Service Plays Tuesday 9/30/08

Search

New member
Joined
May 31, 2008
Messages
110
Tokens
<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">Tue, 09/30/08 - 7:35 PM Tony George | MLB Money Line</dt><dt>dime bet 937 MIN (+135) BetUS vs 938 CWS </dt></dl>
 

New member
Joined
Apr 3, 2006
Messages
720
Tokens
Info on Tonights Matchup...

FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 3) - 9/30/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
======================================================

Tuesday, September 30th

Florida Atlantic at Middle Tenn State
, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Florida Atlantic: 10-4 ATS vs. conference
Middle Tenn State: 17-4 Under off SU loss
=======================================================

Tuesday, September 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Middle Tennessee won two of three vs Florida Atlantic, losing 27-14 at FAU last year (Owls had 228 rushing yards, 343 passing). FAU is 1-3 because they played guarantee games; they scored three points in losing last two games, at Michigan State/Minnesota. MTSU is already 0-2 in Sun Belt, losing 31-17 at home to Troy, 31-14 at Arkansas St, but they did beat Maryland, and scared the hell out of Kentucky in Lexington. Favorite is 3-0 against spread in series games.
=======================================================

Tuesday, September 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee State [ESPN2 | 8 PM ET]

FAU: After getting hammered by Texas, Michigan State and Minnesota, who are a combined 12-2, Florida Atlantic licks its wounds and focuses its attention on winning the Sun Belt Conference title. The normally high-powered Owls offense will look to get back on track after being held to a total of just three points by Michigan State and Minnesota. Through four games, junior quarterback Rusty Smith has thrown more interceptions (five) than touchdowns (four). The Owls rush defense has been miserable, allowing 213.2 yards per game. As a result, FAU’s opponents have dominated time of possession, controlling the ball for 35:22, compared to 24:35 for the Owls.

Florida Atlantic is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a bye week.
Florida Atlantic is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 conference games.

Key Injuries - C Nick Paris (concussion) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

MTSU (-3): After getting hammered by in-state rival Kentucky in its opener, Louisville has bounced back to win two straight games. The Cardinals have the revenge factor going for them in this one as UConn defeated Louisville 21-17 last year. One of the UConn scores was on a punt return which a fair catch appeared to be called. As the Louisville return team relaxed, Larry Taylor ran for a touchdown. Quarterback Hunter Cantwell looked lost against Kentucky but has been red-hot since. The Louisville defense has played much better under new DC Ron English, allowing a measly 42 yards per game on the ground.

Middle Tennessee State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games following a bye week.
Middle Tennessee State is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 conference games.

Key Injuries - RG Evon Lettsome (ankle) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (Side Play of the Day)
======================================================

Dunkel


Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee State

After back-to-back losses to the Big Ten, Florida Atlantic looks to bounce back in the Sun Belt Conference where the Owls are 10-4 ATS over the last three seasons. FAU is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+3).

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 30

Game 301-302: Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 76.502; Middle Tennessee State 76.679
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+3); N/A
=======================================================

Trends Sheet
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday, September 30

8:00 PM FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Florida Atlantic is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida Atlantic's last 12 games
Middle Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games at home
<!-- / message -->
 

New member
Joined
Sep 10, 2008
Messages
227
Tokens
ummmmmmm,
it seems like the dogs are covering left and right on weeknight cfb games...


Not only that, FAU is the better team. You think going on the road and playing the likes of Texas, Michigan State, Minnesota this game won't seem a little easier? Even though they got shut out 17-0 against Michigan State they could of won that game. As bad as they looked against Minnesota last week I don't take much into that as it was a revenge game. Also with a whooooping like that for the line to keep dropping in FAU's favor should scare Middle backers too. I just see great value in the ML +115/+140 I wouldn't even take 2-2.5 points where vegas sets a line in the 50's and expects some scoring.
 

The Gr8 1
Joined
Apr 30, 2008
Messages
6,372
Tokens
Not only that, FAU is the better team. You think going on the road and playing the likes of Texas, Michigan State, Minnesota this game won't seem a little easier? Even though they got shut out 17-0 against Michigan State they could of won that game. As bad as they looked against Minnesota last week I don't take much into that as it was a revenge game. Also with a whooooping like that for the line to keep dropping in FAU's favor should scare Middle backers too. I just see great value in the ML +115/+140 I wouldn't even take 2-2.5 points where vegas sets a line in the 50's and expects some scoring.


MTSU beat Maryland and lost by less than a touchdown at UK.
Not to bad if you ask me
 

New member
Joined
Mar 21, 2008
Messages
129
Tokens
:ohno:MAJOR TECHNICAL DIFFICULTIES TRYING TO GRAB ROMANS & BURNETTS PLAYS @ BOTH SITES ...GONNA KEEP TRYING..DONT KNOW IF ITS ME OR THEM ....

ALSO GRABBED THIS THIS MORNING

MARCO D'ANGELO

FLORIDA ATL + 3 OVER MIDD TN ST SINGLE DIME
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
SPORTS ADVISORS

Minnesota (88-74) at Chicago White Sox (88-74)

Having staved off elimination with a do-or-die victory over the Tigers on Monday, the White Sox now welcome the Twins to U.S. Cellular Field for a one-game playoff to decide the American League Central Division champion. John Danks (11-9, 3.47 ERA) is slated to take the ball for Chicago, while Minnesota will go with rookie Nick Blackburn (11-10, 4.14).

Forced to play a makeup game against Detroit on Monday, Chicago trailed 2-1 in the sixth inning when rookie Alexei Ramirez crushed a grand slam to lead the Sox to an 8-2 victory and set up this winner-take-all contest. Chicago has followed up a five-game losing skid – including a three-game sweep at Minnesota last week – with consecutive wins, but Ozzie Guillen’s club is just 5-9 in its last 14 games.

After saving their season with the three-game sweep of the White Sox last week, the Twins lost two straight home games to the Royals before closing the regular season with Sunday’s 6-0 win over Kansas City. Although Ron Gardenhire’s squad has won five of its last seven overall, it went just 4-9 on the road in September.

The home team dominated this rivalry in 2008, going 15-3 in the 18 meetings. The White Sox won seven of the nine clashes in the Windy City, including the last five in a row. The seven wins by Chicago at home came by a combined score of 60-22.

Both teams had identical records this year at home (53-28) and on the road (35-46), and Chicago has won 41 of its last 59 at the Cell.

Danks’ most recent start came on Friday at home against Cleveland, and he got crushed for seven runs (all earned) on seven hits (two home runs) in just four innings of an 11-8 loss. The southpaw, who led the White Sox in ERA this year, is just 2-5 in his last nine starts, but he’s given up three earned runs or fewer in seven of his last 10 trips to the hill since the beginning of August.

Danks is only 4-6 at home despite a 3.96 ERA. However, he’s 2-3 with a beefy 6.88 ERA in seven career starts against the Twins, including 1-1 with a 7.91 ERA in four starts this season, with Chicago splitting those four games.

Blackburn, who led the Twins in innings pitched this season, shut down the White Sox in his most recent outing six days ago, giving up two runs on eight hits and two walks in five innings of a 3-2 victory. However, Minnesota is just 2-7 in the right-hander’s last nine trips to the mound, including five straight losses on the road, with Blackburn posting 7.67 ERA in those five road defeats.

For the season, Blackburn is 3-7 with a 5.20 ERA in 18 road starts – 13 of which the Twins have lost – compared with 8-3 with a 2.95 ERA in 14 outings in Minnesota. He’s also 2-2 with a 5.28 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against the White Sox, with all five starts coming this season. That includes three games at U.S. Cellular, with Blackburn going 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and the Twins losing all three games by the combined score of 24-11.

The over is 7-2 in the nine head-to-head battles between these rivals in Chicago, and seven of those contests featured double-digit run totals. Also, for Minnesota, the over is on streaks of 17-8-1 overall, 35-17-2 on the road, 9-0-2 on Tuesdays, 4-0-1 following an off day, 6-2 against a lefty starter and 3-0 when Blackburn pitches in Chicago. Finally, the White Sox are on over streaks of 4-1 overall, 5-2 at home and 4-1 when Danks faces the Twins.

The winner of this game heads to Tampa Bay for a first-round, best-of-5 playoff series against the Rays, which begins Thursday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Florida Atlantic (1-3, 1-2 ATS) at Middle Tennessee State (1-3, 2-2 ATS)

Florida Atlantic hits the road for the fourth time this season when it visits Middle Tennessee State as the Sun Belt Conference takes center stage in a nationally televised midweek contest.

Both teams are coming off blowout road losses on Sept. 20, with Florida Atlantic getting hammered 37-3 at Minnesota as a six-point underdog and the Blue Raiders losing their conference opener 31-14 at Arkansas State as a 6½-point pup.

The Owls, who are the defending Sun Belt champs, have scored a total of 13 points in their three losses (vs. Texas, Michigan State and Minnesota), with their lone win being a 49-34 home rout of UAB. Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee’s lone victory was a 24-14 upset of Maryland as a 13-point road ‘dog, but it scored only 17, 14 and 14 points in its three losses.

Florida Atlantic rode its defense to a 27-14 win over Middle Tennessee last year, easily covering as a 2½-point home favorite. The Owls held the Blue Raiders to 217 total yards, including just 18 net rushing yards, while forcing four turnovers in the victory. These teams have met five times since 2003, with FAU holding a 3-2 edge (2-2 ATS in lined games). The chalk has cashed in the last three head-to-head meetings.

For the season, the Owls are averaging 15.5 points and 337.8 total yards per game (104 rushing ypg), while yielding per-game averages of 35 points and 441.2 yards (211 rushing ypg). As for Middle Tennessee, it is putting up 17.2 points and 346 yards per outing (only 68.5 rushing ypg) and surrendering 24 points and 363.2 yards (140 rushing ypg).

The Blue Raiders are just 15-88 SU in Sun Belt Conference home games, while the Owls have won seven of their eight road games since joining the Sun Belt two years ago.

Florida Atlantic is on ATS hot streaks of 5-2 overall, 7-2 in conference, 7-3 against losing teams and 4-1 on artificial turf, but the Owls have failed to cover in five of their last six following a bye.

Including the blowout loss at Arkansas State, Middle Tennessee has failed to cover in four straight Sun Belt Conference contests, but the Raiders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine on fake turf and 4-1 ATS in their last five after a bye.

The Owls sport nothing but “over” trends, including 9-3 overall, 5-0 in conference, 4-0 following a bye and 12-2 after a spread-cover. Conversely, Middle Tennessee is on under runs of 6-0 overall, 5-0 at home, 4-0 in conference, 4-1 in September, 6-1 on turf and 18-6 after an ATS setback.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Sportsbettingstats

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox

Coming into this one game playoff for the right to make the post season the White Sox had to win in their last game and did so beating the Detroit Tigers 8-2, while in the Twins last game of the season they blanked the Kansas City Royals 6-0. The 162 game regular season could not decide the outcome for the AL Central division and now this 1 game playoff will decide which team makes the post season and which team goes home. Taking the mound for the White Sox is John Danks (11-9 3.47 ERA), who in his last outing went only 4 innings giving up 7 earned runs in a loss. In their win last night the White Sox scored 8 runs on 6 hits. Taking the mound for the Twins is Nick Blackburn (11-9 4.14 ERA), who in his last outing went 5 innings giving up 2 earned runs in a win. In their last win over the Royals the Twins scored 6 runs on 7 hits.

Staff Pick: In this one game playoff the pitching match up is pretty even, as both hurlers have almost identical records and ERA's. However, Danks has had a tough time against the Twins this year going 1-2 with a 7.45 ERA in 4 starts versus the Twins in Chicago, and 2-3 with a 6.88 ERA in 7 starts overall. He is also going on only 3 days rest. Oh yeah, AND his last start was the worst start he had all year. Twins Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau have been successful against Danks this year, going 8/12 (.667) and 7/16 (.438), respectively. Blackburn has not pitched well against the Twins being 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA in 3 career road starts against the White Sox, and 2-2 with a 5.28 ERA in 5 starts against them overall. In his last start Blackburn did beat the White Sox, which was part of the sweep that put them in this position. The Twins lead the season series 10-8. The White Sox were 4-6 in their last 10 games of the season, but won their last 2 games while the Twins were 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Twins swept the White Sox last week, but that was in Minnesota, as in Chicago they were 7-2 against the Twins this season. This game will come down to which starter has the better outing. Even though Danks has struggles against the Twins and had a tough last start, he will bounce back as the home field advantage will help the White Sox advance to the playoffs for the first time since 2005 when they won it all.

White Sox 7 Twins 5
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Bob Balfe

College Football
Florida Atlantic +3 over Middle Tennessee State
First off let it be for the record that this is a Tuesday Night Game and if this game were on a Saturday it wouldn't be touched with a ten ft poll. Both teams really have struggled this year with the only bright spot coming when Middle Tenn State beat Maryland. Maryland obviously didn't show up for that game and since then has played very well. FAU has most of their offense back this season and was supposed to light up the scoreboard. That has not happened yet and QB Rusty Smith has looked awful so far. Middle Tennessee State is having the same problems. Bad offense and Bad defense. This game really comes down to experience. The Middle Tennessee State offense is very young. I would have to give the edge to FAU because they have a unit that played well together last year and their QB is a lot better than MTSU's QB. The coaching edge also goes to FAU's Howard Schnellenberger. Coach Schnellenberger has coached at every different level and will have his team ready for an important Sun Belt Conference matchup. Take Florida Atlantic.
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Winners Edge- 9/30/08

MLB:

Twins RL (+1.5) -150 , 2 units

CFB:

Florida Atlantic + 3 (BUY) , 1 unit
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Bettorsworld

MLB SERIES PLAYS

You can't make long term gains laying high priced favorites in any sport. You need to concentrate on finding underdogs with value or short priced favs. Betting on a MLB playoff series is no different. With that in mind, as we look at the 3 MLB playoff series with prices posted, we would automatically throw out the Phillies and Cubs. The prices are too high for us to get involved. We'd only consider playing the Brewers or Dodgers in those series. Of the two, the Dodgers present much more value and the series holds some intrigue with Torre managing in the Playoffs for the 13th straight years. The Dodgers are a live dog here. The Cubs took the regular season series 5-2 but Manny Ramirez wasn't there. Manny is the wild card here. The Dodgers have a very good chance to steal a game in Chicago which would also open the door for hedging opportunities for the faint of heart. The better team generally wins out over the course of a 7 game series but the short 5 game first round series opens the door for upsets. We're going to make a 2* play on the Dodgers to win the series at +190 or better.

We're also going to play the Angels to win the series over the Bosox at-120 or better. The Bosox are banged up, Beckett is hurt, and the Angels simply dominated the Sox this year going 8-1 against them. The Angels are the better team and the price is right. If we get a chance we'll have a more thorough write up posted on Bettorsworld tomorrow.

So two Series plays

2* Dodgers +190 over the Cubs

3* Angels -120 over the Bosox
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Handicapper: Jimmy Boyd
Florida Atlantic vs. Middle Tenn State (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 3/-115 Florida Atlantic Play Title: Sun Belt Conference GOTY
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
5* Sun Belt Conference GOTY on FAU +3 The FAU Owls beat Middle Tennessee 27-14 a season ago and return 19 of 22 starters on both sides of the ball from that team. After getting beaten up on at Texas, Michigan State, and Minnesota in the early going, expect the Owls to really bust out against a weaker opponent here - just like they did against UAB in week 2. FAU went 6-1 in Sun Belt play last season, winning the league, and I fully expect this team to repeat with Offensive Player of the Year Rusty Smith under center. The Blue Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games while the Owls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games. The Owls are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. FAU's offense averaged over 30ppg and over 400 yards last season. Now that the Owls are coming up against some weaker competition, they'll start to rack up the points and the wins. Take the points.
<!-- / message -->
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,947
Messages
13,575,516
Members
100,887
Latest member
yalkastazi
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com