Service Plays Wednesday 06/10/09

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The Degenerate Gambler
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Pirates+200

Jair Jurrgens is over priced in this spot today. He has struggled his last three outings with a 5.50 ERA, 11 earned runs, and 25 hits in just 18 innings. Jurrjens is 1-2 with a 3.18 ERA in three career starts versus Pittsburgh in his young career. Jurrgens has been a two to one favorite once before in his career and he lost that game vs. Washington as a -211 favorite last season. There is no doubt the young hurler is very talented but at this point we don't see him laying two to one odds in this situation. His bullpen has been struggling with a 6.12 ERA in the past three games. Two nights ago they blew a 6-3 lead in the 7th inning to Pittsburgh and eventually won in extra innings.

The Braves are facing a player they dealt away in the Nate McLouth deal. Righty Charlie Morton should be plenty motivated tonight to face his old team. Coaches have talked highly of Morton ever since being selected in the third round of the 2002 draft by Atlanta. He has a 94-97 MPH fastball, a lights out slider, a solid curveball, and a decent changeup. Even after a rough rookie season last year the Atlanta system still considered him to have the upside of Jo Jo Reyes and Jair Jurrgens if he could get things to pan out. The Pirates have lost the first two games by one run and have seen their bullpen pitching very solid of late. That's a good sign since Morton will be on a pitch count tonight in his debut for the Bucs. We expect them to hit Jurrgens well since they are batting .294 vs. right handed hurlers the past 10 games vs. the Braves batting just .255 vs right handed pitchers their past 10 games. Morton has a lot of heart and it will be on display tonight vs. his former team and we love the dog value.
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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John Morrison

(MLB baseball) -> Seattle +100 Money Line Their game is against Baltimore at 705 PM E.T.

(MLB baseball) -> Tampa Bay +100 Money Line Their game is against Los Angeles Angels at 7:05 PM E.T.
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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charlie

mlb. kansas city @ cleveland under 9 runs (500*).
mlb. reds-115 (30*)
mlb. cubs-115 (20*)
mlb. seattle-115 (20*)
mlb. white sox+125 (10*)
mlb. st. louis+100 (10*) Bonus Play
 

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Wednesday MLBWednesday, June 10, 2009 3:32 PM
From: "sales@bettingasabusiness.com" <sales@bettingasabusiness.com>Add sender to ContactsTo: sales@bettingasabusiness.comMLB: 6/10
5 Plays Total Risk 6.25 Units

Parlay: Houston (Rodriguez) +104 / Chicago Cubs (Zambrano) & Under 8.5 Runs (-110) 8:05 ET Risk 1 Unit to win 2.90 Units

Over 9 Runs (-110) San Francisco (Zito) / Arizona (Davis) 9:40 ET 1.75 Units

LA Angels (Lackey) +105 / Tampa Bay (Niemann) 7:05 ET 1 Unit

Kansas City (Meche) +128 / Cleveland (Pavano) 7:05 ET 1.5 Unit

Over 7.5 Runs (-115) Minnesota (Liriano) / Oakland (Braden) 10:05 ET 1 Unit

-End


1 & 7 yesterday!!!!!!!!
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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Randall the Handle




BOSTON -1½ +1.54 over NY Yankees

This choice is all about playing against Chien-Ming Wang, a guy that is so mentally damaged right now that going against him just makes sense. Wang looks like a deer in the headlights out there and although he may turn it around at some point, it’s highly unlikely that’ll occur here. I don’t really need to go into his numbers, as they’re well documented and they’re not pretty. Wang has not had a quality start all year and that’s a big understatement. The opposition is hitting .443 off him and he’s allowed four jacks in just 18 frames. Incidentally, in four starts he’s pitched a combined 10.2 innings and hasn’t come close to pitching deep into any game. The Red Sox are not the team you want to face when you can’t get anyone out and you can be damn sure, they’re licking their chops waiting to get at him. He virtually has no chance of success at this venue under these circumstances. The Red Sox are beating up on the Yankees and what we have here is a frustrated Yanks team that can’t beat the team they want to beat most and things are not about to change here. Play: Boston -1½ +1.54 (Risking 2 units).



Toronto +1.46 over TEXAS

The Blue Jays got their groove back and at this price they’re absolutely worth a wager tonight. Kevin Millwood is having a very decent year but he’s never faired well against the Jays, as his 1-4 career mark and 6.25 ERA will attest to. The Jays have come in here and have exploded for 15 runs while allowing just three. In addition, Ricky Romero is a quality pitcher that throws strikes and that has four quality starts in six games. He was hit hard in Baltimore and he was hit hard by the Red Sox but the Rangers bats have cooled off dramatically over the last four games, scoring just 10 times over that stretch. Throw out the six they scored on Sunday and they’ve scored four times in three games. The Jays pen is hot, their bats are warming up while the Rangers bats are cold, thus, give the Jays a great chance for the sweep. Play: Toronto +1.46 (Risking 2 units).



CLEVELAND -1½ +1.51 over Kansas City

The Royals are a complete and utter joke right now. They’ve lost 10 of 11 and they’ve lost 22 of its last 28 games. They can’t score runs, they can’t get stop others from scoring and the result have been a whole bunch of lopsided losses. Meanwhile, the Indians are coming on. This is a dangerous team that could go on a serious run and it’s highly doubtful the pathetic Royals are going to stop them. Carl Pavano throws nothing but strikes, rarely walking anyone and he’s gaining big time steam right now. Pavano has gone 6-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his last eight outings and he’s coming off a three-hitter, complete game against the White Sox. Gil Meche is capable of pitching well but it’s very difficult to go out there knowing you have to be near perfect to win. No pitcher on the Royals is getting any support and against Pavano they’ll be no support once again. The Royals are seeing BB’s, they have no confidence, they know they’re going to lose and the Indians are waiting in the wings for their prey. Do not miss this bet. Play: Cleveland -1½ +1.51 (Risking 2 units).
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Master sports

4*...oakland...with..braden

from nc sports


rocketman's...play is 4' *
 

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SportsbetCapping-Freddy Wills (Fast Cash Freddy)


Today we have a Steam Chalk Play on the Phillies. It hurts me to say, but I see a dominant performance coming from Cole Hamels here tonight. The Mets one of the better teams last year vs. LHP have really struggled this year. They are scoring just 2.59 runs in their last 10 vs. LHP with a .215 average.

They'll likely not get much here tonight in my opinion unless it comes from Beltran and Wright. Hamels will be able to relax because Delgado won't be in the lineup. Delgado is 7-15 3HR and 6 RBI lifetime against Cole. You take him out of the lineup and his numbers look a lot better against the Mets.

Pelfrey will go on the mound here tonight where he has only gone more than 5.1 IP 2 times in 6 tries against the Phillies. I think he will have his work cut out for him, but I think we will have a pitching duel. In the end the Phillies are left standing.

Steam Chalk Play- with 74% on the Phillies the line as reacted accordingly from opening at -124 it has now soared to -150 to -160 in some places.

Take Phillies 2U play @ -150
 
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William E. Stockton's MEMBERS PICKS for Wednesday, June 10, 2009:


20* MLB Seattle +100(100 Dime BIG TICKET)
20* MLB Mets over 8
10* MLB St Louis over 8
10* MLB Yankees over 11
10* MLB Toronto +145
10* MLB Twins over 8
 
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Street Rosenthal of Handicappingtrends.com

*300 Texas Rangers -158

Here are a few trends favoring a Rangers win tonight.
- The Blue Jays are 10-28 since 2005 season on the road vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series,
- The Blue Jays are 4-21 since 2005 season as a 140+ dog when they are off a win in which they never trailed.
- The Rangers are 29-11 since 2004 season as a home favorite when they are off a loss in which they never led and it is not the first game of a series.

*500 Baltimore Orioles -102

The largest play I have is a *500. The betting public is favoring the Mariners tonight and I have multiple trends against Seattle. Here are a couple of those trends for tonight.
- The Mariners are 5-29 SU since 2007 season on the road when they blew a lead in their starters last start.
- The mariners are 9-33 SU since 2004 season on the road after a loss in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks.
 

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