Scott Rickenbach's *12-0 RUN* TOP PLAY Game 1 World Series
2* (Top Play) Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (-) @ Tampa Bay @ 8:05 PM ET Wednesday – Hamels vs Kazmir – This is simply a fantastic line value to be able to get the Phillies at a pick’em price with the much stronger left-hander on the mound in Game One of the World Series so we’re kicking our level up a notch to Top Play territory here! There is simply no comparison to the way Cole Hamels has pitched for the Phillies this fall and the way that Scott Kazmir has pitched for the Rays! Yes, Kazmir bounced back and got a solid outing against Boston in Game Six of the ALCS but note what happened in that game! The Tampa Bay southpaw was staked to a 5-0 lead by the time the game reached the bottom of the third inning! That changes everything for both the hurler and the lineup he is facing. In the first two innings of the game the Red Sox got two men on in EACH inning. By the bottom of the third inning the game had already changed dramatically because Boston had a 5-0 lead. The Red Sox approach at the plate changed and Kazmir cruised from there. Don’t make the mistake of overemphasizing that start for Kazmir. That is the key point with this write-up! Prior to that start, Kazmir had allowed 11 homers in his last five outings! He’s simply not the dominant hurler that he once was and now, after facing an injury depleted Red Sox lineup that also was without the bat of Manny Ramirez, he faces arguably the most dangerous lineup in the National League!
The Phillies should pound Kazmir and, at the same time, it really shouldn’t take much run support for Hamels to get the win. The Philadelphia southpaw has arguably the most devastating change-up in all of baseball. He’s also got the numbers to show just how effective he’s been this postseason! Hamels has allowed just three earned runs on 13 hits in 22 innings of work! The Phillies have won all three of his starts and, in our opinion, his stuff is going to be much tougher for the Rays hitters to adjust to than vice versa. The Phillies lineup can, and will, catch up with a struggling Kazmir real quick. As for the fact that Rays hammered Hamels in their only shot against him, don’t be fooled. That was two and a half years ago when Hamels was a rookie and struggling. His ERA was 5.98 in July of that season before he turned things around in his rookie season. In other words, he’s a much different pitcher now and the Rays are absolutely facing one of the best in the game on Wednesday night. As for the bullpens, Tampa Bay was certainly impressive in their series win over the Red Sox but they did blow that Game Five and then struggled again before putting Game Seven away. This is in contrast with a Phillies bullpen anchored by Brad “Lights Out” Lidge and the Phils’ bullpen has not shown any signs of wearing out in the postseason. They continue to do a phenomenal job and couple that with a rock-solid lineup and a big starting pitching edge and this one easily earned Top Play status. Play Philadelphia on the money line as a Top Play selection in Game One on Wednesday night!
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