hno:
Dr. Bob
Wednesday NBA Opinion
DENVER (-5 ½) over Miami
Denver will be without the overrated Carmelo Anthony (great offense, but bad defense) for awhile but the Nuggets are still 116-63-1 ATS when rested, not laying more than 12 points and facing a team with a win percentage of less than .625. In other words, Denver tends to play their best with rest against mediocre and bad teams. The record of that trend without Anthony is 11-3 ATS, as the oddsmakers tend to over-adjust the line for his absence. Denver also applies to a 190-91-8 ATS home favorite momentum situation and my ratings favor the Nuggets by 6 ½ points without Carmelo. My only problem with this game is that Miami tends to play much better after a loss than they do after a win and the Heat are 5-1 ATS as a dog after a loss this season. I’ll pass on making this game a Best Bet, but I’ll lean with Denver at -6 or less.
Wednesday College Opinion
SOUTHERN MISS (-5) over Tulsa
Southern Miss hasn’t played up to their potential yet, but the Eagles have developed a pattern under head coach Larry Eustachy of playing poorly early and improving once conference season starts. Southern Miss is just 12-15-1 ATS in non-conference games since the 2005/06 season, but the Eagles are 37-15-1 ATS in conference games during that time, including 18-3 ATS as a favorite and 18-4-1 ATS at home. Tulsa is just 4-14 ATS as an underdog of 17 points or less since last season, including 1-5 ATS this season, and my ratings favor Southern Miss by 5 ½ points – so the line is fair. I’ll lean with the Eagles at -6 or less and I’d take Southern Miss for a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 or less.
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Wednesday NBA Opinion
DENVER (-5 ½) over Miami
Denver will be without the overrated Carmelo Anthony (great offense, but bad defense) for awhile but the Nuggets are still 116-63-1 ATS when rested, not laying more than 12 points and facing a team with a win percentage of less than .625. In other words, Denver tends to play their best with rest against mediocre and bad teams. The record of that trend without Anthony is 11-3 ATS, as the oddsmakers tend to over-adjust the line for his absence. Denver also applies to a 190-91-8 ATS home favorite momentum situation and my ratings favor the Nuggets by 6 ½ points without Carmelo. My only problem with this game is that Miami tends to play much better after a loss than they do after a win and the Heat are 5-1 ATS as a dog after a loss this season. I’ll pass on making this game a Best Bet, but I’ll lean with Denver at -6 or less.
Wednesday College Opinion
SOUTHERN MISS (-5) over Tulsa
Southern Miss hasn’t played up to their potential yet, but the Eagles have developed a pattern under head coach Larry Eustachy of playing poorly early and improving once conference season starts. Southern Miss is just 12-15-1 ATS in non-conference games since the 2005/06 season, but the Eagles are 37-15-1 ATS in conference games during that time, including 18-3 ATS as a favorite and 18-4-1 ATS at home. Tulsa is just 4-14 ATS as an underdog of 17 points or less since last season, including 1-5 ATS this season, and my ratings favor Southern Miss by 5 ½ points – so the line is fair. I’ll lean with the Eagles at -6 or less and I’d take Southern Miss for a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 or less.
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Dr Bob
2 Star Selection
BOSTON (-10) over Houston
07-Jan-09 04:35 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Boston in a 2-Star Best Bet at -11 points or less.
2-Stars at -11 or less.
COLLEGE
2 Star Selection
Northeastern (-3) over GEORGIA STATE
07-Jan-09 04:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Northeastern in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.
2-Stars at -4 or less.
2 Star Selection
James Madison (+9 ½) over OLD DOMINION
07-Jan-09 04:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take James Madison in a 2-Star Best Bet at +8 points or more and for 3-Stars from +10 or more.
2-Stars at +8 or more, 3-Stars at +10 or more.
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2 Star Selection
BOSTON (-10) over Houston
07-Jan-09 04:35 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Boston in a 2-Star Best Bet at -11 points or less.
2-Stars at -11 or less.
COLLEGE
2 Star Selection
Northeastern (-3) over GEORGIA STATE
07-Jan-09 04:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Northeastern in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.
2-Stars at -4 or less.
2 Star Selection
James Madison (+9 ½) over OLD DOMINION
07-Jan-09 04:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take James Madison in a 2-Star Best Bet at +8 points or more and for 3-Stars from +10 or more.
2-Stars at +8 or more, 3-Stars at +10 or more.
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