Service Plays Wednesday 09/23/09

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WUNDERDOG WNBA 9/23

Game: Indiana at Detroit (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Detroit -130 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 3.9)

This should be a great series with the winner advancing to the Finals. Indiana is the top seed, coming in at 24-12. They dispatched of Washington in two games, winning by nine and seven points. Detroit is just 20-16 on the season, but hold on a minute. This team started off 2-7. They have since gone 18-9 and they have won 11 of their last 13! Now I ask, which is the better team? The oddsmakers have made this one about even but they are off. It's not just the recent performance that favors Detroit. It's also the location. In the WNBA, homecourt advantage is big. Indiana, despite going 15-3 at home is just 9-9 on the road this year. Detroit is 12-6 at home. They've won seven straight at home and ten of their last twelve. Meanwhile, Indiana has gone 2-5 in their last seven road games. Detroit knows what it takes to win in the postseason, having won two of the last three championships. Detroit is hot right now having scored 94, 80, 94 and 94 in their last four games. This season the Shock are 12-5 after scoring 70+ in back-to-back games and 89-2 after reaching that figure in four straight games. They are also a near-perfect 8-1 after scoring 90 points in their prior game. I like the Shock to get it done here at home.
Game: Phoenix at Los Angeles (10:00 PM Eastern)

Pick: 4 units on Phoenix +3 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Do you remember that 1991 song by C&C Music Factory, "Things That Make You Go Hmmmm"? Well this game reminds me of that song. Phoenix won five more games than LA this season. Phoenix beat LA in three out of four regular season meetings. Yet, the Mercury are the underdog here. Hmmm. Phoenix is averaging 99 points in the playoffs after setting a WNBA record for points scored in the regular season (92.8 per game). Yet, they are the dog here. Hmmm. Well maybe Phoenix can't win on the road? Actually they are 11-7 away from home, not much worse than the Sparks' 12-6 home mark. Hmmm. Maybe the Mercury only beat up on lesser opponents, struggling to beat good teams. Actually, Phoenix is 12-5 ATS this season vs. winning teams including 7-0 in their last seven games. But Phoenix is coming off a poor defensive showing, allowing 92 points to San Antonio. That can't be good, right? As a matter of fact, Phoenix has done this 18 times this season and they are 14-4 ATS in games following a poor defensive effort. Finally, the Sparks are 0-8 ATS the past three seasons coming off a double-digit road win. I like Phoenix plus the points here.
 
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Gina

Wednesday, September 23rd, 2009 7:10 p.m. est.
Atlanta Braves (81-70) at New York Mets (65-87)
(R) Tim Hudson (1-1) vs. (R) Mike Pelfrey (10-11)

Atlanta's Tim Hudson (1-1, 3.70 ERA), is 0-1 with a 3.52 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 9-5 with a 3.82 ERA in 15 career starts against the Mets.
New York's Mike Pelfrey (10-11, 5.10), is 1-1 with a 5.57 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 2-4 with a 6.36 ERA in eight career starts against the Braves.
The surging Atlanta Braves are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall, 6-0 last six on the road. Go with Atlanta. The Braves have won seven straight games over the struggling Mets, including the last 4 in New York. The Mets have dropped 12 of their last 15 games, six of its last eight at Citi Field.

Atlanta Braves -130
 

RX Junior - aka Miffyjack
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Toutbuster

Sep 23/09 - MLB: Oakland/Texas
Pitchers: Mortensen & Hunter
Selection: Texas -1.5 Odd: +133
Risk $1000 to win $1330
Outcome: - Returned:

Sep 23/09 - MLB: Minnesota/Chicago WS
Pitchers: Duensing & Buehrle
Selection: Chicago White Sox -1.5 Odd: +168
Risk $500 to win $840
Outcome: - Returned:
 

degenerate
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Trace Adams 1000*/500*

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mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} </style> <![endif]--> [FONT=&quot]Trace Adams[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]1000* - Detroit w/Porcello over Masterson, 500* - Cincinnati w/Bailey over Hart <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Big win for the Tigers last night, as Minnesota kept the pressure on in the Central with their win at Chicago.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Have to lay it, and ride the Tigers once again, as Cleveland has now lost 9 straight, and are just 6-20 their last 26 games overall.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The Tigers continue to own the season series, going 5-2 at Progressive Field, and 12-4 overall in this years season series.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Rick Porcello certainly rates the edge over Justin Masterson, as Procello is 13-9, while Masterson is just 3-7.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Porcello has made a living this year against the Indians, as he is 2-0 in his 3 starts against them, and has allowed just 4 runs in 20 innings of work.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]With the Twins unyielding, the Tigers NEED to continue to win.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Detroit with the win tonight.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]1000♦ - Detroit w/Porcello over Masterson<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]♦♦♦NOTE: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the release!♦♦♦<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The Reds hooked me up with a Pay-After winner last night, and I am riding them again tonight against a Pittsburgh team that has lost 4 straight, and 7 of 8. The Pirates are also in a free-fall of 13-40 overall their last 53 games.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Cincy continues to close strong, winning their last pair, and 7 of 9 overall. The Reds have also won the last 6 meetings against the Bucs, and are 9-4 overall in the season series against Pittsburgh.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]It will be Bailey against Hart, and Homer Bailey has pitched well his last 3 times out, working 18 innings of 4 run ball, but is 0-1 to show for it.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Bailey has 5 wins this season, 2 of them coming against Pittsburgh, while his counterpart Kevin Hart is riding a 5 game losing streak coming into this home start, and has allowed 18 runs in his last 27 innings of work.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Reds are hot, Pirtates are not...It is just that simple.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Lay the road wood, and play Cincy.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]500♦ - Cincinnati w/Bailey over Hart<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]♦♦♦NOTE: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the release!♦♦♦<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]

PAID FOR BY ME - SAM IN SO CAL
 

degenerate
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Dominic Fazzini 10 dime

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mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} </style> <![endif]--> [FONT=&quot]Dominic Fazzini <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Wednesday's play <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]10 Dime -- Rangers (Hunter) over ATHLETICS (Mortensen)[/FONT][FONT=&quot]<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]RANGERS[/FONT][FONT=&quot]<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]NOTE: List only Hunter as Texas' starting pitcher[/FONT][FONT=&quot]<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The red-hot A's have won 13 of 16 games and are 14-6 in September, but they're going to cool off a little today.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Rangers starter Tommy Hunter (8-4, 3.25 ERA) has been solid on the road this season, going 2-1 with a 3.08 ERA in six starts. The rookie right-hander allowed two runs and five hits in five innings Friday in a 2-0 home loss to the Angels.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Hunter is 2-1 with a 4.10 ERA in his last four outings, and is 1-0 with a 3.65 ERA in two starts vs. Oakland.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]A's rookie Clay Mortensen (2-2, 6.12) has won his last two starts after a shaky beginning after coming to Oakland from St. Louis in the Matt Holliday trade, but I'm expecting the right-hander to take a step back today against a Texas team that is watching its postseason hopes slip away.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The Rangers need a win in the worst way, and they are going to do whatever it takes to keep their season alive for as long as they can. Behind Hunter, I think they get the job done. Take Texas to get the victory.[/FONT]


PAID FOR BY ME - SAM IN SO CAL
[FONT=&quot]<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
 
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MLB: (3:30PM) Angels - Yankees // MONEY LINE: NY ML

MLB: (7PM) Nationals - Dodgers // RUN/PUCK LINE: WASHINGTON +1.5

MLB: (7PM) Blue Jays - Orioles // MONEY LINE: TORONTO ML

MLB: (8PM) Astros - Cardinals // MONEY LINE: HOUSTON ML

MLB: (7PM) Pirates - Reds // RUN/PUCK LINE: PITTSBURGH +1.5

MLB: (8:30PM) Rockies - Padres // RUN/PUCK LINE: COLORADO -1.5
 

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