine games; they're 0-3 as a home underdog. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-9 against the spread.
Virginia won last 11 games (8-3 vs spread); they play Syracuse in next game Saturday, can't look past Miami squad that won three of last four games, covered five of last seven- they're 4-0 as road dogs. ACC double digit home favorites are 7-12 vs spread. Miami won five of last six games vs Virginia, with last three wins by 3 or less points or in OT, but they lost last two visits to Charlottesville, by 1-18 points.
Buffalo won five of last six games, but loss was 73-70 (-5.5) at home to Ohio 11 days ago, when Bulls blew 10-point lead with 7:35 left. MAC underdogs are 21-14 vs spread in games with spread of 4 or less points. Bobcats won last seven games with Buffalo, winning last two games here by 8-18 points. Bulls are 5-2 vs spread on road; all fouir of their MAC losses are by 6 or less points. Ohio is just 2-5 as a home favorite.
Charleston lost six of last nine games, but beat Drexel 47-46 (-3.5) Feb 13, in hideous brickfest where teams combined to go 2-22 from arc, 25-49 on foul line. Cougars lost six of last nine games, covered one of its last five- they lost last five road games, last two in OT. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-17 vs spread. Drexel won four of last six games but is 1-4-1 as a home favorite- they're 1-4 in games decided by 5 or less.
West Virginia (+2) made 13-22 from arc in 102-77 home rout of Iowa St. Feb 10, but is 0-2 since, allowing 88 points both games. WVU is 2-2-1 as road underdogs; they lost last two road games, by 14-17 points. Iowa State won six of last seven games, but is 2-5 as home favorite; they are 2-10 vs spread in last dozen games. Big X home favorites of 9+ points are 7-10 vs spread. 12 of last 14 West Virginia games went over total.
Indiana State (-8.5) made 11-21 from arc, beat Illinois State 76-62 Jan 25 at home, its 5th win in last seven series games, but Sycamores lost last two visits here, by 13-2 points. Indiana State split its last six road tilts, covered one of last six overall. Illinois State is 7-1 at home, with loss by 15 to Wichita State; they're 4-6 in last ten games overall. MVC home teams are 17-14 in games where spread was 5 or less points.
LSU won its last seven home games, but four of seven wins were by 7 or less points; Tigers (-3.5) lost 83-73 at Texas A&M Feb 12- Aggies made 10-23 from arc in game where LSU shot 59% inside arc. LSU lost four of last six games but had Kentucky beat in Rupp Saturday before tiring out late. SEC double digit favorites are 11-14 vs spread. A&M won four of last six games, covering last four- they're 2-4 as a road underdog.
North Carolina won/covered its last nine games; they beat NC State in first meeting 84-70 (-9.5), rebounding 22 of its 46 missed shots, totally dominating boards. Tar Heels is 21-2 in last 23 series games, but lost in Raleighby 8 LY. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-12 vs spread. Eight of last 11 UNC games went over the total. Wolfpack won six of last nine games, covered four of their last five.
Home team won four of five Nebraska-Illinois games; Huskers (-3) beat Illini 67-58 Feb 12, after trailing by 6 early in second half. Nebraska won seven of last eight games, covering last five; they're 5-1 as underdogs on road, winning last two away games SU. Big Dozen home favorites of 4 or less points are 9-7 vs spread. Illini lost last five home games, nine of last 11 games overall- they're 1-5-1 vs spread at home.
Texas (+5.5) won 74-60 at Baylor Jan 25; regular season series has been swept nine of last 10 years; teams split last four games played here. Big X home favorites of 5 or less points are 10-6 vs spread. Four of last five Texas games went over total. Baylor won last four games, with two of last three going OT; they're 2-2-1 as road dogs. Texas won last six home games- they're 2-3 as home favorites- they lost last two games, on road.
Boise State (-14) led by 24 late in first half, beat Fresno State 86-79 Jan 4, in game where Bulldogs scored 40 points in last 10:00 to cover spread. Boise won seven of last eight series games, last three by 7-9-7. Fresno covered last eight games, won last three home games. Mountain West home teams are 8-13 in games where spread was 3 or less points. Nine of last ten Fresno games went over the total.
Arizona (-6.5) didn't score in last 2:42, lost 60-58 at Cal Feb 1, Wildcats' first loss of year- they lost at home to Cal LY, are 4-5 in last nine series games, with Cal covering last four visits here. Arizona won four of last five home games but covered one of last four. Bears covered twice in last nine games but won three of last four; their road losses are at UCLA by 12, USC by 8. Pac-12 double digit favorites are 14-12 vs spread.
Colorado State (-2) beat UNLV 75-57 at home Feb 5; they've lost four of last five visits here, losing by 19-2 in last two. Mountain West home favorites of 6 or less points are 16-24 vs spread. Last three State games went over total. Rams lost three of last four games, are 2-3 as road dogs in MW, with three losses by 7, two by 9 points. Rebels lost their last two games, are 2-4 as home favorites- they're 4-1 in last five at home.
Wednesday, February 26
Michigan (-11) beat Purdue 75-66 Jan 30, making 7-13 from arc; they've won four of last five series games, winning by 2-5 in last two visits here. Wolverines split their last six games; underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in their road games. Michigan is 0-2 as a road favorite. Purdue lost seven of last nine games; they're 0-3 as a home underdog. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-9 against the spread.
Virginia won last 11 games (8-3 vs spread); they play Syracuse in next game Saturday, can't look past Miami squad that won three of last four games, covered five of last seven- they're 4-0 as road dogs. ACC double digit home favorites are 7-12 vs spread. Miami won five of last six games vs Virginia, with last three wins by 3 or less points or in OT, but they lost last two visits to Charlottesville, by 1-18 points.
Buffalo won five of last six games, but loss was 73-70 (-5.5) at home to Ohio 11 days ago, when Bulls blew 10-point lead with 7:35 left. MAC underdogs are 21-14 vs spread in games with spread of 4 or less points. Bobcats won last seven games with Buffalo, winning last two games here by 8-18 points. Bulls are 5-2 vs spread on road; all fouir of their MAC losses are by 6 or less points. Ohio is just 2-5 as a home favorite.
Charleston lost six of last nine games, but beat Drexel 47-46 (-3.5) Feb 13, in hideous brickfest where teams combined to go 2-22 from arc, 25-49 on foul line. Cougars lost six of last nine games, covered one of its last five- they lost last five road games, last two in OT. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-17 vs spread. Drexel won four of last six games but is 1-4-1 as a home favorite- they're 1-4 in games decided by 5 or less.
West Virginia (+2) made 13-22 from arc in 102-77 home rout of Iowa St. Feb 10, but is 0-2 since, allowing 88 points both games. WVU is 2-2-1 as road underdogs; they lost last two road games, by 14-17 points. Iowa State won six of last seven games, but is 2-5 as home favorite; they are 2-10 vs spread in last dozen games. Big X home favorites of 9+ points are 7-10 vs spread. 12 of last 14 West Virginia games went over total.
Indiana State (-8.5) made 11-21 from arc, beat Illinois State 76-62 Jan 25 at home, its 5th win in last seven series games, but Sycamores lost last two visits here, by 13-2 points. Indiana State split its last six road tilts, covered one of last six overall. Illinois State is 7-1 at home, with loss by 15 to Wichita State; they're 4-6 in last ten games overall. MVC home teams are 17-14 in games where spread was 5 or less points.
LSU won its last seven home games, but four of seven wins were by 7 or less points; Tigers (-3.5) lost 83-73 at Texas A&M Feb 12- Aggies made 10-23 from arc in game where LSU shot 59% inside arc. LSU lost four of last six games but had Kentucky beat in Rupp Saturday before tiring out late. SEC double digit favorites are 11-14 vs spread. A&M won four of last six games, covering last four- they're 2-4 as a road underdog.
North Carolina won/covered its last nine games; they beat NC State in first meeting 84-70 (-9.5), rebounding 22 of its 46 missed shots, totally dominating boards. Tar Heels is 21-2 in last 23 series games, but lost in Raleighby 8 LY. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-12 vs spread. Eight of last 11 UNC games went over the total. Wolfpack won six of last nine games, covered four of their last five.
Home team won four of five Nebraska-Illinois games; Huskers (-3) beat Illini 67-58 Feb 12, after trailing by 6 early in second half. Nebraska won seven of last eight games, covering last five; they're 5-1 as underdogs on road, winning last two away games SU. Big Dozen home favorites of 4 or less points are 9-7 vs spread. Illini lost last five home games, nine of last 11 games overall- they're 1-5-1 vs spread at home.
Texas (+5.5) won 74-60 at Baylor Jan 25; regular season series has been swept nine of last 10 years; teams split last four games played here. Big X home favorites of 5 or less points are 10-6 vs spread. Four of last five Texas games went over total. Baylor won last four games, with two of last three going OT; they're 2-2-1 as road dogs. Texas won last six home games- they're 2-3 as home favorites- they lost last two games, on road.
Boise State (-14) led by 24 late in first half, beat Fresno State 86-79 Jan 4, in game where Bulldogs scored 40 points in last 10:00 to cover spread. Boise won seven of last eight series games, last three by 7-9-7. Fresno covered last eight games, won last three home games. Mountain West home teams are 8-13 in games where spread was 3 or less points. Nine of last ten Fresno games went over the total.
Arizona (-6.5) didn't score in last 2:42, lost 60-58 at Cal Feb 1, Wildcats' first loss of year- they lost at home to Cal LY, are 4-5 in last nine series games, with Cal covering last four visits here. Arizona won four of last five home games but covered one of last four. Bears covered twice in last nine games but won three of last four; their road losses are at UCLA by 12, USC by 8. Pac-12 double digit favorites are 14-12 vs spread.
Colorado State (-2) beat UNLV 75-57 at home Feb 5; they've lost four of last five visits here, losing by 19-2 in last two. Mountain West home favorites of 6 or less points are 16-24 vs spread. Last three State games went over total. Rams lost three of last four games, are 2-3 as road dogs in MW, with three losses by 7, two by 9 points. Rebels lost their last two games, are 2-4 as home favorites- they're 4-1 in last five at home.
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets
CBB MIAMI at VIRGINIA
Play On - Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MIAMI) off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )
CBB STANFORD at ARIZONA ST
Play Against - Any team (STANFORD) after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival
39-36 over the last 5 seasons. ( 52.0% 33.8 units )
7-11 this year. ( 38.9% 0.5 units )
CBB MIAMI at VIRGINIA
Play On - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (MIAMI) off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-3 this year. ( 25.0% -2.3 units )
CBB MIAMI at VIRGINIA
Play On - Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MIAMI) off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )
CBB STANFORD at ARIZONA ST
Play Against - Any team (STANFORD) after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival
39-36 over the last 5 seasons. ( 52.0% 33.8 units )
7-11 this year. ( 38.9% 0.5 units )
CBB MIAMI at VIRGINIA
Play On - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (MIAMI) off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-3 this year. ( 25.0% -2.3 units )
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets
NBA CLEVELAND at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Over - Any team extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%)
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
NBA HOUSTON at LA CLIPPERS
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games
53-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.6% 29.0 units )
19-9 this year. ( 67.9% 7.2 units )
NBA NEW ORLEANS at DALLAS
Play Over - Any team vs. the 1rst half line after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
7-5 this year. ( 58.3% 1.5 units )
NBA CLEVELAND at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Over - Any team extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%)
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
NBA HOUSTON at LA CLIPPERS
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games
53-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.6% 29.0 units )
19-9 this year. ( 67.9% 7.2 units )
NBA NEW ORLEANS at DALLAS
Play Over - Any team vs. the 1rst half line after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
7-5 this year. ( 58.3% 1.5 units )
River City Sharps
OK, we're not really quite sure why this line is so low (which is never a good thing!) but after doing a bunch of research here, it appears the Sharps are taking the bait. Towson comes into tonight's game at 20-9 overall and they beat JMU 80-69 earlier this month, covering a 6.5 point line. Towson has won their last four games and also covered in each one of those wins. We always like to look at trend lines as we get towards the end of the season and there are LOTS of trends that point to Towson in this spot. Towson is 4-1 ATS against JMU over the last 3 seasons and the Dukes aren't exactly killing it in conference play. JMU is 6-8 in conference play and 4-9 ATS in those games. In their last 7 games, the Dukes are 1-5-1 ATS. Towson has shown a really good ability to play well on the road. The Tigers are 12-4 ATS in conference road games over the last 2 seasons. With all of these stats, we would obviously think this would be a bigger number, so that gives us a bit of heartburn. But we think this game will be tighter than the last one between these two, but in the end, Towson comes home with a victory. We are rolling with the road favorite here tonight. The Sharps say...
3 UNITS - TOWSON (-1.5)
OK, we're not really quite sure why this line is so low (which is never a good thing!) but after doing a bunch of research here, it appears the Sharps are taking the bait. Towson comes into tonight's game at 20-9 overall and they beat JMU 80-69 earlier this month, covering a 6.5 point line. Towson has won their last four games and also covered in each one of those wins. We always like to look at trend lines as we get towards the end of the season and there are LOTS of trends that point to Towson in this spot. Towson is 4-1 ATS against JMU over the last 3 seasons and the Dukes aren't exactly killing it in conference play. JMU is 6-8 in conference play and 4-9 ATS in those games. In their last 7 games, the Dukes are 1-5-1 ATS. Towson has shown a really good ability to play well on the road. The Tigers are 12-4 ATS in conference road games over the last 2 seasons. With all of these stats, we would obviously think this would be a bigger number, so that gives us a bit of heartburn. But we think this game will be tighter than the last one between these two, but in the end, Towson comes home with a victory. We are rolling with the road favorite here tonight. The Sharps say...
3 UNITS - TOWSON (-1.5)
SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS
27-11-1 Last 6 days!!!! Another winning day yesterday (3-2) I only have the service for another 2 days.
Wednesday 2/26 Service Plays
NBA
Passing today. I have a lean towards the Clippers if you buy down to around 4 but leaving it alone now that game is at around 6.
NCAA
Western Mich -6.5
Ohio -2.5
Towson -2
Hofstra +11
Texas -4
Tulane -1.5
27-11-1 Last 6 days!!!! Another winning day yesterday (3-2) I only have the service for another 2 days.
Wednesday 2/26 Service Plays
NBA
Passing today. I have a lean towards the Clippers if you buy down to around 4 but leaving it alone now that game is at around 6.
NCAA
Western Mich -6.5
Ohio -2.5
Towson -2
Hofstra +11
Texas -4
Tulane -1.5
Bones Best Bet
BLAZERS -3 -105 *5* BEST BET
Make that 4 in a row! Everything is back to normal with our "best bet" of the night with no looking back now! Now on to tonight where this line stands out like a sore thumb. 3 points IN Portland? No way. We have this line at -6.5 and would still back Portland at that. Lay this bet asap as money will come in on the Blazers, we won't be shocked to see this line at -5 by tip off. The Blazers at home on the year have an average point differential of +5.8 while the Nets on the road are a -5.5. The reason for the short line here in the Blazers being on a back to back but that doesn't matter for them. They are 10-5 ATS and 10-5 straight up on the 2nd half of a b2b. They average 107.9 points per game and allow 104.5. Take this play to the bank guys! Lay the Blazers now.
Score Prediction: Nets 96 - Blazers 106
BLAZERS -3 -105 *5* BEST BET
Make that 4 in a row! Everything is back to normal with our "best bet" of the night with no looking back now! Now on to tonight where this line stands out like a sore thumb. 3 points IN Portland? No way. We have this line at -6.5 and would still back Portland at that. Lay this bet asap as money will come in on the Blazers, we won't be shocked to see this line at -5 by tip off. The Blazers at home on the year have an average point differential of +5.8 while the Nets on the road are a -5.5. The reason for the short line here in the Blazers being on a back to back but that doesn't matter for them. They are 10-5 ATS and 10-5 straight up on the 2nd half of a b2b. They average 107.9 points per game and allow 104.5. Take this play to the bank guys! Lay the Blazers now.
Score Prediction: Nets 96 - Blazers 106
GC: NBA Play
Wednesday card has 5 Big play all rated 5* or higher with a 6* Colonial Conf. Game of the Year and 2 Big 100% NBA Plays. One of the Strongest cards all season. Tuesday top play cashes with Kansas St. NBA play below.
On Wednesday the NBA Totals Play is on the Over in the Orlando at Philadelphia game. Rotation numbers 701/712 at 7;05 eastern. These two scored 251 points the last time they hooked up in December. Tonight Orlando comes in with no rest after losing last night in Washington. The Magic have gone over in 2 of the 3 times when the total is 210 or higher and in 3 of the last 4 overall. Philly has played over in 6 of 8 as a home dog from+3 to +6. For our totals system we note that rested home dogs that are off a home dog loss and failed to cover, while scoring 110 or more and allowing 120 or more have posted over the total over 80% of the times vs an opponent off a road game. Look for a higher scoring game resulting in an over. On Wednesday its one of the deepest hoops card all season as we have 5 plays all rated at 5* or higher led by the 6* Colonial Conf. Game of the Year and a Pair of Never lost NBA Blowout systems. Jump on now and bang your book good on Hump day. NBA Continues to be ranked at or near the top of Several major leader boards. For the Bonus Play take the Over in the Orlando at Philadelphia Game. GC
Wednesday card has 5 Big play all rated 5* or higher with a 6* Colonial Conf. Game of the Year and 2 Big 100% NBA Plays. One of the Strongest cards all season. Tuesday top play cashes with Kansas St. NBA play below.
On Wednesday the NBA Totals Play is on the Over in the Orlando at Philadelphia game. Rotation numbers 701/712 at 7;05 eastern. These two scored 251 points the last time they hooked up in December. Tonight Orlando comes in with no rest after losing last night in Washington. The Magic have gone over in 2 of the 3 times when the total is 210 or higher and in 3 of the last 4 overall. Philly has played over in 6 of 8 as a home dog from+3 to +6. For our totals system we note that rested home dogs that are off a home dog loss and failed to cover, while scoring 110 or more and allowing 120 or more have posted over the total over 80% of the times vs an opponent off a road game. Look for a higher scoring game resulting in an over. On Wednesday its one of the deepest hoops card all season as we have 5 plays all rated at 5* or higher led by the 6* Colonial Conf. Game of the Year and a Pair of Never lost NBA Blowout systems. Jump on now and bang your book good on Hump day. NBA Continues to be ranked at or near the top of Several major leader boards. For the Bonus Play take the Over in the Orlando at Philadelphia Game. GC
