Service Plays Wednesday 06/03/09

[sLim901]

Jack Jones Full Card


-= TOP PLAY =- MLB | Jun 03 '09 (7:05p)
Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees
Texas Rangers +155 at spbook
20* Texas Rangers +155

I'll take Texas as a large dog with Scott Feldman on the mound. This guy is 4-0 in seven starts with a 2.59 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Andy Pettitte isn't the same guy he was in the past as he has a 5.57 ERA and 1.61 WHIP at home. Yeah the Yankees have been hot, but the Rangers have dominated left-handed pitching, scoring 6.5 runs per game against them. The value here is with Texas.

MLB | Jun 03 '09 (7:05p)
LAA Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays +110 at 5dimes
15* Toronto Blue Jays +110

I'll take the home team here since the Angels are only putting up 3.7 runs per over their last seven games, hitting .235 during that span. Toronto hasnt' been hitting great either, but they are scoring 5.2 runs per game against right-handed pitching and 5.2 per game at home. Casey Janssen has made two starts against the Angels and he's yet to give up an ER. Weaver has been solid this year, but on the road he has a 4.5 ERA and 1.63 WHIP so it's tough not to like the Jays tonight. MLB | Jun 03 '09 (10:10p)

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners-120 at 5dimes
15* Seattle Mariners -120

Jason Vargas has been dangerous this year with a 1.90 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in his four starts. Bradley Bergesen on the other hand has a 5.50 ERA and 1.33 WHIP on the road. Seattle has also been able to score here lately, putting up 4.9 runs over their last seven games and Baltimore has struggled against lefties with a .252 average and only 3.9 runs per game

 

[sLim901]

Lance's Lock


Overall record: 795-681-30

Current streak: 1 loss

Todays play: The Nationals -115

 

[sLim901]

Premium picks from Jimmy Boyd

MLB Baseball Premium Picks
-= TOP PLAY =-
MLB | Jun 03 '09 (7:05p)
New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates New York Mets
-114
5* Wednesday Night Bases BEST BET on Mets -114
After back-to-back defeats to Pittsburgh, expect the Mets to bounce back strong tonight. New York has the edge on the mound with Pelfrey as they are 7-2 in his starts this season and 3-1 in his road starts. He has continued to get better and better this season, posting a 2.18 ERA over his last 3 starts while the Pirates' Ohlendorf has struggled over his last three outings, posting a 6.11 ERA. The Mets are 4-0 in Pelfrey's last 4 starts as a favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. the National League Central. The Mets are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite and 11-2 in Pelfrey's last 13 starts vs. a team with a losing record. New York is due tonight. Bet the Mets.

MLB | Jun 03 '09 (8:05p)
Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Colorado Rockies
-105
4* Major MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* of the Week on Colorado Rockies -105
The Rockies have the big edge tonight in this bounce back spot with Marquis on the hill, who is 7-3 with a 3.93 ERA this season. He has been even better on the road at 4-1 with a 2.70 ERA and he has been even better yet of late, going 3-0 with an ERA of just 1.14. The Astros send Moehler to the mound with his 0-2 home record and his 9.22 home ERA. Moehler is 0-3 against the money line in his career against the Rockies with an ERA of 7.16. Lastly, Marquis is 14-4 against the money line after a team loss over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Rockies.

MLB | Jun 03 '09 (8:10p)
Oakland Athletics vs Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox-128

3* Wednesday Night MLB Bounce Back Blowout on White Sox -128
I'll back the White Sox in this bounce back spot tonight after getting shut out 5-0 yesterday. A couple good young pitchers take the mound tonight, but I give the edge to Richard at home as Oakland is only 2-15 in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons and 5-21 in road games vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons. Plus, the A's have struggled immensely against southpaws. The Athletics are 5-16 in their last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter. The White Sox have fared well against lefties on the other hand, going 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Plus, the White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Bet the Sox tonight.

 

[sLim901]

Donnie Black Sports

Houston v. Colorado Over 9.5

 

[sLim901]

MLB Computer Picks

Boston Red Sox -150

Pittsburgh Pirates -105

Tampa Bay Rays -145

 

[sLim901]

Mr A

New York Yankees -175

San Francisco Giants +110

 

[sLim901]

GINA

Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays

Kansas City's Brian Bannister is 1-1 with a 6.88 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 1-2 with a 4.42 ERA in three career starts against Tampa Bay.Tampa Bay's Jeff Niemann (4-4, 4.44 ERA) is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander has never face the Royals.

The struggling Royals have dropped five straight and have been dreadful away from home, just 1-8 in their last 9 road games. Look for the Rays to grab a win tonight at Tropicana Field. They have won four of their last five home games and six of the last 7 against Kansas City in Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Rays -140

 

[sLim901]

06/03/09
11:24 AM Smart Money MLB Wiseguys just hit #905 Milwaukee OVER.

 

[cork999]

<TABLE id=Table_01 height=29 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=banner3 width="100%">Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #1 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=Table_01 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=DNNAlignleft id=dnn_ctr754_ContentPane align=left width="100%"><!-- Start_Module_754 -->TEXAS RANGERS @ NY YANKEES 7:05 ET
Play On: RANGER + 140

FELDMAN IS 4 - 0 SO FAR THIS YEAR. HE IS 3 - 0 ON THE ROAD. HIS LAST 18 INNINGS HIS ERA 2.5. HE WILL SHUT DOWN THE YANKEES.
Play on the TEXAS RANGERS for a 100 Dime Selection.


<!-- End_Module_754 -->
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=505 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD><TABLE id=Table_01 height=29 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=banner3 width="100%">Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #2 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=Table_01 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=DNNAlignleft id=dnn_ctr753_ContentPane align=left width="100%"><!-- Start_Module_753 -->L.A Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays 7:05 ET
Play on LA ANGELS - 130
WEAVER 4 - 2 ON THE YEAR, 4 -1 LIFE TIME AGAINST BLUE JAYS. HIS LAST 21 INNINGS ERA OF 2.14. HE WILL SHUT DOWN BLUE JAYS.
PLAY ON THE LA ANGELS AS A 100 DIME SELECTION




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[cork999]

Al DeMarco
Al DeMarco Wednesday's Play 5 Dime - Boston Red Sox (Beckett) - 1 1/2 Runs over Detroit (Galarraga)

You've seen the success I've had this baseball season, but it's nothing new; I've been winning in baseball since I starting betting back in the early '80's. One of the keys to my success is simply reading the boxscores of every game played on a daily basis, focusing on the pitching line of the starters. When something stands out, I make a mental note, and when that pitcher's turn next comes up in the rotation for his respective team, I always give him an extra look. Such is the case with Boston's Josh Beckett tonight.

Beckett, as you're probably aware, got off to a miserable start this season, posting a 7.22 ERA over his first five starts. But I noted his last outing at Minnesota in which he held the Twins, a good hitting team - especially at the Metrodome - to just three hits and one run over seven innings, fanning eight along the way. That gave him a 2-0 record and 1.23 ERA in his last three starts and made me remember him when his number was called today.

The Red Sox have not played well on the road this season; offensively they've failed to produce outside of Fenway. But their fates and fortunes have improved the past two games, victories at Toronto on Sunday and Detroit last night, as they scored a total of 13 runs. That's a big improvement for a team that had struggled to average 2.6 runs in its previous five outings.

Tonight Boston faces Armando Galarraga, who started his sophomore season in the majors like gangbusters, but has struggled since, as the righthander is coming off a miserable 0-5 month of May in which his ERA was 8.49 over six starts. He's faced the Red Sox once previously in his career, picking up a no-decision last May while pitching at home, but struggling nonetheless, allowing five runs and seven hits in 5.1 innings.

Detroit is struggling to put runs on the board of late; the Tigers have been held to three or less in four of their last five games and seven of their last 10 overall. They were 2-for-11 with runners in scoring position in last night's loss against Daisuke Matsuzaka, who has pitched poorly this season and is recently removed from the disabled list. Considering the groove Beckett is in currently, it's worth the investment taking the Red Sox, whose bats have seemingly awakened from a season-long road slumber, as a slight road dog by laying the -1 1/2 runs in tonight's contest.




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY STUCKFOREVER AND MY SELF-------------GL GUYS

 

[chuba]

teddy covers?

oakland under
big ticket orlando

gl

 

[cork999]

Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon Today's Games... 1. 100,000♦ Chi. White Sox
2. 50,000♦ Twins

1. Chi. White Sox- Needless to say the White Sox are not happy with Tuesday's 5-0 shutout loss to a rookie making his Major League debut... And I expect them to respond accordingly in this one. Its not like the White Sox were playing poorly either, as they had won 4 straight prior to yesterday, and not only did they just fall asleep at the plate, but a costly error by Betemit cost them 3 runs. It was an all around ugly effort, but you better believe they bounce back tonight and here's why:

First, while there's no doubt Josh Outman was rock-solid in the month of May, I'm not totally convinced that continues. Besides a nice effort against Texas, he has the benefit of facing some relatively sorry teams, including the Diamondbacks, the Royals, the Rays, and the Mariners... So let's not get too carried away. He'll have to be perfect tonight at the Cell, as his sorry-ass offense is going to have major issues with Clayton Richard tonight.

Speaking of Clayton Richard, he's 2-1 with an outstanding 1.35 ERA over his last 3 starts! While those also came against some relatively sorry clubs, he has the benefit of pitching at home tonight, where he's 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA on the season! Also, as mentioned above, its not like he's going against a powerhouse offense either, as the A's rank dead last in the Majors in team batting average at .239, and are even worse against southpaws, averaging 3.2 runs per game against them this season, batting just .210 in the process! That's music to Richard's ears, as his last home start saw him throw 6 scoreless against the Pirates for the win May 23rd!

Finally, besides the motivation of bouncing back after the shutout yesterday, the White Sox have a huge advantage in the bullpen, where they've posted a stellar 2.08 ERA over their last 3 games. Compare that to the Athletics 'pen, which has been a disaster, posting a ridiculous 9.23 ERA over the same 3-game span! In the end, look for the White Sox to bounce back strong here, as Outman may pitch well, but not well enough to offset Clayton Richard and the White Sox pen locking down the A's offense in this one.

Take the Chicago White Sox behind Richard over the Athletics and Outman as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Twins- I'll be the first to admit that CyYoung winner Cliff Lee is pitching great rigth now after starting the season poorly. BUT, before you go blindly jumping on the southpaws bandwagon, I want you to consider a couple things:

First, the Metrodome has been a house of horrors for lefties, as the Twins have gone an outstanding 25-6 there against southpaws over the last 2 seasons! That includes a PERFECT 8-0 against them this season under the lights... A trend that's very hard to ignore! Sure, Lee is one of the best southpaws out there, but he's going to one place where lefties go to die, and that doesn't exclude him, as one of his few losses in his Cy Young award winning season came at the Twins, allowing 4 runs on 6 hits over 7 innings July 6th!

Second, although he's just a rookie, Anthony Swarzak has been rock-solid thus far, going 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA this season. He faced two very strong offenses in his two starts this season, Milwaukee and Boston, and came away having proven his effectiveness. He not only has the benefit of never having been seen by the Indians, but he's also pitching for a roster spot, as Perkins returns in about a week or so, and another quality effort will go a LONG way in securing that spot.

Two other factors to consider are the Indians piss-poor road play, going 10-18 on the season, including just 8-16 against righties away. And also, the garbage play of the Indians bullpen, posting a 5.16 ERA on the season, and an even worse 5.71 ERA over their last 3 games. Opposite is true for the Twins, who've enjoyed great bullpen play: 3.83 ERA on the season and an outstanding 1.12 ERA over their last 3 games. As a final note, with Joe Mauer and this Twins offense crushing the ball of late, Lee and the sputtering Indians bullpen will be tested early and often, and the fact their batting .300 against lefties at home doesn't hurt either! Twins roll!

Take the Twins behind Swarzak over the Indians and Lee in this MLB match up





BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED-------GL GUYS

 

[cmoise1]

Stephen Nover | MLB Money Line
free pick904 WAS (-130) BetUS vs 903 SFG
Analysis:

Not often will I back the Washington Nationals when they are favored.

This is one of those rare exceptions.

No doubt the Nationals are terrible. That point isn't being argued. But the Giants are truly bad when they are on the road with a 7-16 away mark. That's the second-fewest road wins in the big leagues.

San Francisco ranks last in the majors in homers and second-from-the-bottom in runs scored. The Nationals rate among the top 12 in runs, batting average and homers.

This is a rare instance where the Nationals are in the spotlight. That's because Randy Johnson is going for his 300th victory. Opponents are extra motivated not to let Johnson reach his milestone against them, especially when they are playing at home such as the Nationals are here.

The Giants are facing plenty of distractions. Not only is Johnson going for No. 300, but the team was scheduled to visit the White House this morning. Their thoughts are on Barack Obama not Jordan Zimmerman.

Zimmerman is a rookie, but he's the Nationals' best pitcher. His ERA isn't good, but he has tremendous potential. The right-hander has a 47-to-14 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

Beating him isn't going to be easy for the Giants with their anemic offense. The Giants have lost their last five aways games against a right-handed pitcher.

The Nationals' confidence is up after they ended their six-game losing streak last night against the Giants and ace Tim Lincecum. Washington is averaging 7.5 runs in four games against the Giants this season.

Johnson is 45. He still can be effective - when pitching in a pitcher's park. He's 0-2 with an 8.50 ERA in four road outings this season. The Nationals have added another big right-handed bat to go against Johnson with Elijah Dukes now off the DL.

 

[cork999]

Craig Davis
Wednesday's Lineup
25 Dime ---- MARINERS

10 Dime ---- Rangers-Yankees OVER

SEATTLE MARINERS --- I realize I'm putting a lot of faith into a young, relatively unestablished starting pitcher like Jason Vargas, but you can't ignore how well he's pitched since being called up a few weeks ago. In fact, I was talking to a big time Seattle Mariners fan just the other day and he was telling me that Vargas was the real deal and that he should have been in the starting rotation out of spring training. Then I did a little digging myself. Although he has been with three teams in three years, Vargas was seriously sought-after by the Mariners and they got their man. Vargas was solid in the spring and was used in the bullpen before getting called to become a starter.

It wasn't until Carlos' Silva's elbow inflamation that Vargas got his shot, and I'm not expecting to see him demoted to the bullpen anytime soon. In his four starts since May 12th, Vargas has worked 23.2 innings, scattering 18 hits, 8 walks, and just five earned runs, earning one win and three no decisions. The good news for Vargas is... two of those three "NDs" resulted in wins for the Mariners and that's all we're asking for tonight. As you can see, he hasn't really struggled with control and allows less than one hit per inning pitched.

Seattle hasn't been great at home this year, but they've been better at home than Baltimore has been on the road (8-16). Seattle has won four of their last six, they've won 4 of their last 5 in the third game of a three-game series and they've won 11 of their last 16 games vs. teams with a losing record. With Baltimore throwing little known Bradley Bergesen (4.94/1.48) and the fact that they are just 1-5 in his last six starts as an underdog, my money is on the Seattle Mariners at a very favorable price.


YANKEES/RANGERS OVER --- I gave this out as a Bonus Play last night and it cashed in by the end of the fifth inning. If only I had released it as one of my dime plays... yes, I'm kicking myself. But I also know that my analysis was "spot on". Here we have two of the best home run hitting teams in Major League Baseball duking it out in the ballpark that has surrendered the most long balls of any park in the big leagues. Call it a fluke all you want, the point is... runs are NOT at a premium in the new Yankee Stadium as proved in last night's 12-3 Yankees win. One thing you can be sure of tonight... the Rangers will NOT be held to just three runs in tonight's contest.

This offense is simply too talented, top to bottom, and it's not like they don't know how to score runs. A.J. Burnett had one bad inning but settled down after that and completely dominated. Tonight, it's up to Andy Pettitte to try and keep this offense in check. Though Pettitte has been good, he has also been known to "give it up" to the Texas Rangers. In his long career, only the Texas Rangers have been able to beat him up, and they've done it convincingly. In 20 career starts vs. the Rangers, Pettitte has allowed 77 earned runs while the Rangers are hitting a very comfortable .313 against him. No other team comes close.

As for the Yankees, it doesn't really matter who the Rangers throw at them, they're going to score their runs (especially at home) and help push this total well over the posted number. Vegas isn't stupid, and that's why you consistently see their totals listed between 10 and 11.5 nearly every game. We'll be glad to take the over here tonight




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED------GL GUYS

 

[MikeJoe206]

King Maker

NY Mets

 

[Brancek]

Gamedaynetwork

Fade away

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<!-- publish type="textfield" name="Date" -->Wednesday's Picks - 6/3/09<!-- /publish -->

<!-- publish type="textbox" name="Writeup/Pick" format="html" -->PLEASE NOTE: If you signed up for a BLUE RIBBON PLAY, than please call our office toll-free 1-866-679-5227 or email info@gamedaynetwork.com to receive the play. CLICK HERE for more info on our BLUE RIBBON PLAY service.

MLB Cincinnati @ St Louis 8:15 PM EST
50* St Louis -130 - Get Line at BoDog(10% No-Limit Bonus), BetUS(100% Match Bonus Upto $500), or BookMaker(20% Sign Up Bonus)

MLB Giants @ Washington 7:05 PM EST
50* OVER 9 - Get Line at BoDog(10% No-Limit Bonus), BetUS(100% Match Bonus Upto $500), or BookMaker(20% Sign Up Bonus)

MLB Baltimore @ Seattle 10:10 PM EST
40* UNDER 8.5 - Get Line at BoDog(10% No-Limit Bonus), BetUS(100% Match Bonus Upto $500), or BookMaker(20% Sign Up Bonus)

MLB Oakland @ White Sox 8:10 PM EST
40* OVER 9 - Get Line at BoDog(10% No-Limit Bonus), BetUS(100% Match Bonus Upto $500), or BookMaker(20% Sign Up Bonus)

MLB NY Mets @ Pittsburgh 7:05 PM EST
40* Mets -120 - Get Line at BoDog(10% No-Limit Bonus), BetUS(100% Match Bonus Upto $500), or BookMaker(20% Sign Up Bonus)

 

[damonjensen]

sports Boss another winner last night on Astros 4-1 +442 now
Tonight he has Royals +130: he is picking one dog per night

ps. is that Wunderdog play huge for him?

 

[chasingthetail]

Mets game postphoned cuz of rain.

 

[inthegame07]

Matt Fargo 10* Non-Division Game of the Year

Texas Rangers

Confirmed.. BOL!

 

[sLim901]

charlie

mlb. cubs @ atlanta under 8 runs (500*).
mlb. mets-125 (30*)
mlb. houston-125 (20*)
mlb. angels-125 (20*)
mlb. chisox-135 (10*)
mlb. milwaukee-105 (10*) Bonus Play