SportsbetCapping-Freddy Wills (Fast Cash Freddy)
Today's MLB POD is going to be on the match up between the Mariners and the Orioles.
The pitching match up is the same pitching match up that met three times last year. Felix Hernandez matched up against Jeremy Guthrie three times last year and the totals were 4 runs, 6 runs and 5 runs. Both pitched very well and I think they will here again tonight.
Guthrie is coming off a road start where he gave up 6 ER in .2 IP. I think he will bounce back well. I like taking solid pitchers at home coming off a poor road start in this situation. The fact that the Mariners aren't favorites and 88% of the public are on the Mariners and the line has not budged tells me that the we can expect a quality start out of Guthrie.
Felix who had a start here of 8IP 0ER last year is pitching at his best right now. 21.2IP 1.11 whip and a 0.83 ERA in his last three starts. I don't have to tell you that Felix is a solid pitcher now do I?
Baltimore scoring just 1.48 runs/0 in their last 10 vs. RHP and SEA 3.71 last 10 vs. RHP along with both bullpens pitching well 2.10 ERA last 10 for SEA and 3.34 ERA for BAL gives us a solid edge on the under.
Worth mentioning: Felix 11-1 on the under in his last 12 vs. AL East. Guthrie under 7-0 in his last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Take Under 8.5 runs 4U MLB POD