AccuScore NBA Pick
By: Rohit Ghosh
AccuScore
AccuScore’s computer simulates games 10,000 times to predict their outcome. Throughout the basketball season, we’ll be stacking up these forecasts against Las Vegas money-lines and spreads. When AccuScore gives a team a better chance to win than the money-line odds imply or suggest a high chance of covering the spread, it’s a recommended play.
NBA Pick of the Day - Los Angeles Lakers (1-5) at Memphis Grizzlies (6-1)
Thanks to a 65-point second half Sunday night, the Lakers found a way to get their first win of the season, defeating the Hornets 107-92. They'll look to extend that streak to two games Tuesday night in Memphis against a Grizzlies team that started the season with six straight victories.
AccuScore has the Grizzlies as overwhelming 87 percent favorites to win. Memphis has a 60.4 percent chance of covering a 10-point spread. The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 106-91. There is a 49.4 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 197 and a 49.2 percent chance it goes OVER. AccuScore simulationss suggest staying away from the total.
In terms of close (four points or fewer) and big (10 points or more) win potential, the probabilities are not even close. Memphis has nearly twice the chance of Los Angeles at a close win, and about 15 times the chance of L.A. at a big win.
AccuScore Box Score: The Grizzlies average just two more shot attempts per game, but 6-7 more field goals made. Memphis shooting over 48 percent from the field identifies one culprit: the Lakers' defense.
Projected Leaders
Kobe Bryant: 22 points, 6 assists, 4 rebounds, 2 steals, 4 TOs
Carlos Boozer: 12 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal
Marc Gasol: 18 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 blocks, 1 steal
Mike Conley: 17 points, 6 assists, 3 rebounds, 2 steals, 2 TOs
Supporting Trend: The Lakers are 2-3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.
By: Rohit Ghosh
AccuScore
AccuScore’s computer simulates games 10,000 times to predict their outcome. Throughout the basketball season, we’ll be stacking up these forecasts against Las Vegas money-lines and spreads. When AccuScore gives a team a better chance to win than the money-line odds imply or suggest a high chance of covering the spread, it’s a recommended play.
NBA Pick of the Day - Los Angeles Lakers (1-5) at Memphis Grizzlies (6-1)
Thanks to a 65-point second half Sunday night, the Lakers found a way to get their first win of the season, defeating the Hornets 107-92. They'll look to extend that streak to two games Tuesday night in Memphis against a Grizzlies team that started the season with six straight victories.
AccuScore has the Grizzlies as overwhelming 87 percent favorites to win. Memphis has a 60.4 percent chance of covering a 10-point spread. The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 106-91. There is a 49.4 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 197 and a 49.2 percent chance it goes OVER. AccuScore simulationss suggest staying away from the total.
In terms of close (four points or fewer) and big (10 points or more) win potential, the probabilities are not even close. Memphis has nearly twice the chance of Los Angeles at a close win, and about 15 times the chance of L.A. at a big win.
AccuScore Box Score: The Grizzlies average just two more shot attempts per game, but 6-7 more field goals made. Memphis shooting over 48 percent from the field identifies one culprit: the Lakers' defense.
Projected Leaders
Kobe Bryant: 22 points, 6 assists, 4 rebounds, 2 steals, 4 TOs
Carlos Boozer: 12 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal
Marc Gasol: 18 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 blocks, 1 steal
Mike Conley: 17 points, 6 assists, 3 rebounds, 2 steals, 2 TOs
Supporting Trend: The Lakers are 2-3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.
XpertPicks
TUESDAY
TOP FOOTBALL PLAY
Akron has lost 5 consecutive games against the spread vs. conference opponents and they have lost 6 consecutive games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total. Akron has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when playing after the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] month of the season and they are only averaging 17 points on offense in their last three games.
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BONUS FOOTBALL PLAYS
TUESDAY
TOP FOOTBALL PLAY
- Play Buffalo +3.5 over Akron----RISK 35% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Akron has lost 5 consecutive games against the spread vs. conference opponents and they have lost 6 consecutive games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total. Akron has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when playing after the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] month of the season and they are only averaging 17 points on offense in their last three games.
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BONUS FOOTBALL PLAYS
- Play Toledo +4.5 over Northern Illinois----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
FantasySportsGametime
TUESDAY FOOTBALL
5000* Play Buffalo +3.5 over Akron (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Akron has lost 12 of the last 16 road games and they have lost 6 of the last 7 games after having lost three of the last four games. Akron has lost 15 of the last 22 games when playing with six or less days of rest and they have lost 8 of the last 10 games coming off two games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse.
5000* Play Toledo +4.5 over Northern Illinois (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Toledo has won 15 of the last 21 games coming off a win and they have won 16 of the last 21 games vs. conference opponents. Toledo has won 3 of the last 4 games when playing on a Tuesday and they are averaging 34 points on offense this season.
TUESDAY FOOTBALL
5000* Play Buffalo +3.5 over Akron (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Akron has lost 12 of the last 16 road games and they have lost 6 of the last 7 games after having lost three of the last four games. Akron has lost 15 of the last 22 games when playing with six or less days of rest and they have lost 8 of the last 10 games coming off two games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse.
5000* Play Toledo +4.5 over Northern Illinois (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Toledo has won 15 of the last 21 games coming off a win and they have won 16 of the last 21 games vs. conference opponents. Toledo has won 3 of the last 4 games when playing on a Tuesday and they are averaging 34 points on offense this season.
BeatYourBookie
TUESDAY
10* Play Buffalo +3.5 over Akron (Top NCAA Play)
Akron is 0-5 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
Akron is 0-6 ATS coming off an UNDER the total in their last game
10* Play Toledo +4.5 over Northern Illinois (Top NCAA Play)
Northern Illinois is 1-5 ATS over the last six games
Northern Illinois is 1-4 ATS when playing with six days or less of rest
TUESDAY
10* Play Buffalo +3.5 over Akron (Top NCAA Play)
Akron is 0-5 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
Akron is 0-6 ATS coming off an UNDER the total in their last game
10* Play Toledo +4.5 over Northern Illinois (Top NCAA Play)
Northern Illinois is 1-5 ATS over the last six games
Northern Illinois is 1-4 ATS when playing with six days or less of rest
Winning Angle
TUESDAY
NBA BASKETBALL
Play Memphis -10 over Los Angeles Lakers (NBA TOP PLAY)
Los Angeles has lost 48 of the last 85 road games against the spread and they have lost 55 of the last 99 games against the spread when playing as an underdog. Los Angeles has lost 25 of the last 41 games against the spread when playing four or less games in ten days and they have lost 24 of the last 36 games against the spread when playing on a Tuesday.
Play Toronto -10.5 over Orlando (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Dallas -7 over Sacramento (NBA BONUS PLAY)
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NHL HOCKEY
Play Florida +120 over San Jose (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Dallas +115 over Arizona (NHL TOP PLAY)
TUESDAY
NBA BASKETBALL
Play Memphis -10 over Los Angeles Lakers (NBA TOP PLAY)
Los Angeles has lost 48 of the last 85 road games against the spread and they have lost 55 of the last 99 games against the spread when playing as an underdog. Los Angeles has lost 25 of the last 41 games against the spread when playing four or less games in ten days and they have lost 24 of the last 36 games against the spread when playing on a Tuesday.
Play Toronto -10.5 over Orlando (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Dallas -7 over Sacramento (NBA BONUS PLAY)
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NHL HOCKEY
Play Florida +120 over San Jose (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Dallas +115 over Arizona (NHL TOP PLAY)
Winning Angle Football
TUESDAY
Play Buffalo +3.5 over Akron (NCAA)
8:00 PM EST
Akron has lost 5 consecutive games against the spread and they have lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when playing as a favorite. Akron has lost 14 of the last 21 games against the spread vs. conference opponents and they are only averaging 16 points on offense in road games this season.
Play Toledo +4.5 over Northern Illinois (NCAA)
8:00 PM EST
Northern Illinois has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread and they have lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread when playing with six days or less of rest. Northern Illinois has lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in three straight games and they have lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread coming off a two game road trip.
TUESDAY
Play Buffalo +3.5 over Akron (NCAA)
8:00 PM EST
Akron has lost 5 consecutive games against the spread and they have lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when playing as a favorite. Akron has lost 14 of the last 21 games against the spread vs. conference opponents and they are only averaging 16 points on offense in road games this season.
Play Toledo +4.5 over Northern Illinois (NCAA)
8:00 PM EST
Northern Illinois has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread and they have lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread when playing with six days or less of rest. Northern Illinois has lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in three straight games and they have lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread coming off a two game road trip.
