Service Plays Wednesday 02/11/09

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Maddux Sports

Hockey

#10 - NHL - 3 units on Pittsburgh +130
#11 - NHL - 3 units on Colorado +180
#13 - NHL - 3 units on Phoenix +190

Basketball

#517 - NBA - 3 units on Sacramento +13.5
#527 - NCAA - 3 units on Ball State +14
#569 - NCAA - 3 units on Southern Illinois +6
 

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Scott Ferrall?

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WEDNESDAY'S BEST LOCKS FOR NCAA HOOPS BEST BETS IN ( )


PURDUE -10.5 to Penn St (6)

AKRON -14 to Ball St (8)

ST.BONNEY +14 from Rhode Island (10)

WAKE -5.5 to NC ST (7)

DUQUESNE +1.5 from Richmond (9)

DAYTON +3.5 from Xavier (3)

UCONN -12 to Syracuse (5)

VA TECH -8 to Georgia Tech (4)

CINCY -8.5 to St.Johns (1)

MEMPHIS -13 to Tulsa (2)


2/11/2009
WEDNESDAY'S NHL LOCKS BEST BETS IN ( )

CHICAGO -240 over Atlanta (2)


DEVILS -300 over Islanders (1)


CAPITALS -140 over Rangers (3)


BUFFALO -170 over Senators

SAN JOSE -150 over Pittsburgh (4)


MINNESOTA -200 over Colorado

DALLAS -210 over Phoenix (5)


CALGARY -115 over Anaheim

MONTREAL (even odds) over Edmonton (6)



SIDE DISHES:

Chicago UNDER 6gls

Devils UNDER 5.5gls

Capitals OVER 5.5gls (4)


Sabres UNDER 5.5gls

Sharks OVER 5.5gls (1)


Wild UNDER 5.5gls (2)


Stars OVER 5.5gls

Flames UNDER 5.5gls

Canadiens OVER 5.5gls (3)




PUCK LINE:

Hawks -1.5gls (+130)

Devils -1.5gls (even odds) (3)


Caps -1.5gls (+225) (4)


Sens +1.5gls (-210)

SJ -1.5gls (+200)

Avs +1.5gls (-170)

Stars -1.5gls (+150)

Flames +1.5gls (-310) (2)


Canadiens +1.5gls (-300) (1)

2/11/2009
NBA LOCKS FOR WEDNESDAY BEST BETS IN ( )

PHILLY -12 to Memphis (8)


ORLANDO -8 to Denver (2)


CHARLOTTE -7.5 to Washington (9)


CLEVELAND -7 to Phoenix (1)


SAN ANTONIO -6.5 to Toronto (7)


ATLANTA (no early line-injuries)over Detroit (10)


MILWAUKEE (no early line-injuries) over Indiana (11)


BOSTON (no early line-injuries) over New Orleans (6)


HOUSTON -12.5 to Sacramento (3)


UTAH +2.5 from Lakers (4)


OKLAHOMA CITY +11 from Portland (5)


KNICKS +4.5 from Clippers (12)



SIDE DISHES: Money Line

UTAH +110

KNICKS +105

CLEVELAND -300 (2)


ORLANDO -330 (1)





TOTALS:

Philly OVER 194

Magic OVER 210 (4)


Cleveland OVER 204.5 (3)


Rockets UNDER 211

Jazz UNDER 215.5

Blazers OVER 201 (2)


Knicks OVER 220.5 (1)
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3* LSU

Fastbreak
4* Nuggets
3* Trailblazers
3* North Carolina

Roundball
3* Jazz
3* Duquesne
3* Georgia St.
 
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N.y. Sports investors
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lakers -2 (-1) @ utah jazz @ 9 et ..


20-9 run ; 1-1 this wk ; 3-4 last week ..
 
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Dr Bob
2 Star Selection
CLEVELAND (-9) over Phoenix
11-Feb-09 04:05 PM Pacific Time
Cleveland has lost consecutive games for the first time all season, which surely doesn’t sit well with LeBron James. Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season after a loss and the only reason they didn’t win at Indiana last night was randomly disparate 3-point shooting (6 for 21 for Cleveland and 11 for 23 for Indiana). Had each team shot their expected percentage from 3-point range last night the Cavs would have won by about 10 points). James will make sure the Cavs don’t drop a 3rd straight game and Cleveland is at their best at home, where they are 18-6 ATS this season, including 6-0 ATS after a loss. All 6 of those home games after a loss have resulted in victories by 14 points or more and Cleveland also applies to a rare 31-3 ATS big home favorite bounce-back situation that plays on good teams after losing the previous night. Steve Nash has a trio of nagging injuries that forced him out of their blowout loss at Philadelphia on Monday night and Nash was downgraded to doubtful a short time ago. I suspect that Nash will probably sit out tonight, but my ratings favor the Cavaliers by 7 points even if he plays at 100% effectiveness (even after adjusting a couple of points for the Cavs being without West and Pavlovic). If Nash does not play then I’d favor Cleveland by 11 points and the Cavs would have a very high percentage chance of covering the spread in this game. If Nash is 50% to play then a fair line on this game is 9 points and the line is currently 8 ½ points. I’ll take Cleveland in a 2-Star Best Bet at -11 or less, but I’d only lay 8 or less if Nash is upgraded to probable.
2-Stars at -11 or less, but only at -8 or less if Nash is upgraded to probable.

2 Star Selection
PHILADELPHIA (-11) over Memphis
11-Feb-09 04:05 PM Pacific Time
Memphis has won a couple of games in a row, but the Grizzlies apply to a negative 28-84-1 ATS big road underdog letdown situation as well as a 9-50-1 ATS situation. Philadelphia has won 10 of their last 11 games without injured Elton Brand and they are actually considerably better this season in 21 games without him than they were with Brand. The Grizzlies two recent wins have come against a struggling Toronto team and a Hornets squad playing without star Chris Paul, but Memphis has had problems against decent teams. The Grizzlies are just 24-50 ATS in their last 74 games when facing a team that is 2 games below .500 or better, including 12-43 ATS in those games when not getting more than 11 points. Memphis is better now that Darko Milicic is back in the rotation, but my ratings still favor Philly by 11 ½ points and I’ll take Philadelphia in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less.
2-Stars at -12 or less.

COLLEGE
3 Star Selection
Southern Miss (-5) over RICE
11-Feb-09 05:00 PM Pacific Time
Southern Miss is down to a 6 man rotation due to injuries, but the Eagles should play well tonight in a slow paced game against a bad Rice team that is just 4-9 ATS as an underdog of 2 points or more this season (1-4 in conference play). Southern Miss has lost 3 consecutive games straight up and 6 in a row to the spread, but the Eagles apply to a very good 31-3 ATS subset of a 61-19-1 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation and Larry Eustachy’s club is 11-1 ATS the last 4 seasons as a conference favorite following a conference loss. Rice is a bad offensive team that has gotten even worse the last 6 games without good shooter Lucas Kuipers, whose 48% shooting has been missed on a team that shoots just 41% from the field overall. My ratings, based on current personnel, favor Southern Miss by 6 ½ points and I’ll take Southern Miss in a 3-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less and for 2-Stars at -5 ½ or -6 points.
3-Stars at -5 or less, 2-Stars at -5 1/2 or -6.

2 Star Selection
New Mexico (-12) over AIR FORCE
11-Feb-09 07:00 PM Pacific Time
The methodical style that Air Force plays tends to work better against their non-conference foes that are not used to it, but the Falcons are 0-9 straight up and 0-9 ATS in conference games this season and just 1-10 ATS as a conference dog of 8 points or more in 2 seasons under coach Jeff Reynolds. Air Force has played the same style for some time and the better teams in the Mountain West Conference are not only prepared for the Falcons’ style of play but they are also much more talented. Air Force is just 4-35 ATS in their last 39 conference games against teams with a win percentage of .600 or better and that record isn’t likely to improve against a New Mexico squad that is 15-3-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite under coach Steve Alford, who is 36-17-1 ATS in all games with the Lobos (7-1 ATS as a road favorite). Air Force has played 7 games this season against good teams (Stanford, San Diego State twice, New Mexico, Utah, UNLV, and BYU) and the Falcons have lost those games by an average of 22 points (by 25 at New Mexico) – including home losses of 17 points to San Diego State, by 21 points to Utah, by 21 points to UNLV, and by 21 points to BYU. New Mexico by 12 points is a fair line using all games for both teams, but I favor the Lobos by 16 ½ points in this game after adjusting for the Falcons’ level of play against better teams. I’ll take New Mexico in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less and for 3-Stars at -11 or less.
2-Stars at -12 or less, 3-Stars at -11 or less.
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Al Demarco 5 Dimer on Northeastern

Paid and Confirmed

(such a weird game to bet on when we got UNC/Duke but whatever...lets go!)
 
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indiancowboy

4 Unit Play. #535. Take NC Wilmington +8.5 over William and Mary (Wednesday @ 7pm est).

7 Straight winning NBA Weeks.
February: 63% Currently and +20 Units.
January Overall: 38-21 (64%) = +66 Units (Personal High).
17-8 Last 25 CBB Selections (17 of 25 winning days)

Congrats on Central Michigan +8 Outright over Miami of Ohio yesterday. We are now on pace to continue our 17-8 run over the last 25 days in College Ball as we look to go 2-0-1 on the week after tonight. If our basketball teams actually had a "look" they would be the ugliest puppies you can find. Don't get me wrong, I love favorites in the right spot - but, I certainly love some dogs. Heck, at one point last week, we took 5 straight dogs and they all cashed with 4 cashing outright. We took St. Peter +11.5 over Siena, we took San Diego State +4.5 Outright over UNLV, Indiana +3.5 Outright over Iowa, the Citadel +4 Outright over App. State and Dartmouth +1 Outright over Brown. Such is the case today as we gear up for the Seahawks to be competitive on the road against William and Mary. Do not underestimate NC Wilmington simply because they are 6-19 SU. Heck, if that was the case, we certainly wouldn't have cashed all the dogs we have as I promise you the combined total of St. Peter + San Diego State + Indiana + Citadel and Dartmouth's SU win total is not that high. But, this is the same NC Wilmington team that has showed enough bite to cover 5 straight. These are the teams that you look for at this time of year. The teams that have horrible SU records, but ATS covers. Too often, the public just looks at the SU record and assumes that means a cover for the team with a better record. If that was the case, Vegas would be out of business and we would all be rich. But, NC Wilmington is similar to OKC of the NBA who manages to cover at a ridiculous pace yet with a struggling SU overall record. The Seahawks are the same team that beat top 75 VCU at home by 9 points. This is the same team that lost to James Madison by just 6 points at home and lost to Hofstra by 2 points which ODU can tell you how difficult that was as they lost to Hofstra just last night. I want to take you to the game VCU game that NC Wilmington played in. This team went on the road to VCU and got thumped 59-88 - basically by 29 points. Then, this team came back home to play this team on February 4th and beat them 81-72. I mention that to say that this team certainly has the capability of beating any team within conference with revenge. And, what has NC Wilmington done against William and Mary? Well, these two teams hooked up earlier this year and NC Wilmington actually led this team Outright at the end of the first half prior to collapsing in the second half. I like this Seahawk team to remain focused today to get the cover on the road with the 8.5 as they are a much improved team as compared to the team that played William and Mary back on January 7th. For a team that just 1 just more SU win in W & M they certainly should not be laying this type of number with NC Wilmington having revenge and playing better in my opinion. Seahawks likely stay inside the number today as they are 5-0 ATS overall while W&M is 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games Overall.

4 Unit Play. #503. Take Denver Nuggets +7.5 against the Orlando Magic (Wednesday @ 7pm est). George Karl and Denver are a proud team. You don't think this team remembers the 88-106 thumping they took on their home floor to this Orlando team back on January 17th - less than a month ago? You better believe they have that in the back of their minds as they come off a rout in Miami. The difference in this game will be the point guard play. After all, you have an Orlando team that will continue to rout "so-so" teams at home such as New Jersey and a healthy a Clipper team (who did beat the Hawks on the road) - but when this team plays competitive teams at home and on the road their lack of point guard play will stand out like a bad sore. I'm sorry, J.J. Reddick, bless is heart and the fact that he bleeds is blue and white, but he is no Jameer Nelson. Nor, is J.J. Reddick Chauncey Billups. Given that Billups is very familiar with the Magic from the simple fact the Pistons and Magic played each other constantly with Detroit constantly getting the better end of the team (including in the playoffs a few years back), there is no reason to believe that Chauncey doesn't dictate the pace, the game in this revenge effort. If Orlando thought that Indiana was a tough play on the road when they lost SU, there is no reason to think Denver is not going to give them a handful this evening as they look to exact such revenge. What makes this play nice is the fact that Orlando comes off a big win over NJ after their loss at Indiana and consequently are not on a bounce-back. Let's ride the Nuggets who are playing great basketball right now behind Billups, Melo and Martin and who have a bench that I believe is stronger than the Magic's given that Nelson is out. Why not take a team + the 7.5 points when I believe that team has a 48% chance of winning SU. This is a typical type of play that I like to roll with as we look to go 2-1 on the week and repeat last weeks 5-2 (5-2 the week before) as well as we cruise on to winning week #8 in a row in the NBA this week.

Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
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Cokin

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Reg Houston -13½
Reg Cs Northridge


BIG GUN Xavier -2½
WINDOW Auburn -6
HAT Wisconsin -11
SYSTEM Long Beach St +1½
 
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Al Demarco 5 Dimer on Northeastern

Paid and Confirmed

(such a weird game to bet on when we got UNC/Duke but whatever...lets go!)

Al DeMarco

Wednesday's Pick
5 Dime - Northeastern



Little was expected of Drexel at the start of the season as most pundits picked the Dragons to be near the bottom of the Colonial Athletic Conference. But a seven-game winning streak suddenly propelled them to the upper echelon of the league standings and opened eyes along the way.



The problem with that seven-game winning streak is that it was compiled mostly against the dregs of the conference: Georgia State (twice), N.C. Wilmington, Delaware, William & Mary, and Towson. Yes, the Dragons did soundly beat Hofstra at home by 18 points, but much like their earlier non-conference win on New Year's Eve against St. Joseph's of the Atlantic-10, they happened to catch the Pride on a bad night and in the middle of a slump. Now, however, it's Drexel that's in a slump as Bruiser Flint's team has dropped two in a row, falling 73-70 in overtime at Delaware on February 4 and 63-53 at home to Old Dominion three days later.



Drexel's problem is simple: it can't shoot straight. The Dragons are next to last in the league in scoring at 62.3 points a game because they're dead last in field goal percentage (37%) and three-point shooting (28.6%) and eighth from the free throw line (67.8%). Yes, they're a good defensive team, and they're a strong rebounding team, but how can they not be good on the boards considering how many shots of their own they're grabbing?



Northeastern has already hammered out double-digit home wins against the likes of N.C. Wilmington (12), Delaware (14), Towson (15), and Hofstra (23). Plus, the Huskies have beatten VCU, Indiana and Providence on the road this season. They also dominated Drexel last year, prevailing 63-40 on the road and 79-45 at home.
 

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NBA Daily Premium-February 11th

Thank You for Your Purchase!

Capper: Deano

*Must figure in juice*
SESSION 37: Roller System_*Closing Session Bet*
**********************************
Today's Premium Pick: Lakers Pk
Projected System Results: Lakers by (3-5)
Play Strength (1-10*): 8*
Unit: 1
**********************************

Breakdown:

Wow I don't see why Utah has the edge in this matchup as they host the Lakers tonight. The last time these teams met at Utah the Lakers were 10 point favs a month ago. Lakers covered in this one winning by 13... Now what can change between then and now to make this line drop down to a PK????? Nothing.. The Jazz losing ATS 6 out of the last 10 games. Well maybe its because they come in with no rest.... well then why would the line drop that much if the Lakers aren't effected by it posting a 19-7 L26 ATS when playing with 0 days rest. The Jazz come in with a nice home record but the Lakers road record matches right there with it. Lakers coming in hot posting a 6-0 ATS L6 on the road; 8-1 L9 ATS after scoring +100 points in their previous game. Jazz 2-6 L8 ATS after allowing 100 points in their previous game; 1-6 L7 ATS vs. solid teams. The Jazz don't come in with no momentum and the Lakers look to steal their hopes tonight guys like they always do. Take the Lakers to cover tonight as they win between 3-5 points as our 8* graded play and to close this session.


gl
 

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