hno:MTI:
New York +7 over INDIANA - One way to make money betting NBA games is to simply find spots in which the linesmakers have over-reacted to recent results. The Pacers have won and covered five straight while the Knicks have started the season 1-9 - the worst over the first ten games in franchise history. The Pacers' five game winning streak started when they beat the Knicks 101-89 getting five points in New York. The Knicks were up 56-50 at the half, but fell apart thereafter.
This is quite a line change. It is rare that a team is a five-point road dog and then a seven point home favorite to the same team over a two-week span. We'll grab the line value.
The Knicks are a perfect 8-0 ATS (+10.3 ppg) on the road when seeking revenge for a same-season loss as a favorite in which they led at the half.
In their last game, New York lost 121-107 at home to the Warriors. Golden St shot a sizzling 58.3% from the field. The Knicks have had four days off two regroup after this embarrassing performance. We expect they'll perform better here. New York is 9-0 ATS (+10.8 ppg) as a dog after a double-digit loss in which they allowed a shooting percentage at least 10 percentage points higher than their season-to-date average. There has been one active date this season and it is the Knicks' only win - a 117-111 win over the Hornets getting 3 points.
The Pacers won their fifth straight last night in New Jersey. Indiana shot only 39.2% from the field, but the Nets kept sending them to the line, where they made 25-of-31. The Pacers are 0-7 ATS when they are off a win by more than five points in which they scored at least 25% of their points from the free throw line. Also, Indiana is 0-6 ATS (-8.2 ppg) as a favorite after a road win in which their DPS was negative (scored fewer points than projected).
The player-based trends reveal that the Knicks are 10-0 ATS (+10.9 ppg) after losing the previous matchup at home in which Jared Jeffries scored fewer than 10 points and 9-0 ATS (+7.7 ppg) after losing the previous matchup at home in which David Lee had a double-double.
The Pacers are a good team, but this is the most points they have been laying all season. The Knicks are not as bad as their 1-9 record indicates and the 4-0 rest combination is exactly what the Knicks need. Grab the points.
MTi's FORECAST: INDIANA 98 New York 96
New York +7 over INDIANA - One way to make money betting NBA games is to simply find spots in which the linesmakers have over-reacted to recent results. The Pacers have won and covered five straight while the Knicks have started the season 1-9 - the worst over the first ten games in franchise history. The Pacers' five game winning streak started when they beat the Knicks 101-89 getting five points in New York. The Knicks were up 56-50 at the half, but fell apart thereafter.
This is quite a line change. It is rare that a team is a five-point road dog and then a seven point home favorite to the same team over a two-week span. We'll grab the line value.
The Knicks are a perfect 8-0 ATS (+10.3 ppg) on the road when seeking revenge for a same-season loss as a favorite in which they led at the half.
In their last game, New York lost 121-107 at home to the Warriors. Golden St shot a sizzling 58.3% from the field. The Knicks have had four days off two regroup after this embarrassing performance. We expect they'll perform better here. New York is 9-0 ATS (+10.8 ppg) as a dog after a double-digit loss in which they allowed a shooting percentage at least 10 percentage points higher than their season-to-date average. There has been one active date this season and it is the Knicks' only win - a 117-111 win over the Hornets getting 3 points.
The Pacers won their fifth straight last night in New Jersey. Indiana shot only 39.2% from the field, but the Nets kept sending them to the line, where they made 25-of-31. The Pacers are 0-7 ATS when they are off a win by more than five points in which they scored at least 25% of their points from the free throw line. Also, Indiana is 0-6 ATS (-8.2 ppg) as a favorite after a road win in which their DPS was negative (scored fewer points than projected).
The player-based trends reveal that the Knicks are 10-0 ATS (+10.9 ppg) after losing the previous matchup at home in which Jared Jeffries scored fewer than 10 points and 9-0 ATS (+7.7 ppg) after losing the previous matchup at home in which David Lee had a double-double.
The Pacers are a good team, but this is the most points they have been laying all season. The Knicks are not as bad as their 1-9 record indicates and the 4-0 rest combination is exactly what the Knicks need. Grab the points.
MTi's FORECAST: INDIANA 98 New York 96
