Greg Shaker | CBB Sides Wed, 02/10/10 - 6:30 PM ƒŠ
triple-dime bet 722 Indiana 11.0 (-110) BetUS vs 721 Ohio St.
Analysis: NCAAB: Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana Hoosiers - Indiana +11 (Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 2/10/2010
Note: This is not the first time this year that I have played a Double Digit Big 10 Home Dog and it is the second time that I have played against the Ohio State Buckeyes in this spot. This line is as high as it is for a couple of reasons. Opening at -9 the number quickly moved, and is continuing to move, due to the 25 Point win over the Hoosiers back in January, and becauce the home team has lost it's best scorer, Maurice Creek, with a knee injury in late January. But the fact is, Indiana has survived without him and have played to a 2 point loss at Illinois, and a 3 point loss here at home to Purdue. Ohio State has not been a good road proposition at just 2-7 ATS outside of Co~lumbus and their offensive and defensive numbers show us why. This Number 16 Squad has been outscored by over 6 ppg in this spot in fact. The Hoosiers have some strength inside and that gives them the rebounding edge tonight. They also have good people on the bench that they can bring into the contest. They have not been winning many Big Ten games, but they have been very competitive here at this arena with Wins over Michigan and Minnesota, and covers against Purdue and Illinois. That gives them a 4-1 ATS Mark here. I am just going to have to get these points which may be +10.5 at your book.
Greg Shaker | CBB Total Wed, 02/10/10 - 8:00 PM ƒŠ
double-dime bet 767 Northern Iowa / 768 Drake Under 120.5 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: Northern Iowa Panthers at Drake Bulldogs - Under 120.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 2/10/2010
Note: I don't have to tell you the style of play that the Panthers Bring to town tonight. They play great defense, and they look hard and long for a good shot. That is why they are 15-4 UNDER this year and Vegas just can't seem to get their Total Numbers low enough. These teams have played the last 7 o~f 8 UNDER the Mark as well and it really does not matter who Northern Iowa plays, they control the tempo. They did so in a big way with high paced Bradley, and in the first meeting between these two, we saw 118. That was a bit too close for comfort there but it was a 67 point effort at the Panthers Homecourt. They are not likely to get that number for this one and I do believe that the winner tonight will be hardpressed to manage 60 point. Play down to 117.
Greg Shaker | CBB Total Wed, 02/10/10 - 7:00 PM ƒŠ
double-dime bet 751 Tulane / 752 East Caro. Under 132.0 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: Tulane Green Wave at East Carolina Pirates - Under 132 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 2/10/2010
Note: Just briefly here on a busy day of handicapping. Two teams that have serious sco~ring woes and especially recently with both managing well Under 40% shooting. The first meeting saw just 107 points and ECU has scored 61 or less in their last 7 games. The likihood of the winning team having 65 or less is very good for this one and if that pans out, we have a winner. I would play down to 128.
triple-dime bet 722 Indiana 11.0 (-110) BetUS vs 721 Ohio St.
Analysis: NCAAB: Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana Hoosiers - Indiana +11 (Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 2/10/2010
Note: This is not the first time this year that I have played a Double Digit Big 10 Home Dog and it is the second time that I have played against the Ohio State Buckeyes in this spot. This line is as high as it is for a couple of reasons. Opening at -9 the number quickly moved, and is continuing to move, due to the 25 Point win over the Hoosiers back in January, and becauce the home team has lost it's best scorer, Maurice Creek, with a knee injury in late January. But the fact is, Indiana has survived without him and have played to a 2 point loss at Illinois, and a 3 point loss here at home to Purdue. Ohio State has not been a good road proposition at just 2-7 ATS outside of Co~lumbus and their offensive and defensive numbers show us why. This Number 16 Squad has been outscored by over 6 ppg in this spot in fact. The Hoosiers have some strength inside and that gives them the rebounding edge tonight. They also have good people on the bench that they can bring into the contest. They have not been winning many Big Ten games, but they have been very competitive here at this arena with Wins over Michigan and Minnesota, and covers against Purdue and Illinois. That gives them a 4-1 ATS Mark here. I am just going to have to get these points which may be +10.5 at your book.
Greg Shaker | CBB Total Wed, 02/10/10 - 8:00 PM ƒŠ
double-dime bet 767 Northern Iowa / 768 Drake Under 120.5 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: Northern Iowa Panthers at Drake Bulldogs - Under 120.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 2/10/2010
Note: I don't have to tell you the style of play that the Panthers Bring to town tonight. They play great defense, and they look hard and long for a good shot. That is why they are 15-4 UNDER this year and Vegas just can't seem to get their Total Numbers low enough. These teams have played the last 7 o~f 8 UNDER the Mark as well and it really does not matter who Northern Iowa plays, they control the tempo. They did so in a big way with high paced Bradley, and in the first meeting between these two, we saw 118. That was a bit too close for comfort there but it was a 67 point effort at the Panthers Homecourt. They are not likely to get that number for this one and I do believe that the winner tonight will be hardpressed to manage 60 point. Play down to 117.
Greg Shaker | CBB Total Wed, 02/10/10 - 7:00 PM ƒŠ
double-dime bet 751 Tulane / 752 East Caro. Under 132.0 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: Tulane Green Wave at East Carolina Pirates - Under 132 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 2/10/2010
Note: Just briefly here on a busy day of handicapping. Two teams that have serious sco~ring woes and especially recently with both managing well Under 40% shooting. The first meeting saw just 107 points and ECU has scored 61 or less in their last 7 games. The likihood of the winning team having 65 or less is very good for this one and if that pans out, we have a winner. I would play down to 128.
Dan Bebe | NBA Sides Wed, 02/10/10 - 7:05 PM ƒŠ
dime bet 703 PHI 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 704 TOR
Analysis: I am not generally a trends handicapper, but this game had such strong numbers, that I had to bend just a little.
The Sixers are 8-3 ATS on the second half of back-to-backs. Basically, this means that the opening line of Toronto -7 was giving the Sixers 2 points of bonus value because of the back-to-back. However, as we've seen, they don't need it. The Sixers play extremely well on back-to-back games, scoring an average of 105 ppg, well above their season average of 98. And lately, courtesy of the team's increased offensive tempo, the Sixers might even clear 105.
Philly has covered 4 straight, and has won 5 straight games. We have to remember, the public is generally slow to notice changes in a team's play. It took almost a month for the world to catch on that Toronto wa€s playing outstanding basketball, and suddenly they became overvalued. That has not yet happened with the Sixers, who are still getting 6 points in this one, a game where they'll likely continue to play with confidence and roll into the All Star Break feeling good about themselves. I believe we're running out of time to get value with the Sixers, but playing against a strong home team like Toronto that had put up one of the best records in the NBA over the previous month means we are still getting a tiny bit of line value on the Sixers, and even more value considering how well they've been playing lately.
The Sixers are 16-10 ATS on the road. They play very well away from home, and have done so most of the season. I don't think that's going to change today, just because they're North of the border. By getting all those extra points against the spread when playing on the road, the Sixers' line value increases yet again. Oddsmakers swing the line 3 points for a home team, and I believe the Sixers are strong enough on the road that their opponent should only be laying 2 points instead of 3. Thus, on top of the strong back-to-back play, we're getting another point of value on Philadelphia. Combine those 2 points (a conservative estimate), and suddenly we're working with a huge edge.
I also like that Toronto is coming off a win (and cover) against the Kings. People looking at how the Raptors have been playing are going to see that win and figure the Raptors dominated Sacramento and won by double digits. Well, that's a half truth - Toronto did win by double digits, but only because the Kings pulled a disappearing act in the 4th quarter, as Sacramento is prone to do this year.
For the first 36 minutes of that game, the Kings severely outplayed the Raptors, getting a ton of open looks and capitalizing on them. I expect Philadelphia will do the same, and the difference between Philly and Sacramento lies in the interior. When the 4th quarter comes around, and teams need to be able to drop the ball into the post to get a score, and need the defense to step up, Philadelphia has the tools to succeed.
The Sixers have outrebounded their last 7 consecutive opponents, as the collection of Dalembert, Brand, Speights et al have been superlative on the glass. While Sacramento was relying on Spencer Hawes, a big man that prefers to play near the perimeter, the Sixers can send multiple waves of large bodies at the Raptors and create not only second chance opportunities but also alter shots late in the game.
I believe the Sixers have a great shot to upset the Raptors, but I believe the worst case is that Toronto takes a late lead. A wild series of bad luck could push this to a Raptors win and cover, but I believe that will occur less than 40% of the time, and if indeed the score of this one is close going into the final 2-3 minutes, we will be in excellent position to grab that W.
Play the Sixers for a unit!
dime bet 703 PHI 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 704 TOR
Analysis: I am not generally a trends handicapper, but this game had such strong numbers, that I had to bend just a little.
The Sixers are 8-3 ATS on the second half of back-to-backs. Basically, this means that the opening line of Toronto -7 was giving the Sixers 2 points of bonus value because of the back-to-back. However, as we've seen, they don't need it. The Sixers play extremely well on back-to-back games, scoring an average of 105 ppg, well above their season average of 98. And lately, courtesy of the team's increased offensive tempo, the Sixers might even clear 105.
Philly has covered 4 straight, and has won 5 straight games. We have to remember, the public is generally slow to notice changes in a team's play. It took almost a month for the world to catch on that Toronto wa€s playing outstanding basketball, and suddenly they became overvalued. That has not yet happened with the Sixers, who are still getting 6 points in this one, a game where they'll likely continue to play with confidence and roll into the All Star Break feeling good about themselves. I believe we're running out of time to get value with the Sixers, but playing against a strong home team like Toronto that had put up one of the best records in the NBA over the previous month means we are still getting a tiny bit of line value on the Sixers, and even more value considering how well they've been playing lately.
The Sixers are 16-10 ATS on the road. They play very well away from home, and have done so most of the season. I don't think that's going to change today, just because they're North of the border. By getting all those extra points against the spread when playing on the road, the Sixers' line value increases yet again. Oddsmakers swing the line 3 points for a home team, and I believe the Sixers are strong enough on the road that their opponent should only be laying 2 points instead of 3. Thus, on top of the strong back-to-back play, we're getting another point of value on Philadelphia. Combine those 2 points (a conservative estimate), and suddenly we're working with a huge edge.
I also like that Toronto is coming off a win (and cover) against the Kings. People looking at how the Raptors have been playing are going to see that win and figure the Raptors dominated Sacramento and won by double digits. Well, that's a half truth - Toronto did win by double digits, but only because the Kings pulled a disappearing act in the 4th quarter, as Sacramento is prone to do this year.
For the first 36 minutes of that game, the Kings severely outplayed the Raptors, getting a ton of open looks and capitalizing on them. I expect Philadelphia will do the same, and the difference between Philly and Sacramento lies in the interior. When the 4th quarter comes around, and teams need to be able to drop the ball into the post to get a score, and need the defense to step up, Philadelphia has the tools to succeed.
The Sixers have outrebounded their last 7 consecutive opponents, as the collection of Dalembert, Brand, Speights et al have been superlative on the glass. While Sacramento was relying on Spencer Hawes, a big man that prefers to play near the perimeter, the Sixers can send multiple waves of large bodies at the Raptors and create not only second chance opportunities but also alter shots late in the game.
I believe the Sixers have a great shot to upset the Raptors, but I believe the worst case is that Toronto takes a late lead. A wild series of bad luck could push this to a Raptors win and cover, but I believe that will occur less than 40% of the time, and if indeed the score of this one is close going into the final 2-3 minutes, we will be in excellent position to grab that W.
Play the Sixers for a unit!
LEGITPICKS
Wednesday 2/10/10 Plays...
Wednesday 2/10/10 Plays...
10 DIME RELEASE:
SANTA ANITA RACE 5: # 3 (Post Time: 3pm PST)
5 DIME RELEASE:
SANTA ANITA RACE 6: # 7 (Post Time: 3:30pm PST)
Races can be viewed at: www.calracing.com
Please Note: Only make selections just before Post Time at Odds of 3-5 or better.
ASA
5* NHL TOP GAME - Wed, Feb. 10 - Columbus
ASA NHL PLAY - 5* Columbus Blue Jackets +130 over San Jose, Wednesday at 6:00 PM CST
The Blue Jackets are a different team since their head coach, Hitchcock, got fired. Columbus has won their first two games since the coaching change and the combined score of the two victories was 6-1. Those wins came against Dallas and Buffalo and neither one of those teams is a slouch by any stretch of the imagination. The point is that this Blue Jackets team is refocused and refreshed and they’re catching the Sharks at the perfect time to upset them. San Jose can’t help but look ahead to tomorrow night’s showdown with the Red Wings at the Joe Louis Arena in Detroit. Looking ahead could prove costly for the Sharks because the Blue Jackets are 40-31 in home games with a 5.5 total. Also, the Jackets are well-rested here as they haven’t played since Saturday. Columbus is already 2-1 this season when playing with three days of rest. While the Sharks have taken their first two games against Columbus this season, only one of those games was played in Columbus. That was a tight early season loss for the Blue Jackets but they had previously won each of their last two home match-ups with San Jose. The Sharks suffered a home loss against Detroit last week Tuesday. That makes it virtually impossible for them to avoid looking ahead to tomorrow night’s showdown. Unlike San Jose, Columbus is fully focused on their opponent in tonight’s game and that means the Sharks will have their hands full in this one. That equates to huge home dog value with a Blue Jackets team that looks to remain undefeated since the coaching change
5* NHL TOP GAME - Wed, Feb. 10 - Columbus
ASA NHL PLAY - 5* Columbus Blue Jackets +130 over San Jose, Wednesday at 6:00 PM CST
The Blue Jackets are a different team since their head coach, Hitchcock, got fired. Columbus has won their first two games since the coaching change and the combined score of the two victories was 6-1. Those wins came against Dallas and Buffalo and neither one of those teams is a slouch by any stretch of the imagination. The point is that this Blue Jackets team is refocused and refreshed and they’re catching the Sharks at the perfect time to upset them. San Jose can’t help but look ahead to tomorrow night’s showdown with the Red Wings at the Joe Louis Arena in Detroit. Looking ahead could prove costly for the Sharks because the Blue Jackets are 40-31 in home games with a 5.5 total. Also, the Jackets are well-rested here as they haven’t played since Saturday. Columbus is already 2-1 this season when playing with three days of rest. While the Sharks have taken their first two games against Columbus this season, only one of those games was played in Columbus. That was a tight early season loss for the Blue Jackets but they had previously won each of their last two home match-ups with San Jose. The Sharks suffered a home loss against Detroit last week Tuesday. That makes it virtually impossible for them to avoid looking ahead to tomorrow night’s showdown. Unlike San Jose, Columbus is fully focused on their opponent in tonight’s game and that means the Sharks will have their hands full in this one. That equates to huge home dog value with a Blue Jackets team that looks to remain undefeated since the coaching change
SCOTT RICKENBACH
Players NHL *10* Top Play Wednesday OVER in Pittsburgh on Feb 10th
Scott Rickenbach’s NHL 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER the total in Pittsburgh vs New York Islanders @ 7:35 ET
Players NCAAB *10* Top Play Wednesday UCONN on Feb 10th
Scott Rickenbach’s NCAAB #727 - 10* (TOP PLAY) Connecticut Huskies (+) @ Syracuse @ 7:00 ET –
Players NHL *10* Top Play Wednesday OVER in Pittsburgh on Feb 10th
Scott Rickenbach’s NHL 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER the total in Pittsburgh vs New York Islanders @ 7:35 ET
Players NCAAB *10* Top Play Wednesday UCONN on Feb 10th
Scott Rickenbach’s NCAAB #727 - 10* (TOP PLAY) Connecticut Huskies (+) @ Syracuse @ 7:00 ET –
ATSKINGS
Sal Devito Picks Page
2/10 - Double 5* Dogs of the Month- 5* NETS, 5* UCONN, Bonus Play 2* OVER TWOLVES
This is Sal Devito. For those of you that have been following me you know that i am probably one of the MOST "selective" Handicappers out there. I pride myself on patience and waiting for the right time. I know that it is uncharacteristic of me to release more than 1 play a day but I absolutely love 2 plays on the board tonight.
For my First 5* Selection I am playing on the New Jersey Nets plus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. Tonight New Jersey returns home after a hard fought game last night vs the Cavaliers. Despite going into the toughest place to play in the leauge they kept it close much of the game but couldnt get the win but easily covered the 16+pt spread. In that game, New Jersey had their 2nd best shooting performance of the season hitting 51% of their shots, with Devin Harris out. Devin Harris returns tonight and I believe he will be instrumental in getting New Jersey over the "hump" He has been averaging 15.8 ppg and 6.3 apg. Last time they met Harris went 0-5 with just 5 pts and 5 turnovers. (Can't have a worse game than that) in a 98-76 loss. However note that New Jersey is 2-1 ATS as a home dog of 3.5 to 6 pts this year and New Jersey is 3-2 ATS in games played at Home vs Milwaukee over the last 3 seasons. New Jersey is 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS vs Milwaukee over the last 3 seasons, and 19-9 Straight up Vs Milwaukee since 1996. We can't argue that New Jersey is in the toilet this year but if we look at their record ATS we find them at a respectable 6-1. The Nets are hungry for a win to satisfy their home crowd and I believe that the time is tonight. 5* New Jersey Nets
For my Second 5* Selection I am playing on the UCONN Huskies Plus the Points over Syracuse. Sorry to rain on your Parade Tony.. (He is going to this game to cheer on the Orange.) Tonight we have a Big East matchup, that should provide a memorable game. Syracuse comes in an almost perfect 23-1 vs a stumbling 14-9 UCONN Team. What this game comes down to is Line Value. Everyone is predicting a Syracuse blowout and why wouldnt they? Uconn hasnt scored over 70pts in their last 4 games, their coach is on medical leave as well. UCONN is 0-5 on the road and 1-4 against Top 25 teams. They ended their 3 game skid this last Sat with a 64-57 home win over Depaul. That being said their interim head coach is quoted as saying " It appears sometimes that we play to the competition.Thats what it is starting to look like, So Hopefully we will be jacked up to play against Syracuse. We're going up there with our destiny in our hands rather than in anybody elses hands." The Huskies have won 3 of their last 4 visits at the carrier dome and have taken the last 6 regular season meetings from the Orange. I expect a low scoring affair as both teams are excellent on Defense with the edge going to Uconn holding opponents to 38.2 shooting. UCONN is 2-1 ATS vs Syracuse over the last 3 seasons and is 1-0 in games played AT Syracuse. Take the Generous amount of Points. Best of Luck - Sal Devito
Our Bonus Play is a 2* is in NBA on Over Minnesota
Sal Devito Picks Page
2/10 - Double 5* Dogs of the Month- 5* NETS, 5* UCONN, Bonus Play 2* OVER TWOLVES
This is Sal Devito. For those of you that have been following me you know that i am probably one of the MOST "selective" Handicappers out there. I pride myself on patience and waiting for the right time. I know that it is uncharacteristic of me to release more than 1 play a day but I absolutely love 2 plays on the board tonight.
For my First 5* Selection I am playing on the New Jersey Nets plus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. Tonight New Jersey returns home after a hard fought game last night vs the Cavaliers. Despite going into the toughest place to play in the leauge they kept it close much of the game but couldnt get the win but easily covered the 16+pt spread. In that game, New Jersey had their 2nd best shooting performance of the season hitting 51% of their shots, with Devin Harris out. Devin Harris returns tonight and I believe he will be instrumental in getting New Jersey over the "hump" He has been averaging 15.8 ppg and 6.3 apg. Last time they met Harris went 0-5 with just 5 pts and 5 turnovers. (Can't have a worse game than that) in a 98-76 loss. However note that New Jersey is 2-1 ATS as a home dog of 3.5 to 6 pts this year and New Jersey is 3-2 ATS in games played at Home vs Milwaukee over the last 3 seasons. New Jersey is 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS vs Milwaukee over the last 3 seasons, and 19-9 Straight up Vs Milwaukee since 1996. We can't argue that New Jersey is in the toilet this year but if we look at their record ATS we find them at a respectable 6-1. The Nets are hungry for a win to satisfy their home crowd and I believe that the time is tonight. 5* New Jersey Nets
For my Second 5* Selection I am playing on the UCONN Huskies Plus the Points over Syracuse. Sorry to rain on your Parade Tony.. (He is going to this game to cheer on the Orange.) Tonight we have a Big East matchup, that should provide a memorable game. Syracuse comes in an almost perfect 23-1 vs a stumbling 14-9 UCONN Team. What this game comes down to is Line Value. Everyone is predicting a Syracuse blowout and why wouldnt they? Uconn hasnt scored over 70pts in their last 4 games, their coach is on medical leave as well. UCONN is 0-5 on the road and 1-4 against Top 25 teams. They ended their 3 game skid this last Sat with a 64-57 home win over Depaul. That being said their interim head coach is quoted as saying " It appears sometimes that we play to the competition.Thats what it is starting to look like, So Hopefully we will be jacked up to play against Syracuse. We're going up there with our destiny in our hands rather than in anybody elses hands." The Huskies have won 3 of their last 4 visits at the carrier dome and have taken the last 6 regular season meetings from the Orange. I expect a low scoring affair as both teams are excellent on Defense with the edge going to Uconn holding opponents to 38.2 shooting. UCONN is 2-1 ATS vs Syracuse over the last 3 seasons and is 1-0 in games played AT Syracuse. Take the Generous amount of Points. Best of Luck - Sal Devito
Our Bonus Play is a 2* is in NBA on Over Minnesota
