XpertPicks
WEDNESDAY BASEBALL
Pittsburgh has won 60 of the last 105 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have won 76 of the last 132 games coming off four or more road games. Pittsburgh has won 72 of the last 117 home games when the line posted is between -100 to -150 and they have won 41 of the last 76 games when playing on a Wednesday.
WEDNESDAY BASEBALL
- Play Pittsburgh -105 over San Francisco---Top Play (Risk 20% of your Bankroll)
Pittsburgh has won 60 of the last 105 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have won 76 of the last 132 games coming off four or more road games. Pittsburgh has won 72 of the last 117 home games when the line posted is between -100 to -150 and they have won 41 of the last 76 games when playing on a Wednesday.
Kevin's Pick(s):
Not a bad way to start the postseason huh? Wow. The Royals come back to win in the bottom of the 12th inning to make for a pretty much break even night last night. The NL Wild Card is next tonight and I've got a system total play going...
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (+100)
Listed Pitchers: Bumgarner vs Volquez
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
Not a bad way to start the postseason huh? Wow. The Royals come back to win in the bottom of the 12th inning to make for a pretty much break even night last night. The NL Wild Card is next tonight and I've got a system total play going...
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (+100)
Listed Pitchers: Bumgarner vs Volquez
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
-= TOP PLAY =-
| Sport | Date | Matchup | Book | Starts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | Oct 01 '14 8:05p | San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates Take: Pittsburgh Pirates +103 |
| in 3h |
| 20* Giants/Pirates NL Wild Card Rout on Pittsburgh +103 The Pittsburgh Pirates have made the postseason for a second consecutive year. They continue to get no respect from the books as a home underdog in this winner-take-all wild card game against the San Francisco Giants. I'll take advantage and back the Pirates, who are 51-30 at home this season, and 20-13 against left-handed starters. Edinson Volquez is in the midst of a career year. The right-hander has gone 13-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.230 WHIP in 31 starts and one relief appearance. He really stepped it up down the stretch, going 2-0 with a 0.43 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in his last three starts. Dating back further, he is 5-0 with a 1.36 ERA in his last 10 starts, allowing 10 earned runs in 66 innings. There's no denying that Madison Bumgarner is one of the better starters in baseball, but he's getting too much respect from the books as a road favorite here in a hostile environment. He gave up four runs and three homers over 7 1/3 innings in his final start of the season against the Dodgers. Bumgarner has been beat up in his last two starts against Pittsburgh, going 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA while allowing eight earned runs, two homers and 19 base runners in 12 innings with only seven strikeouts. Volquez is 20-6 (+15.6 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. The Pirates are 21-4 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last two seasons. The Pirates are 9-1 in Volquez's last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Pittsburgh is 6-0 in Volquez's last six starts after scoring two runs or less in its previous game. The Giants are 5-12 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record. San Francisco is 1-7 in its last eight games with a total set of 6.5 or lower. Pittsburgh is 7-0 in its last seven during Game 1 of a series. The Pirates are 6-1 in their last seven vs. a left-handed starter. Pittsburgh is 39-18 in its last 57 home games. The Pirates are 42-17 in their last 59 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Pittsburgh is 6-2 in its last eight home meetings with San Francisco. Bet the Pirates Wednesday. |
Bumgarner/Volquez
Both pitchers are dialed in right now. Volquez is pitching as great as anybody down the stretch and it was 4 years ago in his only postseason start that he only got about 4 outs before he was lifted in an awful outing. Volquez is a totally different pitcher now and is going to make up for that appearance. Bumgarner has a proven track record in the playoffs and I just don’t see this game being anywhere near as close as an exciting game that we saw last night. It is not trendy to take under selections in any sport right now, but I believe both pitchers will go 7 or 8 innings before handing it over to solid bullpens. Take the Under.
Sportswagers
NO PLAY, but I thought some in the Forum might find some valuable information in this post.
NL Wild Card
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]NL Wild Card[/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]San Francisco @ PITTSBURGH[/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]We're going t[/FONT][/FONT][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]o break this game down in order to help you with your selection but we're not playing it because we just don't see any value in either side.
[/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]The real wild card in this game is Pirates starter Edinson Volquez. Volquez has [/FONT][/FONT][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]been on four teams in the last four seasons. One year ago, he was one of the worst pitchers in baseball with a 5.91 ERA pitching for the Padres. The Dodgers picked him up in September of last year for depth but Volquez never threw a pitch when he was surprisingly added to the NLCS roster. One of his biggest problems is control or lack thereof. Volquez has walked 71 batters in 193 innings and he doesn't make up for it with strikeouts. When he joined the Pirates, pitching coach Ray Searage implemented some mechanical changes in an attempt to improve his control and the results have varied. It's not unusual to see Volquez walk five batters in a game or go out there and walk one. In terms of control, you just really never know what you're going to get with Volquez. That said, he will induce a lot of groundballs to get out of the inevitable jams that he gets into. He was the only pitcher on the Pirates to go out there every fifth day and he usually gave the Pirates an excellent chance of winning. The Pirates infield defense has been outstanding and that, too, has helped Volquez avoid disasters. There’s real reasons to believe that Volquez has improved this year, thanks in large part to Searage and the defense that surrounds him. There’s also considerable evidence to say that his outstanding run to end the season was more of a mirage than any real tangible change. There isn't a crystal ball in the world that can predict what type of outing we'll see from Volquez here. He's a high-risk/high reward proposition but it should be noted that the Giants were one of the worst teams in baseball in drawing walks and that should work in Volquez's favor. Furthermore, the Pirates went 51-30 at PNC Park this season, which is another stat that works in their favor.
[/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]Ask 30 GM's which pitcher they would rather have going for them in a one and done game and 30 would instantly answer Madison Bumgarner. Bumgarner is the real deal. It was just another 200+ inning season with outstanding skills for Bumgarner. Exciting dominant start/disaster start trend shouts consistency. Bumgarner's BB/K split of 43/219 in 217 innings is more proof that this guy can be trusted with the ball in any situation against any opponent. Bumgarner dominated down the stretch with a 1.11 ERA over his last five starts covering 32 innings. [/FONT][/FONT][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]His 15% swing and miss rate and 70% first pitch strike rate since the beginning of August was the second best mark in all of baseball and gave full support to his elite command. In the end, we know what we're getting from Bumbarner and anything other than a solid performance here would be a surprise. Still, we're not crazy about the Giants offense or their bullpen. If this game is tied going into the late innings or the Pirates have the lead, we give a significant edge to the Pirates to close it out. We're also not in favor of spotting a price with the Giants, even though Bumgarner deserves to be favored over Volquez 100% of the time. Other than starting pitching, we give an edge to the Pirates in every other area and when you throw in the home-field edge they have utilized all season, it makes them playable here taking back a tag. With Bumgarner going, the Giants are also playable because they may get out to 3 or 4 run lead and never look back. Frankly, we're not convinced of any scenario here and the price on the Pirates isn't high enough to get us to bite.
NO BETS [/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[/FONT]
NO PLAY, but I thought some in the Forum might find some valuable information in this post.
NL Wild Card
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]NL Wild Card[/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]San Francisco @ PITTSBURGH[/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]We're going t[/FONT][/FONT][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]o break this game down in order to help you with your selection but we're not playing it because we just don't see any value in either side.
[/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]The real wild card in this game is Pirates starter Edinson Volquez. Volquez has [/FONT][/FONT][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]been on four teams in the last four seasons. One year ago, he was one of the worst pitchers in baseball with a 5.91 ERA pitching for the Padres. The Dodgers picked him up in September of last year for depth but Volquez never threw a pitch when he was surprisingly added to the NLCS roster. One of his biggest problems is control or lack thereof. Volquez has walked 71 batters in 193 innings and he doesn't make up for it with strikeouts. When he joined the Pirates, pitching coach Ray Searage implemented some mechanical changes in an attempt to improve his control and the results have varied. It's not unusual to see Volquez walk five batters in a game or go out there and walk one. In terms of control, you just really never know what you're going to get with Volquez. That said, he will induce a lot of groundballs to get out of the inevitable jams that he gets into. He was the only pitcher on the Pirates to go out there every fifth day and he usually gave the Pirates an excellent chance of winning. The Pirates infield defense has been outstanding and that, too, has helped Volquez avoid disasters. There’s real reasons to believe that Volquez has improved this year, thanks in large part to Searage and the defense that surrounds him. There’s also considerable evidence to say that his outstanding run to end the season was more of a mirage than any real tangible change. There isn't a crystal ball in the world that can predict what type of outing we'll see from Volquez here. He's a high-risk/high reward proposition but it should be noted that the Giants were one of the worst teams in baseball in drawing walks and that should work in Volquez's favor. Furthermore, the Pirates went 51-30 at PNC Park this season, which is another stat that works in their favor.
[/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]Ask 30 GM's which pitcher they would rather have going for them in a one and done game and 30 would instantly answer Madison Bumgarner. Bumgarner is the real deal. It was just another 200+ inning season with outstanding skills for Bumgarner. Exciting dominant start/disaster start trend shouts consistency. Bumgarner's BB/K split of 43/219 in 217 innings is more proof that this guy can be trusted with the ball in any situation against any opponent. Bumgarner dominated down the stretch with a 1.11 ERA over his last five starts covering 32 innings. [/FONT][/FONT][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]His 15% swing and miss rate and 70% first pitch strike rate since the beginning of August was the second best mark in all of baseball and gave full support to his elite command. In the end, we know what we're getting from Bumbarner and anything other than a solid performance here would be a surprise. Still, we're not crazy about the Giants offense or their bullpen. If this game is tied going into the late innings or the Pirates have the lead, we give a significant edge to the Pirates to close it out. We're also not in favor of spotting a price with the Giants, even though Bumgarner deserves to be favored over Volquez 100% of the time. Other than starting pitching, we give an edge to the Pirates in every other area and when you throw in the home-field edge they have utilized all season, it makes them playable here taking back a tag. With Bumgarner going, the Giants are also playable because they may get out to 3 or 4 run lead and never look back. Frankly, we're not convinced of any scenario here and the price on the Pirates isn't high enough to get us to bite.
NO BETS [/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[/FONT]
SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS
Wednesday 10/1 Service Plays
What a way to start the MLB Playoffs last night!!! We were not looking good for a while but some how we pulled out the win!! Tonight we are going with the more experienced Giants team to pull it off in Pittsburgh. We feel they have the better pitcher as well in this one. Let's start the off the playoffs 2-0!!
MLB
San Francisco -110
Wednesday 10/1 Service Plays
What a way to start the MLB Playoffs last night!!! We were not looking good for a while but some how we pulled out the win!! Tonight we are going with the more experienced Giants team to pull it off in Pittsburgh. We feel they have the better pitcher as well in this one. Let's start the off the playoffs 2-0!!
MLB
San Francisco -110
Welcome to Ecks & Bacon for Wednesday, October 1, 2014
Pittsburgh Pirates +105
And a UEFA match , which already concluded hours ago.
If you look at all the metrics, it would be Madison Bumgarner and the Giants over Edinson Volquez and the Pirates. After all, Bumgarner is 18-10, while Volquez is just 13-7. Bumgarner's ERA is 2.98 while Volquez is 3.04. Bumgarner is 11-4 on the road, while Volquez is just 8-6 at home. THROW away the metrics and marinate on this for a second. Volquez has NOT lost a game since July 21, and his last three starts have been Kershaw-esque. Like 21 innings, ONLY one earned run for a RIDONKULOUS 0.43 ERA. Anytime you got a ZERO as the first number of the ERA, it's BUY time! Throw in the home field edge, and we'll drop half a Benjamin on Pittsburgh.
Also gonna roll over to Madrid, look at the UEFA Champions League and take Atletico over Juventus. Los Rojiblancos have won an incredible 17 of the last 19 at home in Madrid in UEFA competition, and after a loss within their group at Olympiakos, Atletico is desperate for a win and will be ready to rumble. Gimme half a Benj on Atleti and $25 on the draw.
Pittsburgh Pirates +105
And a UEFA match , which already concluded hours ago.
If you look at all the metrics, it would be Madison Bumgarner and the Giants over Edinson Volquez and the Pirates. After all, Bumgarner is 18-10, while Volquez is just 13-7. Bumgarner's ERA is 2.98 while Volquez is 3.04. Bumgarner is 11-4 on the road, while Volquez is just 8-6 at home. THROW away the metrics and marinate on this for a second. Volquez has NOT lost a game since July 21, and his last three starts have been Kershaw-esque. Like 21 innings, ONLY one earned run for a RIDONKULOUS 0.43 ERA. Anytime you got a ZERO as the first number of the ERA, it's BUY time! Throw in the home field edge, and we'll drop half a Benjamin on Pittsburgh.
Also gonna roll over to Madrid, look at the UEFA Champions League and take Atletico over Juventus. Los Rojiblancos have won an incredible 17 of the last 19 at home in Madrid in UEFA competition, and after a loss within their group at Olympiakos, Atletico is desperate for a win and will be ready to rumble. Gimme half a Benj on Atleti and $25 on the draw.
