Service Plays Wednesday 11/17/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

401ksports

Wed Plays
NCAAF -
3* MIAMI(OH) -10(even) over Akron (6pm ET)

The zips are 0-10 and they are dead last in total offense. They have only scored 20+ points in three games this season. Those three games are the only games where they have totaled over 300+ yards of offense. They are also #107 versus the pass and #113 in total defense. The Redskins are 6-4 on the year and their four losses are against some pretty good competition losing to Florida, Missouri, Cincinnati and Ohio. They are ranked #40 on defense and they are in the top 40 in passing offense. The only negative is that this is their fifth road game in the last six weeks, but the Zips are a very limited team on offense so Miami should have no problem here tonight. Also Miami still has a shot to win the MAC title with a little help. Lets back them here tonight. Miami 27 Akron 10!!


NBA:
2* Washington +13.5 over the Celtics(7:30 pm) - The Celtics have been off since Saturday. If I can use last year as a guide, this was the type of situation where Doc Rivers took his foot off the pedal and let the boys rest up. They will do just enough to win(or maybe not they did have some horrific home losses last year) but covering double digits will be tough. Delonte West will be back from suspension tonight, so look for him to get some good minutes as he gets back into playing shape. Supposedly there will be no Wall tonight, but I heard he made the flight with the Wizards and why would they do that if he wasn't going to play?

NCAABB:
2* Loyola Marymount +5.5 over Bradley(8:30 pm) - Loyola is going to surprise a lot of teams this year. This is their best team since the run and gun days of Bo Kimble and Hank Geathers. They return most of their team that went 18-16 last year. They also did a barnstorming tour in Europe to get some more experience in. I love when teams play these games before their season actually starts as they tend to be so much more in sync early and surprise people. Bradley is getting this line based on previous reputation and home court alone. Bradley barely squeaked out wins over D2 Tx-kingsville and a not so good N. Ill squad. Their main problem is they lost their All conference Player Brown for the season a couple of weeks ago. LMU just might win this game outright.

NHL
2* St Louis +165 over Detroit
At one point the Red Wings would welcome the Blues into their arena at any time because it usually resulted in a win. However, the Blues no longer dread trips to Detroit's Joe Louis Arena, where they have won three of the last four meetings and earned points in five of the last seven contests against the Red Wings. Halak has hit a small road bump stopping only 52 of the last 64 shots against for a three-game save percentage of .813. Tonight he should be able to get back on track. The Blues have focused on limiting opposing offense opportunities and bringing in a little more power on their own offense. The Blues promoted forward T.J. Hensick from Peoria and assigned forward Nicholas Drazenovic to the same club. The 24-year-old Hensick is Peoria's top scorer with six goals and 15 points in 13 games. Acquired in a June trade with Colorado, Hensick has 11 goals and 35 points in 99 NHL games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Harrison

SLAM DUNK CLUB
3 UNIT* Suns/Heat over 208

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ALATEX

15* MTSU Blue Raiders
10* South Alabama Jaguars

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FAIRWAY JAY

NCAAB
15* Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix

 

[lastguyoffthabench]

chris jordan 200 spurs

 

[vitterd]

Northcoast marquee

Bowlgreen/toledo over

 

[Dr_Baseball]

NBA Guru

Wednesday NBA

2* NYK/Sac OVER 107 FH

FYI - I've been following this guy (NBA Guru). He's a new guy over at bettingtalk. He just does the NBA and is doing very well. Here is his YTD record...

5* 0-0 = 0.0 units
4* 0-0 = 0.0 units
3* 1-0 = +3.0 units
2* 5-0 = +10.0 units
1* 31-23 = +5.7 units
=============
TOTAL: 37-23 = +18.7 units

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SCOTT DELANEY
MAC GAME OF THE YEAR
100 DIME* Miami-OH Redhawks

100 Dime Winner MIAMI-OHIO. The line I am seeing at 3:30 a.m. pacific is currently ranging from -9 1/2 and -10 across the board. I want you to be sure to shop the numbers, as I want you getting the best numbers on this play. Now here's the thing, this is one of those rare occasions I want you buying the hook on a 10-point spread, as the MAC can be wacky sometime. I want you laying only 9 1/2 points in this one if your book is offering a 10.

TODAY'S ANALYSIS
Thank Ohio University for this play right here.
The Bobcats went into Philadelphia and dismantled Temple last night. Like it was nothing.
And by doing so, Miami-Ohio's motivation went up a notch, knowing it will meet the Bobcats next week, quite possibly for the MAC East Division title.
Miami-Ohio might not boast a high-scoring offense - it ranks 103rd in the nation - but it does have the 32nd-best passing game in the nation, and could very well look like Hawaii, the nation's leader, against Akron's 113th-ranked pass defense, and overall worst scoring defense.
Now, there are some who believe Akron has motivation also, that would be to not be the only team in the country to finish win-less this season. Easier said than done, though, as Akron just might be the worst team in the nation overall.
Yes, even worse than New Mexico and UNLV.
No pun intended, but Akron has no zip this year, ranking near the bottom of every major statistical category in Division I FBS football. And at 0-10, the Zips are losing by an average margin of 23.7 points.
Akron is arguably the worst offensive team in the nation, ranking in the bottom 20 in the nation in rushing yards, passing yards, total offense (last) and scoring offense. The Zips have a combined 17 rushing/passing touchdowns.
They came close to earning their first win, but lost in double overtime to Ball State on Nov. 6, 37-30. They've given no less than 30 points their last four times out and in eight of their 10 games this season.
Checking the betting trends, Miami-O is on winning runs of 5-1 against losing teams, 4-1 in conference play, 5-2 on the highway and 16-5 when the visit teams with a losing home record.
On the flip-side, the Zips are on ATS slides of 2-8 against winning teams, 3-13 on turf, 1-5 when catching points in this range at home, 0-6 at home and 0-5 after an ATS cover.
The favorite has also covered five of the last six meetings.
Lay the chalk, and don't forget to buy the half point down under 10 points.​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS BETTING PROFESSOR

Wednesday's NBA Picks:
Los Angeles Lakers -6.5*
Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5
San Antonio Spurs -6.5
Sacramento Kings -3.5​

 

[Dr_Baseball]

FYI - I've been following this guy (NBA Guru). He's a new guy over at bettingtalk. He just does the NBA and is doing very well. Here is his YTD record...

5* 0-0 = 0.0 units
4* 0-0 = 0.0 units
3* 1-0 = +3.0 units
2* 5-0 = +10.0 units
1* 31-23 = +5.7 units
=============
TOTAL: 37-23 = +18.7 units

He actually plays a lot of 1st half plays but his full game results are being tracked at The Sports Monitor too. He's 4th overall there in the NBA in terms of win% (20-7)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FREDDY WILLS

ODDSLINE ERROR
3.85 DIME* Bowling Green+10.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHRIS JORDAN

INTERCONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH
200* SA Spurs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

2 Minute Warning

10 dime SA Spurs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Al DeMarco

5 DIME NBA PICK Minnesota

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Rivers

150,000♦ MAC Bounce Back
Miami (OH)

Bonus NBA Action

50,000♦ Mavericks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The shark

miami o -10
b green over 54.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LENNY DEL GENIO

UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK
10* Columbia Lions +18.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

INDIAN COWBOY
5 UNIT* NBA- Hornets -4.5
5 UNIT* NCAA- Rider +11.5

 

[1drmain]

jeff benton

0-2 saturday 0-2 sunday 0-1 monday (redskins, lol) 0-2 tuesday....hmmmm..0-7 his last seven. i guess his outstanding success for 15 days came quickly to a halt.

WEDNESDAY'S ACTION

15 Dime NBA selection on the PHOENIX SUNS plus the points at Miami. Phoenix opened as an 8½-point road underdog, but that number has since dropped to a consensus of Heat -8. Keep monitoring the line moves here and make sure you get the best of the number.





10 Dime NBA selection on the L.A. LAKERS minus the points at Detroit. Los Angeles opened as a 7 ½-point road favorite and as I release this play, that number is holding steady both here in Vegas and offshore.








SUNS





Absolutely ridiculous pointspread here, guys, as the oddsmakers – no doubt fully aware of the public’s infatuation with LeBron, Wade and the Heat – continue to overvalue this overrated team. Miami is on a five-game no-cover streak, the last four of those contests coming in South Beach. Not only have the Heat failed to cash in their last five games, but they’ve only won two of them (beating lowly New Jersey and Toronto).





In their last three contests, the Heat’s defense has disappeared, allowing 116, 112 and 100 points, this after holding their first seven foes to 96 points or less (with five of those seven failing to crack 90 points).





While the Heat are ice cold, the Suns are red hot. They’re coming off an impressive back-to-back performance against the Lakers on Sunday (121-116 road win when the scorched the nets with 28 made three-pointers) and Nuggets on Monday (100-94 home win). Phoenix has cashed in each of its last three games and four of the last five, and only twice all season have the high-octane Suns failed to crack triple digits in scoring (99 points at Memphis; 92 points in the season-opener at Portland).





Both teams are 6-4, but those records really aren’t at all identical. See, the Suns have defeated four quality opponents (Jazz, Lakers, Hawks, Nuggets, with two of those being on the road). Meanwhile, if you take out Miami’s 26-point rout of the Magic in its home-opener, and here’s the list of the Heat’s victims: Philadelphia, New Jersey (twice), Minnesota, and Toronto.





Now, please explain to me how the Heat, who clearly are going to need time to mesh as a team, can be laying this big of a number tonight? Makes zero sense.





Throw in the following pointspread trends – Phoenix is on ATS runs of 41-19-1 overall, 9-4 as a road underdog, 40-17-1 after one day off, 10-3 following a victory and 5-1 against the Eastern Conference; Miami is in ATS slumps of 0-5 overall, 0-4 at home, 1-4 against winning teams and 7-19 after three or more days off – and this one is a no-brainer!





Not only does Phoenix cover this spread wire to wire, but it will be there challenging for the outright victory in the final two minutes.








LAKERS





Impressive statement win last night by the Lakers, who followed up two tough losses to the Nuggets and Suns – their first two defeats of the season – with a 118-107 win in Milwaukee against a solid Bucks team. Even though L.A. is in a back-to-back spot here, I believe Kobe and Co. are in a better situation than the Pistons, who return home off a four-game West Coast road trip, which ended with Monday’s 101-97 loss at Golden State.





True, the Pistons have won four of six overall and they’ve been hot against the number (6-1 ATS last seven, all as an underdog). However, against the upper-echelon of the NBA this season, here’s how Detroit has fared: 105-104 home loss to the Thunder; 101-91 road loss to the Bulls; 109-86 home loss to the Celtics; 94-85 road loss to the Hawks; 100-78 road loss to the Blazers. Detroit’s other games have come against the Nets, Bobcats, Warriors (twice), Clippers and Kings.





Pretty telling there, huh?





The Lakers have crushed the Pistons in the last three meetings, winning by 15 (road), 13 (home) and 12 (road), and L.A. is 5-1 ATS in its last six versus the Pistons. Furthermore, the Lakers have cashed in four of their last five trips to Motown; the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven; and the visitor is 4-1 ATS in the last five.





And while Detroit does have some strong pointspread trends working in its favor (such as 14-3 ATS in its last 17 as an underdog), it is also 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a big home pup (5 to 10½ points). Meanwhile, the Lakers are on ATS runs of 4-1 when playing on back-to-back days, 4-1 against the Central division and 4-1 when laying 5 to 10½ points.

 

[missy]

Any plays from the boss. Thanks.