Steve Merril Wednesday Picks - BetVega-Experts
**3-game** NCAA Basketball Special! $55.00 NCAA Basketball Delete
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Steve Merril is on a current 21-9 hoops run and his long-term 70-38 All-Sports run continues with all 3 NCAA winners for Wednesday:
Steamroller Blowout
Underdog Shocker
Kansas/Nebraska (espn2)
Get all 3 Guaranteed winners for one price tonight!
Included picks:
Davidson vs. Tennessee Chat (NCAAB) - Jan 28, 2009 7:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Play Title
Play Selected Point Spread: 10/-105
Davidson has become a very public team and because of this fact they often face inflated lines. It also ensures a focused effort from their opponents and that should be the case tonight as Davidson fits a negative 37-79 ATS Class-A favorite letdown situation. Tennessee Chattanooga is coming off a tough 86-85 overtime road loss at Elon on Saturday, but the Mocs are still a solid 5-1 SU in their past six games and they qualify in a strong 98-54 ATS bounce-back situation which plays on double-digit underdogs that are coming off a SU favorite loss. Chattanooga matches up well versus Davidson and almost won outright as a 23-point road underdog in the earlier meeting this season on December 13th. Tennessee Chat held a 44-40 halftime lead and only lost 100-95 in the game as the Mocs outshot Davidson 51% to 45% from the field and there was nothing misleading as the Mocs dominated down low with a 60% to 49% edge from two-point range.
Play CHATTANOOGA (+) as a 1 unit play.
Kansas vs. Nebraska (NCAAB) - Jan 28, 2009 7:30 PM EST
Premium Pick
Play Title
Play Selected Point Spread: 4.5/-111
Nebraska remains an underrated team this season and they present solid value as a home underdog tonight on their strong home court where they stand 11-2 SU this season where they have outshot their opponents 48.6% to 41.7% from the floor and won by an average margin of +15.2 points per game. Nebraska plays a slow-down, half-court style that is likely to frustrate a young Kansas squad that prefers to play at a fast pace. The Jayhawks have also struggled on the road this season versus quality teams with outright losses at Arizona and Michigan State by 17 and 13 point margins. Nebraska qualifies in a strong 89-49 ATS defensive home underdog situation tonight as they allow just 57.8 points per game and only 41.5% FG (versus opponents that average 68.7 ppg and 44.3%). The Cornhuskers will also be extra focused after back-to-back SU losses in their past two games. Both scores were a bit misleading as Nebraska led outright in the second half at Oklahoma before an eventual 72-61 loss, and then the Cornhuskers lost in overtime, 76-74, versus Oklahoma State.
Play NEBRASKA (+) as a 1 unit play.
Georgetown vs. Cincinnati (NCAAB) - Jan 28, 2009 7:30 PM EST
Premium Pick
Play Title
Play Selected Point Spread: -5.5/-105
Georgetown will be in a focused mood tonight as they enter this game off three straight losses and quality teams usually bounce-back in this situation and Georgetown fits a 55-29 ATS situation based on that premise. The Hoyas have struggled this season against Class-A opponents with losses versus Tennessee, Pittsburgh, Duke, West Virginia, but in general the Hoyas have dominated weaker teams. Cincinnati is one of the weakest teams in the Big East this season and they already lost by 9 points at home versus Connecticut this season which is the same UConn team that Georgetown beat outright 74-63 on the road this season. The Hoyas 6-1 SU this season as a favorite of 6 points or more and they hold a substantial offensive edge in this game as they shoot 47.3% FG (versus opponents that allow just 41.5%), while Cincinnati averages just 42.4% FG (versus opponents that allow 42.2%). This offensive edge was evident last year when Georgetown dominated Cincinnati 73-53 and outshot the Bearcats 48% to 36% from the field.
Play GEORGETOWN (-) as a 1 unit play.
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