I'm not sure what's going on; I've cleared cookies, and checked again from a dedicated server in the states, but for this service plays thread, at the top it only says that there's 9 replies, but there's actually 25 posts, and nothing further. If you go to the main page of therxforum.com, it shows that cpaw has been posting the picks, but there's just not showing up. Anybody else having this issue?
jeff benton wednesday
1-0 yesterday plus 10 dimes plus $100. overall, 136-163-7 minus 580 dimes.
WEDNESDAY'S ACTION
10 DIME college football selection on Central Florida minus the points at Marshall in Confeaence USA action. The Golden Knights are a solid road favorite here, with the spread ranging from 5 to 5½ depending on where you shop. Obviouisly, it’s important that you have the ability to grab Central Florida at the lowest number possible, but more than anytling do NOT let this line jump to Central Florida -6, as that’s such a key number in football.
CENTRAL FLORIDA
You know me: I’m not a big fan of laying points with road teams in these nationally televised weekday games between conference rivals. But there’s just no way you can recommend Marshall right now.
Since blowing a 21-6 mid fourth-quarter lead and losing 24-21 in overtime to instate rival West Virginia a month ago, the Thundering Herd simply have not recovered. They got blown out on the road at Bowling Green (44-28) and Southern Miss (41-16), and in between was a narrow 24-23 home win over Ohio (Ohio scored on the final play of the game and elected to go for two instead of kicking the extra-point and taking its chances in overtime).
Central Florida, meanwhile, is coming off last Wednesday’s 42-7 destruction of UAB as an 11½-point home favorite, and although the Golden Knights are just 3-2 on the season, they’ve cashed in three straight games and their two losses were by a combined 11 points to opponents (N.C. State and Kansas State) that are far more talented than Marshall.
When you look inside the numbers, you’ll see that Central Florida has outgained four of its five opponents, while Marshall has done so just once in its five games. What’s more, three times this season the Thundering Herd have been out-yarded by more than 100 yards; in the 41-16 loss at Southern Miss on Oct. 2, Marshall had just 170 total yards (including 45 rushing) to 369 for Southern Miss (205 rushing).
Essentially what this play comes down to is the fact that Central Florida’s offensive strength – the Golden Knights average nearly 193 rushing ypg – matches up great against Marshall’s defensive weakness (the Herd yield 173.8 rushing ypg). In fact, the overall defensive numbers show Marshall allowing 35.4 points and 418.2 total yards per outing, while UCF surrenders just 13.8 points and 265.2 total ypg.
Granted, the Thundering Herd have faced two Top 25 teams (Ohio State and West Virginia), while UCF has yet to defeat a quality foe. However, Marshall doesn’t qualify as quality anyway. Besides, the Golden Knights have owned this rivalry, winning five straight meetings and going 5-1 ATS in the last six.
Finally, USC has been a money-making machine lately, be it overall (8-2 ATS run), on the road (9-1 ATS), against Conference USA foes (4-0 ATS) or as a favorite (4-1 ATS). The Herd, meanwhile, have failed to cover in three straight and four of five overall, as well as four straight league games.
1-0 yesterday plus 10 dimes plus $100. overall, 136-163-7 minus 580 dimes.
WEDNESDAY'S ACTION
10 DIME college football selection on Central Florida minus the points at Marshall in Confeaence USA action. The Golden Knights are a solid road favorite here, with the spread ranging from 5 to 5½ depending on where you shop. Obviouisly, it’s important that you have the ability to grab Central Florida at the lowest number possible, but more than anytling do NOT let this line jump to Central Florida -6, as that’s such a key number in football.
CENTRAL FLORIDA
You know me: I’m not a big fan of laying points with road teams in these nationally televised weekday games between conference rivals. But there’s just no way you can recommend Marshall right now.
Since blowing a 21-6 mid fourth-quarter lead and losing 24-21 in overtime to instate rival West Virginia a month ago, the Thundering Herd simply have not recovered. They got blown out on the road at Bowling Green (44-28) and Southern Miss (41-16), and in between was a narrow 24-23 home win over Ohio (Ohio scored on the final play of the game and elected to go for two instead of kicking the extra-point and taking its chances in overtime).
Central Florida, meanwhile, is coming off last Wednesday’s 42-7 destruction of UAB as an 11½-point home favorite, and although the Golden Knights are just 3-2 on the season, they’ve cashed in three straight games and their two losses were by a combined 11 points to opponents (N.C. State and Kansas State) that are far more talented than Marshall.
When you look inside the numbers, you’ll see that Central Florida has outgained four of its five opponents, while Marshall has done so just once in its five games. What’s more, three times this season the Thundering Herd have been out-yarded by more than 100 yards; in the 41-16 loss at Southern Miss on Oct. 2, Marshall had just 170 total yards (including 45 rushing) to 369 for Southern Miss (205 rushing).
Essentially what this play comes down to is the fact that Central Florida’s offensive strength – the Golden Knights average nearly 193 rushing ypg – matches up great against Marshall’s defensive weakness (the Herd yield 173.8 rushing ypg). In fact, the overall defensive numbers show Marshall allowing 35.4 points and 418.2 total yards per outing, while UCF surrenders just 13.8 points and 265.2 total ypg.
Granted, the Thundering Herd have faced two Top 25 teams (Ohio State and West Virginia), while UCF has yet to defeat a quality foe. However, Marshall doesn’t qualify as quality anyway. Besides, the Golden Knights have owned this rivalry, winning five straight meetings and going 5-1 ATS in the last six.
Finally, USC has been a money-making machine lately, be it overall (8-2 ATS run), on the road (9-1 ATS), against Conference USA foes (4-0 ATS) or as a favorite (4-1 ATS). The Herd, meanwhile, have failed to cover in three straight and four of five overall, as well as four straight league games.
