Service Plays Wednesday 09/09/09

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The Sports Investing Professional - Wednesday

Yesterdays Recap - It's so frustrating when the only game on my board that was
a loss was the one I gave out to you guys and what a tough bullpen loss but isn't that the
story of 2009? I know that you guys want picks each day and I'll do my best to accomodate but that is a little bit against the philosiphy of the blog. I just want everyone to think in terms of INVESTING not just playing......so certainly I hope everyone understands when we don't have plays every day.
No sense in making any unnecessary moves when we have a strong weekend card.

Todays Plays - We're really going to have to try and pick our spots in MLB. So we'll actually play 2 games today. Texas - The definately NEED the game and their starter, Feldman, has been nearly un-hittable in his last few starts. San Francisco - This is a combo play. A fade of LeBlanc and I never thought I'd say this but Zito has just been a solid professional pitcher over his last 10 starts.

MLB - San Francisco -175 {Listed} Le Blanc / Zito 875.00 / 500.00
MLB - Texas Rangers -140 {Listed} Feldman / Carmona 700.00 / 500.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional
Twitter: tsipro

Record (42-28) +$3,009
 

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Kelso's Highrollers Baseball MLB Pick For Today

National League Game Of Week

15 UnitsPhillies {C.Lee} (-1½ Runs, -120) over Nationals {G.Mock}

7:05 PM -- Nationals Park
Philadelphia Phillies (78-58) -1 ½ Runs -120 over WASHINGTON NATIONALS (47-91) Pitching for Philadelphia: LH Cliff Lee (12-11, 3.06) Pitching for Washington: RH Garrett Mock (3-7, 5.63) Starting Time: 7:05 TV: Comcast Sports Network Philadelphia, Mid-Atlantic Sports Network2
Mostly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing in from center field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
 

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Unlocked Sports

MLB record 27-23-1 +18.07 units

We have 2 MLB plays today.

1) Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Indians - 12:05 pm early game

Pick: Texas -1.5 (3 units)

Scott Feldman (15-4, 3.62) gets the nod for Texas and this gives you every reason to play the Rangers in this early contest. He's been absolutely sensational on the road this year going 11-1 with an ERA of 2.80. In his last 4 road contests he has allowed only 2 runs in 24 1/3 innings. He will be facing Fausto Carmona (3-9, 6.08). Carmona's numbers tell the story. Cleveland is 0-4 in Carmona's last 4 home starts versus Texas.

Lay 3 units on the Rangers runline.

2) Oakland Athletics vs Chicago White Sox

Pick: UNDER 9.5 (3 units)
 

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Robert Ferringo

NFL Week 1 Selection
7-Unit Play. Take #478 Green Bay (-3) over Chicago (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
Note: This is my NFL Game of the Month
 

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Dave Malinsky

Top of the Ticket - Afternoon

St. Louis Cardinals (Wainwright)-190 over MILWAUKEE BREWERS (Suppan)

3* #953 ST. LOUIS over MILWAUKEE

We certainly did not expect the markets to flock to the Brewers in this one, off of the kind of devastating loss last night that losing teams do not recover well from this late in the season. But we can understand where part of the logic comes from, while also completely disagreeing with it, and with the line reaching a threshold that enables us to put a 3* in play we are there. The pitch that we believe the markets are swinging it is the appearance of OK form for Jeff Suppan since coming off of the DL ? he has worked to a 1-0/2.81 over three starts. But let?s go to work. First, note that Suppan was simply awful in a pair of rehab starts, allowing nine runs on 13 hits over seven innings. Then note that in those three games back the ERA is purely sleight of hand ? he has allowed 19 hits and 12 walks over 16 innings, a WHIP that would double the actual runs allowed, and has only had five strikeouts. When your walks more than double your strikeouts, you are not ready to be back in a rotation yet. But here is the kicker ? those three games were home starts against the Pirates, Reds and Giants, who are 16th, 14th and 13th in the N.L. in runs scored. The bottom line is that he has shown absolutely nothing vs. weak competition over the past few weeks, but escaped statistically because sometimes the geometry of baseball allows it. Pencil him in for a comeuppance today, with the usual problems against Albert Pujols (.351), and a nightmare of a matchup against Tuesday?s hero Matt Holliday (how about 7-11, with three home runs, a double, and four walks?). The bullpen is also not positioned well after Mann Parra?s early Tuesday exit, with Carlos Villanueva and Claudio Vargas almost sure scratches for this night-to-day setting, and the confidence of Hoffman also an issue. Meanwhile Adam Wainwright finally had a bad inning in his last start, after a remarkable run of 13 straight games of two runs or less, but bouncing back will not be a problem ? in 10 starts after allowing four runs or more the past two seasons he has responded with a 2.66 in the ensuing game. If anything, getting roughed up in the 5th at Pittsburgh both puts a chip on his shoulder and brings him in fresher here, with that count of 98 pitches matching his second low over the past three months. He has more strikeouts than hits allowed vs. both Ryan Braun and Cecil Fielder, and with Ryan Franklin having been given a couple of days off the latter stages are also in very good hands.
 

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Randall the Handle

Baltimore +1.85 over BOSTON (1st 5 innings) PINNACLE
Paul Byrd is probably the biggest stiff in the league and it might not be close. This guy barely got an out in his last start, alloweing seven runs and 10 hits in 2.1 innings of work before he was yanked with the Bosox down 7-0. Byrd is a 38-yr-old pitcher that has nothing left in the tank after a long and very average career. He was a stiff the past few years, he’s been off for a year and had no plans on even pitching this year until the Red Sox called him up out of the blue for some temporary help. He was one start left in his life and this is it and should the wager go down, so be it. The bottom line here is that we’re going with the best of it at this price and it would be absolutely shocking to not see the O’s score a few early. Play: Boston +1.85 (Risking 2 units).




September 9, 2009 2:00pm EST
World Cup Qualifiers - Europe
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA +1.70 OVER Turkey PINNACLE
This is a huge match for both countries here, as only four points separate the two sides. Turkey will be the more desperate team as they view this as a must win if they are to creep within a point of Bosnia for that all important 2nd spot in group 5. Turkey beat Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-1 in Istanbul when these two first met, however, this match is not in Istanbul and Turkey seems to struggle mightily on the road, as was displayed when they tied an awful Estonian team 0-0. On the flip side Bosnia-Herzegovina has yet to lose at home and will be ready for Turkey as they try to solidify second place and knock Turkey out of contention. Bosnia-Herzegovina has plenty of quality on the attacking side and is well organized in the back. Turkey has been resilient in the past and has shown they can defy the odds, however, this Bosnian team is a very good one and with a win they will lock up 2nd place. Bosnia-Herzegovina will also have revenge on their mind as they let a 1-0 lead slip in Istanbul losing 2-1. At home Bosnia-Herzegovina is extremely tough and the home crowd will provide an added boost lifting the Bosnians to a victory. Play: BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA +1.70 (Risking 2 units)


September 9, 2009 2:45pm EST
World Cup Qualifiers - Europe
Poland +1.73 over SLOVENIA PINNACLE
Poland travels to Slovenia as both countries are tied in 3rd place with 11 points each only 3 points behind second place Northern Ireland. Needless to say this is a massive match for both teams, as they will go for the win. Slovenia has played surprisingly good soccer and has a stingy defense allowing only four goals against in seven matches; however, they struggle to put the ball in the net as their 10 goals in seven matches will attest to. Poland has far more quality and will come out gunning from the start putting all sorts of pressure testing the Slovenian back line and goalkeeper. Slovenia’s last match was August 12, almost a full month ago and will show their rust while Poland played this past weekend drawing 1-1 with Northern Ireland and will be the better prepared team in this one. Overall, in a meaningful match Poland definitely has the better team and will show their quality and experience in this match. Play: Poland +1.73 (Risking 2 units)


September 9, 2009 3:00pm EST
World Cup Qualifiers - Europe
SERBIA +2.05 OVER France PINNACLE
I am not sure why odds makers have made Serbia an underdog in this one. They are first place in group 7, four points clear of 2nd place France, and are playing in Serbia. France is fortunate that they were placed in a weak group and are in second place only scoring nine goals while allowing seven makes me scratch my head wondering how can a team being only +2 in goal differential be in second place? This is not the France of old when they used to terrorize all competitions with a star-studded line up. Nobody is scared of France anymore; throw in the fact that their best player, Franck Ribery, will most likely not participate in this one due to injury, I cannot see Serbia losing at home here. Serbia is a very dangerous team on both sides of the ball as they have scored with ease burying 15 goals while only allowing five in the process. Serbia did lose in France 2-1, its only loss thus far; this along the idea that if they win they clinch top spot will certainly motivate the home side in this one. Play: SERBIA +2.05 (Risking 2 units)

September 9, 2009 7:00pm EST
World Cup Qualifiers - South America
Argentina +1.31 over PARAGUAY PINNACLE
There is now more pressure on Argentina than there has ever been in a long, long time to qualify for the World Cup in 2010. Argentina currently sits in 4th place only two points ahead of Colombia and come into this match-up five points behind Paraguay for 3rd place. Argentina was embarrassed at home against arch-rival Brazil 3-1 on Saturday. Chances are great they’ll win here, as they have way too much talent and too much pride at stake to lose. Albeit Paraguay is a very good team with talent and they’re playing this game at home. If Argentina fails to win we may see many changes starting with either the firing or resignation of Coach Diego Maradona. I just think the Argentine players will be ready for this one and will come out firing on all cylinders. Once again, Argentina has some of the world’s best players starting with Lionel Messi and Co. I can’t see them dropping this all-important contest. Can you imagine the 2010 World Cup in South Africa without the world’s two best players in C.Ronaldo and L.Messi? I certainly cannot. Play: Argentina +1.31 (Risking 2 units)
 

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Tony Salinas Baseball

26*
NY Yankees (-140) over Devilrays
Mostly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing in from left field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.

25*
Athletics (+115) over Whitesox
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from left to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

24*
LA Angels (-210) over Mariners
Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.
 

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Gina

Wednesday, September 9th, 2009 7:05 p.m. est.

Philadelphia Phillies (78-58) at Washington Nationals (47-91)
(L) Cliff Lee (5-2) vs. (R) Garrett Mock (3-7)

Philadelphia's Cliff Lee (5-2, 2.81 ERA) is 1-2 with a 7.20 ERA in his last three starts. The lefthander has never faced the Nationals. The Phillies are 5-2 in Lees last 7 starts.

Washington's Garrett Mock (3-7, 5.63) is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander has a 5.40 ERA in nine career relief appearances against the Phillies. The Nationals are 4-9 in Mocks last 13 starts.

The Phillies have struggle away from home, just 1-5 in their last 6 road games. But, the sad Nationals are 2-9 in their last 11 home games and have lost six of Garrett Mock last 7 starts at Nationals Park. Go with Philadelphia to seize its eight straight win over Washington. The Phillies have won the last five contests against the Nationals in Washington, including Tuesday's 5-3 victory. Washington is 1-9 in their last 10 games.

Philadelphia Phillies -210
 
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Mr. A's

Wednesday, September 9th, 2009 2:05 PM EST.
St. Louis Cardinals (83-57) at Milwaukee Brewers (66-72)
(R) Adam Wainwright (17-7) vs. (R) Jeff Suppan (6-8)
Oddsmakers: St. Louis as a -210 road favorite with the total listed at 8½ 'over'.

St. Louis Cardinals -220


Wednesday, September 9th, 2009 7:05 PM EST.
Minnesota Twins (69-69) at Toronto Blue Jays (62-76)
(R) Carl Pavano (11-11) vs. (R) Roy Halladay (14-8)
Oddsmakers: Toronto as a -200 home favorite with the total listed at 7½ 'over'.

Toronto Blue Jays -200
 
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Joe Wiz pay after you win service for 9/9 Cubs

NCAAF: 1-4 (-3.40 units)
MLB: 3-0 (+3.00 units)

Early NCAAF bonus Georgia Tech
 

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FantasySportsGametime

Wednesday MLB Plays



MLB Baseball

25* Play San Francisco (-170) over San Diego (MLB PLAY)

San Francisco has won 40 of the last 59 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also won 29 of the last 40 home games when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher. San Diego has lost 34 of the last 46 games when playing on a Wednesday and they have also lost 19 of the last 28 road games as an underdog of +150 or higher.


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25* Play Detroit (-190) over Kansas City (MLB PLAY)


Justin Verlander has won 4 of the last 5 games as a favorite of -175 to -250 and he has also won 8 of the last 9 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs. Justin Verlander is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 3.32 and he is also 9-1 vs. Kansas City over his career with an ERA of 2.38.


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these guys always seem to play the BIG favorites.....:>(
 
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Wunderdog Horse Selection

DELAWARE PARK Race #6 at 3:30 PM Eastern

Top pick: #8 (BWANA BABE) - Florida shipper ran well in her first pair and was bet heavily in both. Daughter of "Bwana Charlie" was over-matched in a 100K stakes last out and she's well spotted this afternoon to pick up the win.​
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2nd pick: #5 (Stefani's Surprise) - Filly was scratched yesterday to run here. Working nicely at Fair Hill in Maryland, she's in a good barn with debuting stock (Mike Trombetta 22%) and he names Annie Napravnik who has won with 5 of her last 20 riding for him.​
3rd pick: #3 (Snow Sprite) - She backed up readily in both starts, but drops into a claimer for the first time and gets the addition of blinkers. Look for much better this afternoon.​
4th pick: #6 (La Riviera Mya) - Off slowly in her debut, filly showed good speed in her 2nd start before weakening in the last furlong. Lasix is added today and she should hang on better.​
 

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igz1 sports

Wednesday Card
MLB
3* Texas -140 (Feldman)
3* Chicago Cubs RL -1.5 (+100) (Zambrano)
 

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