Jimmy Boyd
MLB Baseball Premium Picks
MLB | Sep 09 '09 (7:05p)
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies -1½-115
4* Major Wednesday Night *BASES BEST BET* on Phillies -1.5 -115
I like the Phillies by at least 2 runs tonight. Washington's Garrett Mock will start against Philadelphia for the first time tonight, but Philly is very familiar with him. He has a 5.40 ERA in nine career relief appearances against the Phillies, including a 9.00 ERA in four this year. I expect them to knock him out in the first 5 innings and then have their way with a pen that has an ERA of 5.17 this season. Lee gets the ball for the Phillies and he'll be hungry for a win tonight after consecutive poor outings. It's mighty embarrassing for an ace to get knocked around by a bottom feeder so I expect Lee to bring his A-game. The Phillies are 11-2 against the Nats this season, including 6-1 in Washington. The Nationals are 50-105 in their last 155 overall and 33-97 in their last 130 games following a loss. This looks like a solid spot to fade them again.
MLB Baseball Premium Picks
MLB | Sep 09 '09 (7:05p)
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies -1½-115
4* Major Wednesday Night *BASES BEST BET* on Phillies -1.5 -115
I like the Phillies by at least 2 runs tonight. Washington's Garrett Mock will start against Philadelphia for the first time tonight, but Philly is very familiar with him. He has a 5.40 ERA in nine career relief appearances against the Phillies, including a 9.00 ERA in four this year. I expect them to knock him out in the first 5 innings and then have their way with a pen that has an ERA of 5.17 this season. Lee gets the ball for the Phillies and he'll be hungry for a win tonight after consecutive poor outings. It's mighty embarrassing for an ace to get knocked around by a bottom feeder so I expect Lee to bring his A-game. The Phillies are 11-2 against the Nats this season, including 6-1 in Washington. The Nationals are 50-105 in their last 155 overall and 33-97 in their last 130 games following a loss. This looks like a solid spot to fade them again.
Jeff Benton Wednesday's 30 Dime MLB Run-Line Game of the Year ... 30 Dime: BLUE JAYS on the run line (-1 1/2 runs) vs. Twins ... NOTE: Roy Halladay and Carl Pavano must start this game, or this play is VOID!
Blue Jays (-1½ runs)
The Minnesota Twins can’t beat the Toronto Blue Jays, and more importantly, the Twins can’t deal with Roy Halladay. So to be getting a Halladay vs. Carl Pavano matchup north of the border is like stealing money.
Going back to July 2007, these teams have met 15 times, and Toronto has won 13 of those games. Of those 13 wins, 10 have come by multiple runs, including all four victories this year (by the combined score of 35-13, no less). And in the last nine clashes in Canada, the Blue Jays have gone 8-1, scoring 62 runs and giving up 23 in the last nine games.
As for Halladay, check out these career numbers versus the Twins: 8-0, 2.77 ERA, 0.97 WHIP in 12 games (10 starts). The Blue Jays are 9-1 in his 10 starts against Minnesota (seven of the nine being multiple-run wins), including 4-0 at home (all four multiple-run wins). Halladay has faced Minnesota once this season, back on April 16 in the Metrodome, and he cruised to a 9-2 victory, allowing just one run over seven innings with eight Ks and no BBs.
How have the Twins best hitters fared against Halladay over the years? Well, Justin Morneau is 3-for-12, Joe Mauer is 1-for-10, Jason Kubel is 1-for-12 and Michael Cuddyer is 2-for-9. Among those four sluggers, they have a total of four RBIs in 43 at-bats!
Most importantly as it pertains to Halladay, after three consecutive subpar starts (all losses) to end August, the All-Star right-hander returned to form in his first start of September. On Thursday, facing the hottest team and best offense in baseball, he twirled a brilliant complete-game one-hitter, beating the Yankees 6-0. It was Halladay’s fourth complete game in his last 10 starts and the sixth time this season he’s finished a game.
What about Pavano, you ask? Well, he’s definitely pitched OK lately (3.32 ERA last three starts), but he lost two of those games, falling 3-0 to Texas on Aug. 29 and 5-2 at Cleveland on Thursday. But here’s all you need to know about Pavano: The last two times he’s pitched in Canada – once with the Indians in July this year and once with the Yankees in September last season – Pavano gave up 12 runs in 8 1/3 innings, and the Blue Jays won by scores of 8-2 and 10-6.
Finally, even though this has been another lost season in Toronto after a red-hot start to 2009, when the Blue Jays do win, they tend to win big. Their last four wins: 18-10 at Texas, 6-0 over the Yankees (Halladay’s win on Thursday), 14-8 over the Yankees, 6-3 over Minnesota. In fact, 27 of the team’s last 34 victories dating to May 29 have come by more than one run. Meanwhile, the Twins’ last 10 defeats have been by more than one run.
Add it all up and we’re looking at another blowout Blue Jays win over Minnesota and another dominating outing by Halladay. Take the Blue Jays and lay the 1½ runs.
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Blue Jays (-1½ runs)
The Minnesota Twins can’t beat the Toronto Blue Jays, and more importantly, the Twins can’t deal with Roy Halladay. So to be getting a Halladay vs. Carl Pavano matchup north of the border is like stealing money.
Going back to July 2007, these teams have met 15 times, and Toronto has won 13 of those games. Of those 13 wins, 10 have come by multiple runs, including all four victories this year (by the combined score of 35-13, no less). And in the last nine clashes in Canada, the Blue Jays have gone 8-1, scoring 62 runs and giving up 23 in the last nine games.
As for Halladay, check out these career numbers versus the Twins: 8-0, 2.77 ERA, 0.97 WHIP in 12 games (10 starts). The Blue Jays are 9-1 in his 10 starts against Minnesota (seven of the nine being multiple-run wins), including 4-0 at home (all four multiple-run wins). Halladay has faced Minnesota once this season, back on April 16 in the Metrodome, and he cruised to a 9-2 victory, allowing just one run over seven innings with eight Ks and no BBs.
How have the Twins best hitters fared against Halladay over the years? Well, Justin Morneau is 3-for-12, Joe Mauer is 1-for-10, Jason Kubel is 1-for-12 and Michael Cuddyer is 2-for-9. Among those four sluggers, they have a total of four RBIs in 43 at-bats!
Most importantly as it pertains to Halladay, after three consecutive subpar starts (all losses) to end August, the All-Star right-hander returned to form in his first start of September. On Thursday, facing the hottest team and best offense in baseball, he twirled a brilliant complete-game one-hitter, beating the Yankees 6-0. It was Halladay’s fourth complete game in his last 10 starts and the sixth time this season he’s finished a game.
What about Pavano, you ask? Well, he’s definitely pitched OK lately (3.32 ERA last three starts), but he lost two of those games, falling 3-0 to Texas on Aug. 29 and 5-2 at Cleveland on Thursday. But here’s all you need to know about Pavano: The last two times he’s pitched in Canada – once with the Indians in July this year and once with the Yankees in September last season – Pavano gave up 12 runs in 8 1/3 innings, and the Blue Jays won by scores of 8-2 and 10-6.
Finally, even though this has been another lost season in Toronto after a red-hot start to 2009, when the Blue Jays do win, they tend to win big. Their last four wins: 18-10 at Texas, 6-0 over the Yankees (Halladay’s win on Thursday), 14-8 over the Yankees, 6-3 over Minnesota. In fact, 27 of the team’s last 34 victories dating to May 29 have come by more than one run. Meanwhile, the Twins’ last 10 defeats have been by more than one run.
Add it all up and we’re looking at another blowout Blue Jays win over Minnesota and another dominating outing by Halladay. Take the Blue Jays and lay the 1½ runs.
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Sid Paradise - 9/9
MLB
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Dodgers @ Diamondbacks -123, 1015pm Et
Jon Garland takes the hill tonight for the Dodgers and he has been great his last three trips to the mound. One of those trips was against his former team, the Diamondbacks, who he shut out. He'll get another chance tonight in Arizona. With such a hot pitcher on the mound it's hard to pass up on the underdog in this one.
Pick- Dodgers +113 (4* play)
Braves @ Astros -123, 805pm Et
The braves took game one of this series yesterday and look to start a winning streak as they send Tommy Hanson to the mound for his first start vs Houston. Wandy Rodriguez takes the hill for the Astros, who has been dominate at home this season going 8-2 with a 1.60 ERA in 13 home starts. Because the Astros haven't faced the rookie yet I think they will have a tough time hitting him tonight, while the Braves are 28-18 this season vs lefties. At +113 we are getting good value for a small play here.
Pick- Braves +113 (2* play)
MLB
Thank you for purchasing my package.
Dodgers @ Diamondbacks -123, 1015pm Et
Jon Garland takes the hill tonight for the Dodgers and he has been great his last three trips to the mound. One of those trips was against his former team, the Diamondbacks, who he shut out. He'll get another chance tonight in Arizona. With such a hot pitcher on the mound it's hard to pass up on the underdog in this one.
Pick- Dodgers +113 (4* play)
Braves @ Astros -123, 805pm Et
The braves took game one of this series yesterday and look to start a winning streak as they send Tommy Hanson to the mound for his first start vs Houston. Wandy Rodriguez takes the hill for the Astros, who has been dominate at home this season going 8-2 with a 1.60 ERA in 13 home starts. Because the Astros haven't faced the rookie yet I think they will have a tough time hitting him tonight, while the Braves are 28-18 this season vs lefties. At +113 we are getting good value for a small play here.
Pick- Braves +113 (2* play)
