JOE GAVAZZI
Valparaiso (-4.5-) at Detroit 7:00 ET
2* Game – Valparaiso (-4.5)
Valpo sits atop the Horizon standings with a 2-game lead in the loss column. But, their at-large case cannot afford any bad losses, as they are on the verge of being “bubblicious” with an RPI in the 60s. This, despite 7 consecutive wins and a 25-4 SU record! Note that they have been recently strengthened with the return of PG Carter, who missed the previous 8 games. More to our liking is the fact they qualify as one of my group of 2015 Roadrunners in college basketball, who, as a group, are 90-35 ATS (72%). These 22 teams all win 67% or better of their true road games (Valpo is 7-3 SU ATS away) and have gone 90-35 ATS (72%) when installed as dog to favorite up to 6 points (Valpo 6-2 ATS in that role). With a long-term successful history under 4th year HC Drew of 14-5 ATS as road chalk, we comfortably line up against the middle of the pack Titans (13-17 SU, 6-9 SU) who are just 16-13 SU on this court the last 2 seasons.