HRC PREMIUM NFL ACTION-November 25th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************
[106] Dallas |8*|Bet B|OPEN +3.5|B+0|FOX|4:15 pm EST
note*
This is the "NFL SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads (4 game chase)
2010/2011 NFL and NCAAF SYSTEMS
NFL Spread LOSSES- 0
A. 9 wins
B. 1 win
C. 1 win
D. 1 win
NCAAF V2 Spread LOSSES- 1
A. 15 wins
B. 6 wins
C. 2 wins
D. 1 win
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************
[106] Dallas |8*|Bet B|OPEN +3.5|B+0|FOX|4:15 pm EST
note*
This is the "NFL SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads (4 game chase)
2010/2011 NFL and NCAAF SYSTEMS
NFL Spread LOSSES- 0
A. 9 wins
B. 1 win
C. 1 win
D. 1 win
NCAAF V2 Spread LOSSES- 1
A. 15 wins
B. 6 wins
C. 2 wins
D. 1 win
Statsystems report 11/24
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/24
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****
• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Knicks won last four games, covered last five.
-- Raptors won last three games, covered five of last six.
-- Magic won four of last five games, but is 2-4 vs spread in last six as a home favorite.
-- Pistons are 8-2 vs spread in their last ten games.
-- Spurs won last 11 games, covered last seven.
-- Oklahoma City won/covered its last five games. Mavericks are 5-0 vs spread on road this year.
-- Bulls won five of their last seven games.
-- New Orleans is off to 11-2 start, but 0-4 vs spread in last four. Jazz won eight of last ten games, is 2-4-1 as home favorite.
• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Cavaliers lost five of their last six games. Milwaukee lost last three games, by 11-11-1 point.
-- Bobcats are just 2-4 at home.
-- 76ers lost six of their last seven games.
-- Nets lost three of their last four games.
-- Celtics covered one of last five games as a home favorite.
-- Miami lost last two games, is 1-8 vs spread in last nine.
-- Grizzlies lost five of their last six games.
-- Minnesota lost four of last five games (0-3 vs spread last three).
-- Houston lost last four games, giving up 110 ppg. Warriors lost five of last six games (0-4 vs spread in last four).
-- Suns lost three of their last four games.
• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- Cavaliers are 1-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Bobcats are 2-1 if they played the night before. Knicks are 3-1-1.
-- 76ers are 1-3 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- New Jersey is 3-0 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Detroit is 2-0 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Mavericks won only other time they had played night before.
-- Bulls are 0-2 if they played night before, losing by 5-9 points.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Three of last four 76er games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Boston home games went over the total.
-- Miami's last three games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota games went over the total. Over is 5-2 in last seven San Antonio games.
-- Over is 11-3 in Thunder games. Last three Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Golden State games stayed under total.
-- Last seven Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Three of Hornets' last four road games stayed under the total.
• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--MILWAUKEE @ CLEVELAND, 7:00 PM ET MILWAUKEE: 12-4 ATS off loss by 3 pts or less. CLEVELAND: 5-1 Under in home games.
--NEW YORK @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET NEW YORK: 30-15 Over off 5+ Overs. CHARLOTTE: 81-52 ATS playing on back-to-back days.
--PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 12-25 ATS off 6 pts or less. TORONTO: 32-18 Over when the total is 200 to 209.5.
--NEW JERSEY @ BOSTON, 7:30 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 2-15 ATS after scoring 100+ pts BB games. BOSTON: 3-0 ATS off BB road games.
--MIAMI @ ORLANDO, 7:30 PM ET ESPN MIAMI: 1-8 ATS if favored L5 games. ORLANDO: 26-12 Under off road loss.
--DETROIT @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET DETROIT: 40-67 ATS off SU loss. MEMPHIS: 3-0 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.
--SAN ANTONIO @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET SAN ANTONIO: 23-12 ATS off home win. MINNESOTA: 4-17 ATS as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points.
--DALLAS @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET DALLAS: 31-17 ATS in road games. OKLAHOMA CITY: 9-1 Over as favorite.
--GOLDEN STATE @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET GOLDEN STATE: 14-4 ATS off loss by 15+ points. HOUSTON: 8-0 Under at home after allowing 120+ pts.
--CHICAGO @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET CHICAGO: 14-3 Under Away if total is 200+. PHOENIX: 39-19 ATS after allowing 105+ pts.
--NEW ORLEANS @ UTAH, 9:00 PM ET NEW ORLEANS: 17-2 Under in favored L4 games. UTAH: 25-8 ATS when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points.
________________________________
*** MILWAUKEE (-1.5, O/U 186) @ CLEVELAND ***
--------------------------------------------------------------
Although the Cleveland Cavaliers continue to struggle, a visit from the Milwaukee Bucks should have them feeling hopeful. Cleveland will look to snap its three-game losing streak and continue its home mastery over the Bucks when the teams meet Wednesday night. Since winning three straight Nov. 4-9, the Cavaliers have lost five of six, including three in a row. Defense was the issue in Tuesday night’s 100-89 loss to Indiana, as Cleveland trailed by 25 at the break and allowed its third consecutive opponent to reach 100 points.
The Cavaliers have surrendered 62.7 first-half points during the three-game skid and coach Byron Scott knows that his team needs to bring a better defensive effort early on. “We have to understand that we have to come out with a sense of urgency and do that for 48 minutes,” Scott said. “This isn’t even close to rock bottom. It’s a good test for us. This team and this franchise have not had to play through adversity in the last seven years.”
Ramon Sessions and Daniel Gibson each scored 15 points off the bench as the Cavaliers starters were limited to a total of 32 points on 13 for 36 from the field. “This is definitely a loss where we can’t let nights like this happen again,” Gibson said. “We definitely need to understand that. We have to use nights like tonight so that we never had this feeling again.”
Cleveland has won five straight and 13 of its last 14 home meetings with the Bucks. This, however, is the first meeting between these teams in the post-LeBron James era for the Cavaliers. Even without James, Cleveland should be able to keep pace with the Bucks, who are shooting an NBA-worst 41.1 percent from the field and are last in points scored with 91.4 per game. The Bucks are looking to snap a three-game losing streak of their own after they were defeated by Oklahoma City 82-81 on Saturday night as only two players scored in double figures.
Brandon Jennings led the way with 25 points, but struggled with his shot for the second consecutive night, connecting on 8 of 24 from the field. Jennings, who leads the team with an average of 17.3 points, is shooting 29.7 percent (11 for 37) in his last two games. “We need to try to turn this thing around,” he said. Andrew Bogut had eight points and 12 rebounds as he continues to deal with back spasms.
The Australian, who averaged 15.9 points last season, has managed 8.0 points over his last five games and his status for this one is unknown. “We’re in a little bit of a hole again, and the only way out of it is to try to win a game,” he said. Bogut put up 19 points and 12 rebounds against the Cavaliers on March 31. With Bogut at less than 100 percent, Drew Gooden who spent three-plus seasons with Cleveland has stepped up his play of late, averaging 17.5 points and 11.8 rebounds in his last four games.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Milwaukee by 1.5; O/U 187
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Milwaukee -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Milwaukee -3.25
_____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 100.0, OPPONENT 94.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 28-11 ATS (+15.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 99.9, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 96.5, OPPONENT 93.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 47-26 UNDER (+18.3 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 95.7, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 79-52 UNDER (+21.6 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 91.9, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 9-23 against the 1rst half line (-16.3 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.3, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 4-17 against the 1rst half line (-14.5 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.0, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 32-15 OVER (+15.5 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 55.4, OPPONENT 49.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 29-12 UNDER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 49.0, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less.
(32-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (29-13 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3
The average score in these games was: Team 99.4, Opponent 94.7 (Average point differential = +4.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (40.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (88-73).
--PLAY ON - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (CLEVELAND) - after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 85 points or less.
(35-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.3, Opponent 48.4 (Average first half point differential = +0.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (86-55).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.
(55-23 since 1996.) (70.5%, +29.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 44.9, Opponent 46 (Total first half points scored = 90.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-8).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(33-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +20.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 186
The average score in these games was: Team 93.4, Opponent 97 (Total points scored = 190.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 23 (53.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (70-49).
__________________________________
• • • • • CFB HUGE *6-STAR GOES SATURDAY! • • • • •
---------------------------------------------------------------
Make plans now to join Stan ‘The Man for his Huge *6-Star NCAA College Football Game that goes Saturday! Stan is documented 28-7-2, 80% on this play in his professional handicapping career and it’s included along with all of his Late Phone Service College and NFL releases this Thanksgiving weekend as part of a special Guaranteed Week of Football and Basketball Winners! “Don’t miss out, get on board today, call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
Once again as promised, 'The Man delivered with his *4-Star Fan Appreciation Key Play (New York/Charlotte Over 205.5) on Tuesday night's NBA card. PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team. 29-6 since 1996, (82.8%, +22.4 units).
--Result: Toney Douglas poured in 22 points off the bench and all five starters scored in double figures as New York held off Charlotte, 110-107, at Madison Square Garden in the first of a home-and-home set. Amare Stoudemire scored 17 points while Raymond Felton supplied 16 points and nine assists against his former team for the Knicks, who have won a season-best four in a row following a six-game slide. Extending 'The Man's winning streak on the hardwood to 16-3, (84.2%) with his last nineteen top rated selections!
__________________________
*** NEW YORK @ CHARLOTTE (-4.5, O/U 206) ***
------------------------------------------------------------
Raymond Felton felt good about beating his former team. Now he’s getting ready to do it again. Felton will return to Charlotte on Wednesday night with the New York Knicks, who are looking for their first five-game win streak in five seasons along with a home-and-home sweep of the Bobcats. The point guard signed a two-year deal in the offseason with New York after spending his first five seasons with Charlotte. He’s adjusted well to playing for Coach Mike D’Antoni, averaging career highs of 17.4 points and 7.6 assists.
Felton turned in a solid effort with 16 points and nine assists in New York’s 110-107 home victory over Charlotte on Tuesday. He made two free throws with 2.1 seconds left for the final margin. “It’s a good feeling, no question about that, it’s a good feeling,” said Felton, a popular figure in North Carolina for helping the Tar Heels win the 2005 NCAA title. Felton’s replacement with the Bobcats, D.J. Augustin led all scorers with 24 points. Coach Larry Brown, though, had nothing but praise for Felton afterward.
“He’s great. I think what he brought to our team is something you can’t replace,” Brown said. “He plays hard every day, plays hurt practices hard, he’s a great teammate and I’m thrilled for him. I think it’s worked out good for everybody. D.J.’s gotten an opportunity and he’s played well.”
The Knicks have not won five straight since a six-game run Jan. 2-13, 2006. This run comes on the heels of a six-game slide in which new power forward Amare Stoudemire criticized the team’s effort. “It’s great, it lets you know we’re getting our confidence, especially down the stretch. So we’ve just got to continue to keep that confidence high,” Stoudemire said. “A night like tonight, guys stepped up big in the fourth, which was big for us because I got in a little foul trouble out there, and they stepped up. So we’ve got to go to Charlotte and try to do it again.”
Gerald Wallace scored 20 points and Stephen Jackson added 18. Jackson, who complained to the officials throughout the night, missed a desperation 3-pointer as time expired. “A lot of stuff didn’t go the way I wanted tonight, but I’m not going to touch on that,” Jackson said. “It was a tough play, a long shot. I didn’t get my feet into it. It is what it is, the life of Stephen Jackson.”
The Knicks shot 52.1 percent, becoming the first Charlotte opponent to make half of its shots since Dallas connected on 54.7 percent in the Bobcats’ season opener. Charlotte trailed by 14 entering the fourth quarter. “We just started playing harder,” Augustin said. “We’ve got to do that at the beginning of the game. If we played harder, it would have never gotten to that point. We should’ve fought harder.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 3.5; O/U 203.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -4.37
______________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 55-34 ATS (+17.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 97.1, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 53-34 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 98.1, OPPONENT 94.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 49-30 ATS (+15.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 104.0, OPPONENT 109.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 55-34 UNDER (+17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 104.0, OPPONENT 105.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 30-12 UNDER (+16.6 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 105.5, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 29-11 against the 1rst half line (+16.7 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.0, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 47-79 against the 1rst half line (-39.9 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.9, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 66-42 OVER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.6, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 35-14 OVER (+19.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 52.5, OPPONENT 58.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
(56-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +32.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.8, Opponent 48.7 (Total first half points scored = 99.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (109-71).
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/24
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****
• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Knicks won last four games, covered last five.
-- Raptors won last three games, covered five of last six.
-- Magic won four of last five games, but is 2-4 vs spread in last six as a home favorite.
-- Pistons are 8-2 vs spread in their last ten games.
-- Spurs won last 11 games, covered last seven.
-- Oklahoma City won/covered its last five games. Mavericks are 5-0 vs spread on road this year.
-- Bulls won five of their last seven games.
-- New Orleans is off to 11-2 start, but 0-4 vs spread in last four. Jazz won eight of last ten games, is 2-4-1 as home favorite.
• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Cavaliers lost five of their last six games. Milwaukee lost last three games, by 11-11-1 point.
-- Bobcats are just 2-4 at home.
-- 76ers lost six of their last seven games.
-- Nets lost three of their last four games.
-- Celtics covered one of last five games as a home favorite.
-- Miami lost last two games, is 1-8 vs spread in last nine.
-- Grizzlies lost five of their last six games.
-- Minnesota lost four of last five games (0-3 vs spread last three).
-- Houston lost last four games, giving up 110 ppg. Warriors lost five of last six games (0-4 vs spread in last four).
-- Suns lost three of their last four games.
• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- Cavaliers are 1-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Bobcats are 2-1 if they played the night before. Knicks are 3-1-1.
-- 76ers are 1-3 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- New Jersey is 3-0 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Detroit is 2-0 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Mavericks won only other time they had played night before.
-- Bulls are 0-2 if they played night before, losing by 5-9 points.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Three of last four 76er games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Boston home games went over the total.
-- Miami's last three games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota games went over the total. Over is 5-2 in last seven San Antonio games.
-- Over is 11-3 in Thunder games. Last three Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Golden State games stayed under total.
-- Last seven Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Three of Hornets' last four road games stayed under the total.
• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--MILWAUKEE @ CLEVELAND, 7:00 PM ET MILWAUKEE: 12-4 ATS off loss by 3 pts or less. CLEVELAND: 5-1 Under in home games.
--NEW YORK @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET NEW YORK: 30-15 Over off 5+ Overs. CHARLOTTE: 81-52 ATS playing on back-to-back days.
--PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 12-25 ATS off 6 pts or less. TORONTO: 32-18 Over when the total is 200 to 209.5.
--NEW JERSEY @ BOSTON, 7:30 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 2-15 ATS after scoring 100+ pts BB games. BOSTON: 3-0 ATS off BB road games.
--MIAMI @ ORLANDO, 7:30 PM ET ESPN MIAMI: 1-8 ATS if favored L5 games. ORLANDO: 26-12 Under off road loss.
--DETROIT @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET DETROIT: 40-67 ATS off SU loss. MEMPHIS: 3-0 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.
--SAN ANTONIO @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET SAN ANTONIO: 23-12 ATS off home win. MINNESOTA: 4-17 ATS as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points.
--DALLAS @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET DALLAS: 31-17 ATS in road games. OKLAHOMA CITY: 9-1 Over as favorite.
--GOLDEN STATE @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET GOLDEN STATE: 14-4 ATS off loss by 15+ points. HOUSTON: 8-0 Under at home after allowing 120+ pts.
--CHICAGO @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET CHICAGO: 14-3 Under Away if total is 200+. PHOENIX: 39-19 ATS after allowing 105+ pts.
--NEW ORLEANS @ UTAH, 9:00 PM ET NEW ORLEANS: 17-2 Under in favored L4 games. UTAH: 25-8 ATS when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points.
________________________________
*** MILWAUKEE (-1.5, O/U 186) @ CLEVELAND ***
--------------------------------------------------------------
Although the Cleveland Cavaliers continue to struggle, a visit from the Milwaukee Bucks should have them feeling hopeful. Cleveland will look to snap its three-game losing streak and continue its home mastery over the Bucks when the teams meet Wednesday night. Since winning three straight Nov. 4-9, the Cavaliers have lost five of six, including three in a row. Defense was the issue in Tuesday night’s 100-89 loss to Indiana, as Cleveland trailed by 25 at the break and allowed its third consecutive opponent to reach 100 points.
The Cavaliers have surrendered 62.7 first-half points during the three-game skid and coach Byron Scott knows that his team needs to bring a better defensive effort early on. “We have to understand that we have to come out with a sense of urgency and do that for 48 minutes,” Scott said. “This isn’t even close to rock bottom. It’s a good test for us. This team and this franchise have not had to play through adversity in the last seven years.”
Ramon Sessions and Daniel Gibson each scored 15 points off the bench as the Cavaliers starters were limited to a total of 32 points on 13 for 36 from the field. “This is definitely a loss where we can’t let nights like this happen again,” Gibson said. “We definitely need to understand that. We have to use nights like tonight so that we never had this feeling again.”
Cleveland has won five straight and 13 of its last 14 home meetings with the Bucks. This, however, is the first meeting between these teams in the post-LeBron James era for the Cavaliers. Even without James, Cleveland should be able to keep pace with the Bucks, who are shooting an NBA-worst 41.1 percent from the field and are last in points scored with 91.4 per game. The Bucks are looking to snap a three-game losing streak of their own after they were defeated by Oklahoma City 82-81 on Saturday night as only two players scored in double figures.
Brandon Jennings led the way with 25 points, but struggled with his shot for the second consecutive night, connecting on 8 of 24 from the field. Jennings, who leads the team with an average of 17.3 points, is shooting 29.7 percent (11 for 37) in his last two games. “We need to try to turn this thing around,” he said. Andrew Bogut had eight points and 12 rebounds as he continues to deal with back spasms.
The Australian, who averaged 15.9 points last season, has managed 8.0 points over his last five games and his status for this one is unknown. “We’re in a little bit of a hole again, and the only way out of it is to try to win a game,” he said. Bogut put up 19 points and 12 rebounds against the Cavaliers on March 31. With Bogut at less than 100 percent, Drew Gooden who spent three-plus seasons with Cleveland has stepped up his play of late, averaging 17.5 points and 11.8 rebounds in his last four games.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Milwaukee by 1.5; O/U 187
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Milwaukee -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Milwaukee -3.25
_____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 100.0, OPPONENT 94.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 28-11 ATS (+15.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 99.9, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 96.5, OPPONENT 93.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 47-26 UNDER (+18.3 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 95.7, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 79-52 UNDER (+21.6 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 91.9, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 9-23 against the 1rst half line (-16.3 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.3, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 4-17 against the 1rst half line (-14.5 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.0, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 32-15 OVER (+15.5 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 55.4, OPPONENT 49.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 29-12 UNDER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 49.0, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less.
(32-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (29-13 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3
The average score in these games was: Team 99.4, Opponent 94.7 (Average point differential = +4.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (40.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (88-73).
--PLAY ON - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (CLEVELAND) - after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 85 points or less.
(35-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.3, Opponent 48.4 (Average first half point differential = +0.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (86-55).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.
(55-23 since 1996.) (70.5%, +29.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 44.9, Opponent 46 (Total first half points scored = 90.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-8).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(33-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +20.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 186
The average score in these games was: Team 93.4, Opponent 97 (Total points scored = 190.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 23 (53.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (70-49).
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• • • • • CFB HUGE *6-STAR GOES SATURDAY! • • • • •
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Make plans now to join Stan ‘The Man for his Huge *6-Star NCAA College Football Game that goes Saturday! Stan is documented 28-7-2, 80% on this play in his professional handicapping career and it’s included along with all of his Late Phone Service College and NFL releases this Thanksgiving weekend as part of a special Guaranteed Week of Football and Basketball Winners! “Don’t miss out, get on board today, call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
Once again as promised, 'The Man delivered with his *4-Star Fan Appreciation Key Play (New York/Charlotte Over 205.5) on Tuesday night's NBA card. PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team. 29-6 since 1996, (82.8%, +22.4 units).
--Result: Toney Douglas poured in 22 points off the bench and all five starters scored in double figures as New York held off Charlotte, 110-107, at Madison Square Garden in the first of a home-and-home set. Amare Stoudemire scored 17 points while Raymond Felton supplied 16 points and nine assists against his former team for the Knicks, who have won a season-best four in a row following a six-game slide. Extending 'The Man's winning streak on the hardwood to 16-3, (84.2%) with his last nineteen top rated selections!
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*** NEW YORK @ CHARLOTTE (-4.5, O/U 206) ***
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Raymond Felton felt good about beating his former team. Now he’s getting ready to do it again. Felton will return to Charlotte on Wednesday night with the New York Knicks, who are looking for their first five-game win streak in five seasons along with a home-and-home sweep of the Bobcats. The point guard signed a two-year deal in the offseason with New York after spending his first five seasons with Charlotte. He’s adjusted well to playing for Coach Mike D’Antoni, averaging career highs of 17.4 points and 7.6 assists.
Felton turned in a solid effort with 16 points and nine assists in New York’s 110-107 home victory over Charlotte on Tuesday. He made two free throws with 2.1 seconds left for the final margin. “It’s a good feeling, no question about that, it’s a good feeling,” said Felton, a popular figure in North Carolina for helping the Tar Heels win the 2005 NCAA title. Felton’s replacement with the Bobcats, D.J. Augustin led all scorers with 24 points. Coach Larry Brown, though, had nothing but praise for Felton afterward.
“He’s great. I think what he brought to our team is something you can’t replace,” Brown said. “He plays hard every day, plays hurt practices hard, he’s a great teammate and I’m thrilled for him. I think it’s worked out good for everybody. D.J.’s gotten an opportunity and he’s played well.”
The Knicks have not won five straight since a six-game run Jan. 2-13, 2006. This run comes on the heels of a six-game slide in which new power forward Amare Stoudemire criticized the team’s effort. “It’s great, it lets you know we’re getting our confidence, especially down the stretch. So we’ve just got to continue to keep that confidence high,” Stoudemire said. “A night like tonight, guys stepped up big in the fourth, which was big for us because I got in a little foul trouble out there, and they stepped up. So we’ve got to go to Charlotte and try to do it again.”
Gerald Wallace scored 20 points and Stephen Jackson added 18. Jackson, who complained to the officials throughout the night, missed a desperation 3-pointer as time expired. “A lot of stuff didn’t go the way I wanted tonight, but I’m not going to touch on that,” Jackson said. “It was a tough play, a long shot. I didn’t get my feet into it. It is what it is, the life of Stephen Jackson.”
The Knicks shot 52.1 percent, becoming the first Charlotte opponent to make half of its shots since Dallas connected on 54.7 percent in the Bobcats’ season opener. Charlotte trailed by 14 entering the fourth quarter. “We just started playing harder,” Augustin said. “We’ve got to do that at the beginning of the game. If we played harder, it would have never gotten to that point. We should’ve fought harder.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 3.5; O/U 203.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -4.37
______________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 55-34 ATS (+17.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 97.1, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 53-34 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 98.1, OPPONENT 94.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 49-30 ATS (+15.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 104.0, OPPONENT 109.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 55-34 UNDER (+17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 104.0, OPPONENT 105.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 30-12 UNDER (+16.6 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 105.5, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 29-11 against the 1rst half line (+16.7 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.0, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 47-79 against the 1rst half line (-39.9 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.9, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 66-42 OVER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.6, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 35-14 OVER (+19.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 52.5, OPPONENT 58.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
(56-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +32.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.8, Opponent 48.7 (Total first half points scored = 99.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (109-71).
Statsystems report 11/24
*** PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO (-5, O/U 201.5) ***
--------------------------------------------------------------
The Toronto Raptors began their rebuilding when Chris Bosh decided to leave for Miami. After accelerating that process with a five-player trade, the revamped Raptors are expected to debut Jerryd Bayless and Peja Stojakovic on Wednesday night against the Philadelphia 76ers. While Bosh leaving in the offseason was a likely event, the eventual sign-and-trade with the Heat gave the Raptors an exception worth $12 million against the salary cap.
The key component in Sunday’s deal with New Orleans was Stojakovic’s expiring contract at season’s end. Raptors general manager Bryan Colangelo has at least $25 million in expiring contracts ahead into what will undoubtedly be a tense offseason as the players and owners negotiate a new collective bargaining agreement, but the acquisition of Bayless gives the Raptors five players 25 or younger.
“Whether or not we win games is really not the true issue right now, it’s how much we’re growing as an organization, how much these young kids are coming along,” Colangelo said. Bayless averaged 4.5 points and 2.5 assists in limited action with the Hornets, but is ready to run Toronto’s up-tempo offense. “I can’t be more excited,” he told the Raptors’ official website. “This is an opportunity of a lifetime playing with these young guys and growing with them, it’s something I have wanted to do since I have been in the league.”
Stojakovic’s role is less defined. The 12-year veteran played only six games for New Orleans, and the 40 percent lifetime 3-point shooter may have similar problems cracking Toronto’s rotation with its style of play. The Raptors enter this game with a three-game winning streak after edging Boston 102-101 on Sunday. Amir Johnson’s two free throws with 2.7 seconds to play provided the tying and winning points. Andrea Bargnani scored 29 points and has averaged 28.3 on 58.2 percent shooting during the winning streak. He scored 30 on 12-of-18 shooting in a 94-86 win at Philadelphia on Nov. 17 that triggered the current three-game run.
While the Raptors are learning how to win, the 76ers seem to be finding new ways to lose. An ill-advised shooting foul on John Wall by Jrue Holiday 40 feet from the basket with 3.5 seconds to play in regulation contributed to Philadelphia losing 116-114 in overtime to Washington on Tuesday. “All we had to do was just finish out the game, and we just made critical mistakes again. That’s just crushing us. That’s been the story of our whole first 14 games of the season,” coach Doug Collins said. “You’ve got to be careful because when a guy is running at you with the ball like that, you’ve got to know when he sees you coming that he’s going to pick up and launch it.”
Swingman Andre Iguodala who had missed the previous three games with tendonitis in his Achilles’ had 23 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists while logging 50 minutes. Philadelphia had seven players in double figures, but failed to put together consecutive wins for the first time this season. 76ers forward Elton Brand may not be available for this game after being ejected with 3:32 left in the fourth quarter for knocking down JaVale McGee with a two-handed shove following a dunk. Toronto has won five of six between the teams.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Toronto by 3.5; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Toronto -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Toronto -3.29
___________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 38-59 ATS (-26.7 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.6, OPPONENT 104.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 98.3, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 10-24 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 98.3, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 32-15 OVER (+15.4 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 102.3, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 44-21 OVER (+20.7 Units) versus terrible 3 point shooting teams -making <=30% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 96.6, OPPONENT 94.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 54-85 against the 1rst half line (-39.5 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.3, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 13-29 against the 1rst half line (-18.8 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 49.5, OPPONENT 53.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 61-37 UNDER (+20.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.0, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 35-14 OVER (+19.6 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.4, OPPONENT 55.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (TORONTO) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.
(30-7 since 1996.) (81.1%, +22.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.4, Opponent 44.9 (Average first half point differential = +6.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, vs. division opponents.
(33-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 203.9
The average score in these games was: Team 105.6, Opponent 106.6 (Total points scored = 212.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (55.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (59-35).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.
(62-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.9%, +36.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 49.8 (Total first half points scored = 99.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (42-15).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (100-67).
--PLAY ON - Any team (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(50-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +28 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (37-34 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.8
The average score in these games was: Team 99.1, Opponent 98 (Average point differential = +1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 28 (40.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (38-18).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (95-88).
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** NEW JERSEY @ BOSTON (-11.5, O/U 188.5) ***
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The Boston Celtics may be without Rajon Rondo again, but so far Nate Robinson is filling in nicely. Facing the New Jersey Nets may soften the blow of another absence by the NBA’s assists leader. The Celtics may have Robinson starting at the point again as they look to re-establish their dominance of the Nets on Wednesday night at TD Garden. Boston isn’t sure if Rondo is healthy enough to return from a strained left hamstring that has forced him to miss two games, leaving the team without the speedy guard’s 14.3 assists per game.
While Rondo’s continued absence could turn into a major problem, Robinson has been impressive in his first two starts of 2010-11. The guard scored 16 points and dished out a season-high 10 assists in a 99-76 win at Atlanta on Monday. That effort came a night after Robinson put up a season-high 22 points only to see Boston lose 102-101 at Toronto in a performance the team used as motivation against the Hawks. “Guys were (ticked) off,” said swingman Paul Pierce who had 13 points Monday and leads the team with an average of 19.9. “That’s the way we should be every night. We should never have to use losses to motivate us.”
The Celtics may find themselves in a similar situation against the Nets after losing the most recent matchup 104-96 at home on Feb. 27 with Pierce out injured. That defeat ended their 12-game winning streak in the series, including a five-game run at home. Potentially having Rondo back could help Boston begin working on a new winning streak. He’s hitting 67.2 percent of his shots to average 18 points and 9.2 assists over the last six meetings with New Jersey. Robinson hasn’t been nearly that effective, averaging 12.2 points and 3.3 assists in his last six games against the Atlantic Division rival with Boston and New York.
The Nets are looking to win consecutive games for the first time since beginning the season 2-0, and will likely rely on center Brook Lopez and guard Devin Harris to do it. The duo came up big in Tuesday’s 107-101 win over Atlanta, as Lopez connected on 12 of 19 for a season-high 32 points and nine rebounds while Harris scored 27 points with nine assists. Following the win coach Avery Johnson explained that he challenged the team’s co-captains during a 1-3 road trip, which was capped with a 107-103 loss at Denver on Saturday.
“They’ve been challenged behind the scenes,” Johnson said. “Two guys that we rely heavily upon came through. Now what I’m showing them is if they can consistently have that aggression and that attacking attitude, it makes us a better ball club. They don’t have many nights with this team where they can take off.” Lopez leads the Nets with 18.3 points per game, while Harris is second at 17.6. They combined for 48 points, eight rebounds and eight assists at Boston in February.
Motivating his players isn’t the only thing that’s kept Johnson busy. He suspended Terrence Williams for two games Tuesday after the swingman repeatedly broke team rules. Johnson wouldn’t give specifics, but stated that Williams - averaging 6.8 points, 3.8 rebounds and 3.0 assists - has been fined a couple of times, and the message hasn’t sunk in.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston by 13; O/U 190.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -14.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -13.84
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 102.8, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 0-9 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 91.5, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 55-32 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 96.1, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 36-16 UNDER (+18.4 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 97.3, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 24-7 OVER (+16.1 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 96.7, OPPONENT 104.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 47-26 against the 1rst half line (+18.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 49.2, OPPONENT 46.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 47-28 against the 1rst half line (+16.1 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 50.7, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 32-14 OVER (+16.5 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 52.8, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 64-32 UNDER (+28.8 Units) the 1rst half total vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=39% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 45.7, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (BOSTON) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG), after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game.
(38-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.5%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 185.9
The average score in these games was: Team 91.7, Opponent 89 (Total points scored = 180.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (68-50).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days.
(42-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +23.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (6-54 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.3
The average score in these games was: Team 94.7, Opponent 104.7 (Average point differential = -10)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (39.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (78-51).
__________________________________
Stan "The Man Continues to 'Sizzle' on the Hardwood cashing once again with his *4-Star release on Denver/Golden State Under 220.5. Right here on these pages Monday, Stan told us all - "Don't even think about making a move on tonight’s NBA card until you learned of a ‘Dynamite Super Situation’ inside one game, and that it was supported by an Amazing Winning Angle since 1996."
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season. 28-5 since 1996, (84.8%, +22.5 units).
--Result: Carmelo Anthony rose to the occasion with 39 points, nine rebounds and five assists, as Denver downed Golden State, 106-89, at ORACLE Arena. Al Harrington added 19 points and eight rebounds off the bench, while Arron Afflalo donated 15 points and nine rebounds and Ty Lawson contributed 14 points for Denver, which has won three of four overall.
*** PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO (-5, O/U 201.5) ***
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The Toronto Raptors began their rebuilding when Chris Bosh decided to leave for Miami. After accelerating that process with a five-player trade, the revamped Raptors are expected to debut Jerryd Bayless and Peja Stojakovic on Wednesday night against the Philadelphia 76ers. While Bosh leaving in the offseason was a likely event, the eventual sign-and-trade with the Heat gave the Raptors an exception worth $12 million against the salary cap.
The key component in Sunday’s deal with New Orleans was Stojakovic’s expiring contract at season’s end. Raptors general manager Bryan Colangelo has at least $25 million in expiring contracts ahead into what will undoubtedly be a tense offseason as the players and owners negotiate a new collective bargaining agreement, but the acquisition of Bayless gives the Raptors five players 25 or younger.
“Whether or not we win games is really not the true issue right now, it’s how much we’re growing as an organization, how much these young kids are coming along,” Colangelo said. Bayless averaged 4.5 points and 2.5 assists in limited action with the Hornets, but is ready to run Toronto’s up-tempo offense. “I can’t be more excited,” he told the Raptors’ official website. “This is an opportunity of a lifetime playing with these young guys and growing with them, it’s something I have wanted to do since I have been in the league.”
Stojakovic’s role is less defined. The 12-year veteran played only six games for New Orleans, and the 40 percent lifetime 3-point shooter may have similar problems cracking Toronto’s rotation with its style of play. The Raptors enter this game with a three-game winning streak after edging Boston 102-101 on Sunday. Amir Johnson’s two free throws with 2.7 seconds to play provided the tying and winning points. Andrea Bargnani scored 29 points and has averaged 28.3 on 58.2 percent shooting during the winning streak. He scored 30 on 12-of-18 shooting in a 94-86 win at Philadelphia on Nov. 17 that triggered the current three-game run.
While the Raptors are learning how to win, the 76ers seem to be finding new ways to lose. An ill-advised shooting foul on John Wall by Jrue Holiday 40 feet from the basket with 3.5 seconds to play in regulation contributed to Philadelphia losing 116-114 in overtime to Washington on Tuesday. “All we had to do was just finish out the game, and we just made critical mistakes again. That’s just crushing us. That’s been the story of our whole first 14 games of the season,” coach Doug Collins said. “You’ve got to be careful because when a guy is running at you with the ball like that, you’ve got to know when he sees you coming that he’s going to pick up and launch it.”
Swingman Andre Iguodala who had missed the previous three games with tendonitis in his Achilles’ had 23 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists while logging 50 minutes. Philadelphia had seven players in double figures, but failed to put together consecutive wins for the first time this season. 76ers forward Elton Brand may not be available for this game after being ejected with 3:32 left in the fourth quarter for knocking down JaVale McGee with a two-handed shove following a dunk. Toronto has won five of six between the teams.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Toronto by 3.5; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Toronto -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Toronto -3.29
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 38-59 ATS (-26.7 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.6, OPPONENT 104.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 98.3, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 10-24 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 98.3, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 32-15 OVER (+15.4 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 102.3, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 44-21 OVER (+20.7 Units) versus terrible 3 point shooting teams -making <=30% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 96.6, OPPONENT 94.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 54-85 against the 1rst half line (-39.5 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.3, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 13-29 against the 1rst half line (-18.8 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 49.5, OPPONENT 53.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 61-37 UNDER (+20.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.0, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 35-14 OVER (+19.6 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.4, OPPONENT 55.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (TORONTO) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.
(30-7 since 1996.) (81.1%, +22.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.4, Opponent 44.9 (Average first half point differential = +6.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, vs. division opponents.
(33-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 203.9
The average score in these games was: Team 105.6, Opponent 106.6 (Total points scored = 212.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (55.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (59-35).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.
(62-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.9%, +36.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 49.8 (Total first half points scored = 99.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (42-15).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (100-67).
--PLAY ON - Any team (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(50-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +28 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (37-34 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.8
The average score in these games was: Team 99.1, Opponent 98 (Average point differential = +1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 28 (40.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (38-18).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (95-88).
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** NEW JERSEY @ BOSTON (-11.5, O/U 188.5) ***
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The Boston Celtics may be without Rajon Rondo again, but so far Nate Robinson is filling in nicely. Facing the New Jersey Nets may soften the blow of another absence by the NBA’s assists leader. The Celtics may have Robinson starting at the point again as they look to re-establish their dominance of the Nets on Wednesday night at TD Garden. Boston isn’t sure if Rondo is healthy enough to return from a strained left hamstring that has forced him to miss two games, leaving the team without the speedy guard’s 14.3 assists per game.
While Rondo’s continued absence could turn into a major problem, Robinson has been impressive in his first two starts of 2010-11. The guard scored 16 points and dished out a season-high 10 assists in a 99-76 win at Atlanta on Monday. That effort came a night after Robinson put up a season-high 22 points only to see Boston lose 102-101 at Toronto in a performance the team used as motivation against the Hawks. “Guys were (ticked) off,” said swingman Paul Pierce who had 13 points Monday and leads the team with an average of 19.9. “That’s the way we should be every night. We should never have to use losses to motivate us.”
The Celtics may find themselves in a similar situation against the Nets after losing the most recent matchup 104-96 at home on Feb. 27 with Pierce out injured. That defeat ended their 12-game winning streak in the series, including a five-game run at home. Potentially having Rondo back could help Boston begin working on a new winning streak. He’s hitting 67.2 percent of his shots to average 18 points and 9.2 assists over the last six meetings with New Jersey. Robinson hasn’t been nearly that effective, averaging 12.2 points and 3.3 assists in his last six games against the Atlantic Division rival with Boston and New York.
The Nets are looking to win consecutive games for the first time since beginning the season 2-0, and will likely rely on center Brook Lopez and guard Devin Harris to do it. The duo came up big in Tuesday’s 107-101 win over Atlanta, as Lopez connected on 12 of 19 for a season-high 32 points and nine rebounds while Harris scored 27 points with nine assists. Following the win coach Avery Johnson explained that he challenged the team’s co-captains during a 1-3 road trip, which was capped with a 107-103 loss at Denver on Saturday.
“They’ve been challenged behind the scenes,” Johnson said. “Two guys that we rely heavily upon came through. Now what I’m showing them is if they can consistently have that aggression and that attacking attitude, it makes us a better ball club. They don’t have many nights with this team where they can take off.” Lopez leads the Nets with 18.3 points per game, while Harris is second at 17.6. They combined for 48 points, eight rebounds and eight assists at Boston in February.
Motivating his players isn’t the only thing that’s kept Johnson busy. He suspended Terrence Williams for two games Tuesday after the swingman repeatedly broke team rules. Johnson wouldn’t give specifics, but stated that Williams - averaging 6.8 points, 3.8 rebounds and 3.0 assists - has been fined a couple of times, and the message hasn’t sunk in.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston by 13; O/U 190.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -14.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -13.84
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 102.8, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 0-9 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 91.5, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 55-32 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 96.1, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 36-16 UNDER (+18.4 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 97.3, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 24-7 OVER (+16.1 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 96.7, OPPONENT 104.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 47-26 against the 1rst half line (+18.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 49.2, OPPONENT 46.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 47-28 against the 1rst half line (+16.1 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 50.7, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 32-14 OVER (+16.5 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 52.8, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 64-32 UNDER (+28.8 Units) the 1rst half total vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=39% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 45.7, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (BOSTON) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG), after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game.
(38-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.5%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 185.9
The average score in these games was: Team 91.7, Opponent 89 (Total points scored = 180.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (68-50).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days.
(42-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +23.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (6-54 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.3
The average score in these games was: Team 94.7, Opponent 104.7 (Average point differential = -10)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (39.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (78-51).
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Stan "The Man Continues to 'Sizzle' on the Hardwood cashing once again with his *4-Star release on Denver/Golden State Under 220.5. Right here on these pages Monday, Stan told us all - "Don't even think about making a move on tonight’s NBA card until you learned of a ‘Dynamite Super Situation’ inside one game, and that it was supported by an Amazing Winning Angle since 1996."
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season. 28-5 since 1996, (84.8%, +22.5 units).
--Result: Carmelo Anthony rose to the occasion with 39 points, nine rebounds and five assists, as Denver downed Golden State, 106-89, at ORACLE Arena. Al Harrington added 19 points and eight rebounds off the bench, while Arron Afflalo donated 15 points and nine rebounds and Ty Lawson contributed 14 points for Denver, which has won three of four overall.
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 11/24 cont.
*** MIAMI @ ORLANDO (-4.5, O/U 186.5) ***
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Some wondered if the Miami Heat would lose six games before the All-Star break, but that’s how many the NBA’s newest star-studded cast has before Thanksgiving after an embarrassing defeat. The Orlando Magic have plenty of incentive to add to the Heat’s misery. Miami delivered a 26-point rout of Orlando in the season’s opening week, a performance the Magic will be eager to avenge Wednesday night at the Amway Center as they try to hand their Southeast Division rivals a third straight defeat.
As soon as LeBron James and Chris Bosh joined Dwyane Wade and the Heat many speculated whether Miami had a chance to challenge the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls’ regular-season record of 72 wins. That mark is looking safer by the day, particularly after Monday’s performance. Wade scored three points on 1-of-13 shooting while nursing a sprained left wrist in the Heat’s 93-77 home loss to Indiana, adding insult to injury hours after the team learned Udonis Haslem would be out indefinitely with a torn foot ligament.
“I don’t think we anticipated anything like this. We’re just going to have to deal with it,” Bosh said after posting 21 points and 11 rebounds. “When we came into this situation we all knew that it wasn’t going to be an easy road, so we have to just embrace the fact that it’s not easy.” The Heat have been outrebounded 95-71 in their consecutive losses to Memphis and Indiana, a disparity that has to have Orlando’s Dwight Howard smiling.
James, who has fewer rebounds (eight) than turnovers (10) in the last two games, thinks his new team’s problems come down to something less measurable. “We need to have more fun,” said James, averaging a career-high 4.2 turnovers. “We are lacking two things that is having fun and a little bit of swag right now. We are not playing with the same atmosphere, pride and fun as we did early on in the season when we were playing some good ball.” Miami’s best stretch came after its opening-night loss to Boston, a four-game winning streak in which it shot 47.9 percent from 3-point range and outscored opponents by an average of 22.8 points.
The most impressive of those victories came Oct. 29 against Orlando. Wade scored 26 points in a 96-70 blowout of the Magic, a satisfying win after the Florida foes spent the offseason exchanging verbal barbs. “They came out, they threw an uppercut, and as a team we kind of went down,” Howard said. Howard had 19 points on 8-of-15 shooting before fouling out, but Orlando’s other starters didn’t give him much help. Rashard Lewis, Quentin Richardson, Jameer Nelson and Vince Carter combined for 18 points while shooting 4 for 30.
Howard had 26 points and 18 boards Monday in San Antonio, but Orlando couldn’t hang on to a three-point lead heading into the fourth quarter. Carter exited midway through the final period with a sprained left knee, the Magic had five turnovers in the final 12 minutes and the Spurs took over to win 106-97 - their 11th straight victory. “I think these are statement games,” Lewis said. “It went down to the wire, but we weren’t able to pull it out. Sixteen turnovers against a good team won’t get the job done.”
Carter’s status for this game is uncertain, but Orlando certainly needs him to produce. The Magic are 7-1 when he scores at least 13 points and 2-3 otherwise. The eight-time All-Star had four points in the loss to Miami last month.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Orlando by 2.5; O/U 184
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Orlando -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Orlando -0.49
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 53-32 ATS (+17.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 99.4, OPPONENT 93.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 63-42 ATS (+16.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 101.5, OPPONENT 95.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS (-8.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 96.6, OPPONENT 96.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 15-31 ATS (-18.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 96.5, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 63-39 UNDER (+19.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 101.0, OPPONENT 95.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 32-13 UNDER (+17.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.3, OPPONENT 93.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 52-31 OVER (+17.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 99.1, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 34-16 against the 1rst half line (+16.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 53.0, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 37-14 against the 1rst half line (+21.5 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 51.6, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 56-32 UNDER (+20.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was ORLANDO 45.0, OPPONENT 45.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 24-3 UNDER (+20.7 Units) the 1rst half total after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 46.5, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team (MIAMI) - in a game involving 2 slow-down teams (<=77 shots/game), after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent.
(23-5 since 1996.) (82.1%, +17.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 178.8
The average score in these games was: Team 87.3, Opponent 85 (Total points scored = 172.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (62.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (0-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (MIAMI) - off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
(40-15 since 1996.) (72.7%, +23.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (38-17)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.3
The average score in these games was: Team 97.6, Opponent 91.9 (Average point differential = +5.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (43.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
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Stan's RED~HOT run in NCAA College Football just keeps getting Hotter! Finishing the day right here in our Stat/Systems Report Saturday, with an 'AMAZING 8-1 ROLL’ (88.8%) on side selections.
Winners on Saturday’s Card Included: SOUTHERN MISS -4.5 - (90.3%)… OKLAHOMA ST -23.5 - (88.5%)… UTEP +17 - (88.5%)… TENNESSEE -8.5 - (87.9%)… PENN ST -10 - (87.1%)… N ILLINOIS -14.5 - (86.7%)… DUKE +11.5 - (85.3%)… BYU -27 - (84.8%)… The lone losing selection in the Report: SYRACUSE -4 - (83.3%).
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*** DETROIT @ MEMPHIS (-7, O/U 194) ***
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It’s not often a victory in the first month of the season can have the potential to propel a team to greater success the rest of the way. The Memphis Grizzlies, however, hope that’s the case as they look to build off their latest win while trying to avoid a sixth consecutive home loss to the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday night. Rudy Gay hit a fadeaway jumper over LeBron James at the buzzer to help Memphis snap a five-game skid with a 97-95 home win Saturday over a Miami Heat team without an injured Dwyane Wade.
Zach Randolph had 21 points with 13 rebounds Mike Conley added 16 points and Gay 15 with eight rebounds as Memphis put forth the kind of spirited effort coach Lionel Hollins had hoped would be a regular occurrence for his team this season. “This was the most unified we’ve been,” Hollins said. “That’s how you win tough, close games, everybody rooting for each other, everybody picking each other up.”
Though it was their third win in 11 contests, the Grizzlies hope an emotional victory over a potential championship contender could provide enough of a spark to help the club get out of its early rut. “We put ourselves in the situation where any win can be big for us,” Gay told the Grizzlies’ official website. For the moment, the Grizzlies hope it’s enough to begin a run at home. After going 23-18 at home last season, Memphis is 3-4 at the FedEx Forum. The Grizzlies are 1-8 at home against Detroit since the franchise moved from Vancouver. That victory came Dec. 11, 2004.
The Pistons however, fell to 2-6 on the road after an 88-84 loss at Dallas on Tuesday. Gay averages a team-leading 21.9 points on the season, but 15.8 in four home games versus Detroit. Randolph, averaging 18.6 points and 12.6 boards since missing four games with a back injury, had 24 with 13 rebounds in a 99-93 win at Detroit in the teams’ most recent contest Jan. 27.
Richard Hamilton has averaged 19.8 points on 50.3-percent shooting in nine games at Memphis, but 9.3 while shooting 32.9 percent on the road this season. He was held to five points on 1-of-7 shooting at Dallas. Tayshaun Prince and Rodney Stuckey each had 19 points, but Detroit shot 42.5 percent and was held to fewer than 90 points for the fourth time this season - three of which have come on the road. Despite an overall poor shooting effort, Detroit led by five after three quarters. “This is a tough loss because we controlled the game pretty much throughout,” Prince said.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 6.5; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis 7.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -5.91
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 14-36 ATS (-25.5 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 95.4, OPPONENT 103.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 12-27 ATS (-17.6 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 90.9, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--DETROIT is 26-9 UNDER (+16.4 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 95.4, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 19-4 UNDER (+13.8 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 94.2, OPPONENT 101.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 51-32 against the 1rst half line (+15.7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 50.0, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 5-20 against the 1rst half line (-16.9 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 46.9, OPPONENT 53.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 44-23 UNDER (+18.6 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 48.2, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 29-11 UNDER (+16.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 44.9, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams (DETROIT) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days.
(35-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (37-10 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.8
The average score in these games was: Team 103.1, Opponent 95.3 (Average point differential = +7.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (43.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (57-48).
__________________________________
Stan 'The Man’s 'ROCK~SOLID' roll in Saturday's NCAA College Football Stat/Systems Report had a 'BANNER DAY' with OVER/UNDER Selections cashing Five of Seven Tickets on the card 71.4%!
Winning Tickets Included: DUKE/GEORGIA TECH UNDER 60.5 - (90.3%)... SAN JOSE ST/HAWAII UNDER 59.5 - (82.4%)... MEMPHIS/UAB UNDER 57.5 - (82.4%)... HOUSTON/SOUTHERN MISS OVER 65.5 - (81.0%)... NEW MEXICO/BYU UNDER 53 - (79.5%)... Losing Tickets Included: KENT ST/W MICHIGAN OVER 50.5 - (83.9%)... ARKANSAS ST/NAVY OVER 63 - (82.4%).
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*** SAN ANTONIO (-8, O/U 213.5) @ MINNESOTA ***
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The San Antonio Spurs have lost one game all season and that came nearly a month ago. Their next opponent isn’t likely to slow them down either. The NBA-leading Spurs look to extend their own winning streak to 12 and make it 13 straight wins over the Minnesota Timberwolves when the teams meet at the Target Center on Wednesday night. San Antonio is off to the best start in franchise history, winning 11 in row since losing to New Orleans on Oct. 30. A victory Wednesday would give the Spurs their first 12-game streak since a 13-game run Feb. 13-March 13, 2007.
A potent offense has played a big part in San Antonio’s success. The team ranks second in the league, averaging 107.6 points per game, but has also stepped up its play on the defensive end lately, holding opponents to 93.5 points over the last eight games. Manu Ginobili who leads the team in scoring with 20.4 points per game, knows there is still a lot of work to be done. “It’s too early to tell. What we know we’re winning games that last year we would have lost,” Ginobili said. “But it’s too early. Thirteen games so far. We’ve got a long way to go.”
The Spurs looked like championship contenders in their 106-97 win over Orlando on Monday night as they shot a season-best 63.2 (12 for 19) percent from 3-point range. San Antonio is knocking down 3-pointers at an NBA-best 44.4 percent clip, and has received an extra boost from Matt Bonner who went 4 for 4 from beyond the arc versus the Magic. “We wanted to give the fans their money’s worth,” he said. Bonner missed six games with a sprained ankle but has gone 18 for 26 (69.2 percent) from long distance since his return.
While the Spurs’ offense seems to be clicking on all cylinders, 12-time All Star and two-time MVP Tim Duncan is averaging a career-low 13.8 points in just 28.9 minutes per game. Despite the lack of production, Duncan’s teammates aren’t concerned. “Timmy’s taking a little bit of the back seat so we can save him for the playoffs,” said Tony Parker who is averaging a career-best 7.8 assists. Parker matched a season high with 24 points and distributed 10 assists Monday and is likely looking forward to the trip to Minnesota, where he recorded a career-high 55 points Nov. 5, 2008.
The Timberwolves will be looking for their first win over the Spurs since Jan. 3, 2007, and have lost the last three meetings by at least 18 points. San Antonio could be in line for a big offensive night with the Timberwolves ranking second-to-last in field-goal percentage (42.2) and last in scoring defense (110.4). Minnesota lost for the fourth time in five games Monday, falling to Oklahoma City 117-107 despite strong performances from Kevin Love and Darko Milicic.
Love, averaging an league-best 14.0 rebounds, had 24 points and 17 boards while Milicic, the forgotten second-overall pick from the 2003 draft, scored 21. Milicic, now on his fifth team in eight years, is averaging 5.7 points over his career, but with back-to-back 20-point efforts, may have found a home in Minnesota. “He’s making great shots. He’s getting himself integrated into the offense really well,” said Love. “Blocking a ton of shots, getting rebounds. We’re happy for him.”
Love, limited to 10.8 points per game against the Spurs over his career, remains confident despite his team’s poor record. “We just need to execute down the stretch a little bit better, and be put in those situations and eventually we’ll grow up and we’ll learn from them,” he said.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 10.5; O/U 208
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -12.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -7.36
*** MIAMI @ ORLANDO (-4.5, O/U 186.5) ***
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Some wondered if the Miami Heat would lose six games before the All-Star break, but that’s how many the NBA’s newest star-studded cast has before Thanksgiving after an embarrassing defeat. The Orlando Magic have plenty of incentive to add to the Heat’s misery. Miami delivered a 26-point rout of Orlando in the season’s opening week, a performance the Magic will be eager to avenge Wednesday night at the Amway Center as they try to hand their Southeast Division rivals a third straight defeat.
As soon as LeBron James and Chris Bosh joined Dwyane Wade and the Heat many speculated whether Miami had a chance to challenge the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls’ regular-season record of 72 wins. That mark is looking safer by the day, particularly after Monday’s performance. Wade scored three points on 1-of-13 shooting while nursing a sprained left wrist in the Heat’s 93-77 home loss to Indiana, adding insult to injury hours after the team learned Udonis Haslem would be out indefinitely with a torn foot ligament.
“I don’t think we anticipated anything like this. We’re just going to have to deal with it,” Bosh said after posting 21 points and 11 rebounds. “When we came into this situation we all knew that it wasn’t going to be an easy road, so we have to just embrace the fact that it’s not easy.” The Heat have been outrebounded 95-71 in their consecutive losses to Memphis and Indiana, a disparity that has to have Orlando’s Dwight Howard smiling.
James, who has fewer rebounds (eight) than turnovers (10) in the last two games, thinks his new team’s problems come down to something less measurable. “We need to have more fun,” said James, averaging a career-high 4.2 turnovers. “We are lacking two things that is having fun and a little bit of swag right now. We are not playing with the same atmosphere, pride and fun as we did early on in the season when we were playing some good ball.” Miami’s best stretch came after its opening-night loss to Boston, a four-game winning streak in which it shot 47.9 percent from 3-point range and outscored opponents by an average of 22.8 points.
The most impressive of those victories came Oct. 29 against Orlando. Wade scored 26 points in a 96-70 blowout of the Magic, a satisfying win after the Florida foes spent the offseason exchanging verbal barbs. “They came out, they threw an uppercut, and as a team we kind of went down,” Howard said. Howard had 19 points on 8-of-15 shooting before fouling out, but Orlando’s other starters didn’t give him much help. Rashard Lewis, Quentin Richardson, Jameer Nelson and Vince Carter combined for 18 points while shooting 4 for 30.
Howard had 26 points and 18 boards Monday in San Antonio, but Orlando couldn’t hang on to a three-point lead heading into the fourth quarter. Carter exited midway through the final period with a sprained left knee, the Magic had five turnovers in the final 12 minutes and the Spurs took over to win 106-97 - their 11th straight victory. “I think these are statement games,” Lewis said. “It went down to the wire, but we weren’t able to pull it out. Sixteen turnovers against a good team won’t get the job done.”
Carter’s status for this game is uncertain, but Orlando certainly needs him to produce. The Magic are 7-1 when he scores at least 13 points and 2-3 otherwise. The eight-time All-Star had four points in the loss to Miami last month.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Orlando by 2.5; O/U 184
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Orlando -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Orlando -0.49
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 53-32 ATS (+17.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 99.4, OPPONENT 93.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 63-42 ATS (+16.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 101.5, OPPONENT 95.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS (-8.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 96.6, OPPONENT 96.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 15-31 ATS (-18.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 96.5, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 63-39 UNDER (+19.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 101.0, OPPONENT 95.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 32-13 UNDER (+17.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.3, OPPONENT 93.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 52-31 OVER (+17.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 99.1, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 34-16 against the 1rst half line (+16.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 53.0, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 37-14 against the 1rst half line (+21.5 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 51.6, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 56-32 UNDER (+20.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was ORLANDO 45.0, OPPONENT 45.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 24-3 UNDER (+20.7 Units) the 1rst half total after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 46.5, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team (MIAMI) - in a game involving 2 slow-down teams (<=77 shots/game), after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent.
(23-5 since 1996.) (82.1%, +17.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 178.8
The average score in these games was: Team 87.3, Opponent 85 (Total points scored = 172.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (62.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (0-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (MIAMI) - off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
(40-15 since 1996.) (72.7%, +23.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (38-17)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.3
The average score in these games was: Team 97.6, Opponent 91.9 (Average point differential = +5.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (43.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
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Stan's RED~HOT run in NCAA College Football just keeps getting Hotter! Finishing the day right here in our Stat/Systems Report Saturday, with an 'AMAZING 8-1 ROLL’ (88.8%) on side selections.
Winners on Saturday’s Card Included: SOUTHERN MISS -4.5 - (90.3%)… OKLAHOMA ST -23.5 - (88.5%)… UTEP +17 - (88.5%)… TENNESSEE -8.5 - (87.9%)… PENN ST -10 - (87.1%)… N ILLINOIS -14.5 - (86.7%)… DUKE +11.5 - (85.3%)… BYU -27 - (84.8%)… The lone losing selection in the Report: SYRACUSE -4 - (83.3%).
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*** DETROIT @ MEMPHIS (-7, O/U 194) ***
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It’s not often a victory in the first month of the season can have the potential to propel a team to greater success the rest of the way. The Memphis Grizzlies, however, hope that’s the case as they look to build off their latest win while trying to avoid a sixth consecutive home loss to the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday night. Rudy Gay hit a fadeaway jumper over LeBron James at the buzzer to help Memphis snap a five-game skid with a 97-95 home win Saturday over a Miami Heat team without an injured Dwyane Wade.
Zach Randolph had 21 points with 13 rebounds Mike Conley added 16 points and Gay 15 with eight rebounds as Memphis put forth the kind of spirited effort coach Lionel Hollins had hoped would be a regular occurrence for his team this season. “This was the most unified we’ve been,” Hollins said. “That’s how you win tough, close games, everybody rooting for each other, everybody picking each other up.”
Though it was their third win in 11 contests, the Grizzlies hope an emotional victory over a potential championship contender could provide enough of a spark to help the club get out of its early rut. “We put ourselves in the situation where any win can be big for us,” Gay told the Grizzlies’ official website. For the moment, the Grizzlies hope it’s enough to begin a run at home. After going 23-18 at home last season, Memphis is 3-4 at the FedEx Forum. The Grizzlies are 1-8 at home against Detroit since the franchise moved from Vancouver. That victory came Dec. 11, 2004.
The Pistons however, fell to 2-6 on the road after an 88-84 loss at Dallas on Tuesday. Gay averages a team-leading 21.9 points on the season, but 15.8 in four home games versus Detroit. Randolph, averaging 18.6 points and 12.6 boards since missing four games with a back injury, had 24 with 13 rebounds in a 99-93 win at Detroit in the teams’ most recent contest Jan. 27.
Richard Hamilton has averaged 19.8 points on 50.3-percent shooting in nine games at Memphis, but 9.3 while shooting 32.9 percent on the road this season. He was held to five points on 1-of-7 shooting at Dallas. Tayshaun Prince and Rodney Stuckey each had 19 points, but Detroit shot 42.5 percent and was held to fewer than 90 points for the fourth time this season - three of which have come on the road. Despite an overall poor shooting effort, Detroit led by five after three quarters. “This is a tough loss because we controlled the game pretty much throughout,” Prince said.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 6.5; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis 7.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -5.91
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 14-36 ATS (-25.5 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 95.4, OPPONENT 103.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 12-27 ATS (-17.6 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 90.9, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 26-9 UNDER (+16.4 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 95.4, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 19-4 UNDER (+13.8 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 94.2, OPPONENT 101.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 51-32 against the 1rst half line (+15.7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 50.0, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 5-20 against the 1rst half line (-16.9 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 46.9, OPPONENT 53.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 44-23 UNDER (+18.6 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 48.2, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 29-11 UNDER (+16.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 44.9, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams (DETROIT) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days.
(35-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (37-10 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.8
The average score in these games was: Team 103.1, Opponent 95.3 (Average point differential = +7.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (43.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (57-48).
__________________________________
Stan 'The Man’s 'ROCK~SOLID' roll in Saturday's NCAA College Football Stat/Systems Report had a 'BANNER DAY' with OVER/UNDER Selections cashing Five of Seven Tickets on the card 71.4%!
Winning Tickets Included: DUKE/GEORGIA TECH UNDER 60.5 - (90.3%)... SAN JOSE ST/HAWAII UNDER 59.5 - (82.4%)... MEMPHIS/UAB UNDER 57.5 - (82.4%)... HOUSTON/SOUTHERN MISS OVER 65.5 - (81.0%)... NEW MEXICO/BYU UNDER 53 - (79.5%)... Losing Tickets Included: KENT ST/W MICHIGAN OVER 50.5 - (83.9%)... ARKANSAS ST/NAVY OVER 63 - (82.4%).
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*** SAN ANTONIO (-8, O/U 213.5) @ MINNESOTA ***
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The San Antonio Spurs have lost one game all season and that came nearly a month ago. Their next opponent isn’t likely to slow them down either. The NBA-leading Spurs look to extend their own winning streak to 12 and make it 13 straight wins over the Minnesota Timberwolves when the teams meet at the Target Center on Wednesday night. San Antonio is off to the best start in franchise history, winning 11 in row since losing to New Orleans on Oct. 30. A victory Wednesday would give the Spurs their first 12-game streak since a 13-game run Feb. 13-March 13, 2007.
A potent offense has played a big part in San Antonio’s success. The team ranks second in the league, averaging 107.6 points per game, but has also stepped up its play on the defensive end lately, holding opponents to 93.5 points over the last eight games. Manu Ginobili who leads the team in scoring with 20.4 points per game, knows there is still a lot of work to be done. “It’s too early to tell. What we know we’re winning games that last year we would have lost,” Ginobili said. “But it’s too early. Thirteen games so far. We’ve got a long way to go.”
The Spurs looked like championship contenders in their 106-97 win over Orlando on Monday night as they shot a season-best 63.2 (12 for 19) percent from 3-point range. San Antonio is knocking down 3-pointers at an NBA-best 44.4 percent clip, and has received an extra boost from Matt Bonner who went 4 for 4 from beyond the arc versus the Magic. “We wanted to give the fans their money’s worth,” he said. Bonner missed six games with a sprained ankle but has gone 18 for 26 (69.2 percent) from long distance since his return.
While the Spurs’ offense seems to be clicking on all cylinders, 12-time All Star and two-time MVP Tim Duncan is averaging a career-low 13.8 points in just 28.9 minutes per game. Despite the lack of production, Duncan’s teammates aren’t concerned. “Timmy’s taking a little bit of the back seat so we can save him for the playoffs,” said Tony Parker who is averaging a career-best 7.8 assists. Parker matched a season high with 24 points and distributed 10 assists Monday and is likely looking forward to the trip to Minnesota, where he recorded a career-high 55 points Nov. 5, 2008.
The Timberwolves will be looking for their first win over the Spurs since Jan. 3, 2007, and have lost the last three meetings by at least 18 points. San Antonio could be in line for a big offensive night with the Timberwolves ranking second-to-last in field-goal percentage (42.2) and last in scoring defense (110.4). Minnesota lost for the fourth time in five games Monday, falling to Oklahoma City 117-107 despite strong performances from Kevin Love and Darko Milicic.
Love, averaging an league-best 14.0 rebounds, had 24 points and 17 boards while Milicic, the forgotten second-overall pick from the 2003 draft, scored 21. Milicic, now on his fifth team in eight years, is averaging 5.7 points over his career, but with back-to-back 20-point efforts, may have found a home in Minnesota. “He’s making great shots. He’s getting himself integrated into the offense really well,” said Love. “Blocking a ton of shots, getting rebounds. We’re happy for him.”
Love, limited to 10.8 points per game against the Spurs over his career, remains confident despite his team’s poor record. “We just need to execute down the stretch a little bit better, and be put in those situations and eventually we’ll grow up and we’ll learn from them,” he said.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 10.5; O/U 208
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -12.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -7.36
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 11/24 cont.
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 11-34 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 94.8, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.9, OPPONENT 106.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 96.1, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 23-5 UNDER (+17.4 Units) in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.9, OPPONENT 104.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 22-6 UNDER (+15.3 Units) in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 98.5, OPPONENT 90.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 15-38 against the 1rst half line (-26.7 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 47.4, OPPONENT 56.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 34-16 against the 1rst half line (+16.3 Units) versus pathetic teams - shooting <=43% with a defense of >=46% since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 49.9, OPPONENT 42.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 23-5 UNDER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 48.3, OPPONENT 45.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 20-4 UNDER (+15.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 47.6, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (MINNESOTA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 9 or more consecutive wins.
(25-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.9, Opponent 49.4 (Average first half point differential = +1.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (47-27).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (SAN ANTONIO) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots.
(35-12 since 1996.) (74.5%, +21.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 109.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 58.1, Opponent 56.5 (Total first half points scored = 114.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-9).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games.
(55-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.5%, +29.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 215.6
The average score in these games was: Team 107.7, Opponent 100.2 (Total points scored = 207.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 45 (58.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (39-22).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (69-42).
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NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
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*** DALLAS @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-4, O/U 199) ***
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Dirk Nowitzki has simply dominated the Oklahoma City Thunder since the franchise moved from the Pacific Northwest. Kevin Durant hasn’t fared as well in those matchups. Durant and the Thunder are riding a five-game win streak as they try to slow down Nowitzki on Wednesday night when they host the Mavericks. Oklahoma City and Dallas have nearly identical records, and scorers who excel in using their length to their advantage in the 6-foot-9 Durant and 7-foot Nowitzki.
The Mavericks forward is averaging 33.7 points on 53.2 percent shooting along with an average of 8.6 rebounds in seven meetings since the Thunder moved from Seattle before the 2008-09 season. Durant has played in six of those games, missing one victory for Oklahoma City. He’s averaging 19.7 points on 35.0 percent shooting as the Thunder have gone 2-4 in the other six. It may be hard to determine how much energy both players will have Wednesday.
Nowitzki had a season-high 42 points and 12 rebounds in an 88-84 home victory over Detroit on Tuesday. He scored 25 points after halftime as the Mavericks trailed by as many as 12 points in the second half. “It was winning time and the big German was hot,” teammate Jason Terry said. “He was tremendous. It never ceases to amaze me the way he’s able to fill it up.”
Durant missed two games with a left ankle sprain before he returned in a 117-107 victory over Minnesota on Monday. He scored 28 points, matching his season average. “I was definitely winded early,” Durant said. “But the ankle felt good. I was able to move around better.” In addition, Jeff Green sat out the past four games with a left ankle sprain, but he returned with an impressive night, making the go-ahead 3-pointer with 54.7 seconds left. Green scored a season-high 24 points.
“It was my first complete game in two weeks, but I know my limits,” Green said. “Eventually my second wind came around.” Russell Westbrook averaged 23.0 points in the four games Green missed, including 24.5 in the two Durant also sat out. Westbrook had 20 points and a season-high 14 assists Monday, and Coach Scott Brooks knows that having two injured starters back makes it easier for everyone.
“They are fine,” Brooks said. “You want those guys back when they are ready and as a coach you want your players healthy. We’re glad we’re in a position to have everyone back tonight. Obviously, Kevin and Jeff are a big part of what we do.” The 22-year-old Westbrook may be expected to have a decided advantage in his point guard duel with the 37-year-old Jason Kidd but the two matched up fairly evenly last season. Westbrook averaged 17.0 points and 6.3 assists against Dallas in 2009-10, while Kidd averaged 13.3 points on 55.6 percent shooting to go with 7.8 assists per game.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 1.5; O/U 183
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -1.29
_________________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 100.8, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-14 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 101.4, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-13 OVER (+17.5 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 101.0, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-12 OVER (+16.6 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.2, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 74-41 UNDER (+28.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 99.1, OPPONENT 95.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-36 against the 1rst half line (+18.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.0, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-24 against the 1rst half line (+16.5 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 50.6, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-16 OVER (+17.2 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.2, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 58-37 OVER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 53.2, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (DALLAS) - playing with 3 or more days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(26-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.8%, +18.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.8, Opponent 45.8 (Total first half points scored = 92.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (55-28).
--PLAY ON - Home teams (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(30-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-8 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 104.8, Opponent 96.1 (Average point differential = +8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (40% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (61-42).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(42-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +23.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.9, Opponent 46.4 (Average first half point differential = +6.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (33-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (76-51).
__________________________________
Most sports bettors are not aware that the College Basketball and NBA season is a very profitable time of the year. Stan 'The Man' has made more money for his clients during the basketball season than most Sports Services do, during the entire football, and baseball seasons combined!
If you are serious about making money all season long, I strongly suggest you purchase one of my Basketball Packages! Last season, a $100/game bettor made $6,790. A $500/game bettor made $33,950! "Don't try to do it on your own again this season. We both know how that turns out, so let our NBA and CBB Expert, Stan Szumera handle all of your basketball betting needs this season, and let him make you money week after week!"
__________________________________________________
*** GOLDEN STATE @ HOUSTON (-5, O/U 216.5) ***
--------------------------------------------------------------
The Golden State Warriors’ best start in 16 years is long gone. A matchup with the struggling Houston Rockets could help them start to regain their early season success. Opening a three-game road trip Wednesday, the Warriors try to avoid a fifth straight loss in Houston while handing the Rockets their second five-game slide of the season. Golden State has lost three in a row and five of six since its 6-2 start.
“The only thing we can do now is stay focused and stay together,” Monta Ellis said following Monday’s 106-89 home loss to Denver. Ellis and the Warriors did just that in a 132-128 win over visiting Houston on Oct. 27. The star guard hit 18 of 24 shots and matched a career high with 46 points as Golden State opened its season with a victory for the first time in five years. The Warriors also snapped a nine-game skid to Houston in Keith Smart’s coaching debut.
Golden State posted what remain season highs in points and field goal percentage (55.4) in that victory, but it has struggled on the offensive end lately. After shooting 35.2 percent in a 117-89 road loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday, the Warriors shot 40.2 percent Monday. The team’s top two scorers, Ellis, among the leaders with 25.5 points per game, and Stephen Curry(notes) shot a combined 15 for 43. “We were missing layups, the ball was going in and out,” said Ellis, 9 of 32 in the last two games.
Golden State, which has lost three straight on the road by an average of 21.6 points, could fare better against a Rockets team that is among the worst defensively in the NBA, allowing 108.4 per game. Houston is yielding an average of 115.0 in its last three. “We have to find a way to keep our heads up,” point guard Kyle Lowry said after Monday’s 123-116 loss to Phoenix. “We are 3-10, but we are not a 3-10 team. We are way better than that.”
The Rockets, off to their worst start since opening 3-11 in 2005-06, have been plagued by injuries and likely won’t welcome back Yao Ming (ankle) or Aaron Brooks (ankle) until early next month. Those key losses have forced coach Rick Adelman to rely more on his bench. Led by Jordan Hill’s first career double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds, a season-high 16 points from Courtney Lee and 12 from Brad Miller, the Rockets’ substitutes scored 50 points Monday.
“We’ve got to build something throughout the year,” Adelman told the Rockets’ official website. “Our young guys have to start getting better and the only way they’re going to do that is if we play them.” Smart also is looking for bench production from Rodney Carney and Reggie Williams with Brendan Wright (back) and David Lee (elbow) unlikely to play during the Warriors’ trip. The Warriors have lost four in a row in Houston, the last three by an average of 19.3 points.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 3.5; O/U 218
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Houston -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -5.49
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games off an upset loss as a home favorite since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 93.3, OPPONENT 92.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 5-18 ATS (-14.7 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 102.6, OPPONENT 109.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 113.5, OPPONENT 114.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 34-16 ATS (+16.2 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 109.2, OPPONENT 114.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 37-19 UNDER (+15.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 97.9, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 34-15 UNDER (+17.4 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 102.9, OPPONENT 112.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 52-31 against the 1rst half line (+17.8 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 50.6, OPPONENT 48.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 18-3 against the 1rst half line (+14.6 Units) in road games after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 54.8, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 37-18 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.6, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 33-16 OVER (+15.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 55.9, OPPONENT 58.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(44-10 since 1996.) (81.5%, +33 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 214.8
The average score in these games was: Team 103.5, Opponent 102.6 (Total points scored = 206.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (61.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (33-10).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=46% on the season against opponent after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent.
(30-9 since 1996.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (13-27)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.6
The average score in these games was: Team 100.2, Opponent 102.9 (Average point differential = -2.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 13 (33.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (HOUSTON) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(55-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.4%, +31.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.6, Opponent 50.4 (Total first half points scored = 102)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (33-16).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (79-47).
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 11-34 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 94.8, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.9, OPPONENT 106.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 96.1, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 23-5 UNDER (+17.4 Units) in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.9, OPPONENT 104.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 22-6 UNDER (+15.3 Units) in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 98.5, OPPONENT 90.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 15-38 against the 1rst half line (-26.7 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 47.4, OPPONENT 56.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 34-16 against the 1rst half line (+16.3 Units) versus pathetic teams - shooting <=43% with a defense of >=46% since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 49.9, OPPONENT 42.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 23-5 UNDER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 48.3, OPPONENT 45.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 20-4 UNDER (+15.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 47.6, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (MINNESOTA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 9 or more consecutive wins.
(25-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.9, Opponent 49.4 (Average first half point differential = +1.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (47-27).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (SAN ANTONIO) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots.
(35-12 since 1996.) (74.5%, +21.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 109.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 58.1, Opponent 56.5 (Total first half points scored = 114.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-9).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games.
(55-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.5%, +29.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 215.6
The average score in these games was: Team 107.7, Opponent 100.2 (Total points scored = 207.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 45 (58.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (39-22).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (69-42).
__________________________________
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_____________________________________________
*** DALLAS @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-4, O/U 199) ***
-------------------------------------------------------------
Dirk Nowitzki has simply dominated the Oklahoma City Thunder since the franchise moved from the Pacific Northwest. Kevin Durant hasn’t fared as well in those matchups. Durant and the Thunder are riding a five-game win streak as they try to slow down Nowitzki on Wednesday night when they host the Mavericks. Oklahoma City and Dallas have nearly identical records, and scorers who excel in using their length to their advantage in the 6-foot-9 Durant and 7-foot Nowitzki.
The Mavericks forward is averaging 33.7 points on 53.2 percent shooting along with an average of 8.6 rebounds in seven meetings since the Thunder moved from Seattle before the 2008-09 season. Durant has played in six of those games, missing one victory for Oklahoma City. He’s averaging 19.7 points on 35.0 percent shooting as the Thunder have gone 2-4 in the other six. It may be hard to determine how much energy both players will have Wednesday.
Nowitzki had a season-high 42 points and 12 rebounds in an 88-84 home victory over Detroit on Tuesday. He scored 25 points after halftime as the Mavericks trailed by as many as 12 points in the second half. “It was winning time and the big German was hot,” teammate Jason Terry said. “He was tremendous. It never ceases to amaze me the way he’s able to fill it up.”
Durant missed two games with a left ankle sprain before he returned in a 117-107 victory over Minnesota on Monday. He scored 28 points, matching his season average. “I was definitely winded early,” Durant said. “But the ankle felt good. I was able to move around better.” In addition, Jeff Green sat out the past four games with a left ankle sprain, but he returned with an impressive night, making the go-ahead 3-pointer with 54.7 seconds left. Green scored a season-high 24 points.
“It was my first complete game in two weeks, but I know my limits,” Green said. “Eventually my second wind came around.” Russell Westbrook averaged 23.0 points in the four games Green missed, including 24.5 in the two Durant also sat out. Westbrook had 20 points and a season-high 14 assists Monday, and Coach Scott Brooks knows that having two injured starters back makes it easier for everyone.
“They are fine,” Brooks said. “You want those guys back when they are ready and as a coach you want your players healthy. We’re glad we’re in a position to have everyone back tonight. Obviously, Kevin and Jeff are a big part of what we do.” The 22-year-old Westbrook may be expected to have a decided advantage in his point guard duel with the 37-year-old Jason Kidd but the two matched up fairly evenly last season. Westbrook averaged 17.0 points and 6.3 assists against Dallas in 2009-10, while Kidd averaged 13.3 points on 55.6 percent shooting to go with 7.8 assists per game.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 1.5; O/U 183
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -1.29
_________________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 100.8, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-14 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 101.4, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-13 OVER (+17.5 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 101.0, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-12 OVER (+16.6 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.2, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 74-41 UNDER (+28.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 99.1, OPPONENT 95.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-36 against the 1rst half line (+18.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.0, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-24 against the 1rst half line (+16.5 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 50.6, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-16 OVER (+17.2 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.2, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 58-37 OVER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 53.2, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (DALLAS) - playing with 3 or more days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(26-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.8%, +18.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.8, Opponent 45.8 (Total first half points scored = 92.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (55-28).
--PLAY ON - Home teams (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(30-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-8 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 104.8, Opponent 96.1 (Average point differential = +8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (40% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (61-42).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(42-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +23.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.9, Opponent 46.4 (Average first half point differential = +6.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (33-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (76-51).
__________________________________
Most sports bettors are not aware that the College Basketball and NBA season is a very profitable time of the year. Stan 'The Man' has made more money for his clients during the basketball season than most Sports Services do, during the entire football, and baseball seasons combined!
If you are serious about making money all season long, I strongly suggest you purchase one of my Basketball Packages! Last season, a $100/game bettor made $6,790. A $500/game bettor made $33,950! "Don't try to do it on your own again this season. We both know how that turns out, so let our NBA and CBB Expert, Stan Szumera handle all of your basketball betting needs this season, and let him make you money week after week!"
__________________________________________________
*** GOLDEN STATE @ HOUSTON (-5, O/U 216.5) ***
--------------------------------------------------------------
The Golden State Warriors’ best start in 16 years is long gone. A matchup with the struggling Houston Rockets could help them start to regain their early season success. Opening a three-game road trip Wednesday, the Warriors try to avoid a fifth straight loss in Houston while handing the Rockets their second five-game slide of the season. Golden State has lost three in a row and five of six since its 6-2 start.
“The only thing we can do now is stay focused and stay together,” Monta Ellis said following Monday’s 106-89 home loss to Denver. Ellis and the Warriors did just that in a 132-128 win over visiting Houston on Oct. 27. The star guard hit 18 of 24 shots and matched a career high with 46 points as Golden State opened its season with a victory for the first time in five years. The Warriors also snapped a nine-game skid to Houston in Keith Smart’s coaching debut.
Golden State posted what remain season highs in points and field goal percentage (55.4) in that victory, but it has struggled on the offensive end lately. After shooting 35.2 percent in a 117-89 road loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday, the Warriors shot 40.2 percent Monday. The team’s top two scorers, Ellis, among the leaders with 25.5 points per game, and Stephen Curry(notes) shot a combined 15 for 43. “We were missing layups, the ball was going in and out,” said Ellis, 9 of 32 in the last two games.
Golden State, which has lost three straight on the road by an average of 21.6 points, could fare better against a Rockets team that is among the worst defensively in the NBA, allowing 108.4 per game. Houston is yielding an average of 115.0 in its last three. “We have to find a way to keep our heads up,” point guard Kyle Lowry said after Monday’s 123-116 loss to Phoenix. “We are 3-10, but we are not a 3-10 team. We are way better than that.”
The Rockets, off to their worst start since opening 3-11 in 2005-06, have been plagued by injuries and likely won’t welcome back Yao Ming (ankle) or Aaron Brooks (ankle) until early next month. Those key losses have forced coach Rick Adelman to rely more on his bench. Led by Jordan Hill’s first career double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds, a season-high 16 points from Courtney Lee and 12 from Brad Miller, the Rockets’ substitutes scored 50 points Monday.
“We’ve got to build something throughout the year,” Adelman told the Rockets’ official website. “Our young guys have to start getting better and the only way they’re going to do that is if we play them.” Smart also is looking for bench production from Rodney Carney and Reggie Williams with Brendan Wright (back) and David Lee (elbow) unlikely to play during the Warriors’ trip. The Warriors have lost four in a row in Houston, the last three by an average of 19.3 points.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 3.5; O/U 218
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Houston -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -5.49
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games off an upset loss as a home favorite since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 93.3, OPPONENT 92.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 5-18 ATS (-14.7 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 102.6, OPPONENT 109.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 113.5, OPPONENT 114.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 34-16 ATS (+16.2 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 109.2, OPPONENT 114.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 37-19 UNDER (+15.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 97.9, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 34-15 UNDER (+17.4 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 102.9, OPPONENT 112.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 52-31 against the 1rst half line (+17.8 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 50.6, OPPONENT 48.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 18-3 against the 1rst half line (+14.6 Units) in road games after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 54.8, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 37-18 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.6, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 33-16 OVER (+15.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 55.9, OPPONENT 58.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(44-10 since 1996.) (81.5%, +33 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 214.8
The average score in these games was: Team 103.5, Opponent 102.6 (Total points scored = 206.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (61.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (33-10).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=46% on the season against opponent after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent.
(30-9 since 1996.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (13-27)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.6
The average score in these games was: Team 100.2, Opponent 102.9 (Average point differential = -2.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 13 (33.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (HOUSTON) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(55-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.4%, +31.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.6, Opponent 50.4 (Total first half points scored = 102)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (33-16).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (79-47).
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 11/24 cont.
*** CHICAGO @ PHOENIX (-3, O/U 211) ***
-----------------------------------------------------
Steve Nash believes he is showing no lingering effects from a groin injury that caused him to miss two games for the Phoenix Suns. He will likely need to be at full strength if he wants to try to slow down Derrick Rose. Rose has guided the Chicago Bulls to consecutive wins in Phoenix for the first time in 21 years, and they’ll try to make it three in a row at the US Airways Center on Wednesday night.
Nash returned Monday, and helped Phoenix end a season-high three-game skid with a 123-116 victory at Houston. He had 24 points and nine assists, and said he felt fine physically. “I had it in my mind that I wanted to play, so I was working every day to try to get ready,” Nash said. “I felt like I made strides. I went through the day, trying to play, I got here, went through my routine and I was ready.”
The two-time league MVP will have to be ready Wednesday since Rose has been the catalyst in Chicago’s two straight wins at Phoenix. The Suns had won nine of their previous 10 home games against the Bulls before Rose averaged 29.0 points on 67.5 percent shooting in the last two visits. Nash averaged 11.5 points on 42.3 percent shooting and 8.5 assists in the losses for Phoenix, marking the first time the Suns had lost two in a row at home to the Bulls since dropping three straight from Feb. 4, 1988-Nov. 22, 1989.
The Suns have won three straight at home this season, with Nash averaging 22.7 points and 10.0 assists in that run. Phoenix is glad to have him back. “He is the engine that drives the car,” coach Alvin Gentry said. “He comes out and makes the plays and knocks down the big shots.” In Nash’s absence, Grant Hill led Phoenix in scoring in both games with 21 and a season-high 23 points.
Hill had 17 points, seven assists and seven rebounds Monday, and is shooting 60.5 percent over his last three games. “I’m feeling really good and we are finding ourself as a team in trying to establish our identity,” Hill said. “I’m scoring and defending and being productive when I am on the court.” Phoenix ranks last in the NBA in opponents’ field-goal percentage at 48.9, and is allowing 109.5 points per game for the second-worst mark in the league.
The Suns will be up against a Chicago team that has been a one-man show on this road trip with Rose scoring at least 30 points in three of the first four games. He had 30 and eight assists in Tuesday’s 98-91 loss to the Lakers, although the All-Star guard missed all four shots in the fourth quarter when Chicago was outscored 24-18. “They put a lot of pressure on us,” coach Tom Thibodeau said. “The Lakers are a heck of a defensive team. You’ve got to make quick decisions against them, (and) I thought we settled too much for jumpers.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Phoenix by 3; O/U 207.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Chicago -0.87
___________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 46-25 ATS (+18.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 109.3, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 111.2, OPPONENT 103.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 29-12 OVER (+15.5 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 111.2, OPPONENT 106.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 39-20 UNDER (+17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 101.0, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 36-57 against the 1rst half line (-26.6 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 53.9, OPPONENT 53.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHICAGO is 1-11 against the 1rst half line (-11.0 Units) vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 49.7, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 49-28 UNDER (+18.2 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 25 or more fouls since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 50.2, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 28-10 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 49.0, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games.
(51-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.8%, +27.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 104.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52, Opponent 50.1 (Total first half points scored = 102.2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-43).
__________________________________
As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
______________________
*** NEW ORLEANS @ UTAH (-4, O/U 192.5) ***
--------------------------------------------------------
The New Orleans Hornets were upset in their last game by an opponent that came in with one victory, but Chris Paul may have seen it coming. The Hornets look to get back on track and snap a three-game losing streak against the Utah Jazz on Wednesday night, with Paul facing Deron Williams in a matchup of star point guards. New Orleans entered Monday’s game against the Los Angeles Clippers tied for the NBA’s best record, but the visiting Hornets trailed entering the fourth quarter for the first time this season and fell 99-95.
While the Hornets had won three in a row, those victories came by a combined 13 points, and they managed only 75 points against lowly Sacramento on Sunday. “For the past three or four games, we’ve just been getting by,” Paul said after a 14-point, six-assist performance versus the Clippers. “They say winning cures all. But hopefully, with this loss, we’ll get back to paying attention to what we’ve got to do as a unit defensively.” The loss overshadowed another big game from David West who scored 30 points. The forward, averaging 18.8 points scored a season-high 34 against Cleveland on Friday.
The Hornets lost their last three meetings with the Jazz last season, but Paul missed all of the defeats due to injury. Williams averaged 19.3 points and 12.0 assists in the four-game season series as the Jazz moved to 15-4 in their last 19 against New Orleans. Williams scored a season-low 12 points in each of Utah’s last two games, going 7 for 27 from the field. Utah, though, won both contests, giving it three victories in its last four.
The reserves allowed the Jazz to overcome the off nights from their star guard. Swingman C.J. Miles scored a season-high 25 points and went 7 of 10 from 3-point range in a 103-94 win at Portland on Saturday, then had 20 points in a 94-83 victory over Sacramento on Monday. Miles is averaging 11.7 points on the season. While the Jazz’s bench is averaging 23.5 points, among the lowest in the NBA, Utah’s backups have scored 35.5 a game in the last two.
“They have been instrumental in a lot of our wins,” Williams said. “They have come together. They know what their objective is - to get after people defensively, execute, to get out and run - and they do it.” The Jazz are 4-3 at home, matching last season’s seven-game start at EnergySolutions Arena. They went 32-9 in Salt Lake City in 2009-10. Utah has won seven of eight home meetings with New Orleans.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 2.5; O/U 195
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -1.64
_________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--UTAH is 40-19 ATS (+18.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 103.4, OPPONENT 99.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 38-59 ATS (-26.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 98.0, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 37-57 ATS (-25.5 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 98.3, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 29-11 OVER (+16.7 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 103.8, OPPONENT 104.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-18 UNDER (+20.2 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.1, OPPONENT 95.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 23-38 against the 1rst half line (-18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 49.4, OPPONENT 50.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 33-58 against the 1rst half line (-30.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.2, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 26-9 OVER (+16.3 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 55.9, OPPONENT 52.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 59.2, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days.
(88-51 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.3%, +31.9 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.2, Opponent 47.1 (Total first half points scored = 95.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (47-33).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (210-156).
*** CHICAGO @ PHOENIX (-3, O/U 211) ***
-----------------------------------------------------
Steve Nash believes he is showing no lingering effects from a groin injury that caused him to miss two games for the Phoenix Suns. He will likely need to be at full strength if he wants to try to slow down Derrick Rose. Rose has guided the Chicago Bulls to consecutive wins in Phoenix for the first time in 21 years, and they’ll try to make it three in a row at the US Airways Center on Wednesday night.
Nash returned Monday, and helped Phoenix end a season-high three-game skid with a 123-116 victory at Houston. He had 24 points and nine assists, and said he felt fine physically. “I had it in my mind that I wanted to play, so I was working every day to try to get ready,” Nash said. “I felt like I made strides. I went through the day, trying to play, I got here, went through my routine and I was ready.”
The two-time league MVP will have to be ready Wednesday since Rose has been the catalyst in Chicago’s two straight wins at Phoenix. The Suns had won nine of their previous 10 home games against the Bulls before Rose averaged 29.0 points on 67.5 percent shooting in the last two visits. Nash averaged 11.5 points on 42.3 percent shooting and 8.5 assists in the losses for Phoenix, marking the first time the Suns had lost two in a row at home to the Bulls since dropping three straight from Feb. 4, 1988-Nov. 22, 1989.
The Suns have won three straight at home this season, with Nash averaging 22.7 points and 10.0 assists in that run. Phoenix is glad to have him back. “He is the engine that drives the car,” coach Alvin Gentry said. “He comes out and makes the plays and knocks down the big shots.” In Nash’s absence, Grant Hill led Phoenix in scoring in both games with 21 and a season-high 23 points.
Hill had 17 points, seven assists and seven rebounds Monday, and is shooting 60.5 percent over his last three games. “I’m feeling really good and we are finding ourself as a team in trying to establish our identity,” Hill said. “I’m scoring and defending and being productive when I am on the court.” Phoenix ranks last in the NBA in opponents’ field-goal percentage at 48.9, and is allowing 109.5 points per game for the second-worst mark in the league.
The Suns will be up against a Chicago team that has been a one-man show on this road trip with Rose scoring at least 30 points in three of the first four games. He had 30 and eight assists in Tuesday’s 98-91 loss to the Lakers, although the All-Star guard missed all four shots in the fourth quarter when Chicago was outscored 24-18. “They put a lot of pressure on us,” coach Tom Thibodeau said. “The Lakers are a heck of a defensive team. You’ve got to make quick decisions against them, (and) I thought we settled too much for jumpers.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Phoenix by 3; O/U 207.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Chicago -0.87
___________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 46-25 ATS (+18.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 109.3, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 111.2, OPPONENT 103.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 29-12 OVER (+15.5 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 111.2, OPPONENT 106.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 39-20 UNDER (+17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 101.0, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 36-57 against the 1rst half line (-26.6 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 53.9, OPPONENT 53.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHICAGO is 1-11 against the 1rst half line (-11.0 Units) vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 49.7, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 49-28 UNDER (+18.2 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 25 or more fouls since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 50.2, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 28-10 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 49.0, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games.
(51-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.8%, +27.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 104.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52, Opponent 50.1 (Total first half points scored = 102.2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-43).
__________________________________
As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
______________________
*** NEW ORLEANS @ UTAH (-4, O/U 192.5) ***
--------------------------------------------------------
The New Orleans Hornets were upset in their last game by an opponent that came in with one victory, but Chris Paul may have seen it coming. The Hornets look to get back on track and snap a three-game losing streak against the Utah Jazz on Wednesday night, with Paul facing Deron Williams in a matchup of star point guards. New Orleans entered Monday’s game against the Los Angeles Clippers tied for the NBA’s best record, but the visiting Hornets trailed entering the fourth quarter for the first time this season and fell 99-95.
While the Hornets had won three in a row, those victories came by a combined 13 points, and they managed only 75 points against lowly Sacramento on Sunday. “For the past three or four games, we’ve just been getting by,” Paul said after a 14-point, six-assist performance versus the Clippers. “They say winning cures all. But hopefully, with this loss, we’ll get back to paying attention to what we’ve got to do as a unit defensively.” The loss overshadowed another big game from David West who scored 30 points. The forward, averaging 18.8 points scored a season-high 34 against Cleveland on Friday.
The Hornets lost their last three meetings with the Jazz last season, but Paul missed all of the defeats due to injury. Williams averaged 19.3 points and 12.0 assists in the four-game season series as the Jazz moved to 15-4 in their last 19 against New Orleans. Williams scored a season-low 12 points in each of Utah’s last two games, going 7 for 27 from the field. Utah, though, won both contests, giving it three victories in its last four.
The reserves allowed the Jazz to overcome the off nights from their star guard. Swingman C.J. Miles scored a season-high 25 points and went 7 of 10 from 3-point range in a 103-94 win at Portland on Saturday, then had 20 points in a 94-83 victory over Sacramento on Monday. Miles is averaging 11.7 points on the season. While the Jazz’s bench is averaging 23.5 points, among the lowest in the NBA, Utah’s backups have scored 35.5 a game in the last two.
“They have been instrumental in a lot of our wins,” Williams said. “They have come together. They know what their objective is - to get after people defensively, execute, to get out and run - and they do it.” The Jazz are 4-3 at home, matching last season’s seven-game start at EnergySolutions Arena. They went 32-9 in Salt Lake City in 2009-10. Utah has won seven of eight home meetings with New Orleans.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 2.5; O/U 195
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -1.64
_________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--UTAH is 40-19 ATS (+18.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 103.4, OPPONENT 99.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 38-59 ATS (-26.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 98.0, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 37-57 ATS (-25.5 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 98.3, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 29-11 OVER (+16.7 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 103.8, OPPONENT 104.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-18 UNDER (+20.2 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.1, OPPONENT 95.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 23-38 against the 1rst half line (-18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 49.4, OPPONENT 50.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 33-58 against the 1rst half line (-30.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.2, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 26-9 OVER (+16.3 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 55.9, OPPONENT 52.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 59.2, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days.
(88-51 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.3%, +31.9 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.2, Opponent 47.1 (Total first half points scored = 95.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (47-33).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (210-156).
