Service Plays Wednesday 12/09/09

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MREAST NCAAB WEDNESDAY BLOWOUT 78-28 ATS SYSTEM

#757 TENNESSEE MARTIN SKYHAWKS AT #758 MISSOURI ST BEARS 8:05PM EST

PLAY ON #758 MISSOURI ST. BEARS -17 -110 FOR 3 UNITS

The Missouri St. Bears were expected to finish dead last in the MVC, but I think that position is being reconsidered now that the Bears have started out 7-0. Convincing wins over good Tulsa and Auburn teams should offer that evidence. The Bears have been lighting it up offensively, and the top 4 scorers all at 50% or better, and hitting a high percentage of 3's as well. Skyhawks yet to find the win column on the road, or vs a div-1 team, are a poor team. Missouri St. is not only offensive, they have held opponents to 30 or less in each of their last 2, which triggers a 78-28 ATS sytem sure to fry the books here. Missouri St. in a blowout.
 

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Randall the Handle

NHL
COLUMBUS -½ +1.02 over Florida Pinnacle

Both of these squads are in a serious funk but these Blue Jackets are just too talented and to well coached to allow this slide to continue much longer. Both teams have dropped eight of its last nine but it appears that the Jackets are much more ready to pop than the Panthers. C-Bus completely dominated the Av’s in its last start after allowing just 19 shots on net. The previous game they held the Leafs to just 25 shots. They lost them both but tonight they’ll be extremely well rested for the first time in a long time, having last played on Saturday. The Panthers, meanwhile, will play its fifth game in the span of a week. They’ve scored just five goals in its last three games, all losses and things will not get any easier tonight against what should be a intensely focused host. Play: Columbus -½ +1.02 (Risking 2 units).

SAN JOSE -½ -1.11 over Los Angeles Pinnacle

The Sharkies also have been off since Saturday and after back-to-back home losses you know this rested squad is going to come out blazing. Furthermore, the Kings, although very warm, will give the start to Erik Ersberg instead of Jonathan Quick and Ersberg has not played in a month and has started just three games this season. In two of those games he’s allowed four goals and in the last game he was pulled after allowing four goals on seven shots. In fact, if you go back to last year he’s allowed four goals against in five of his last six starts. So, what we have here is a rested Sharks squad coming off two losses, at home again facing a rusty goaltender whose confidence is completely shattered. Play: San Jose -½ -1.11 (Risking 2 units).

TAMPA BAY -½ +1.36 over Edmonton Pinnacle

Kudos to the Oilers for an unlikely three-game road winning streak. That’s nice and this Oiler team is one to watch once they get healthy cause they’re going to make life miserable for some playoff hopefuls. However, that’s still a few bodies away from happening and thus, what we have here is an extremely vulnerable visitor that’s breathed a sigh of relief playing a hungry Lightning team is desperate need of a win. Jeff Delauriers is a back-up goalie and likely always will be and that’s one of the reasons this Oiler team is not very capable of going on prolonged winning streaks at the moment. The Lightning have dropped five of six, however, those five losses came against Dallas, Colorado, Boston, New Jersey and the Caps. All five of those opponents have winning records and now the Bolts will take a step down in class, very much in need of a win. Play: Tampa Bay -½ +1.36 (Risking 2 units).

NBA
ATLANTA –10½ over Chicago Pinnacle

10½ points may seem like a lot when in fact it’s not at all when you consider the Bulls recent woes. This invader is playing with nothing right now. They can’t defend, they can’t shoot, its confidence is shot and to top it all off, morale is way down after losing at home last night to the Nets. Now the Bulls will play its fifth game in a week and they’ll play against a Hawks team that is rested and that owns a 14-6 record. The Bulls have dropped eight of its last nine and that includes six double-digit losses. To break it down even more, they have a 19-point loss in Denver, a 24-point loss in Portland, a 19-point loss in Utah, a 32-point home loss to Toronto and yesterday’s loss at home to the Nets. The Hawks have not been as sharp recently but they play great defense always and they’re coming off an impressive road win in Dallas. They’ve won just three of its last seven games so it’s very likely that they’ll come in focused. We already know the Hawks are well rested and if the Bulls keep this one within this range it’ll be rather surprising. Looks like another Bulls implosion. Play: Atlanta –10½ (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

INDIANA/Portland under 193½ Pinnacle

The Blazers are most definitely in a little trouble right now with a shortened bench and a slew of injured players. Of course the oddmakers know that and it’s one of the reasons you’ll rarely hear the mention of an injury in this space. What’s more significant is that the Blazers are struggling miserably to score points. In fact, they’ve been held to under 100 in five of its last six games and that includes games against the defenseless Grizzlies and Knicks. The Pacers have lots of problems too, as they’ve dropped nine of ten and they’re without Danny Granger, its best player by far. They, too, have been struggling to score and that’s because they just don’t have anyone that can consistently do so. In its last game when Granger was knocked out early, the Pacers scored 72 points at the Clip Joint. Both coaches are very unlikely to want an up-tempo game because both teams don’t have the capabilities right now of making a comeback. An up temp style will result in big runs that neither team wants nor can afford. Play: Indiana/Portland under 193½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
 

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Bryan Leonard

Matchup: New Mexico at San Diego
Pick: San Diego +6

Analysis: The Lobos enter play tonight a perfect 8-0 on the season but they have played just twice on opponent courts. They won at New Mexico State and Hawaii, two teams likely to have long seasons. New Mexico won at San Diego last season by 3 points while holding the host to only 27% shooting. That was a veteran Lobo squad as compared to this seasons young guns. Overall 8 of the 11 players on the roster are underclassmen. They have yet to take on a quality opponent away from home.

San Diego has played a very tough schedule with most of the games coming away from home. Despite a 4-5 record they have played well when stepping up in class. The Toreros have beaten Stanford, Oklahoma and Houston thus far and have the guard play to give the Lobos fits. Off an embarrassing performance at Fresno State we know the host will be fully focused here.

New Mexico is cruising right now but they haven't proven anything on the road. With a huge game against Texas A&M on deck we can't see them getting up to play a team they beat a season ago. Look for the Toreros to give it their all tonight as this one goes to the wire.


753/754 Buffalo at Niagara

The Bulls are coming off an embarrassing defensive performance when they let Purdue reach triple figures in a 101-65 defeat. This is a team that rebounds the ball well and plays quality defense. You can be sure Reggie Witherspoon and his coaching staff have preached defense this week in practice. Buffalo is a deep team with nine players seeing double digit minutes which means fresh legs on the defensive end of the court. It's also a veteran club with four of the top minute producers being seniors.

Niagara is playing their third straight home game. They held the previous two opponents to just 57 and 64 points. The Purple Eagles rank in the top 50 in the country defending the three and they are in the top 70 overall defensively. Like the Bulls they are an upperclass heavy lineup with their top four producers being veterans.

This regional game is key in the recruiting wars as both programs look to tap the strong northeast market. Therefore this game has more importance than most non-conference games. Last years meeting saw just 126 points scored as neither team surpassed the 35% field goal mark. We look for another low scoring game as the defenses rule the night.

PLAY UNDER
 

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Ferringo




2-Unit Play. Take #765 Boise State (-1) over Idaho State (9 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)


1-Unit Play. Take #739 California (-6.5) over Pacific (10 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)


1-Unit Play. Take #738 Connecticut (-1) over Kentucky (9:30 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)


1-Unit Play. Take #753 Buffalo (+8.5) over Niagara (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)


1-Unit Play. Take #749 LaSalle (-2) over Rider (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #756 Hofstra (-7.5) over Manhattan (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)


0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 144.5 Kentucky at Connecticut (9:30 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)


These are 5-point teasers:

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #747 Louisiana Tech (+11) over Arizona (11 p.m.) AND Take #743 Idaho (+11.5) over Washington State (11 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. Take #739 Cal (-1.5) over Pacific (10 p.m.) AND Take #732 Indiana State (-8) over Ball State (8 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #727 Providence (+7) over George Washington (7 p.m.) AND Take #733 Michigan (+5) over Utah (9 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #759 Montana State (+26.5) over Memphis (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9) AND Take #756 Hofstra (-2.5) over Manhattan (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)


0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #758 Missouri State (-12) over Tennessee-Martin (8 p.m.) AND Take #763 Southern Illinois (-7.5) over SE Missouri State (8:45 p.m.)[/FONT][/COLOR]
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LT Profits

NHL

Capitals/Sabres UNDER 5.5 +105

NBA

Timberwolves +140 ML
Hornets/Timberwolves UNDER 194 -101

NCAAB

Valparaiso/Purdue UNDER 147.5 -110
Western Michigan -1.5 -105 (First Half)
New Mexico -2.5 -110 (First Half)
CS Fullerton/San Diego State OVER 129.5 -110
CS Fullerton/San Diego State OVER 61 -110 (First Half)
 
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MTI (Killer Sports)

4-STAR Portland -5.5 over INDIANA – Indiana comes into this one in a slump, having lost five straight. They’re finally home back home tonight, but against a rested Portland team, we don’t expect that to be enough, as they still adjust to playing without Danny Granger. In, fact those last four losses all came on the road. The League is 0-13-1 ATS (-10.3 ppg) since March 10, 2007 when they are at home with two or more days of rest after at least four road losses. (H and 1<rest and streak<=-4 and site streak<=-4 and 20070310<=dateIndiana last played on Saturday, in an 88-72 loss to the LA Clippers. In that game, the Pacers committed 21 turnovers. The Pacers are 0-8 ATS (-6.8 ppg) since November 09, 1996 with two or more days of rest after a double digit loss in which they committed
at least twenty turnovers.Portland last played Monday, in a disappointing 93-84 loss to New York. The Trailblazers are 7-0 ATS (9.9 ppg) since January
27, 2007 after a road loss in which their DPS was minus 15 points or less.The Trailblazers were also turnover happy in that game, committing
19 while attempting 66 shots. Portland is 7-0 ATS (11.9 ppg) since March 12, 2003 as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a game on the road in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four.SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Portland 101, INDIANA 90
 

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AllStarSportsPicks

I have been with this service for 4 months now and I use 2 other services. At first I was only breaking even but for about a month, but now the last 3 months I am now making money off this guy every month. I will drop one of the other 2 as one has went way south and the other is ok and have a subscription until February

these are his plays. My monthly subscription runs through the end of the month

NCAAB 1 star play Boise St -105 ML

NHL 1 star play San Jose -125 minus 1 puckline

NBA 1 star play Portland under 193
 
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LDG NBA Trifecta

2* MIL -3
2* CLE -2
2* GSW U 218' - matches DOC 5*

p/c
 

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Rocketman:

Western Michigan @ Eastern Illinois 8:30 PM EST
Play On: Eastern Illinois +3

Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss. Broncos are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games overall. Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Panthers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. My power ratings has Eastern Illinois winning this one by 1.04 points. We'll recommend a small play on Eastern Illinois tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocky is now 12-1 92% last 13 picks overall past 7 days. Rocky is 8-1 89% his past 9 CBB picks! Rocky was #1 in CBB back in 2007 hitting 67% for the entire season and has hit 61% in 2007 and 2008 combined CBB seasons. Rocky has hit 67% overall this year in the NBA! Rocky has three 3* CBB Double Dime plays and a 3* NBA Double Dime play for Wednesday! Join us!
 

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B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G

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6* W ido w W iseg uy C B B UN DER DO G OF THE MO NT H on Rider +2(-108 at 5dimes)

Rider is 4-0 at home this season and should not be catching points against La Salle. Both of La Salle's losses have come on the road this season with double-digit losses to both South Carolina and Villanova. La Salle is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games since 1997. The Explorers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Rider Broncs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Take Rider and the points.

4* on St. Joseph's +15.5(-106 at 5dimes)

St. Joseph's is simply catching too many points against Villanova here Wednesday. This team only has one loss by more than 12 points this season, and that came against Purdue who are one of the best teams in the country. Villanova is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997. St. Joseph's is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game since 1997. This team lost 56-59 to Villanova in last year's meeting with the Wildcats, and they have been known for playing the best teams in the country very tough over the last decade. Take St. Joseph's and the points.

5* W ise gu y C B B "L ate-N igh t" BA ILO UT on New Mexico -5(-105 at bodog)

New Mexico is 8-0 this season and laying a very small number against a poor San Diego team tonight, thus we'll side with the superior team in likely a double-digit win. The Lobos are also 7-1 ATS this season, with their lone loss against the spread coming in their last game in a 17-point win over New Mexico State as a 17.5-point favorite. This team is N CA A T our name nt bound. San Diego is 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games, losing to Washington State by 37, S an D iego Sta te by 7, UC-Riverside by 3 and F res no St ate by 32. All of those four teams are nowhere near the caliber as New Mexico. New Mexico is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons. San Diego is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. Take New Mexico and lay the points.
 

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS -160

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the home side:

New York lost 6-2 last night to the Flyers and are once again going to be in tough this evening.

The Isles are just 2-4 their last six and the achilles heel of this team remains its poor play away from friendly confines; 5-17 dating back to last season on the road.

On the other side of the ice: The Maple Leafs look to win two in a row at home for the first time this season.

Alexei Ponikarovsky scored a pair of goals 28 seconds apart and added an assist, while Matt Stajan and Lee Stempniak each had a goal with an assist in Toronto’s 5-2 win over Atlanta on Monday.

The victory was the Maple Leafs’ first at home on a weekday, and improved their mark at the Air Canada Centre to 3-7-3. The result also matched a season high for goals at home for Toronto (9-13-7), which had lost 3-0 to Buffalo in its previous game there Nov. 30; I expect this team to continue to build momentum.

Keep in mind that Toronto is 5-2 its last seven overall and always plays tough at the Air Canada center vs. NY; 13-3-1 its last 17 vs. the Islanders in Toronto.

Bottom line: There is no need to over-analyze this one; these are two teams moving in opposite directions right now and the Islanders played less than 24 hours ago.

The Leafs will also be playing with revenge on their minds, as they lost last time out to the Isles on Nov. 23rd; look for TORONTO to do just enough to continue its streak and get the win here in front of the hometown crowd! Take the Maple Leafs.
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Marc Lawrence

MILWAUKEE BUCKS -3

We recommend a 4-unit play on Milwaukee.
 

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Ron Raymond

Jazz/Lakers OVER 206

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]When UTAH team played as a Road team - playing on Wednesday - with 1 day off - Coming off a 1 game win - Allowed 105 or less points AGAINST in their last game; the OVER is 8-3-0 for the Jazz in this spot. Take the Over.[/FONT]
 

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GoodFella

BUFFALO +9

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Niagra will be without their leader and best player Benn tonight, and this Buffalo ballclubs strength is their depth and rebounding & they should have a definite edge on the glass tonight, and I definitely see great value with the points tonight in this matchup. Look for a tight ballgame that could go either way here, and grab the points with Buffalo guys.[/FONT]
 

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As always, picks are against the pointspread and not just to win outright. Wednesday's NBA picks:

Sacramento Kings +13*

Portland Trailblazers -3.5

Good luck,
Rich
aka the sports betting professor
 

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Evan Altemus

ATLANTA HAWKS -10.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Under normal conditions, I may not have selected this game, but tonight's game is going to be on ESPN with a national audience. That makes all the difference to this young Atlanta team that is close to unbeatable at home when motivated. The Hawks also have shown the ability to blow teams out at home when motivated, even quality opponents. Meanwhile, Chicago is playing horrible right now, and they are coming off of a loss to New Jersey,
one of the worst teams in the NBA. To make matters worse, that game was at home, where Chicago usually plays well. I look for them to struggle in this game coming off of a game last night. This game sets up as a perfect storm for Atlanta because of the way the Bulls offense has struggled, plus with the lack of effort Chicago shows away from home. Atlanta has also dominated this series recently, covering the point spread in three straight games and winning outright in four straight games. Look for the Hawks to get a blowout home win.

4 UNIT SELECTION HAWKS.
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