Service Plays Wednesday 1/06/10

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NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 6

Game 265-266: Troy vs. Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 86.078; Central Michigan 92.044
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 6; 68
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 3; 63
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-3); Over
 
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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

New Jersey Nets at Atlanta Hawks (-14, 198)

The Hawks are in uncharted waters. The team has lost four straight for the first time all season which includes a 92-75 thumping in Miami on Monday night.

The 75 points posted by Atlanta was a season-low and spawned from a 35 percent field goal shooting mark and getting outrebounded 52-30.

"We just didn't come out ready to play," said coach Mike Woodson after the game. "I have to take responsibility for that. It's unacceptable how we played."

Fortunately for the Hawks, it doesn’t appear their losing streak will be extended. Atlanta hosts the hapless New Jersey Nets Wednesday who remain the armpit of the league, losing 11 of their last 12.

Hotlanta has to be infuriated right now after blowing a 14-point fourth-quarter lead to the Knicks and being outscored 51-34 in the first half of the Heat loss.

"It happens," Al Horford said. "That's the way the season is. There are highs and lows. Right now, this is our low."

This team is just too talented to stay down. Expect the Hawks to rise from their “low” and take out their frustrations on New Jersey in what should be a lopsided affair from start to finish.

In their last two meetings, Atlanta outscored the Nets by a margin of 20.0 points per game.

Pick: Hawks


Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves (-2.5, 224)

Heading into the first week of 2010, the Warriors are beginning to resemble a competitive squad in the National Basketball Association.

Golden State has won two of its last four which included home wins against the Suns and Celtics. The two losses came on the road in hard-fought games where the Warriors surrendered halftime leads to the Lakers and Trail Blazers.

The return of big men Ronny Turiaf and Andris Biedrins has provided a frontcourt presence the Warriors desperately needed. Turiaf has been back in the lineup for four games after not playing since late November because of a knee injury while Biedrins appeared in his first game of the season last Monday versus Boston.

Biedrins, last year’s starting center, has been eased back into the fold, averaging just over 20 minutes a game and contributing five rebounds per. Turiaf provides a "Charlie Hustle" type of effort every time he steps onto the floor even when he’s not 100 percent.

“I don’t enjoy playing hurt, but I am trying to go out there and play to the best of my abilities and help my teammates,” said Turiaf, who is expected to start on Wednesday. “I can pick up those chip fouls and be a defensive presence at the beginning of the game.”

Guard Monta Ellis continues to power Golden State’s offensive attack. He ranks sixth in the league in scoring with a 25.7 points per game average and has scored 22 or more in eight straight outings.

Ellis leads the team in assists, dishing them out at more than 5 per game and also ranks second in the NBA in steals, posting 2.25 per contest.

Golden State has covered in four of its last five and face a Timberwolves team they beat by 41 points at home in early November. That game was the second in a back-to-back schedule and this will be as well. The Warriors are 5-2 ATS in B2B situations this season.

Pick: Warriors
 
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres (-200, 5.5)

Buffalo goaltender Ryan Miller backed up why he should be starting between the posts for Team America in the upcoming winter games with a brilliant shutout against the Montreal Canadiens Sunday.

Miller turned away all 30 shots that came his way, posting his third straight win and picking up his fifth clean sheet of the season. The Sabres’ 1-0 victory was their fourth win in a row heading into Wednesday’s matchup with the Lightning.

"That was a pretty solid effort," coach Lindy Ruff told reporters after Sunday’s win. "It was maybe a little sluggish the first 10 minutes, but after that I liked our compete, I liked our battle. I thought we made it really tough on them to get high-quality opportunities."

Buffalo has supported its goalies with solid scoring efforts during this streak. The Sabres scored 13 total goals in the first three games of this stretch before getting a solo goal from Tim Connolly Sunday. Connolly, who leads the team in scoring, has recorded seven points over the four-game winning run.

Pick: Buffalo


St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks (-250, 5.5)

Well, I guess that’s why they call it the Blues.

St. Louis hasn’t won in five games, axed their head coach and now heads West to face the NHL’s top team. Despite these dark days, interim head coach Davis Payne is trying to keep things light and breezy. During his first practice with the team, Payne skated up to each player and forced them to crack a smile.

"It's tough to have fun when you're not winning," forward Brad Boyes told the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. "He's coming in here and making sure that we lighten up a bit. He's been saying, 'We're playing hockey, let's have some fun ... when we do that, good things will come.'"

Things will likely get worse before they get better for the Blues. Payne is introducing his philosophies into the game plan and there is bound to be some growing pains. St. Louis hasn’t had trouble scoring in recent games, scoring three goals in each of its five losses and bumping the final score over the total in each contest.

"We've got to go through an evaluation process ... take our time, but do it quickly," Payne told reporters. "I think we're getting into that stage. We have 41 games left in the season, and that's not a lot of time to be tinkering ...

"We've got to get there, and we've got to get there Wednesday against San Jose. The expectation is to take what we've given them over these next couple of days and have that show up Wednesday. The grace period for that ends at whatever Pacific time we're kicking off on Wednesday."

San Jose has the ninth-best defense in the NHL, allowing only 2.5 goals per game. The Sharks are coming off a 6-2 loss to the Los Angeles Kings and will be tightening up on defense before Wednesday’s game.

Pick: Under
 

ugk

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ALLEN EASTMAN
$400 Central Michigan Chippewas -3
 

ugk

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DCI
GMAC Bowl
at Mobile, AL
Central Michigan 34, Troy 31
 

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Eafra Soccer
Soccer: 78-52-14 (60%)
NHL: 43-25 (63.2%)


Today's Top Plays are: Soccer

Cagliari/Roma OVER 2.5, Italy Serie A at 9am EST
Bari -0.5, Italy Serie A at 9am EST
Arsenal -1.5, England Premier League at 2:45pm EST


Twitter: EafraSoccer
 
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St Bernadine Sports

Andrew Bucciarelli
Tuesday 2-2 (+1.00 unit)
22 day RUN 43-22 (+27.00 Units)

1* Dallas Stars (+125) Over New York Rangers

This is the first and only meeting between these two teams. The points are very big for these two teams and are both looking for that playoff spot. Consistency is the name of Dallas’ game and this could be the month that makes or breaks the Stars. The Rangers have just two wins in their last 10 overall at Madison Square Garden. The Stars have no major injuries and should push the Ranger D enough to get the win.
Take DALLAS.

2** Colorado Avalanche (-156) Over New York Islanders
This is the only meeting between the two teams and they have not met more than once since 2001-02. The Islanders are 1-6-1-1 since the Avs moved from Quebec to Colorado. There is a possibility that Rick DiPietro will be net, which may be good news for the Avs seeing that he hasn’t played in more than a year. Avs have won three in a row and look to extend it to four. The Islanders have gone to OT the past 16 times and are 8-8. Colorado is 8-2-1 versus Eastern Conference teams as the Isles are 2-4-0 against Western Conference teams. Colorado should control play tonight against the streaky Isles.
Take COLORADO.

2** Parlay1)Buffalo Sabres (-190) Over Tampa Bay Lightning
2)San Jose Sharks (-240) Over St. Louis Blues


1)Play has not slowed down for the Sabres even though they have come off sluggish. The Sabres have been on a seven game point streak at home, have won 3 in a row at home, and have earned points in seven straight (5-0-2). Ryan Miller has been strong in net helping in these wins so look for that to be key in the win tonight.
2)The Sharks and Blues have met twice this season and have split the series thus far. Patrick Marleau, Joe Thornton, and Douglas Murray are all playing great hockey right now and should continue this against the Blues. The Blues will be missing Keith Tkachuk, T.J. Oshie, Paul Kariya, and Barret Jackman as the Sharks have a clean bill of health. Sharks goalie is 6-0-2 with a 1.82 GAA in his last eight starts against the Blues.
Take BUFFALO AND SAN JOSE IN PARLAY.
 
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Wunderdog

Central Michigan -3-105

GMAC Bowl - Ladd Peebles Stadium, Mobile, AL. The Troy Trojans will be making their second consecutive Bowl appearance, after losing to Southern Miss a year ago. They certainly didn't have too many tough encounters in a weak Sun Belt Conference this season. When they stepped out, they were thrashed including a 31-14 setback to an ordinary MAC team in Bowling Green. How did they fare vs. Bowl teams? The Trojans lost to Florida by 50 points, to Arkansas by 36 and to Bowling Green by 17. CMU played a very difficult out-of-conference schedule and still went 11-2 this year. They lost to Arizona by just 13 and they beat Michigan State outright. They also beat the aforementioned Bowling Green 24-10. Their closest in-conference game came early, a 7-point win. No team came within single digits on CMU the rest of the way in eight games. The Trojans will not be able to stop Dan LeFevour who set records both in the air and on the ground where he has over 700 yards. Central Michigan won their games this year by an average margin of 33-17 and they went 6-2 on the road. Troy was just 4-3 on the road, actually getting outscored 29-36 on average! The Trojans have to match scores to win, but unfortunately they are out-manned on both sides of the ball. I like the Chippewas to win and cover here
 
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THE SPORTS REPORTER:

OVERALL: 10-21-1
BEST BETS: 1-3
RECOMMENDED: 2-2

BEST BET
TROY over CENTRAL MICHIGAN by 8
 
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NC POWERPLAYS:

16-14-2 OVERALL


NON RATED PLAYS :7-11-1


4.5*:1-0
4*: 5-3
3*: 2-0
2*: 1-0



POWER PLAYS PROJECTION


Both teams have potent offenses and move the ball both in the air and on the ground. CM is led
by future NFL QB Dan LeFevour but with Troy forecasted to have a 491-414 yd edge we’ll pass.
CENTRAL MICHIGANO PLAY: 32 TROY 25
 
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THE GOLDSHEET: 14-18

*TROY 33 - Central Michigan 27—Bowl history is replete with examples of teams playing under interim coaches after their former mentors left for other jobs (or, in a handful of cases, having been dismissed) following the conclusion of the regular season. Central Michigan knows all about this phenomenon, being led by interim HC Jeff Quinn in its 2006 Motor City Bowl win over Middle Tennessee following the departure of Brian Kelly for Cincinnati. (Quinn, coincidentally, will be doing the same interim “post-Kelly” job for the Bearcats in the upcoming Sugar Bowl before assuming the HC position at Buffalo.) Now, history is repeating itself for the Chippewas, as Kelly’s CMU successor, Butch Jones, will be taking Kelly’s place again, this time at Cincy, with DL coach Steve Stripling now in charge of the Chips in Mobile. MAC sources say this game will be an audition of sorts for Stripling to land the permanent job, with o.c. Mike Bajakian, Grand Valley State (where CMU first plucked Kelly) HC Chuck Martin, Michigan State asst. Dan Enos, and South Florida d.c. Joe Tresey (on Kelly’s ‘06 staff) all being mentioned as well. Stay tuned.
The track record of interim bowl coaches is mixed. And MAC scouts suspect the Chips can deal with Jones’ departure thanks mainly to decorated sr. QB Dan LeFevour (who accounted for 41 TDs, 27 via pass and 14 via run, TY), although the coach (Jones) who installed CMUs’ high-powered spread won’t be on the sidelines. However, evidence also indicates capable Troy is every bit as potent, scoring 33.1 ppg (41.2 over its last 6 games) with its version of the spread and its own record-setting sr. QB, Levi Brown, whose whopping 3868 YP were records for both the Trojans and Sun Belt. This is also an intriguing test case of the relative strengths of the Sun Belt and MAC, one that many TGS insiders believe favored the Belt this season. We suspect capable and less-distracted Troy, with the advantage of playing in nearby Mobile, will prove them right. (DNP...SR: FIRST MEETING)
 
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GOLD SHEET EXTRA: 16-13


TROY vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN (GMAC, January 6)...Troy 10-6 as dog
since ’05 and 17-10-1 vs. number last 28 away from home. CMU was 9-3 vs,
number TY but this will be first chance laying points vs. non-conference foe
this season. Chips just 3-5 as chalk away from Mt. Pleasant since LY. Note
MAC 0-5 vs. line in bowls LY (including CMU losing as chalk vs. Sun Belt FAU)
Tech edge-Troy, based on team trends
 

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