Service Plays Wednesday 10/14/09

JVu81 · Oct 14, 2009

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Today's Pick: TULSA<o

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CFB<o

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Boise State vs. Tulsa<o

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8:00 EST<o

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OK...Boise St. is everyones play tonight, Vegas just does not give cash away, this is a contrarian play. Look at the numbers and while they favor Boise State, they stats are pretty close. Tulsa was beaten badly by Oklahoma on the road, their only loss. Look at the last 2 years here, and this game has beena tight one, a 3 point game last year in Boise. Tulsa has a capable QB in Kinne and they are 10-1 ATS their last 11 at home. This is Boises States final real test in conference action and simply put, I do not think they walk out of Tulsa withiout a fight. Boise State has RB issues. Although they are the better team, these mid week games are always tough. Tulsa defense is tough against the run and allows just 16 ppg, and Boise St allows just 12. Both teams have explosive offensesw. With an offense that can trade punches and a more than decent defense, and at home, I am grabbing the points.<o

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Play 1 Unit on Tulsa. Thanks and good luck.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 14, 2009

Black Widow

6* Widow Wiseguy Boise State/Tulsa ESPN ATS BLOOD BATH on Boise State -9.5(-103 at 5dimes)

The Broncos have been a covering machine this decade, and the odds makers continue to fail to adjust their lines properly. They are 12-2 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons alone. Boise State is not favored by enough points tonight as they'll crush Tulsa on the road. The Broncos need style points for any chance to be in the National Championship game, and a blowout win over a decent Golden Hurricane team will give them those style points they need. Boise is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a win by 17 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Boise is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Broncos are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. THe Broncos are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992. Boise is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons. That's a 33-0 ATS Angle backing the Broncos tonight. This team just plays the game the right way. They are outscoring opponents by 26 points/game behind a balanced attack on offense that rushes for 192 yards/game and throws for 248 yards/game. Tulsa has played a very easy shedule, with the exception of a road game at Oklahoma where they lost 45-0. Boise is the same caliber team as the Sooners with a defense that can shut down this Tulsa offense. It's inevitable that the Broncos run away with this one by game's end. Take Boise State and lay the points.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 14, 2009

Savannah Sports

Todays Selections
NCAA Football
2 (**) Tulsa +9.5

cujo3131 · Oct 14, 2009

Gloria

nikeairx said:
anyone got a record on the 5*'s??

Ive been tracking this nicaraguan chick very closly...

I have her 5* plays @ 5-2 +15.25
4 were dogs..

Had ,
Wsh U +3.5 Won.
Lad +125 Won
Philly +101 Won
Buffalo+101 Won

Only Fav was Chicago -150 . They won 6-5 in OT .

Two games she lost were,
Phx -110 , Lost 2-0
St.L +10 Lost 38-10 didnt cover by 18

her 4* plays are only 5-5 +1.80
dont know what her 3* plays are..

Does anyone know her 3* record? or her total overall record? Im trying to keep a close eye on this one!

cujo3131 · Oct 14, 2009

Feist - Cokin.

Feist,
9) MINNESOTA WILD
(10) ANAHEIM DUCKS

TAKE "OVER"

These teams are struggling, and the reason is obvious: defense. Minnesota is off two straight losses, giving up 10 goals. Anaheim has given up 14 goals in 5 games. The defense collapsed the last game, giving up 3 goals in the 3rd period of a loss at the Rangers. Look for an offensive show in southern California,

play the Wild/Ducks Over the total.

Jim Feist (57) LOS ANGELES KINGS
(58) DETROIT RED WINGS
Take "Under"

Dave Cokin (951) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
(952) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Take "(952) LOS ANGELES DODGERS"

This is a fade too!

Im playing ,

Ducks -Wild U5.5

Redwings - Kings Over 5.5

Philly +105

Born2Booze · Oct 14, 2009

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
10/14/09- Wednesday NHL / NCAA
$25.00

3- Pitt -130
2- Rangers / Kings over 5.5
2- Dallas -160

3- Tulsa +9.5

Born2Booze · Oct 14, 2009

LT Profits

Boise State/Tulsa OVER 54.5 -105

Born2Booze · Oct 14, 2009

tally

boise - 6
tulsa - 7

over - 7
under -3

DA_MOSS · Oct 14, 2009

above is a repost

PeterGriffin · Oct 14, 2009

RAS' site says he has 3 plays + more pending. Just curious, does anyone know if any of those 3 plays are on tonight's game? He doesn't specify on the site. Thanks...

golfball · Oct 14, 2009

JVu81 said:
Greg Shaker

Today's Pick: Boise State/Tulsa OVER

CFB
Boise State vs. Tulsa
8:00 EST

I just got 53.5 on this game tonight but as I am typing the line has climbed to what I have posted and even beyond at some books. Combined these two teams average 73 points per game. The Hurricane have 33 of that even though they were shutout by at very good Oklahoma D earlier this year. Over the years Tulsa has been an offensive machine here at home and they have certainly been involved with lot's high scoring affairs with WAC Teams going 11-3-1 OVER their last 15. We know what Boise can do offensively so I will not go into that. Both D's have been relatively good stopping the opposition but I think we have way too much firepower on the field to hold down this number. We will see two very good QB's for this contest and Big Plays are very likely. Take the OVER.

Is this his 3 dime play or a Bonus Play?

BoiseBrian · Oct 14, 2009

golfball said:
Is this his 3 dime play or a Bonus Play?

who knows, but BSU hasn't played tulsa for like 5 years???

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 14, 2009

Dr. Bob

#5 Boise St. (-9.5) 28 TULSA 20
Over/Under Total: 54.5
05:00 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, Oct-14
Boise State is known for their high scoring offense, but the Broncos are a great team because they have a very good defense. That unit started the season by shutting down a good Oregon attack and the Broncos have allowed just 4.5 yards per play in 5 games to a schedule of teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average team. That unit should control an overrated Tulsa offense that has scored a lot of points on bad defensive teams but was shutout by Oklahoma - the only good defensive team that they've faced. Boise isn't as good as Oklahoma defensively, but Tulsa actually rates as a worse than average offense after adjusting for opposing defenses faced. The Hurricanes have averaged only 5.4 yppl in 4 games against Division 1A teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppl to an average team. Boise State has allowed 4.4 yppl or less in 4 of their 5 games (only a potent Fresno State team had more) and my math model projects just 4.3 yppl for Tulsa in this game.

Tulsa, while not as good as perceived offensively, is better than most people think defensively. the Hurricanes have allowed just 4.6 yppl in their 4 D-1A games to teams that would average 4.9 yppl against an average defense. That unit will defend Boise's rushing attack well, as the Broncos rate as just average running the ball without D.J. Harper in the lineup (he's missed the last two games and is out for the season). Jeremy Avery is still a good back, but new #2 back Doug Martin is a big step down from Harper. While Boise's rushing attack may stall against a good Tulsa run defense (3.6 yprp allowed to teams that would average 4.6 yprp against an average team) the Broncos' Kellen Moore (8.7 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 5.9 yppp to an average QB) should have his usual strong outing against a mediocre Tulsa pass defense that's allowed just 5.4 yppp but to quarterbacks that would combine to average just 5.2 yppp against an average defense.

Boise has pretty big edges regardless of which team has the ball and my math model gives the Broncos a very good 57% chance of covering the spread in this game. However, Tulsa applies to a very strong 49-10-2 ATS home underdog momentum situation that is 9-0 ATS since I discovered it. Boise, meanwhile, applies to a negative 34-86-4 ATS road letdown situation and Tulsa has a 59% chance of covering a fair line based on the situations. Overall, Tulsa is about a 52% play and the under looks like a pretty good play.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 14, 2009

Mike Lineback 10/14/09

Boise st Team over 32.2 -115 4***
7 pt Teaser -130 Boise St -2 and Over 48 4***

Opinion play: Over 55

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 14, 2009

Mean Green Profit Machine

1% Predators

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 14, 2009

Teddy Covers

10/14/09 CFB Tulsa Under 54.5 -110

JVu81 · Oct 14, 2009

golfball said:
Is this his 3 dime play or a Bonus Play?

It's not a Bonus Play.

Jay-L · Oct 14, 2009

Playmaker Sports

They are currently up +35.5 units since Monday. They hit their biggest play ever released by them last night on the Colorado Avalanche +115 which was rated a 25* (usually their highest rating is a 5*). These guys are unreal in NHL picks. Tonight they have another huge pick in which they guaranteed would hit, and it's rated a 10*.

10* Pittsburgh Penguins -130

5* Dallas Stars -160

2* Los Angeles Kings +140

paid/confirmed by me

SnakeIz · Oct 14, 2009

cujo3131 said:
Does anyone know her 3* record? or her total overall record? Im trying to keep a close eye on this one!

Here is up through monday: http://forum.therx.com/showpost.php?p=7114083&postcount=41

Yesterday's plays were:

Tue
buffalo +101 NHL 5* WIN
col/Tor O 5.5 NHL 4* LOSS
Calgary +120 NHL 3* LOSS

CaliDreaming · Oct 14, 2009

Larry Ness' 25* CFB Wednesday GOY-BE THERE!
My 25* CFB Wednesday GPOY is on Tulsa at 8:00 ET.

Scott Spreitzer's NHL ONE-TIMER FAVE OF THE MONTH! *3-0! - Wednesday
I'm laying the price with the Rangers on Wednesday.