Service Plays Wednesday 09/23/09

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BIG AL's RED-HOT DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH (28-12 Last 40)
At 8:10pm our AL Central Total of the Month is on the Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox 'under' the total. There is little doubt now that lefthander Brian Duensing has secured himself a spot in the Twins rotation for as long as he wants to be there. The rookie southpaw is now 4-1 with a 3.22 ERA and has not been scored on his last two starts, covering over 13 innings and he is 2-0 in those. Duensing has looked impressive since moving into the Twins' rotation, but Friday against Detroit might have been his best start yet. Duensing held the Tigers scoreless over 6 1/3 innings while allowing just four hits, only one of which went for extra bases. As a starter, Duensing is 4-0 with a 1.70 ERA. He has made two starts against the White Sox, the last coming on Sept. 2, when he pitched seven scoreless innings but didn't factor in the decision. Chicago lefthanded ace Mark Buehrle is scheduled to make his 32nd start of the season, and even with the White Sox basically falling from playoff contention, manager Ozzie Guillen said on Friday that Buehrle is likely to take the mound at least one more time. By throwing six-plus innings on Friday, Buehrle became the only active hurler to win at least 10 games, make 30 starts and work 200 innings in nine consecutive seasons. He threw a perfect game on July 23 and hasn't quite pitched to expectations since then, but is still considered one of the best southpaws in the game. The under is 20-7 in the White Sox last 27 games on grass, and I look for another low-scoring game tonight. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
 
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WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis.
Game: Phoenix at Los Angeles (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Phoenix +3 (-110)
Do you remember that 1991 song by C&C Music Factory, "Things That Make You Go Hmmmm"? Well this game reminds me of that song. Phoenix won five more games than LA this season. Phoenix beat LA in three out of four regular season meetings. Yet, the Mercury are the underdog here. Hmmm. Phoenix is averaging 99 points in the playoffs after setting a WNBA record for points scored in the regular season (92.8 per game). Yet, they are the dog here. Hmmm. Well maybe Phoenix can't win on the road? Actually they are 11-7 away from home, not much worse than the Sparks' 12-6 home mark. Hmmm. Maybe the Mercury only beat up on lesser opponents, struggling to beat good teams. Actually, Phoenix is 12-5 ATS this season vs. winning teams including 7-0 in their last seven games. But Phoenix is coming off a poor defensive showing, allowing 92 points to San Antonio. That can't be good, right? As a matter of fact, Phoenix has done this 18 times this season and they are 14-4 ATS in games following a poordefensive effort. Finally, the Sparks are 0-8 ATS the past three seasons coming off a double-digit road win. I like Phoenix plus the points here.
 
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BIG AL's MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL ROAD WARRIOR; 28-12 Last 40
At 10:05 pm our selection is on the Texas Rangers over the Oakland Athletics. Of all the pleasant surprises for the Texas Rangers this season, 23-year-old righthander Tommy Hunter just might be the most pleasant of all of them. Hunter is 8-4 with a 3.25 ERA, and 1.18 WHIP in 16 starts this season and even more impressive, he is 2-1 with a 3.08 ERA in six starts on the road. He has held right-handed hitters to a .203 batting average while left-handers are hitting .263. Opponents are hitting .169 with runners in scoring position, including 3-for-37 when there are two outs. The A's will counter with rookie righthander Clay Mortensen. Mortensen, who came to the A's in July from St. Louis in the Matt Holliday trade, made it two straight victories Thursday night, beating Cleveland. He continued to make progress, showing better command of his pitches and more confidence on the mound. He went five innings, holding the Indians to two runs and four hits while striking out four and walking just three. But Cleveland's lineup is depleted and even when healthy it doesn't have nearly the firepower of the Rangers, even without outfielder Josh Hamilton who continues to sit with a pinched nerve in his back. In fact, after facing Kansas City, Seattle, Minnesota, and the Indians in his last four starts, it's safe to say this will be Mortensen's toughest assignment of late by far. For Hunter's part, he is 1-0 with a 3.65 ERA in two starts against the Athletics. Finally, Oakland is 14-37 vs. pitchers with a WHIP below 1.20. Take the Rangers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
 

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igz1 sports

Wednesday Update
Tuesday Recap: 3-0 MLB
MLB Card updated with 4 picks

MLB
3* Cincinnati -120 (Baily)
 

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Myself I'm 0-4 when tailing this guys WNBA games but I know many of you like him and I found this another site


Indian Cowboy 9/23

4 Unit Play. Take Over 176.5 between the Phoenix Mercury @ LA Sparks (Wednesday @ 10pm est). Sometimes it is not a good idea for a team to defeat another team just prior to the playoffs. Such is the case as these two heavyweights meet each other in the final four of the wnba playoffs. With that in mind, I expect Phoenix to have some revenge today. Keep in mind that they also lost the first game of the series to San Antonio earlier in these playoffs so they will look to not start off in a big hole. The road team has won outright and covered the spread the last three times these two teams have hooked up and I believe that will likely be the case in the playoffs for covering the spread. But rather than go against the Sparks here, I like taking the over with Phoenix as the active dog. The Over is 16-5 for the Mercury the last 21 ballgames and the Over is 2-0 this year when Phoenix has played LA in Staples.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 146.5 between the Indiana Fever @ Detroit Shock (Wednesday @ 8pm est). These two teams are defensive by nature. Notice the last game in Detroit between these two teams the game totaled at 133 - and that was with overtime. I don't believe that was a fluke by any nature. I sincerely believe that these two teams are defensive mind-framed squads. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. And, given that this is the stepping stone to the WNBA Championships, I like a defensive effort out of the game for both of these teams. I normally would have a much longer write-up, but indeed I believe the principle is that simple today. I expect a quality effort from both teams, the total is slowly starting to drop and I like this game to be a defensive contest similar to the last game these to two teams played in the Palace.
Good luck,
IC
 
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Tony Salinas Baseball
Wednesday, September 23, 2009

26*
Tigers {R.Porcello} (-115) over Indians {J.Masterson}
7:05 PM -- Progressive Field
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

25*
Cardinals {J.Smoltz} (-125) over Astros {B.Norris}
8:05 PM -- Minute Maid Park
Cloudy with a 60-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

24*
Twins {B.Duensing}/Whitesox {M.Buehrle} UNDER 8 Runs
8:11 PM -- U.S. Cellular Field
Partly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.
 
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Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2009

INSIDE STEAM BASEBALL PLAY OF THE MONTH
Cincinnati w/Bailey -120 7:05 EST
 
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Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2009

PREFERRED PLAYERS CLUB SUPERPLAY TOTALS WINNER
OVER 9.5 Baltimore and Toronto 7:05 EST
 

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Doc's Sports

Baseball

4-Unit Play Take #971 Detroit Tigers -125 over Cleveland Indians (7:05p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take #976 UNDER 8 ½ RUNS #976 White Sox Minnesota Twins (8:10p.m.)

2-Unit Play Take #960 Milwaukee Brewers -130 over Chicago Cubs (8:05p.m.)
 

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FantasySportsGametime

Wednesday MLB Plays


MLB Baseball

25* Play Philadelphia (-160) over Florida (MLB PLAY)

Philadelphia has won 8 of the last 10 games and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games vs. Florida on the road. Cole Hamels has won 3 of the last 4 games in the month of September and he has an ERA of 2.61 over the last 3 starts.

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25* Play Tampa Bay (-170) over Seattle (MLB PLAY)

Tampa Bay has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 73 of the last 91 games as a home favorite of -150 or higher. Wade Davis has an ERA of 1.29 in home games this season.
 

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Seabass

50 cubs over
50 Fla
30 white Sox
30 cinn
30 Detroit
30 yanks under
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
9/23/09- Wednesday MLB
$5.00

4-1 +29 units yesterday

10*boston-190
10*texas-122
7*astros+114
7*twins+114
5*laa-127
 
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Charlie

mlb. reds @ pirates under 8' runs,
braves @ mets under 8' runs &
boston @ kansas city under 8' runs (500*)


mlb. angels-115 (30*)
mlb. texas-130 (20*)
mlb. st. louis-140 (20*)
mlb mets+135 (10*)
 
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Mr East

Dodgers at NationalsPick: Dodgers -183
The Washington Nationals are completing yet another 100 loss season. They will go with Ross Detwiler against the Dodgers in this one. Detwiler has been an automatic fade for the Nats, as he has made 11 starts for the Nationals, and they are 0-11 in those starts. He has now appeared in 13 big league games with his team at 0-13. Chad Billingsley is a top of the rotation pitcher, and he is 3-0 for his career vs the Nats. The Nats are now 36-102 following a loss. The Dodgers are 13-5 vs the Nats in their last 18 meetings, and this one is lopsided. I'm going with LA here.
 

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