SPORTS INSIGHTS
2009-10 NBA Games to Watch: 11-14, 44%*
*Source: SportsInsights.com
Cleveland Cavaliers -12.5 over Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota heads to the Quicken Loans Arena tonight after getting blown out by the Knicks last night 132-105. The LeBrons are on a roll, having won 7 of their last 8 games, a number of those coming on the hostile road against Western Conference teams. Last week saw them return to Cleveland to enjoy a little home cooking, but they haven't gotten all of their wins comfortably. The last two, in fact, have come by one lonely point. They haven't won by double digits since January 10th at Portland and only twice in their last 13 games. Of course, in that span, they've played no one as inept as the 9-37 Timberwolves.
It appears that some big Public money is counting on the Cavs continuing their streak of close games. Although Cleveland is the slightest of Public favorites in terms of betting percentages - currently getting 51% - the line has dropped from 14 at almost every offshore book. No moves have been triggered by Sports Insights Betting Systems to indicate sharp money on the T'Wolves, and it's rare that the Cavaliers' line doesn't get inflated by a deluge of Public money. That smells like value to us, and we've also seen a Smart Money play triggered on Cleveland by Olympic (+5.55 Units Won). That's good enough for us. The line has dropped from where it opened almost everywhere, but you'll find extra value tonight at BetUS.
Cleveland Cavaliers -12.5 (BetUS)
Games to Watch: 11-14 = 44%
Cleveland -12.5 (BetUS)