Jimmy Boyd
3* NCAAF Primetime Total UCF/Marshall Under 45
Last season, these two teams combined for just 41 points, and I'm expecting another low-scoring affair this time around. UCF has put up some big offensive numbers at home, but it is averaging just 18.5 ppg in two road games this season. It is worth noting that both of those games went under the number by double digits. While Marshall has been blown out on the road, it has been very competitive at home against a pair of quality opponents (WVU, Ohio). We only saw 45 points scored when W. Virginia came to town, and 3 of those points were tacked on in OT. Having had a bye week to prepare for this one, I expect a solid defensive effort from the Thundering Herd. I also expect a strong defensive performance from UCF, which has held all 3 of its non-BCS opponents to 10 or fewer points. In fact, UCF ranks in the top 10 in both scoring and total defense for the season. There are plenty of numbers in our favor as well. The under is 4-0 in the Thundering Herd's last 4 games following a bye week, 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog and 5-0 in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. The Under is also 4-1 in the Knights' last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two sides.