THE SPORTS ADVISORS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Davidson (10-2, 4-6 ATS) at (2) Duke (12-1, 8-4 ATS)
More than a year after taking Duke to the wire on a neutral court, Stephen Curry and Davidson get another crack at the Blue Devils, this time inside intimidating Cameron Indoor Stadium.
The Wildcats fell out of the Top 25 following an ugly 76-58 loss at Purdue as a five-point underdog on Dec. 20, but they’ve since rebounded to win their last two at Charleston (79-75) and against Samford at home (76-55). However, Davidson failed to cover in both contests and it is now in an 0-4 ATS funk. Curry continues to lead the nation in scoring at 29.2 points per game, pouring in more than 20 in all but two contests to this point.
Duke has vaulted to No. 2 in the rankings courtesy of a four-game winning streak (3-0 ATS). On Sunday, the Blue Devils opened ACC play with their best defensive performance of the season in a a 69-44 rout of Virginia Tech, covering easily as a 17-point home favorite. During the winning streak – all by 18 points or more – Duke has averaged 85.5 ppg and given up 53.8 ppg.
These regional rivals meet every season, and Duke has won the last 21 in a row. Last year, though, Davidson gave the Blue Devils all they could handle before falling 79-73 as an eight-point underdog in Charlotte. The Wildcats were able to hang in the game despite a relatively tame 20-point effort from Curry. Duke is just 4-3 ATS in the last seven series clashes, while the designated home team has cashed in five straight meetings.
Both squads can fill the bucket, with Davidson averaging 80.1 ppg on 43.6 percent shooting and the Blue Devils putting up 82.8 ppg (48.1 percent). The Wildcats have scored 72 or more in eight of their 10 contests, while Duke had topped 70 points in every game before Sunday’s 69-point effort against Virginia Tech. The Blue Devils have scored 80 or more eight times.
On defense, Davidson yields 68.8 ppg (39.5 percent) and Duke surrenders just 60.2 ppg (39.2 percent), holding nine of 13 opponents to 60 or less.
In addition to its current 0-4 ATS rut, Davidson is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games against the ACC and 2-6 ATS in its last eight on Wednesday. However, the Wildcats remain on positive pointspread stretches of 44-20 on the road, 10-4 in non-conference games, 45-21-1 after a SU win and 48-17-2 after an ATS setback.
Duke is on a slew of ATS tears, including 5-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 4-1 in non-conference play and 7-1 against Southern Conference foes, but the Devils are just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 Wednesday outings.
For Davidson, the under is on stretches of 5-2 overall, 4-1 in non-league action, 10-1 against the ACC and 5-0 versus teams with a winning record. For Duke, the under is on runs of 13-4 overall, 14-3 in front of the Cameron Crazies, 35-17 in non-ACC action, 8-2 against the Southern Conference and 10-4 after a SU win. Lastly, the past five meetings between these rivals have stayed under the posted price.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Gonzaga (8-4, 5-5 ATS) at (15) Tennessee (9-3, 6-4 ATS)
Having tumbled out of the Top 25 after three consecutive surprising loses, Gonzaga now has to travel across the country for a second meeting this season with 15th-ranked and revenge-minded Tennessee, this one at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville.
The Bulldogs’ slide began with an 88-83 overtime loss to UConn as a 3½-point favorite Dec. 20 near its home in Seattle. After that, Gonzaga got stunned by Portland State 77-70 as a 21½-point home chalk, then went to Utah a week ago tonight and fell 66-65 as a five-point road choice. It’s just the second time in eight years that the Zags have endured a three-game losing streak, and going back to Dec. 14, they’re in a 1-4 SU and 0-4 ATS slump. Mark Few’s team is still averaging 76.1 ppg on 46.7 percent shooting, while allowing 63.5 ppg (37.7 percent).
The Volunteers are coming off their own disappointing defeat, falling at Kansas on Saturday 92-85 as a three-point road underdog, halting a 3-0 run (2-0 ATS). Tennessee still ranks seventh in the nation in scoring at 84.6 ppg – putting up 72 points or more in every game – but the Vols are allowing 73.8 ppg, including 62 or more in every contest. However, in six home games (all wins), Bruce Pearl’s squad is netting an astounding 90 ppg (49 percent shooting) while surrendering 69.2 ppg.
Gonzaga handed the Vols their first loss of the season back on Nov. 30 at a preseason tournament in Lake Buena Vista, Fla., rolling 83-74 in a pick-em contest. Last season, the Bulldogs hosted Tennessee in Seattle and lost 82-72 as a 1½-point underdog.
Tennessee is on ATS streaks of 4-0-1 at home, 7-3 after a non-cover and 36-17 on Wednesday. Conversely, the Bulldogs are in pointspread dips of 0-4 overall, 0-4 versus winning teams, 1-7 against the SEC, 1-4 on the road and 2-5 after an outright loss.
The under is on runs of 7-3 for Gonzaga overall, 5-2 for Gonzaga on the road, 5-2 for Tennessee following a SU loss and 2-0 in the two meetings between these schools since December 2007. However, the over is 4-0 in the Vols’ last four games on Wednesday and 4-1 for the Bulldogs after a non-cover.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TENNESSEE
NBA
Orlando (27-8, 22-12-1 ATS) at Atlanta (22-11, 19-13-1 ATS)
Two of the hottest teams in the league kick off this week’s two-game home-and-home series, with the Magic first visiting Philips Arena for a battle with the Hawks.
Orlando dumped Washington 89-80 last night, winning its ninth consecutive home game but coming up short as a 12½-point favorite. The Magic are on runs of 18-4 SU and 16-5 ATS, and the winner had covered the spread in 11 straight Orlando games prior to last night. Stan Van Gundy’s group is 12-4 SU and 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games on the highway.
Atlanta has been off since Saturday’s 103-100 victory over Houston, though it came up short as a 5½-point home chalk. The Hawks are on a 10-2 SU run, but they’ve followed up a 13-4 ATS roll by failing to cash in their last two outings. Atlanta has won 15 of its 17 games at Philips Arena (9-8 ATS), including six consecutive victories coming into tonight (4-2 ATS).
These teams opened the season against each other in Orlando on Oct. 29, with the Hawks stealing a 99-85 upset victory as an eight-point underdog. Atlanta has won five of the last seven series meetings both SU and ATS, and the winner has covered in each of the last 10 battles. Furthermore, the Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven when hosting the Magic, and the underdog is 5-2 ATS during this stretch.
Despite not covering last night against the Wizards, Orlando is still on a bunch of positive ATS runs, including 19-8-1 overall, 7-2 on the road, 20-8-1 on Wednesday, 7-1 versus winning teams and 5-1 when playing on the second night of a back-to-back. Meanwhile, Atlanta also carries several positive ATS streaks, including 9-4 overall, 5-2 at home, 6-2 on Wednesdays, 4-1 against the Eastern Conference, 6-1 against winning teams and 4-1 when playing on three or more days of rest.
In this rivalry, the under is on runs of 7-3 overall and 5-2 in Atlanta. Also, the under is 24-11 in Orlando’s last 34 against the Eastern Conference, 20-7-1 in Orlando’s last 27 against Southeast Division rivals, 12-5-1 in Orlando’s last 18 on Wednesday, 8-3-1 in Atlanta’s last 11 against the East and 5-0-1 in Atlanta’s last six divisional contests.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA and UNDER
Houston (21-15, 16-20 ATS) at Boston (29-7, 19-17 ATS)
The reeling Celtics take the court for the third time since Sunday when they make a quick stop at home for a battle with the Rockets, who have struggle so far on a five-game, eight-day Eastern Conference road swing.
Boston went to Charlotte last night and lost 114-106 in overtime as a 9½-point road favorite. Since ripping off a franchise-record 19 consecutive victories, the Celtics are just 2-5 SU and ATS, and last night marked the team’s sixth road game in its last seven contests since Dec. 25, and Doc Rivers’ squad hits the road for two more games after this one. On the bright side, the defending champs are 18-1 SU and 12-7 ATS at TD Banknorth Garden this season.
Houston kicked off its five-game journey with consecutive losses at Toronto (94-73 as a five-point chalk) and Atlanta (103-100 as a 5½-point underdog), then went to Philadelphia last night tumbled 104-96 as a three-point road favorite. The Rockets have followed up an 8-2 run (6-4 ATS) by going 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last eight. They’ve also now lost five straight road games (1-4 ATS), dropping to 10-11 (11-10 ATS) on the highway for the season.
The Celtics went to Houston on Nov. 4 and held on for a 103-99 upset victory as a three-point underdog. Boston has won three in a row (2-1 ATS) against the Rockets, but the visitor is 7-3 SU an 8-2 ATS in the last 10 series battles (5-0 ATS last five), and the underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last nine (3-0 last three). Finally, Houston has cashed in six of its last seven trips to Beantown, the lone exception coming last year.
In addition to their ongoing 1-7 ATS nosedive, the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last five versus the Eastern Conference and 0-4 ATS in their past four Wednesday outings. Boston is on ATS tears of 4-0 at home, 9-1 against the Southwest Division, 21-8 against the Western Conference and 31-15-1 when playing on back-to-back nights, but the C’s have failed to cash in four straight games against winning teams and five of seven on Wednesday.
The over is on streaks of 12-3 for Houston on the road, 13-5-1 for Houston against the Atlantic Division, 4-0 for Houston when playing on consecutive nights, 4-0 for Boston at home, 6-2 for Boston on Wednesday and 10-4 for Boston versus the Southwest Division. Conversely, the under is on runs of 10-1 for the Rockets on Wednesday, 5-2 for the Celtics overall, 6-0-1 for the Celtics against the West and 4-0 for the Celtics when playing back-to-back games.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Detroit (21-11, 14-18 ATS) at Portland (20-14, 16-18 ATS)
The Pistons go for their eighth consecutive victory overall and their third straight on the highway when they resume a four-game Western Conference road trip at the Rose Garden in Portland.
Detroit kicked off its weeklong journey with Sunday’s narrow 88-87 win at the Clippers, falling short as a six-point favorite. Despite their recent surge, the Pistons are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. Although they’re averaging only 89 ppg in their last six outings, they’re giving up just 83.3 ppg during this stretch.
Portland dropped its second in a row SU and ATS at the Lakers on Sunday night, falling 100-86 as an 11-point underdog. Since a six-game winning streak that ended on Dec. 5 in Boston, the Trail Blazers are just 6-8 in their last 14 games. They’re also in a 5-11 ATS slump, though all five spread-covers occurred in their last nine home games.
These teams have alternated SU wins and losses in their last six meetings, but Portland has gotten the money in six of the last seven battles, all as an underdog. That includes a 96-85 upset win as a four-point road pup on Nov. 8. The visitor has cashed in five of the last six clashes.
The Pistons have covered in five straight games on Wednesday, but otherwise it is on ATS slides of 0-4 against the Western Conference, 0-4 against the Northwest Division, 1-4 when playing on two days of rest and 1-4 after a non-cover. Meanwhile, despite its current 4-11 ATS rut, the Blazers are still 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home contests and 6-2 ATS in their past eight Wednesday affairs.
The under is 6-1 in the last six meetings in this rivalry. Additionally, Portland carries “under” streaks of 15-5 overall, 9-4 at home, 7-3 against the Eastern Conference, 5-1 versus the Central Division and 41-18-1 when playing on Wednesday. Lastly, the under for Detroit is on runs of 16-7 overall, 7-2 on the highway, 4-0 on Wednesday, 8-3 after a SU win, 11-4 after an ATS setback and 5-1 when going on two days of rest.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER